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Horsham (VIC) horses tips & previews

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Meeting — Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 18 OctHorsham (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Farm Frites MCC Series Heat 5 (Bm70) 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Horsham's 1400 metres looks set for a nice tussle in race 6 on good ground this afternoon at 4:30 pm AEDT. The Farm Frites MCC Series Heat 5 is a benchmark 70 for three-year-olds and up, and the market has Col Klink sitting shortest, followed by Spex, Endless Summer, and Coronationhercules. The form suggests a few genuine chances here, with Col Klink and Spex both showing recent winning runs, while Endless Summer and Coronationhercules have also been mixing it in decent fields.

Col Klink, trained by L Smith with Fred W Kersley aboard, has won two of four starts and boasts the fastest finishing sectionals at the track last time out. The gelding comes in fresh off a 53-day let-up and trialled most recently at Bendigo, where it let down powerfully in heavy going to score by two lengths. The form there suggests the horse is ready to strike again, and the barrier four draw on the pace side suits. Spex rates among the more interesting plays—this three-year-old has won at Tatura and Echuca, racing on pace, and takes a rise in grade into benchmark company. The jockey-trainer combo are running at 255 per cent above market expectation, which is a tidy angle. Endless Summer, ridden by John Allen, has turned form around at Bendigo across recent starts, including a placing in the minors at a benchmark 1 handicap. The comment rates this one among the better chances at 1300 metres on good ground, so stepping to 1400 here should not pose issues. Coronationhercules reeled in the leaders to win at Mornington off a 44-day let-up and faces stiffer company now, but trainer Brett Scott has the horse in good order.

Figlio D'Argento profiles as the leader from barrier eight, though jockey Brad Rawiller's strike rate is currently below his career average and the trainer's recent form has dried up to just two per cent. The speedmap shows this race split across several positions—Endless Summer and Cat Noir are on pace, while the offmidfield runners Royal Infantry, Coronationhercules, and Final Countdown map to improve late. A few of the finishing types warrant exotics consideration: Final Countdown and Stargust have clocked the fastest sectionals in their recent runs, and both bring pace ratings that fit the mid-to-back race position well. The yarn here points toward a front-running tempo that may come back to the drifters, which makes the faster-finishing types worth stacking into multiples.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM70,BM70 HCP MCC SERIES HEAT 5,Benchmark 70
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

Col Klink (6)

4.20

Most career wins

Cat Noir

5-6-4 from 31 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 4Royal Infantry

Offmidfield

  • 9Final Countdown
  • 7Coronationhercules
  • 6Col Klink
  • 8Colour Our World

Midfield

  • 11Stargust
  • 12Cat Noir

Offpace

  • 3Mr Independent

Onpace

  • 1Figlio D'Argento
  • 2Endless Summer
  • 13Spex

Leader

  • 10Naraghi
  • Figlio D'Argento · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Brad Rawiller current POT is 55% below Career Avg.

  • Endless Summer · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -81% POT in their L100 Races

  • Mr Independent · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Royal Infantry · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Figlio D'ArgentoJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh860kg1 6 3 2 916: 3-2-2$13.00$3.70

Career

16: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 3-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Sandown1300m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT712.7L
  2. 2Caulfield1800m4 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD32L
  3. 3Sandown1800m11 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.7L
  4. 6Sandown1800m25 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT51L
  5. 1Sandown1800m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
  6. 4Flemington1800m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD32.9L
  7. 3Geelong1400m3 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD32.1L
  8. 2Cranbourne1400m12 Dec 2025 · 0 - 66 · GOOD30.5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Brad Rawiller current POT is 55% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 2%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -42%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 71%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 74% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 62% in L100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

Let-up (43-days). Settled midfield, no meaningful impression at Sandown-Hillside off long spell. Look for an improved showing here second-up.

ILB

Freshened up. Lost ground in the run home when 9th last start at Sandown but goes down in class. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw. Definite claims for punters.

RP

Not at his best last time although had previously shown useful form; finished last of nine over 6½f at Sandown (handicap) last month; this looks a fair heat so easy to oppose.

RSIS

Freshened for this. Gave away some ground when 9th last run at Sandown but matched against a less competitive field. Solid prospects.

2Endless SummerJ: John Allen·T: Andrew Bobbin359.5kg4 5 2 4 210: 1-2-1$5.50$2.15

Career

10: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Tokyo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Hakodate

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Bendigo1300m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31L
  2. 4Bendigo1300m30 July 2026 · 2UP CLASS 1 HCP · SOFT61.8L
  3. 2Ballarat Synthetic1200m12 July 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC0.4L
  4. 5Randwick Kensington1250m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.1L
  5. 4Fukushima1150m13 July 2025 · STANDARD2.3L
  6. 8Tokyo1400m15 Feb 2025 · GOOD4.15L
  7. 10Tokyo1400m2 Nov 2024 · GOOD6.6L
  8. 6Chukyo1200m1 Sept 2024 · YIELDING4.3L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -81% POT in their L100 Races

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Form sound. On speed, had enough in the tank for the minors 3yo+ Hcp (C1) at Bendigo. Rates among the better chances.

ILB

Tidy effort when 2nd last time at Bendigo. Showing great form since coming back from a break. Genuine claims.

RP

Produced a good effort to finish second at Bendigo over 6½f (handicap) last month; knocking at the door recently.

RSIS

Ran well when 2nd last run at Bendigo. Showing positive results since returning from a break. Great chance.

3Mr IndependentJ: Luke Cartwright·T: Julius Sandhu1258.5kg5 2 1 1 86: 2-1-0$15.00$3.80

Career

6: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Caulfield2000m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD45.6L
  2. 1Caulfield Heath1800m4 Mar 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD4-0.2
  3. 1Pakenham1600m19 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.1
  4. 2Sandown1600m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L
  5. 5Pakenham1400m16 Jan 2026 · 3-5yo · GOOD45.3L
  6. 6Sandown1200m6 Aug 2025 · 3YCG MDN-SW · SOFT54.6L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (30-weeks). Has a tricky draw for return. Capable of making an impact fresh in this affair with even luck.

ILB

Resuming after a 30 week break. Odds of $20.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start at Caulfield but up against weaker rivals. Coming back in trip. Facing a difficult task today.

RP

Eighth beaten 6l in March (Caulfield) in a Group 2; returns from a break today; has to be feared given he won a handicap two runs back and dropping in class.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 30 weeks. Started at 19/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last run at Caulfield but will appreciate the drop in class.

4Royal InfantryJ: Neil Farley·T: P Kearney258.5kg6 2 2 1 122: 4-4-0$13.00$3.70

Career

22: 4-4-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    5: 1-2-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1740m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    16: 3-2-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 1Swan Hill1300m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2.5
  2. 1Ballarat Synthetic1400m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-0.2
  3. 2Ballarat Synthetic1400m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.2L
  4. 2Ballarat Synthetic1200m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.1L
  5. 6Launceston1400m20 Mar 2026 · CL2 · GOOD44L
  6. 4Launceston1200m25 Feb 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.8L
  7. 6Hobart1400m8 Feb 2026 · CL2 · SOFT52.3L
  8. 1Camperdown1400m17 Jan 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD3-0.8

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Racing Solidly

    Positive

    In peak form

Comments

AAP

In peak form and fitness. Shouldered 61.5kg to victory at Ballarat Synthetic. Imposing win from midfield in the 3yo+ (Bm62) at Swan Hill. Has claims for a repeat.

ILB

Was eating up the ground late to win last run at Swan Hill and drawn nicely. On a winning streak the last 2 runs. Others make far more appeal.

RP

Bids for hat-trick; came out on top by 2½l at Swan Hill over 6½f (handicap) last month; passed over despite that win last time.

RSIS

Finished hard to win last run at Swan Hill and has a good draw. Keeping a perfect win record the last 2 attempts but matched against tougher rivals.

5CelibateScratched15––––

Career

10: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 2-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    3: 2-1-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Caulfield

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Warrnambool1200m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY9-1
  2. 11Sandown1400m23 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES BM78 HCP · SOFT721.65L
  3. 2Warrnambool1400m7 May 2026 · 3Y BM70 · HEAVY101.3L
  4. 6Caulfield1700m4 Apr 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD380.8L
  5. 9Caulfield1600m14 Mar 2026 · 3Y SW · GOOD45.7L
  6. 3Flemington1400m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.6L
  7. 3Cranbourne1200m30 Jan 2026 · 3YF BM64 · GOOD34.5L
  8. 11Sandown1400m27 Sept 2025 · 3yo · GOOD36.9L

Insights

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

AAP

Strong win over 1200m 3yo+ (Bm62) at Warrnambool first up. Awkwardly drawn this time. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Reeled them in when winning last time at Warrnambool.

RP

Gained a 1l success over 6f at Warrnambool (handicap) two weeks ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals despite that win last time.

RSIS

Strong effort to the line to win last run at Warrnambool.

6Col KlinkJ: Fred W Kersley·T: L Smith458kg2 6 1 14: 2-1-0$4.20$1.80

Career

4: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 2-1-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Bendigo1100m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-2
  2. 1Geelong1212m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT5-0.3
  3. 6Cranbourne1200m27 Dec 2025 · 3&4Y SW · GOOD34.1L
  4. 2Geelong1230m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (53-days). Won after racing back and let down powerfully in sticky going at Bendigo first run back. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Picked up nicely to win last run at Bendigo and promising career start. Should be swooping on the field late. Good chance of taking this out.

RP

Gained a 2l success over 5½f at Bendigo (handicap) 53 days ago; going for a hat-trick and winner of two of his four runs to date; this only his second handicap outing; looks likely to be involved.

RSIS

Freshened up. Ran over the top of them when winning last run at Bendigo on a heavy surface and promising career start. Displays good finishing pace. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

7CoronationherculesJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Brett Scott658kg3 1 4 14: 2-0-1$9.00$2.90

Career

4: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1243m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT5-0.5
  2. 4Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.4L
  3. 1Sale1400m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT6-0.3
  4. 3Geelong1243m10 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY83.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 110%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (44-days). Reeled in leaders to salute at Mornington. Meets stronger company here but in good order.

ILB

Let up. Charged home to win last start at Mornington and good career start. Very competitive this campaign. Might have to make up considerable ground. Has some claims.

RP

Winner of two of his four career starts; got home in front by half a length over 7½f at Mornington (handicap) last month; can figure.

RSIS

Let up. Finished with purpose when winning last time at Mornington and good career start. Expected to settle towards the tail. Watch for a sign in the market.

8Colour Our WorldJ: Dean Yendall·T: M J Williams557.5kg2 4 1 2 1022: 3-5-6$10.00$3.20

Career

22: 3-5-6

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield

    4: 0-1-1

  • Track Swan Hill

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    14: 1-2-5

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 10Ballarat2024m24 May 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD46.9L
  2. 2Warrnambool2000m6 May 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY101L
  3. 1Geelong1760m1 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD4-2.3
  4. 4Caulfield1600m14 Mar 2026 · BM80 HCP · GOOD41.4L
  5. 2Ararat1600m3 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.4L
  6. 8Sandown1800m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD444.7L
  7. 3Geelong1512m14 Jan 2026 · BM62 · GOOD31.1L
  8. 6Sandown1400m26 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M BM66 HCP · GOOD44.2L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 27% better than Career Avg.

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Competitive at this level last prep. Opened last prep with a win at Warrnambool. Tough test first-up.

ILB

First up from a break of 21 weeks and displayed a good turn of foot when winning first up last preparation at Warrnambool. Dropping back to a shorter trip. Forward showing expected.

RP

Second favourite when tenth of 12 over 1m2f at Ballarat (handicap) five months ago; returns from an absence here; a few rivals look in good form so others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Resuming and ran on hard when winning resuming last preparation at Warrnambool. Coming back in trip. Expect a forward showing.

9Final CountdownJ: Shayleigh Ingelse·T: P A Preusker1157.5kg5 5 8 1 114: 4-1-3$16.00$3.90

Career

14: 4-1-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 975m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 2-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-0-2

Last starts

  1. 1Murray Bridge1400m26 Sept 2026 · 0-68 · GOOD4-0.41
  2. 1Murray Bridge1400m2 Sept 2026 · BM56 · SOFT5-3.2
  3. 8Warrnambool1300m23 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY1012.7L
  4. 5Bendigo1300m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.9L
  5. 5Ballarat1200m12 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY84.7L
  6. 6Echuca1400m18 Apr 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD411.3L
  7. 3Sandown1400m19 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 70 · GOOD31.15L
  8. 5Horsham1100m4 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 64 · SOFT51.81L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 74% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 124%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 97%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 79% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Shayleigh Ingelse winning at 77% POT in last 100 rides

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

Comments

AAP

Shooting for hat-trick. Midfield, overhauled them for a strong win at Murray Bridge Gh over today's trip. Harder assignment but has plenty of ability. Place chance at least.

ILB

Ran on hard when winning last time at Murray Bridge and have to respect the form at the distance. Won last 2 in succession. Expected to be flashing home. Capable of winning this.

RP

A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 4-14 and bids for hat-trick; got the job done in a handicap by a neck (Murray Bridge Gh) last month; is of interest.

RSIS

Reeled them in when winning last time at Murray Bridge and have to respect the form at this distance. Undefeated last 2 starts but rising in weight. Finishes off strongly. Strong claims in this.

10NaraghiJ: Alana Kelly·T: Liam Howley157kg2 3 15 4 29: 1-1-3$23.00$4.40

Career

9: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    5: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Caulfield Heath1000m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.3L
  2. 4Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.8L
  3. 15Morphettville2000m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD410L
  4. 3Morphettville1800m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT64.3L
  5. 2Caulfield Heath1500m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
  6. 5Flemington1600m7 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD39L
  7. 1Wangaratta1590m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.5
  8. 2Pakenham1600m12 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.8L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Liam Howley striking at just 5%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 51%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (25-weeks). In the minors at Pakenham first-up last campaign while warmed up with 2 trials. Leads, handy. Hard to make a case beyond the minors fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up and started off strong but faded towards the end when 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L first up last preparation at Pakenham. Will find this grade more suitable. Big improvement required to threaten these.

RP

Towards the rear of 16 in a Group 1 at Morphettville in April; returning from a layoff here; might find this company a little easier but easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Resuming and gave a strong sight when 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L resuming last preparation at Pakenham. Placed 2nd in a trial at Caulfield Heath on Oct 1st.

11StargustJ: Campbell Rawiller·T: Joanne Mugavin756.5kg4 1 3 2 116: 3-3-2$23.00$4.40

Career

16: 3-3-2

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    5: 2-1-1

  • Track Naracoorte

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 900m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    8: 1-2-2

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Mount Gambier1400m7 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD4-4.22
  2. 2Mount Gambier1400m20 Sept 2026 · BM56 · SOFT50.09L
  3. 3Naracoorte1430m28 Aug 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY90.9L
  4. 1Mount Gambier1300m7 Aug 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY10-0.4
  5. 4Warrnambool1100m23 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY1011.8L
  6. 2Casterton1100m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY81.3L
  7. 2Hamilton1100m26 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY101.5L
  8. 10Werribee1108m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD45.9L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 321%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 35% POT in L100 Runners

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Consistent

    Positive

    Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Bullish win at Mt Gambier over this trip. New to Horsham. This will test his mettle.

ILB

Made a mess of them when winning by 4 1/4L last run at Mount Gambier and form has been improving over recent runs. Tracking very well this campaign. Long shot.

RP

Won in good style at Mt Gambier last week; despite that Mt Gambier success, hard to recommend.

RSIS

Blitzed its rivals when winning by 4 1/4L last time at Mount Gambier and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Has run into the money frequently in recent runs.

12Cat NoirJ: Jack Hill·T: Jamie Edwards955.5kg3 2 2 4 531: 5-6-4$15.00$3.80

Career

31: 5-6-4

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Colac

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1347m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1506m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    21: 4-3-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 5Caulfield Heath1600m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · SOFT64.1L
  2. 4Flemington1600m18 July 2026 · Benchmark 78 · SOFT64.3L
  3. 2Sandown1600m1 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY90.5L
  4. 2Mornington1600m8 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT72.3L
  5. 3Sandown1600m31 May 2026 · 0-66 · SOFT73.3L
  6. 9Warrnambool1700m5 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY83.9L
  7. 3Terang1600m12 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY104L
  8. 8Sandown2100m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.9L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (71-days). Well back and made some minor headway but passing mainly tired rivals at Caulfield Heath. Has some claims fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Started $12.00 and advanced late into 5th last run at Caulfield Heath and up against a less challenging field. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Fair effort when beaten 4l, finishing fifth of 11 over 1m at Caulfield (handicap) in August; a lot on her plate here and others more appealing.

RSIS

Back from a break. Started at 11/1 and ran on into 5th last time at Caulfield Heath and stepping down to a lower level. Could feature here.

13SpexJ: Jett Stanley·T: Aaron Laing1055.5kg5 5 3 1 15: 2-0-1$5.00$2.00

Career

5: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-5
  2. 1Echuca1312m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.75
  3. 3Echuca1200m30 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT70.2L
  4. 5Echuca1100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD33.2L
  5. 5Cranbourne1000m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.4L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 255%

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Good Form

    Positive

    Very competitive in recent runs

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 7kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Won in a cakewalk at Tatura. On pacer. Rising in grade. Add to the exotics.

ILB

Won by a big margin of 5L last run at Tatura but up against a higher level of opposition. Undefeated last 2 runs and suited by the weight drop. Others much better.

RP

On a hat-trick after last win and has found improvement of late; readily accounted for her rivals (Tatura) last month; just second start in this company; passed over despite that win at Tatura.

RSIS

Was rock solid when winning by a margin of 5L last start at Tatura and gets some weight relief. Won last 2 on the bounce.

14HedjetScratched8––––

Career

4: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Curragh

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1447m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1609m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1207m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Geelong1447m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-3
  2. 2Seymour1429m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.3L
  3. 2Gowran Park1609m20 Sept 2025 · C & G · HEAVY0.5L
  4. 7Curragh1207m9 Aug 2025 · 2yo · GOOD11.25L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Racing Strongly

    Positive

    Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Third run since coming from overseas. Great win from the deep gate at Geelong. Stays under strong notice & should prove hard to topple.

ILB

Was much too speedy in front when winning by 3L last run at Geelong and showing consistent performance in races. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation.

RP

Came out on top by 3l (Geelong) last week when registering his first success at the second time of asking in a maiden; winless in two starts overseas.

RSIS

Led from start to finish to win by 3L last time at Geelong and good career start. In the top three at every start of late.

15Vim VitaeScratched4––––

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Caulfield Heath1000m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.1L
  2. 10Sandown1600m23 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT78.5L
  3. 4Morphettville1600m2 May 2026 · 3yo · SOFT74.1L
  4. 2Caulfield Heath1000m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
  5. 3Sandown1600m6 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM66 · GOOD43.5L
  6. 8Albury1400m20 Mar 2026 · 3Y BM74 HCP · SOFT65.6L
  7. 1Seymour1300m20 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.2
  8. 4Mornington1500m23 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT53L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Liam Howley striking at just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 51%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Comes off a good trial on the Caulfield Heath after winning a jump-out. Keep safe here.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Was $3.60 and finished 5th last time at Bendigo but dropping weight. Does take a while to get into stride.

RP

Not beaten too far when fifth at Bendigo when dropped in distance over 6½f (handicap) yesterday; held an entry at Bendigo Saturday.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. At 13/5 came in 5th last run at Bendigo but suited by the weight drop. Likely to get back in the field.

16Racey CaseyScratched17––––

Career

18: 2-5-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1112m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 4Ballarat1400m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.42L
  2. 2Coleraine1300m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD31L
  3. 1Hamilton1400m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT6-2.3
  4. 6Seymour1200m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.9L
  5. 2Geelong1325m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83L
  6. 4Sandown1300m22 July 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT65L
  7. 2Pakenham Synthetic1100m29 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.3L
  8. 6Ararat1600m3 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.6L

Insights

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Tough and honest when just behind the minors in the 3yo+ (Bm62) at Ballarat over this journey. Awkwardly drawn. Tackling stronger line-up.

ILB

Started at $7.50 and ran 4th last run at Ballarat but gets a reduction in weight.

RP

Running consistently; finished fourth last week albeit only beaten 1½l (Ballarat).

RSIS

Was 13/2 and ran 4th last time at Ballarat but will benefit with the weight drop.

17BrutifyScratched10––––

Career

20: 2-6-2

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Colac

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1100m

    6: 0-2-1

  • Distance 1107m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 1-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-3-1

Last starts

  1. 2Kyneton1454m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT50.75L
  2. 5Wodonga1400m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.57L
  3. 2Wodonga1300m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.1L
  4. 2Wangaratta1300m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT72.3L
  5. 1Wodonga1300m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY9-2
  6. 3Casterton1100m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY81.6L
  7. 10Terang1206m17 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.9L
  8. 3Kyneton1218m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · SOFT63L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Prominent, showed plenty of ticker to just go under at Kyneton. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Ran home into 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at Kyneton but up against tougher competition. Racing consistently this preparation and will appreciate the drop in weight.

RP

Beaten narrowly over 7f at Kyneton (handicap) last week; has maintained her consistent level of form.

RSIS

Kept traping on when 2nd last time at Kyneton but challenged by more formidable competitors. Racing consistently lately and dropping weight.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.