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Gold Coast Poly (QLD) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Gold Coast Poly (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovGold Coast Poly (QLD)Change

Race 5 — BMD Group (Bm70) 1540m · jumps

Race notes

  • BM70,BM70 HCP,Benchmark 70
  • GOOD3
  • Overcast
  • 5 runners

Shortest win price

Run Lucy Run (1)

2.00

Most career wins

Run Lucy Run

5-3-1 from 25 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 2Humanity
  • 3Mr Bubbaluski

Offmidfield

  • 6Luconi

Onpace

  • 1Run Lucy Run

Leader

  • 4Dark Stratum

  • Run Lucy Run · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Chelsea Baker current POT is 51% below Career Avg.

  • Humanity · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Mr Bubbaluski · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides

  • Dark Stratum · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Run Lucy RunJ: Chelsea Baker·T: G A Thornton460kg5 9 4 4 125: 5-3-1$2.00$1.20

Career

25: 5-3-1

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    8: 0-1-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    8: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    5: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-2-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 3-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Gold Coast Poly1540m24 Oct 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC-1.67
  2. 4Doomben1350m5 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD42.41L
  3. 4Gold Coast1400m19 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 78 · GOOD32.17L
  4. 9Eagle Farm1400m29 Aug 2026 · BM78 · GOOD43.6L
  5. 5Doomben1350m22 Aug 2026 · BM72 · GOOD42.2L
  6. 6Ipswich1100m7 Aug 2026 · BM68 · GOOD42.1L
  7. 4Gold Coast1000m14 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.9L
  8. 11Doomben1350m28 Mar 2026 · 3&4Y HCP · GOOD45.5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Chelsea Baker current POT is 51% below Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 60% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Really gutsy performance on the speed this track over this trip. Top billing again.

ILB

Ran on hard when winning last start at this venue. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Should go well.

RP

Got the job done by 1½l last month; every chance.

RSIS

Charged home to win last start at this venue. Will be positive in the run early. Should go close.

2HumanityJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: Nacim Dilmi259.5kg7 1 5 6 619: 3-0-4$3.10$1.36

Career

19: 3-0-4

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Lingfield

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast Poly

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    3: 1-0-2

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    11: 2-0-3

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Rosehill1030m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.9L
  2. 6Newcastle1200m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.7L
  3. 5Wyong1000m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.2L
  4. 1Gold Coast Poly2000m2 May 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC-7.9
  5. 7Wyong2100m16 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD43.6L
  6. 10Warwick Farm2110m4 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT741L
  7. 3Gosford2100m5 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
  8. 10Canterbury1900m23 Jan 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · SOFT56.4L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 543%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (26-weeks). Had several trials since his last run. Key contender fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a break of 26 weeks. Was a comprehensive winner by just short of 8L last time at the track. Has good finishing speed. Respect the betting.

RP

Ended losing run over 1m2f here (handicap) when a cosy winner in May; returns from an absence here; easy to oppose as form of latest run could have worked out better.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 26 weeks. Thrashed the field when winning by a margin of almost 8L last time at the track. Displays very good finishing pace.

3Mr BubbaluskiJ: Danny Peisley·T: Jack Bruce359kg3 9 6 1 1118: 2-5-3$16.00$3.90

Career

18: 2-5-3

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast Poly

    4: 2-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 2-1-0

  • Distance 1350m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1540m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-2

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 11Gold Coast Poly1540m24 Oct 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC15.27L
  2. 1Gold Coast Poly1540m7 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SYNTHETIC-0.57
  3. 6Warwick1350m24 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD32.78L
  4. 9Gold Coast1200m28 Aug 2026 · BM65 · GOOD44.2L
  5. 3Deagon650m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L
  6. 8Ipswich1666m9 May 2026 · CL2 · GOOD44.4L
  7. 2Gold Coast Poly1540m2 May 2026 · BM65 · SYNTHETIC2.4L
  8. 2Sunshine Coast1400m12 Apr 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · SOFT52.1L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 798%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 32%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Solid 60.5kg winner at Gold Coast Poly 7 Oct. Settled back and didn't come on this course over today's trip. Capable of better here.

ILB

Started $4.60 and weakened under pressure when 11th last time here. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Finishes off strongly. Winning chance.

RP

Safely held here ten days ago behind Run Lucy Run when last of 11; has scored over C&D; this is competitive and not one to rely on; also engaged in race 4 at Sunshine Coast.

RSIS

Started at 7/2 and didn't attack the line when 11th last run around here. Should improve here. Should be swooping on the field late. Will go close.

4Dark StratumJ: Dylan Turner·T: Samantha Mcguren558.5kg7 12 7 2 126: 4-5-1$18.00$4.00

Career

26: 4-5-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Canberra

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1318m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1370m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    10: 1-3-0

  • Going Heavy

    6: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 1Port Macquarie1500m10 Oct 2026 · CL3 · GOOD4-1.98
  2. 2Bowraville1370m19 Sept 2026 · BOWRAVILLE CUP · GOOD30.18L
  3. 7Coffs Harbour1318m13 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.7L
  4. 12Grafton1630m18 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT67.8L
  5. 7Ballina1300m11 Aug 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY1018.6L
  6. 1Taree1412m21 July 2026 · CL3 · HEAVY8-0.3
  7. 8Grafton1410m12 July 2026 · CL3 · GOOD43.8L
  8. 2Casino1400m25 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT70.2L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 352%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Triumphant on speed display at Port Macquarie. Leads, handy. First time synthetic. Can make his presence felt again if things pan out.

ILB

Gave them all something to chase when winning by a margin of 2L last run at Port Macquarie and getting better in recent performances. Should muster plenty of early toe. Serious contender.

RP

Successful by 2l at Port Macquarie last month; despite that Port Macquarie success, one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Showed a clean pair of heels when winning by 2L last run at Port Macquarie and getting better in recent performances. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

5Out Of LuckScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Racing in fine order. Found enough to place in small field at Gold Coast. Switching to 1540m.

ILB

Made some ground late when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Gold Coast but has to carry more weight this time. Showing great form this campaign.

RSIS

Zipped home into 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Gold Coast but has to carry more weight this time. In fine form of late.

6LuconiJ: Adin Thompson·T: Jack Bruce158kg3 2 3 5 320: 3-3-3$4.60$1.90

Career

20: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Gold Coast Poly

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    12: 1-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 3Sunshine Coast1600m2 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD40.41L
  2. 5Warwick1500m10 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD32.3L
  3. 3Ipswich1666m14 Aug 2026 · BM65 · GOOD41.2L
  4. 2Gold Coast1400m25 July 2026 · CL4 · SOFT50.4L
  5. 3Dalby800m14 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.1L
  6. 11Ipswich1700m21 Jan 2026 · BM65 · GOOD427.9L
  7. 1Gatton1600m9 Jan 2026 · CL2 · GOOD4-0.1
  8. 5Warwick1500m26 Dec 2025 · BM60 · GOOD32.6L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Jack Bruce in good form, out performing market 32%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Adin Thompson winning at 3% POT in last 100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Sound performance in small field at Sunshine Coast. Ticks the track and distance win box. Looks suitably placed in this line-up.

ILB

Close up last start at Sunshine Coast and drawn beautifully. Will be motoring home late. Running with confidence since returning from a break. Will attract plenty of interest.

RP

Third, beaten a neck, over 1m at Sunshine Coast (handicap) 32 days ago; consistent lately and unbeaten over this C&D after two runs; also engaged in race 4 at Sunshine Coast.

RSIS

Threw down a serious challenge last time at Sunshine Coast and gets a favourable stall. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.

7VacillationScratched9––––

Career

29: 4-6-4

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballina

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1650m

    3: 1-1-1

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1015m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-4-2

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    18: 3-2-1

Last starts

  1. 2Gold Coast1400m31 Oct 2026 · CL4 · SOFT50.71L
  2. 2Gold Coast1400m3 Oct 2026 · CL5 · GOOD30.84L
  3. 5Beaudesert1200m17 Sept 2026 · CL4 · GOOD33.95L
  4. 2Kilcoy1500m10 Aug 2026 · BM65 · SOFT60.1L
  5. 1Gatton1400m30 July 2026 · 0 - 60 · GOOD4-0.13
  6. 4Eagle Farm1600m15 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.5L
  7. 6Gold Coast1800m11 July 2026 · BM68 · GOOD43.1L
  8. 4Beaudesert1400m26 June 2026 · CL5 · SOFT73.4L

Insights

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Gold Coast. Not as well drawn this time. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last time at Gold Coast. Racing consistently this campaign.

RP

Not beaten far over 7f here (handicap) on Saturday; consistent lately; interesting.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Did well when 2nd last run at Gold Coast. In good condition since returning from a break.

8Canadian FlingScratched4––––

Career

8: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    4: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 1Gold Coast1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 60 · SOFT70L
  2. 5Doomben1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.9L
  3. 5Doomben1000m22 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.5L
  4. 11Kembla Grange1500m18 Apr 2026 · BM64 · SOFT511.7L
  5. 2Canberra1600m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.6L
  6. 3Hawkesbury1500m7 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT52.7L
  7. 8Goulburn1500m27 Feb 2026 · BM66 · SOFT76.3L
  8. 1Goulburn1500m12 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-0.7

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

Shared top prize at at Gold Coast for new trainer. First run synthetic. Can again play a role.

ILB

Strong effort to the line to win last run at Gold Coast and dropping weight. Has shown early pace in races to date.

RP

Dead-heated with Paciera over 7f here (handicap) two weeks ago on debut for this trainer; ought to be competitive.

RSIS

Reeled them in to win last time at Gold Coast and dropping weight. Should muster plenty of early toe.

9Sir DonScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge this venue. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Started at $8.00 and didn't attack the line when 9th last start here but has drawn to do little work.

RSIS

At 7/1 weakened to finish 9th last time at the track but drawn the rails.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races