Shortest win price
Santatime (5)
2.75
Welcome to Taree for the Allan Bakewell Memorial Krambach Sprint, a Showcase Plate for Class 2 runners over 1250m on a Soft 7 surface with overcast skies hanging about. Punters eyeing off the win market have landed on Santatime sitting at the top of the order, closely followed by Broken Wings, Explosive Tycoon, and City Of Tears rounding out the early fancies in what shapes as a tricky betting affair.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Santatime resumes here after a twenty-five-week break for Glen Milligan, having previously tackled much stronger races at Randwick and Scone last preparation. Form insights note a sharp effort when nabbed on the wire fresh at Port Macquarie last campaign, making this fresh run a fascinating watch. Meanwhile, City Of Tears comes off a game effort at Grafton in soft going, and Broken Wings was not disgraced in similar ground at this track, adding plenty of substance to the top end of the market.
Looking further down the card, speed maps suggest we will see Maracaibo Sun and City Of Tears pushing forward from their barriers as leaders, while runners like Introducing, Warbreccan, and Prize Writer settle on-pace. Explosive Tycoon also warrants a mention down the order, having worked hard at both ends before being narrowly outpointed in soft going at Taree last time out. It all points to a tactical contest where the early speed runners will try to pinch a break on the chasers.
Shortest win price
Santatime (5)
2.75
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Introducing · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Maracaibo Sun · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Outoftheoffice · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 50% in Last 100 Rides
Santatime · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Career
27: 2-2-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-1
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1370m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
11: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ben Looker 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Last success was 13 Mar 2024. Fair way from the winner but battled home into second at Tabulam. Awkwardly drawn. Needs to lift again here.
ILB
In the money when 2nd last time at Tabulam but up against a more competitive field. Slim possibilty.
RP
Runner-up in Tabulam conditions race, just over 5l off winner when dropped to 5f two weeks ago; a while since he's been in the winners' enclosure (last win in 2024).
RSIS
Honest race when 2nd last run at Tabulam but testing ability against stronger contenders.
Career
24: 2-3-4
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 1-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
4: 1-0-2
Track Dubbo
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
16: 1-2-1
Going Soft
8: 1-1-3
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
On a short back-up. Long time since last saluted. Got back, never a serious danger but not disgraced at Port Macquarie. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Was $7.00 and basic showing when 10th last run at Port Macquarie but has the ideal alley. Prefers to settle towards the rear.
RP
Track has proven suitable before; hasn't shown much recently; finished tenth of 12 over 5½f at Port Macquarie (handicap) last week; a few rivals look in good form so may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Started 6/1 and uncompetitive when 10th last start at Port Macquarie but drawn nicely. Yet to fire lately with no placings from 7 runs.
Career
12: 2-3-2
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-1-0
Track Nowra
1: 1-0-0
Track Canterbury
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
6: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 610 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (87-weeks). Raced well last time in. In the minors at Canterbury first-up last campaign while returning off a Canberra trial. Class drop helps but off very long spell. Betting.
ILB
First up after 87 weeks and rounded them up to win first up last preparation at Canberra. Has plenty of early speed. Coming back in distance. Good prospects.
RP
He can be competitive at this level; not disgraced when fifth at Sapphire Coast last February in a handicap; long absence to overcome; on the best of his form he's an attractive contender.
RSIS
Resuming and charged home to win resuming last preparation at Canberra. Should be going forward early. Coming back in trip. Goes up in weight. Very tidy performer.
Career
15: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Track Grafton
4: 0-1-0
Track Lismore
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1205m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 50% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 203%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 57%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jenny Duggan in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 59%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Midfield, finished off evenly through line this venue. Similar draw over shorter trip. Goes into multiples.
ILB
Odds of $9.00 and ran 5th last run here and facing a stronger group of contenders. Can't possibly entertain.
RP
Finished behind Explosive Tycoon in a handicap when beaten just over 4l in fifth three weeks ago; has won here; facing a testing assignment and easy enough to take on.
RSIS
At 8/1 came in 5th last run here and competing at a higher level of competition.
Career
14: 2-5-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-2
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-2-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-1-0
Track Taree
4: 1-3-0
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1007m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 1-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (25-weeks). Nabbed on the wire in Class 1 company at Port Macquarie first-up last campaign. Competing in stronger races last prep. Respecting fresh in this company.
ILB
Fresh after a 25 week break. Couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last run at Randwick. Likely to bounce back. Will attract plenty of interest.
RP
Possesses winning form at this track; finished towards the rear of 13 at Randwick six months ago in a handicap; returns from a layoff; should figure as finished second at Taree three runs ago.
RSIS
Back after a 25 week break. Couldn't stay in touch when 11th last time at Randwick. Has the potential to improve sharply. Winning chance.
Career
17: 2-2-5
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Narromine
1: 0-1-0
Track Quirindi
1: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-1-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-2
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 145%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Not disgraced in soft going this track. Shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
Jumped at $6.50 and crept into 5th last run around here. Aaron Bullock is a pivotal booking. Win will not surprise.
RP
Respectable effort three weeks ago in a handicap; been struggling to get her head in front recently so has questions to answer.
RSIS
Started 11/2 and inched into 5th last time around here. Jockey Aaron Bullock rates highly aboard. Great chance.
Career
8: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Coffs Harbour
3: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1014m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Game effort at Grafton in soft going. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Narrowly beaten last time at Grafton but facing formidable opponents. Should jump out and bowl along. Can win this.
RP
Not beaten far last month (Grafton) in a handicap; has strong claims if building on last performance.
RSIS
Close to claiming the win last start at Grafton but matched against tougher rivals. Displays good tactical pace. Capable of winning this.
Career
19: 2-4-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 1-2-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1014m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 0-2-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-3-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-0
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Taree
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Genuine campaigner. Gave good account (Bm58) at Port Macquarie when second-up. Claiming apprentice engaged again and looks suitably placed in this line-up.
ILB
Jumped at $7.50 and got going late when 4th last start at Port Macquarie but competing in a more challenging class. Dropping weight. Place at best.
RP
Has been consistent of late; has won here previously; not beaten far in a handicap at Port Macquarie last month; makes limited appeal as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.
RSIS
Started at 13/2 and edged past some when finishing 4th last time at Port Macquarie but racing in stronger company. Dropping weight.
Career
16: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Kempsey
1: 0-1-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 1-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
8: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1007m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a short back-up. Long winless run but ran on late from the back at Port Macquarie. Blinkers off. Each way.
ILB
On a short back up. At $7.00 came in 6th last start at Port Macquarie and competing at a higher level of competition. Looks hopeful at best.
RP
Been a while since he achieved his only career win; solid effort at Port Macquarie a week ago in a handicap; been struggling to get his head in front recently so others more likely.
RSIS
On a short back up. Started at 6/1 and came in 6th last time at Port Macquarie and up against stronger opponents. Likely to get back in the field.
Career
23: 1-3-3
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
7: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1640m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
11: 0-2-1
Going Good
10: 1-0-2
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 45% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Long time since last saluted. Worked hard both ends and narrowly outpointed in soft going. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Narrowly denied a win last time at the track but competing in a higher grade. Paige Fergusson Smith takes a large claim. Capable type.
RP
Close up runner-up here over 7f (handicap) last month; subpar record of 1-23.
RSIS
Close to claiming the win last run at the track but up against a higher level of opposition. The large claim from Paige Fergusson Smith helps. Should be in the finish.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
On a short back-up. Steps out for third run new stable/region. Broke maiden at Taree 22 Sep. Only nailed late after dictating at Port Macquarie second-up.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Couldn't shake them off when 3rd last run at Port Macquarie but taking on stronger rivals. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Was outmuscled when 3rd last time at Port Macquarie but rising in grade. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts lately.
Career
7: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 20% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 32% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 28% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure in soft going after lengthy absence in the Country Boosted Hcp (C3) this course. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Odds of $11.00 and finished 6th last time around here. Won't be far away during the run. Prefers the sting out of the ground. Could be in the mix.
RP
Close up behind Broken Wings when sixth over 5f here (handicap) three weeks ago; others appeal more as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.
RSIS
Was 10/1 and finished 6th last time here. Should muster plenty of early pace. Has won 1 from 2 runs on a soft surface. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
6: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 38% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 33 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
4 weeks since last run. All honours in the small field at Coffs Harbour. Usually prominent. Can show up again at fair odds.
ILB
Assumed control from the start when winning by a margin of 1 1/2L last time at Coffs Harbour but racing in stronger company.
RP
Has taken a step forward the last twice; off the mark at the sixth time of asking in a maiden at Coffs Harbour last month, getting the job done by 1½l; others appeal more despite that win last time; also engaged in race 4 at Bathurst.
RSIS
Set the pace when winning by a margin of 1 1/2L last time at Coffs Harbour but facing formidable competition. Been in the money 3 from 3 attempts recently.
Career
8: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 1-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1004m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1014m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a short back-up. Didn't finish it off over 1200m F&M (Bm58) at Port Macquarie. Drawn well. Place.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Was $21.00 and not in contention when 9th last time at Port Macquarie but drawn nicely. Matched against tougher rivals. Will be a difficult test.
RP
Not beaten too far when ninth of 11 (Port Macquarie) on Saturday in a handicap; not dismissed if replicating best previous efforts.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. At 20/1 not in contention when 9th last start at Port Macquarie but can find a nice position from the draw.