Taree (NSW) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Taree (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 16 OctTaree (NSW)Change

Race 7 — Sky International 'Big Dance Eligibility' Taree Gold Cup 1600m · jumps Fri 16 Oct, 4:50 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Taree for the Sky International Big Dance Eligibility Taree Gold Cup over the 1600m journey on a Soft 7 surface with overcast skies overhead. Looking at the early win market order, Fierceness holds down the mantle of the shortest runner, closely followed by I've Bean Tryin' and Sosino, with Montpellier sitting next in the betting order as punters line up for this feature race afternoon.

The form behind those shorter prices points to some fascinating credentials for a feature cup. Sosino, prepared by Annabel and Rob Archibald and piloted by Aaron Bullock from barrier 2, is a stakes-placed seven-year-old who prefers some cut in the track andcommands attention after making limited headway at Lismore previously. Fierceness for Matthew Smith comes off a strong city campaign, producing the best late sectionals from the back half to win in benchmark grade at Warwick Farm over this trip, and handles wet conditions well with Ashley Morgan taking the mount. Meanwhile, Montpellier steps onto a wet track for the first time after running home respectably into a non-threatening fourth at Dubbo over this journey, with Rory Hutchings taking the steering duties.

Further down the win market order, other runners offer intriguing angles for punters willing to dig into the data. I've Bean Tryin' comes in on a short back-up following an explosive win at Canberra, showing an ability to handle all surfaces as it heads back out to a mile with Alysha Collett aboard. Speed maps indicate that Sosino and Spicy Lu will look to press forward from their respective barriers as leaders, which should set up a cracking tempo for the backmarkers and off-midfield runners to chase down in the straight as this field battles it out for Taree Cup glory.

Race notes

HCP,Open,TAREE CUP
SOFT7
Overcast
12 runners

Shortest win price

I've Bean Tryin' (7)

3.60

Most career wins

I've Bean Tryin'

9-1-5 from 40 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

14He's A Copy Boy

Offmidfield

3Montpellier
4Fierceness
9Imatruestar

Midfield

7I've Bean Tryin'

Offpace

11Creative Righteous
16Flash Prince

Onpace

13Lensman

Leader

2Spicy Lu
12Danish Fortune
1Sosino
8Casino Bear

Sosino · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Spicy Lu · Positive
Early Splits
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Montpellier · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Fierceness · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1SosinoJ: Aaron Bullock·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald259.5kg1 1 4 10 523: 4-2-3$5.00$1.85

Career

23: 4-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 1-0-0
Track Angers
1: 0-1-0
Track Saint Cloud
5: 2-0-1
Distance 1526m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
8: 1-2-0
Going Good
13: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
4: 2-0-1
Going Soft
6: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Lismore1526m25 Sept 2026 · LISMORECUP · SOFT53.07L
10Doomben1615m18 July 2026 · CL6 · SOFT58.9L
4Eagle Farm1600m1 July 2026 · BM78 · SOFT51.5L
1Ipswich1666m20 June 2026 · BM78 · SOFT5-0.8
1Doomben1630m27 May 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY8-4.5
7Randwick Kensington1550m27 Apr 2026 · 5UP BM78 HCP · GOOD42.5L
5Warwick Farm1200m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.2L
10Randwick1800m13 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.3L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Stakes-placed 7yo. Made limited headway at Lismore when firmed from $20 into $15. Nice gate and Bullock on for this feature. Prefers cut in the track. Commands attention here.

ILB

Odds of $15.00 and overtook some late when 5th last start at Lismore and facing a weaker group of contenders. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Drawn nicely. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

Out of the frame (beaten 3l in fifth) over 7½f at Lismore (handicap) last month; this line-up contains some strong opposition so has questions to answer.

RSIS

Started at 14/1 and chased well when 5th last run at Lismore and facing a weaker group of contenders. Likely to be well placed early. Gets a favourable stall. Has definite claims.

2Spicy LuJ: Coriah Keatings·T: N J Olive759kg7 1 12 7 1316: 5-0-0$7.50$2.40

Career

16: 5-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 2-0-0
Track Cowra
1: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 3-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0

Last starts

13Dubbo1600m27 Sept 2026 · DUBBO CUP · GOOD417.01L
7Randwick1400m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD45.76L
12Gold Coast1800m9 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD47.2L
1Eagle Farm1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY8-0.3
7Randwick2000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT77.6L
8Kembla Grange1600m13 Mar 2026 · 3yo · SOFT62.1L
4Caulfield1400m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.75L
7Flemington2500m6 Nov 2025 · 3yo · GOOD38.5L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Listed winner (1600m, hvy 8) last prep in Brisbane. MIdfield in town first-up then a long way from the action in 1600m Dubbo Gold Cup. Fitter for those two runs and improvement on the cards.

ILB

Jumped at $12.00 and faded away to finish 13th last start at Dubbo. Should bounce back and matched against less formidable competition. Should muster plenty of early speed. Should be in the finish.

Finished last of 13 behind two of these (Dubbo) three weeks ago; resume shows that she is a proven winner (seeking a sixth career win); she's worth a go if replicating her best form.

RSIS

Started at 11/1 and weakened under pressure when 13th last start at Dubbo. Overlooking the last run and challenged by less formidable competitors. Should jump out and bowl along. Definite contender.

3MontpellierJ: Rory Hutchings·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald1058.5kg6 6 7 4 413: 2-1-2$6.50$2.25

Career

13: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-0-1
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1583m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 2-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-2

Last starts

4Dubbo1600m27 Sept 2026 · DUBBO CUP · GOOD43.64L
4Tuncurry1600m11 Sept 2026 · BM 82 HCP · GOOD30.8L
7Randwick1600m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT54.4L
6Eagle Farm1400m25 July 2026 · 3&4Y HCP · GOOD42.3L
6Rosehill1400m4 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.7L
4Warwick Farm1600m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.6L
3Warwick Farm1400m1 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.2L
3Wyong1350m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.5L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Rory Hutchings 37% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 30% POT in their L100 Races
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Ran home respectably into a non-threatening 4th at Dubbo over this journey. Steps onto a wet track for first time. Yet to prove himself at 1600m but latest sound and capable of making an impact in this company.

ILB

Was $4.60 and inched into 4th last run at Dubbo and challenged by weaker competitors. Jockey Rory Hutchings and trainer Annabel Archibald & Rob Archibald are usually competitive together. Will be there at the business end.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Dubbo (beaten 3½l) last month with two of these rivals behind; facing a testing assignment and hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

At 7/2 hit the line well when 4th last start at Dubbo and competing in a lower grade. Very capable of taking this out.

4FiercenessJ: Ashley Morgan·T: Matthew Smith656.5kg3 1 2 1 115: 4-2-3$3.80$1.50

Career

15: 4-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 1-0-0
Track Nowra
2: 1-0-0
Track Canterbury
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 2-1-0

Last starts

1Warwick Farm1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM72 HCP · SOFT6-1.35
1Canterbury1550m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.01
2Kembla Grange1600m29 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD40.2L
1Nowra1600m10 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT7-3.8
3Kembla Grange1600m16 July 2026 · CL1 · GOOD47.5L
4Newcastle1400m27 June 2026 · CL1 · SOFT71.3L
2Newcastle1400m13 June 2026 · CL1 · SOFT60.9L
6Newcastle1400m6 June 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT54.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

City 4yo racing with some conviction. Produced best late from the back half to win in Benchmark 72 company at Warwick Farm over this trip. Effective wet. Deep into his campaign and A Morgan rides. Winning hope again.

ILB

Finished well when winning last time at Warwick Farm and hard to fault at this trip. Won last 2 on the trot. Ashley Morgan is a plus. Respect the betting.

Proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking a fifth career win) and going for a hat-trick; scored by 1½l at Warwick Farm last week; capable of going well.

RSIS

Rocketed home when winning last start at Warwick Farm and solid performer at this distance in the past. On a winning streak the last 2 runs. Respect the betting.

5MazisScratched14––––

Career

13: 4-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-2
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
5: 2-1-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1805m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 2-0-2
Going Good
7: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Dubbo1600m27 Sept 2026 · DUBBO CUP · GOOD45.61L
6Randwick Kensington1800m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.1L
3Warwick Farm1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.7L
1Tamworth1000m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.5
1Eagle Farm1805m1 Nov 2025 · CL3 · GOOD4-0.5
2Eagle Farm1810m18 Oct 2025 · 3UP CL3-SW · GOOD40.1L
1Eagle Farm1400m1 Oct 2025 · BM65 · GOOD4-0.8
3Doomben1000m23 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial1.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Dubbo over this journey at $7.50. Can make his presence felt if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Started at $7.50 and came in 7th last run at Dubbo but matched against a less competitive field.

Held when seventh of 13 at Dubbo last month; career wins-runs record of 4-13; rates a likely contender.

RSIS

Started 13/2 and ran 7th last start at Dubbo but facing a weaker grade.

6Pier PressureScratched3––––

Career

28: 4-3-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-1-1
Third-up
4: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
4: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1580m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 2-1-4
Going Heavy
6: 0-2-1
Going Soft
9: 2-0-1

Last starts

3Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.08L
3Tuncurry1600m11 Sept 2026 · BM 82 HCP · GOOD30.2L
13Murwillumbah1550m21 Aug 2026 · BM94 HCP · SOFT516.1L
5Canterbury1580m22 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.9L
2Randwick Kensington1550m1 July 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · HEAVY80.2L
8Rosehill1500m13 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54L
13Randwick1400m23 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY109.8L
5Wyong1000m24 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fought bravely to the wire in the 3yo+ F&M (Bm78) at Warwick Farm over this trip. Maps to get a sweet run. Handles the wet. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Ran 3rd last start at Warwick Farm.

Produced a good effort to finish third (Warwick Farm) last month; not won for some time now; others appeal more.

RSIS

Tidy run when 3rd last time at Warwick Farm.

7I've Bean Tryin'J: Alysha Collett·T: Matthew Kelley855.5kg5 4 4 9 140: 9-1-5$3.60$1.50

Career

40: 9-1-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed60%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 0-0-2
Second-up
6: 2-0-0
Third-up
6: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-2
Track Kembla Grange
1: 1-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
3: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
13: 4-0-2
Distance 1500m
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
16: 4-0-2
Going Heavy
9: 4-1-1
Going Soft
15: 1-0-2

Last starts

1Canberra1400m9 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD4-2.24
9Caulfield Heath1500m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT66.4L
4Randwick1600m11 July 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · HEAVY91.5L
4Hawkesbury1500m23 June 2026 · BM64 · SOFT50.6L
5Rosehill1500m30 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY91.9L
7Newcastle1400m19 May 2026 · BM64 · SOFT73.1L
5Illawarra Grange1300m5 May 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.5L
7Warwick Farm1600m6 Oct 2025 · 3UP CG&E BM72 HCP · GOOD43.5L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Produced an explosive win at Canberra. Acts on all surfaces. Capable of figuring again back out to a mile.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Flew home to win last run at Canberra and gets a reduction in weight. Has some claims.

Got the job done by just over 2l over 7f at Canberra (handicap) last Friday, ending losing run; resume shows that he is a proven winner (seeking a tenth career win); needs considering as his last run (after a break) should have set him up nicely for this.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Rounded them up to win last time at Canberra and gets a reduction in weight. Betting is the best guide.

8Casino BearJ: Teighan Worsnop·T: P Cheers955kg3 4 5 11 1249: 8-5-5$126.00$15.00

Career

49: 8-5-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Tuncurry
2: 0-1-0
Track Port Macquarie
8: 1-1-1
Track Armidale
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1505m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
7: 0-2-0
Going Soft
15: 4-0-2
Going Good
27: 4-3-3

Last starts

12Port Macquarie2000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP · GOOD410.99L
11Port Macquarie1808m27 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 82 · GOOD412.2L
5Rosehill2000m31 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.9L
4Randwick2000m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM88 HCP · GOOD41.8L
3Rosehill2000m7 Dec 2025 · 4UP BM78 HCP · GOOD42.3L
4Rosehill2000m29 Nov 2025 · 4UP SW · GOOD41.8L
2Wyong2100m16 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.6L
7Rosehill2400m8 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.6L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Teighan Worsnop current POT is 41% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 61% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Failed to threaten at Port Macquarie second-up as a despised outsider. Drops to shorter trip. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Was $101.00 and gave away some ground when 12th last start at Port Macquarie but challenged by less formidable competitors. Coming back in trip. Not in this.

Has won three times here; finished last of 12 over 1m2f at Port Macquarie (handicap, behind Creative Righteous) last Friday; others more persuasive given this looks a decent race.

RSIS

On a short back up. Was 100/1 and struggled with the pace when 12th last start at Port Macquarie but back in an easier grade. Coming back in trip.

9ImatruestarJ: Zac Wadick·T: Grant Jobson1154kg7 12 4 1 449: 4-9-8$17.00$3.80

Career

49: 4-9-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
9: 1-1-1
Second-up
7: 1-0-3
Third-up
6: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Port Macquarie
2: 0-0-2
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1007m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
29: 4-5-5
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-1
Going Soft
15: 0-3-2

Last starts

4Muswellbrook1280m5 Oct 2026 · DENMAN CUP BM86 · GOOD41.4L
1Taree1008m22 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.4
4Taree1000m14 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L
12Randwick1400m7 June 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT76.2L
7Eagle Farm1600m19 Apr 2025 · GOOD42.22L
4Eagle Farm1500m5 Apr 2025 · SOFT62.59L
2Eagle Farm1400m15 Mar 2025 · GOOD40.22L
1Eagle Farm1600m1 Mar 2025 · GOOD4-0.46

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Grant Jobson striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 7.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Snagged back and last at 400m before letting down late to just miss the minors at Muswellbrook for new trainer off very long spell. Will be fitter second-up and rise in trip a plus. Look for him late.

ILB

Jumped at $20.00 and made up ground when 4th last run at Muswellbrook and will appreciate the drop in weight. Gets back and needs luck. May find these too slick.

Solid effort when beaten 1½l to finish fourth at Muswellbrook over 6½f (handicap) last week; possesses winning form at this track; makes limited appeal as regularly been coming up a bit short lately; also engaged in race 6 at Taree.

RSIS

Odds of 19/1 and was making up some late ground when 4th last run at Muswellbrook and carrying less weight this time. Might have to make up considerable ground.

10Glastonbury GirlScratched11––––

Career

11: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-1-0
Track Canberra
2: 2-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-1-2
Distance 1450m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-2-1
Going Soft
6: 3-0-2

Last starts

4Newcastle1300m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP COND BM68 HCP · GOOD42.88L
2Illawarra Grange1450m17 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42L
3Gosford1200m28 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT53.8L
3Warwick Farm819m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.3L
1Kembla Grange1600m20 June 2026 · BM68 · SOFT5-0.4
3Newcastle1400m6 June 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT50.3L
8Kembla Grange1500m16 May 2026 · BM64 · SOFT54.5L
2Kembla Grange1400m29 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Last at turn, ran on late at Newcastle. Untested in wet. First time around Taree. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Odds of $5.50 and advanced late into 4th last run at Newcastle and goes down in weight. In fine form since returning from a spell.

Fair effort when beaten just under 3l over 6½f at Newcastle (handicap) two weeks ago; record shows she knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 3-11) and consistent performer; a few rivals look in good form so others more persuasive.

RSIS

Started 9/2 and picked up some ground to run 4th last run at Newcastle and goes down in weight. Producing consistent results since resuming from a break.

11Creative RighteousJ: Grant Buckley·T: P Cheers554kg4 2 2 1 714: 3-2-1$11.00$3.20

Career

14: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1615m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 1-1-1
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Port Macquarie2000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP · GOOD42.62L
1Port Macquarie1808m27 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 82 · GOOD4-1.16
2Taree1615m22 Sept 2026 · BM66 · SOFT60.06L
2Tuncurry1600m11 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD30.6L
4Taree1600m31 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT62L
1Tuncurry1600m24 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT7-2.6
4Taree1600m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.7L
1Ballarat Synthetic1400m26 June 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC-3.8

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Won (Bm82) Port Macquarie 27 Sep. Ran on okay without troubling at Port Macquarie. Very fit, not out of this.

ILB

Backing up quickly. At $91.00 couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last start at Port Macquarie but up against a less challenging field. Dropping back to a shorter trip. Slim hope.

A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 3-14; respectable effort finishing seventh (beaten 2½l) over 1m2f at Port Macquarie (handicap) last Friday; a lot on his plate here and hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. At 90/1 was well beaten when 7th last time at Port Macquarie but drops back to a suitable class. Down in distance.

12Danish FortuneJ: Andrew Gibbons·T: Joel Wilkes154kg1 6 7 8 670: 8-10-7$41.00$6.00

Career

70: 8-10-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 1-2-0
Second-up
6: 1-1-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-2
Track Muswellbrook
2: 1-0-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-0
Track Albury
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1550m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
6: 0-2-0
Distance 1050m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
36: 1-6-7
Going Heavy
10: 2-2-0
Going Soft
24: 5-2-0

Last starts

6Bathurst1800m13 Sept 2026 · BATH CUP MBM78 · SOFT56.6L
8Tuncurry1500m24 Aug 2026 · CUP PREL BM85 · SOFT74.4L
7Coffs Harbour1600m7 Aug 2026 · COFFS CUP · SOFT58.9L
6Warwick Farm1600m15 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
1Muswellbrook1500m12 June 2026 · BM82 · SOFT7-2.3
13Scone1400m15 May 2026 · Benchmark 84 · GOOD410.3L
10Tamworth1200m24 Apr 2026 · OPEN · GOOD46.7L
2Scone1000m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 38% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Bathurst. Has speed. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Started $17.00 and didn't attack the line when 6th last time at Bathurst but has minimal work to do from the draw. Shows good early pace. Will be a difficult assignment.

Came home sixth, beaten 7l, at Bathurst last month upped to 1m1f; largely disappointing since successful in a handicap at Muswellbrook in June; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

Started at 16/1 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last start at Bathurst but will appreciate a good draw. Should be going forward early.

13LensmanJ: Jenny Duggan·T: P J Kelly1254kg1 7 2 3 235: 4-6-8$26.00$4.40

Career

35: 4-6-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-2
Third-up
5: 1-1-2
Fourth-up
5: 1-1-0
Track Wagga
4: 0-1-2
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1427m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-0-2
Going Synthetic
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
17: 2-4-4

Last starts

2Port Macquarie1500m9 Oct 2026 · HASTINGS BM87 · GOOD40.45L
3Port Macquarie1506m27 Sept 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.52L
2Coffs Harbour1318m13 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41L
7Taree1000m31 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT63L
1Taree1000m14 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.3
8Sale1427m1 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT614.3L
8Sale1600m1 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD47L
3Wangaratta1400m18 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD33.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 50% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 203%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 57%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jenny Duggan in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 59%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Taree
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Out the back, closed with raking strides in the Open Hcp at Port Macquarie. Meets a higher standard here but racing well enough.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Missed by a narrow margin last time at Port Macquarie and competing in a lower grade. Could feature here.

Not beaten far over 7½f at Port Macquarie (handicap), finished ahead of Bold Hoi Ho a week ago; a previous winner here; form has been a mixed bag of late; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so hard to recommend.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Competed in a tight contest last run at Port Macquarie and will appreciate the drop in class. Watch betting.

14He's A Copy BoyJ: Grace Palmer·T: Samantha Mcguren454kg8 1 2 8 548: 6-5-5$101.00$13.00

Career

48: 6-5-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-2-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
12: 3-3-0
Track Inverell
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1308m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
8: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
11: 1-2-0
Going Soft
16: 1-2-2
Going Good
21: 4-1-3

Last starts

5Taree1615m22 Sept 2026 · BM66 · SOFT62.41L
8Grafton1400m7 Sept 2026 · BM66 · GOOD43L
2Casino1400m8 Aug 2026 · BM87 HCP · GOOD40.1L
1Grafton1610m12 July 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD4-0.8
8Casino1300m25 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT79.7L
5Grafton1205m6 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT63.2L
9Taree1400m10 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT66.6L
2Coffs Harbour808m1 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.6L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 40% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Closed off late from the tail this track. Hasn't been far away but still keener on others at this level.

ILB

Started $21.00 and improved when 5th last start at the track but competing at a higher level of competition. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Won't find this easy.

Has been fairly consistent lately; C&D has proven suitable before; beaten 2½l three weeks ago when sent off 20-1 upped to this trip; is passed over as this is a fairly competitive event.

RSIS

Odds of 20/1 and got going late when 5th last run here but up against stronger competition. Likely to get back in the field.

15Bold Hoi HoScratched12––––

Career

41: 7-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 2-1-0
Second-up
6: 1-1-1
Third-up
6: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 2-1-1
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
2: 0-0-1
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1410m
3: 0-2-1
Distance 1415m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
9: 3-1-0
Going Soft
14: 1-1-3
Going Good
18: 3-2-1

Last starts

4Port Macquarie1500m9 Oct 2026 · HASTINGS BM87 · GOOD41.03L
1Bowraville1370m19 Sept 2026 · BOWRAVILLE CUP · GOOD3-0.18
8Taree1400m14 Aug 2026 · HOPKNLIVER BM85 · GOOD43.1L
11Coffs Harbour1600m7 Aug 2026 · COFFS CUP · SOFT512.6L
9Newcastle1400m11 July 2026 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT610.9L
2Coffs Harbour1505m28 June 2026 · HCP · HEAVY100.9L
2Taree1000m23 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)2L
7Glen Innes1400m10 Jan 2026 · BM74 HCP · GOOD37.1L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 70%
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Won the Bowraville Cup then handy and boxed on solidly at Port Macquarie. In light with claim but this is another level.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Couldn't find the line when 4th last run at Port Macquarie and facing a weaker grade.

Finished just behind Lensman when fourth over 7½f at Port Macquarie (handicap) last week.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Was found wanting late when 4th last time at Port Macquarie and up against a less competitive field.

16Flash PrinceJ: Poppie Gorton·T: Ms V Mclennan354kg2 5 7 3 352: 4-5-6$126.00$15.00

Career

52: 4-5-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Kempsey
1: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
5: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2040m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
30: 2-1-5
Going Heavy
4: 1-2-0
Going Soft
18: 1-2-1

Last starts

3Coffs Harbour1618m13 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD40.8L
3Kempsey1900m5 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.5L
7Gold Coast1800m28 Aug 2026 · CL4 · GOOD41.5L
5Murwillumbah2020m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.9L
2Ballina1590m11 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY106.2L
12Coffs Harbour1600m7 Aug 2026 · COFFS CUP · SOFT517L
1Inverell1600m18 July 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-0.3
4Grafton1610m12 July 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD42L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 33 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Out the back, closed with raking strides in the (Bm58) at Coffs Harbour. First time around Taree. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Good run when finishing 3rd last time at Coffs Harbour but challenged by a tougher grade. Large claim helps. Hard to have.

Consistent performer; beaten three-quarters of a length when dropped down to this distance (Coffs Harbour) last month.

RSIS

Managed to place 3rd last run at Coffs Harbour but up against a higher level of opposition. Large claim helps.

Odds correct as at Fri 16 Oct, 5:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 22 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races