Shortest win price
Rupertano (7)
2.15
Welcome to Taree for the Tony Sweeney Memorial Super Showcase Mdn Plate over 1400m on a Soft 7 surface under overcast skies. Punting analysis for this maiden affair points to Rupertano holding down the shortest spot in the win market, closely followed by Hellfighter, What A Gent, and Dynamic Diva rounding out the market leaders. It shapes as an intriguing test where early positioning could prove crucial for punters looking to dissect the form lines.
Taking a closer look at the key contenders, Rupertano jumps from barrier 2 for trainer J C Deamer and jockey Shannen Llewellyn, boasting a neat track record here after an excellent debut performance when just nabbed at this venue. Hellfighter lines up from barrier 1 with Coriah Keatings steering for Matthew Kelley, bringing a very fit profile off a prominent runner-up effort at Moruya where they stuck to their guns, and wet-track 1400m form looks encouraging. What A Gent is another seasoned campaigner trained by T J Bartley, ridden by Alysha Collett from barrier 4, coming off a solid run at Dubbo over this distance and a placing at Wyong, while Dynamic Diva for A P Ball and Liberty Smyth catches the eye flashing late for third over 1300m at Newcastle last time out.
Shortest win price
Rupertano (7)
2.15
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Hellfighter · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
King Kalakaua · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races
Lottery Link · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Nikody's Casper · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 51% in Last 100 Rides
Career
11: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1509m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 7kg more than LS
AAP
On a short back-up. Well back and made some minor headway but passing mainly tired rivals at Port Macquarie. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Came in 7th last start at Port Macquarie but drawn the rails. Might be ridden for luck. Large claim helps.
RP
Attempts to score at the 12th time of asking; fair effort when beaten 5l, finishing seventh of 14 (Port Macquarie) at the weekend in a handicap; this looks a fair heat so makes little appeal; also engaged in race 4 at Taree.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Came in 7th last time at Port Macquarie but will appreciate a good stall. Might be ridden for luck. Large claim helps.
Career
14: 0-6-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
2: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-2-2
Going Good
5: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-2-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Competitive type. Prominent and stuck to his guns at Moruya. Wet-track 1400m form is encouraging. Very fit, can play a role.
ILB
Came on strongly to finish 2nd last start at Moruya and has a good draw. Amongst the placegetters multiple times this preparation. Expect a bold effort.
RP
Second at Moruya when 5-6 over 1m (maiden) two weeks ago; has shown some recent improvement and in decent heart at present; makes limited appeal as not in the habit of winning recently; also engaged in race 4 at Taree.
RSIS
Ran home into 2nd last run at Moruya and can find a nice position from the draw. In strong racing shape in recent runs. Strong claims.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1406m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1525m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (25-weeks). Ordinary in first Vic prep under C Maher. Trained here now and the blinkers come off for return but would need a market push.
ILB
Racing fresh today after a break. Was $13.00 and not up to scratch when 8th last start at Geelong. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Prefer in a much weaker race.
RP
Came home eighth, beaten 7l, over 7½f at Geelong (maiden) in April; first start for trainer; returns from a layoff; could have a say.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Was 12/1 and unimpressive effort when 8th last run at Geelong. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Coming to a new trainer.
Career
11: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-1-1
Track Sunshine Coast
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1840m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Ex R L Heathcote. Trained here now. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Eagle Farm. Drops to shorter trip. Betting watch advised on stable debut.
ILB
At $17.00 couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Eagle Farm. Coming to a new trainer. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 11 starts. Long shot.
RP
Has raised his game the last twice; finished eighth but wasn't beaten too far (4½l) at Eagle Farm last month in a handicap; first start for stable; this is competitive and others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Started at 16/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last time at Eagle Farm. First start for a new trainer. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 11 starts.
Career
17: 0-0-3
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
9: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
9: 0-0-1
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1262m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
7: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 51% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Started $101 when battled home in Maiden company in soft going this course. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Odds of $101.00 and picked up some late ground when 4th last start at this track and stepping back up in trip. Still in maiden grade after 17 runs. Will need a big effort to win this.
RP
Not beaten that far over 5f here (maiden) three weeks ago; losing run totals 17; he can be taken on with this looking like a hot contest.
RSIS
At 100/1 made ground when closing off to finish 4th last time around here and stepping back up in distance. Still a maiden after 17 starts.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1262m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 42% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Luke Rolls 59% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Key Jockey
Positive
Luke Rolls winning at 30% POT in last 100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Never in the call at Muswellbrook first run back. Hard to warm to.
ILB
At $26.00 edged past some when finishing 5th last start at Muswellbrook. Significant improvement required.
RP
Four-race maiden but has managed to finish third; finished fifth, beaten 7l, at Muswellbrook back down to 6½f last week in a handicap; others more appealing.
RSIS
Was 25/1 and crept into 5th last run at Muswellbrook.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Taree
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1313m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Excellent debut performance when just nabbed this venue at $6.50. Has scope. Key player.
ILB
Narrowly beaten last run at the track and having second career run. Expecting to settle positively. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
RP
Ran well on his debut in course handicap over 6½f at 11-2 three weeks ago; must now step up.
RSIS
Threw down a serious challenge last time at the track and fitter for debut run. Expecting to settle positively. Major chance.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Hot Trainer
Positive
Darren Treacy in good form, out performing market 39%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Ballina for new trainer. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Started $71.00 and was making up some late ground when 5th last run at Ballina. Might have to make up considerable ground. Peak required to upset this field.
RP
Beaten just over 5l over 6½f at Ballina (maiden) two weeks ago when failing to flourish in first-time blinkers on debut for this trainer; others are preferred.
RSIS
Started at 70/1 and advanced late into 5th last time at Ballina. Gets back and needs luck.
Career
24: 0-5-5
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Wyong
6: 0-1-2
Track Orange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 0-0-2
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 0-3-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-2-4
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Placed 4yo+ Midway Mdn Plate at Wyong 4 Sep. Not disgraced at Dubbo over this distance. Placed only other time here. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Started $3.60 and finished 6th last run at Dubbo. Has early speed and positions nicely. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Been running well of late but patchy form recently; out of the money, beaten 2½l, when sixth in a handicap at Dubbo last month; record suggests he is usually one to take on for win purposes so one to tread carefully with; also engaged in race 4 at Taree.
RSIS
Odds of 13/5 and ran 6th last run at Dubbo. Should be going forward early. Betting is the best guide.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Ridden back and never a factor at Newcastle when second-up. Query wet. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Sub-standard effort when 7th last start at Newcastle.
RP
Best she's managed so far is fifth from three career starts; beaten 7l in seventh over 6½f at Newcastle (maiden) 13 days ago, behind Dynamic Diva; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Below standard effort when 7th last time at Newcastle.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Shown promise in limited runs. Just missed at Illawarra Grange 17 Sep. Warmed up nicely late at Newcastle when drifting in the betting. Makes a strong case in this company.
ILB
Started $16.00 and crept into 4th last start at Newcastle. Showing good ability this preparation.
RSIS
Started 15/1 and pushed past some when 4th last time at Newcastle. In the top three multiple times recently.
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Trials (6:0-0-2). $225k purchase. Out of a half-sister to Listed winner Khan. Well seasoned at the trials before debut. Betting may provide a clearer picture.
ILB
Nathan Doyle 3yo by Zoustar having first race appearance. Blinkers go on for the first time. Ran 5th in a trial at Wyong on Sept 10th. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
Sire capable of getting smart offspring; the only newcomer; from top trainer; leading contender with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Zoustar 3yo trained by Nathan Doyle having first race appearance. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Has not placed in all trials. Watch early betting.
Career
8: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Tuncurry
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1262m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back from wide alley, flew late to grab third 3yo+ Super Mdn Plate. Only for exotics.
ILB
Ran home into 3rd beaten by just over 2 1/2L last run at Newcastle. Yet to break through after 8 starts. Questions at this level.
RP
Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; ran well to finish third at 150-1 at Newcastle two weeks ago upped to 6½f; likely to go well as recent performance was encouraging.
RSIS
Kept coming when 3rd beaten by just over 2 1/2L last run at Newcastle. Yet to break through after 8 starts.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 30% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
A long way off them this course on debut as an outsider. Significantly up in distance for second outing. Must takes a major step forward.
ILB
Jumped at $81.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last start at the track but was a debutant last start. Stepping up in distance. Prefer in an easier race.
RP
Came home ninth over 5f on her debut here (80-1) last month; work to do with Nikody's Casper (fourth) on that effort; likely to be a threat.
RSIS
Was 80/1 and looked outclassed when 9th last time around here but was on debut last time. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time.