Shortest win price
Seaton Moon (5)
2.15
The Hahn Country Boosted Showcase Maiden Plate at Taree on the quick back-up is a 1000-metre tussle over soft going with overcast conditions overhead. The track's rated a SOFT7, which should suit some of this field nicely. In the win market stakes, Seaton Moon is shortest, with Cerano Magic next door and Cecil Peak following. Kobi Express and Sunny Quarters complete the tightening of the favour. It's a race where punters reckon fresh prospects and trial form have genuine shape—several runners are just stepping out for their first start proper.
Seaton Moon's on the short end after a pleasing trial run at Canberra, placing second over 900 metres on good going just recently. The $70k purchase is out of a stakes-placed mare with ten wins to her name, and that bloodline counts for something in an unproven field. Coriah Keatings gets the ride. Cerano Magic has trialled and raced once, showing promise in a barrier trial at Tuncurry over the same distance before trailing home at Grafton last time out. Madeline Owen stays aboard, and the form comment flags that fast finishing sectionals from the last start suggest this one's a genuine late runner—the data also hints that she can motor early. Fresh off the trials, there's development to come physically.
Kobi Express shapes as the story of the form line. Grace Palmer partners the runner, who's won twice from nine starts and just missed at Bowraville over this exact metre when short odds at a good track. The Bowraville effort was hard-fought and came with a narrow margin, building a genuine case for another tilt at maiden company. Samantha Mcguren's stable is firing at the moment—56 per cent above market expectation across recent runners—and that's worth noting for the craft in the yard. Sunny Quarters and Sweet Marlene both map to take an active role early, sharing a leader's lane. Cecil Peak managed a trial win at Scone after just one outing, though the awkward barrier might work against natural advantage, leaving the betting to tell clearer tales as the field approaches the gates.
Shortest win price
Seaton Moon (5)
2.15
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Cerano Magic · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Kobi Express · Positive
Stable In Form
Stable going well. Out performing market by 56%
Mr Accurate · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Must Diamond · Negative
Market Watch
Keep eye on betting moves
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Second campaign (27-weeks). Fair debut effort, though failed to progress from it. Given time to develop physically and has shown promise in trials. Respecting fresh.
ILB
First up after 27 weeks and close up first up last preparation at Port Macquarie. Interesting to see the ear muffs go on for the first time. Will go close here.
RP
Finished tailed off at Grafton six months ago; returns from a break here; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Resuming and was agonizingly close resuming last preparation at Port Macquarie. Interesting to see the hood go on for the first time. Placed in all trials. Solid chance.
Career
9: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
5: 0-1-0
Track Coffs Harbour
3: 0-1-0
Track Bowraville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 805m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 56%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 40% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fought to the death at Bowraville over this trip when short in the market. Maps well. Makes a strong case in this field.
ILB
Started at $2.15 and close up last start at Bowraville but gets a favourable alley. Interesting to see the winkers go off for the first time. Watch the betting.
RP
A close fourth at Bowraville when dropped back to this distance last month in a handicap; form is hit and miss and yet to open his account after nine starts.
RSIS
Was 6/5 and agonizingly close last time at Bowraville but has a positive stall. Cheekpieces go off for the first time. Likely to be well placed early. Large claim helps. Could feature here.
Career
10: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-1
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
On a quick back-up. Rider found a forward spot at Port Macquarie but he put in a very lacklustre finish over longer test. Drops to shorter trip. Outsider and rightly so.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Jumped at $101.00 and clearly outclassed when 10th last start at Port Macquarie and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Needs too much luck.
RP
Held when tenth beaten 7l over 7½f at Port Macquarie (handicap) last Saturday; yet to open his account after ten starts and recent form hardly the most inspiring; is passed over.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Started 100/1 and performed below standard when 10th last time at Port Macquarie and will be down in distance. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 10 starts.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Dam won a maiden. Just a pass mark in only trial and will need to show more on debut. Market watch advised.
ILB
Scorpz 4yo trained by Sally Taylor having first race start. Ran 4th in a trial at Grafton on Sept 21st. Follow the money.
RP
This daughter of Scorpz is having her first start under rules; she has a shout with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Initial appearance 4yo by Scorpz for Sally Taylor. Finished 4th in a trial at Grafton on Sept 21st.
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). $70k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare who won ten races. Stepping out for first time after a Canberra trial placing 9 Oct. Should be highly competitive.
ILB
Initial race appearance 4yo by Farnan for trainer Matthew Kelley. Fitter for a trial at Canberra on Oct 9th. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
First race for the daughter of Farnan; related to Legolas, winning form over 5f-7f; one to take seriously with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Initial race appearance 4yo by Farnan for trainer Matthew Kelley. Placed 2nd in a trial at Canberra on Oct 9th. Market as guide.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1180m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1213m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 129%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 58% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Returns for second campaign (15-weeks). Ex Michael Travers in NSW. Form to date uninspiring. Prefer to see.
ILB
First run back from a break. At $5.50 not competitive when 5th last run at Gundagai on a heavy rated track. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time. Appears tested.
RP
Respectable effort (beaten just under 3l) at Gundagai over 6f (maiden) in June; first start for new trainer.
RSIS
Back after a break. Started at 9/2 and lacked competitiveness when 5th last start at Gundagai. First start for a new trainer.
Career
4: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
4: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Teighan Worsnop current POT is 41% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 61% in L100 rides
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Back for second campaign (12-weeks). Local who placed two from four in first prep on heavy tracks here. Not out of it fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Jumped at $7.00 and finished 5th last run at this track but can save some energy from the draw. Should come to hand quickly. Place best.
RP
Finished fifth, beaten a fair way three months ago in a handicap; some promise; closest she has come to winning after four starts was a second; others more persuasive.
RSIS
First run back after a break. At 6/1 finished 5th last run here but drawn beautifully. Shows good early pace. Will be facing a significant drop in distance.
Career
21: 0-6-3
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 0-3-1
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-1-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1007m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-2-1
Going Soft
8: 0-3-0
Going Good
6: 0-3-1
Going Heavy
7: 0-0-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 42% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Luke Rolls 59% above market expected in L100 Rides
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (16-weeks). Placed first-up last campaign. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
First up after 16 weeks and tidy run when 2nd first up last preparation at Port Macquarie. Has early speed and positions nicely. Definitely worth considering.
RP
Still winless and defeats stacking up (21 on the bounce) and form lately has been a mixed bag; beaten sixth of ten in a handicap four months ago; not hard to turn elsewhere as hits the crossbar all too often.
RSIS
Resuming and ran well when 2nd resuming last preparation at Port Macquarie. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Has plenty of early pace. Can win.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 50% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jenny Duggan 59% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Jenny Duggan winning at 38% POT in last 100 rides
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-0). Dam won twice over a mile on country tracks. Not knocked around in his trials. Best watched at this stage.
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Dam unplaced from 8 runs but has produced Scone winner Moke Lake. Just got the job done in only trial at Scone. Awkward alley but betting may provide a clearer picture.
ILB
3yo debutant sired by Stratum Star for Peter H Bloomfield. Winner in a trial at Scone on Oct 7th. Market as guide.
RP
Making her racecourse bow; related to 5½f winner Moke Lake; plenty of appeal with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
3yo debutant by Stratum Star for Peter H Bloomfield. Success in a trial at Scone on Oct 7th.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1007m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Placed at Grafton first-up then well back and never a factor at Muswellbrook second-up. Likely to improve here.
ILB
Started at $12.00 and weakened to finish 11th last start at Muswellbrook. Needs to find a lot more.
RP
Finished 11th of 12 at Muswellbrook last week; winless in three starts but has shown promise with third her top showing; she can be taken on.
RSIS
Odds of 11/1 and faded to finish 11th last time at Muswellbrook.