Shortest win price
Best Terms (1)
1.75
Welcome to Horsham for the Carlton Draught Mdn Plate over the 1400m on a good four surface with fine weather overhead, where the punters have sorted out an interesting early win market. Looking at the top of the board, Best Terms holds down the shortest quote in the win market, closely followed by newcomer Whiskey And War, with Brutal Tempo and Blue Valentine next in line as the runners prepare to jump at 2:10 pm AEDT.
Taking a closer look at the form line for the market elect, Best Terms comes in for T & C Mcevoy under Harry Coffey from barrier five, boasting a consistent record of six minor placings from as many starts, including consecutive runner-up finishes at Ballarat and Werribee before heading for a break. Meanwhile, Blue Valentine for Tyler Donaldson-Aitken has strung together three consecutive second placings, most recently at Donald and Mount Gambier, showing plenty of early zip that should suit this circuit nicely.
Down the list a bit further, the debutant Whiskey And War catches the eye for P Kearney with John Allen steering from the inside gate, having picked up a handy third in a recent Ballarat jump-out after being purchased in New Zealand for fifty thousand dollars. With speed maps showing Best Terms and Blue Valentine pushing forward early alongside Bronx Brawler, it sets up as a fascinating tactical battle where the early leaders could give them something to chase.
Shortest win price
Best Terms (1)
1.75
Back left · leaders right
Offmidfield
Firststart
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Best Terms · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%
Brutal Tempo · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Shujinko · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 27% better than Career Avg.
Apadana · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 74% in Last 100 Rides
Career
6: 0-3-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-1-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
First-up (21-weeks). Acquitted self fairly well when last seen in work. Nabbed on the wire in Maiden company at Seymour first-up last campaign. Should take plenty of beating fresh.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Was overpowered late when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at Ballarat. Has plenty of early speed. Winkers go off for the first time. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
RP
Has displayed improved form on last two starts; a narrow second at 4-11 over 7½f at Ballarat (maiden) five months ago; returns from a layoff here; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so others appeal more.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Faded in the late stages of the race when 2nd last time at Ballarat. Will be positive in the run early. Worth strong consideration.
Career
3: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 71%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 74% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Posted some decent efforts from three appearances. Outgunned but did enough for third at $51 at Kilmore off extended spell. Building fitness. Not out of it.
ILB
Improved to place when 3rd last time at Kilmore and showing consistent performance in races. Always seems to find the line well. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
RP
Lightly raced with this just his fourth appearance; ran well enough to finish third at 50-1 at Kilmore over 6f (maiden) last month; can't be ruled out.
RSIS
Good performance to run into 3rd last time at Kilmore and promising career start. Possesses good finishing pace. Stamps its reason for consideration.
Career
10: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
2: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-1-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 27% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -53%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 79% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On pace and courageous in defeat at Coleraine over this distance. Place preferred option.
ILB
Was $6.00 and didn't maintain the pace throughout when 4th last time at Coleraine. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at ten; not disgraced when fourth (Coleraine) 23 days ago; a few rivals look in good form so one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Started 5/1 and lost momentum late when 4th last run at Coleraine. Watch the betting.
Career
8: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1563m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 74% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse 108% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 124%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 79% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 108%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
AAP
First-up (23-weeks). Nearly won in Maiden company at Mt Gambier first-up last campaign. Back from Group 3 company. Can make her presence felt fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up and managed to run into 3rd beaten by 1/2L first up last preparation at Mount Gambier. Likely to get back in the run. Facing a weaker grade. Could feature here.
RP
Still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce); finished 11th of 12 five months ago upped to 1m4½f (Morphettville) in a Group 3; returns from a layoff; might find this company a little easier but can be taken on.
RSIS
Resuming and good performance to run into 3rd beaten by 1/2L resuming last preparation at Mount Gambier. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Will appreciate the drop in class. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
5: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-2-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
AAP
On a learning curve. Up on the pace early and kept on courageously 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Mildura over this trip. Sound claims.
ILB
Nice run when 2nd last time at Mildura and solid career start.
RP
Touch disappointing to finish only second at Mildura two weeks ago; seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice.
RSIS
Tidy effort when 2nd last time at Mildura and showing consistent performance in races.
Career
5: 0-3-1
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-1-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-2-1
Going Good
3: 0-2-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Runner-up each of last three outings. Just missed at Donald 12 Sep. Gave a good sight making the frame at Mt Gambier at skinny odds. Warrants attention.
ILB
Ran on strongly when 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L last start at Mount Gambier and good career start. Has not missed the placings this campaign in 3 attempts. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.
RP
Has displayed improved form on last two starts; couldn't quite get the job done when 5-6 runner-up at Mt Gambier over 6f (maiden) 11 days ago; not hard to turn elsewhere with new trip an unknown.
RSIS
Ran on when 2nd last time at Mount Gambier and good career start. Has not missed the placings recently in 3 attempts. Definite winning chance.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
AAP
No match but kept on for a distant third in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Hamilton over this trip. A few runs under her belt this campaign, looks more a place prospect.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Even though peaking on the run still placed 3rd last time at Hamilton.
RSIS
On a short back up. Was in the hunt for a long way when 3rd beaten by 4L last time at Hamilton.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
2: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1454m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Christine Puls current POT is 64% below Career Avg.
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 76% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Every chance but compounded at Kyneton second-up. Others with more appeal.
ILB
At $151.00 couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Kyneton. Best to watch and see.
RP
Not many miles on the clock but yet to manage better than seventh in her five races; ninth of 12 over 6f at Kyneton (maiden) last week; others more appealing.
RSIS
Started 150/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last start at Kyneton.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
AAP
In trailing position but couldn't show a turn of foot at Kilmore. Can make her presence felt with even breaks.
ILB
Ran 4th last start at Kilmore.
RSIS
Came in 4th last run at Kilmore.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 32% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dylan Dunn 51% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 135%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 55% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. A long way off them at Hamilton on debut as a betting firmer. Learnt plenty there. Since trialled at Caulfield Heath 1 Oct. Looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
At $5.50 didn't find the line when 9th last run at Hamilton but fitter for debut run. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.
RP
Held on his debut with blinkers tried over 6f at Hamilton at 9-2 five weeks ago; one to take seriously given he should have learnt plenty from that experience and his pedigree offers room to progress.
RSIS
Started at 9/2 and weakened under pressure when 9th last run at Hamilton but was on debut last time. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
In good hands but offered little to catch the eye on debut at Moe when in the market 24 Sep. Better for run. Extra trip may assist. Could take a step forward.
ILB
Was $3.60 and improved when 5th last run at Moe and having second career run. Gets a favourable alley.
RP
Finished fifth of nine on his debut over 5½f at Moe at 13-5 last month; progress needed on this second career run.
RSIS
Odds of 13/5 and ran past a few when 5th last run at Moe and was a debutant last start. Will try to take advantage of the stall.
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 45% in Last 100 Rides
Hot Trainer
Positive
Karlene Tindale in good form, out performing market 407%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Unraced 3yo gelding out of a half-sister to the stakes winner Flying Tristram. 6th & 4th at latest jump-outs. May need the experience but watch for support.
ILB
First start at the races 3yo by D'argento for trainer Karlene Tindale. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
Gelded already; this son of D'argento makes first rules appearance; deserves respect as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
Karlene Tindale trained 3yo debutant by D'argento.
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
3yo gelding purchased in NZ for $50K & making debut. 3rd at most recent Ballarat jump-out. Gets a soft draw. Odds may prove best guide here.
ILB
El Roca 3yo having first start for Patrick Kearney and has minimal work to do from the barrier. Betting as a guide.
RP
Shares a dam with Leven Lass, a 7f winner; New Zealander bred; first racecourse start; can have a big say with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
El Roca 3yo having first start for trainer Patrick Kearney and will appreciate a good stall. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time. Betting as a guide.
Career
11: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Started $61 when safely held in Maiden company at Mt Gambier first run back. First time around Horsham. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Started at $61.00 and finished 7th last run at Mount Gambier. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 11 runs. Cannot have.
RP
Finished behind Blue Valentine over 6f at Mt Gambier (maiden) when beaten just over 5l (seventh of 12) last week.
RSIS
Was 60/1 and ran 7th last run at Mount Gambier. Yet to break maiden status after 11 starts.