Moe (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 1:49 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Moe (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 18 OctMoe (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Peter Craighead Memorial Hcp (56) 1600m · jumps Sun 18 Oct, 5:20 pm AEDT

Race notes

0 - 56,0 - 56 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 56
GOOD4
Fine
11 runners

Shortest win price

Delightful Journey (1)

2.80

Most career wins

Russian Roni

5-5-4 from 43 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

12Rapido River

Offmidfield

4Hard To Go Wrong

Midfield

10Preservator
7Mac Kalhoun

Offpace

8Shubael

Onpace

5Tassadar
3Up And Under
6Scandoval
9Cable De Vega

Leader

1Delightful Journey
2Russian Roni

Delightful Journey · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 0%
Russian Roni · Negative
Jockey Booking
Jason Maskiell current POT is 48% below Career Avg.
Up And Under · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are under performing market expectations by -67%
Hard To Go Wrong · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Delightful JourneyJ: Aaron Sweeney·T: Christine Sexton1260kg–$2.80$1.32

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 0%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 47%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Led, soon under pressure and dropped off at Bairnsdale over this journey. Takes catching.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Odds of $4.80 and sub-standard effort when 7th last run at Bairnsdale. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide draw. Win will not surprise.

Split a number of these rivals when beaten 6l (seventh of nine, Bairnsdale) on Monday; has shown some ability on occasion and looks a contender.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Was 4/1 and only fair when 7th last run at Bairnsdale. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide draw. Must be considered here.

2Russian RoniJ: Jason Maskiell·T: Ms R Kelly1060kg9 12 12 5 1143: 5-5-4$7.00$2.30

Career

43: 5-5-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-1
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
6: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
9: 1-1-1
Distance 1515m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
22: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
7: 1-0-2
Going Soft
12: 1-3-2

Last starts

11Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC9.9L
5Ballarat Synthetic1500m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.2L
12Seymour1600m19 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY920.3L
12Echuca1400m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY1010.1L
9Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY1010.1L
1Kilmore1612m15 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT6-1.3
2Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.5L
6Sale1746m19 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD44L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Jason Maskiell current POT is 48% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 62% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Pakenham Synthetic at wide odds. Remote place hope at best.

ILB

Couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last run at Pakenham Synthetic but up against a less challenging field. The wide draw shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Betting is the best guide.

Finished 11th of 12 over 7f at Pakenham (handicap) two weeks ago; can be a player at this level; his best form stacks up so has to be taken seriously.

RSIS

Tailed off to finish 11th last time at Pakenham Synthetic but up against a less competitive field. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw. Watch the betting.

3Up And UnderJ: Logan Mcneil·T: D M Noonan960kg10 4 8 7 637: 2-4-4$14.00$3.40

Career

37: 2-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
2: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1765m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2011m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2110m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
18: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-2-1
Going Soft
13: 1-1-2

Last starts

6Kilmore2000m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.15L
7Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.5L
8Warrnambool2000m23 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1013.4L
4Cranbourne1600m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY92.8L
10Pakenham Synthetic2200m15 June 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC16.2L
7Sandown2100m31 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT710.7L
1Mornington2050m25 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT5-2.8
4Ararat1600m9 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT74.02L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -67%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Didn't finish it off over 2000m 3yo+ (Bm56) at Kilmore. Switching to 1600m. One for multiples.

ILB

Jumped at $19.00 and finished 6th last start at Kilmore and coming back in distance. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Mornington five months ago; was sixth of 11, beaten 6l, at Kilmore over 1m2f (handicap) last month; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Started at 18/1 and ran 6th last start at Kilmore and down in distance. Has some claims.

4Hard To Go WrongJ: Sheridan Clarke·T: Ms R Kelly859.5kg3 8 9 5 725: 3-3-3$11.00$3.00

Career

25: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-1

Last starts

7Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.5L
5Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32L
9Ballarat Synthetic2200m27 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.2L
8Seymour2040m19 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY910.6L
3Echuca2100m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY107L
5Sale1717m10 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY82.2L
8Kilmore1607m1 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY95.4L
4Sale1419m17 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD44.9L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 158%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Started $101 when safely held in Benchmark 62 company at Pakenham Synthetic over this trip. Has plenty to find on latest offerings.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and tailed off to finish 7th last start at Pakenham Synthetic but competing at a lower level of competition. Likely to get back in the field. Keep safe.

Could not manage better than seventh at Pakenham 13 days ago; is passed over.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and gave away some ground when 7th last run at Pakenham Synthetic but challenged by weaker competitors. Likely to settle back in the field. Keep safe.

5TassadarJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Aaron Laing559kg8 5 4 11 612: 1-0-0$9.00$2.65

Career

12: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
11Echuca1412m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.03L
4Echuca1200m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.6L
5Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64L
8Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD46.1L
12Pakenham2000m12 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD415.4L
1Moe2050m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.2
6Seymour1600m15 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD37.8L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay at Tatura. Fringe place hope at best.

ILB

Odds of $19.00 and faded to finish 6th last start at Tatura. Winkers go on for the first time. Watch betting.

Creditable effort (went off 18-1) to finish sixth at Tatura over 7f (handicap) three weeks ago; has won here previously; can figure given there's a paucity of good recent form on offer in this contest and there was plenty to like about his latest performance.

RSIS

Odds of 18/1 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last run at Tatura. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time. Watch for a sign in the market.

6ScandovalJ: Melea Castle·T: Brooke Verwey-Mitchell458.5kg10 12 5 3 727: 3-0-4$18.00$3.70

Career

27: 3-0-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Manangatang
1: 0-0-0
Track Camperdown
1: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
5: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Halidon1800m11 Oct 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD37.92L
3Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.2L
5Kilmore1450m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.8L
12Warracknabeal1600m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT67.5L
10Woolamai1708m7 Feb 2026 · Open9.9L
7Yea2140m24 Jan 2026 · Open9.4L
8Healesville2350m17 Jan 2026 · Open10.1L
8Woolamai1608m3 Jan 2026 · Open9.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 49%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Long losing streak. Safely held but not totally disgraced at Halidon. Hard to make a case beyond the minors.

ILB

On a quick back up. Started at $13.00 and ran 7th last run at Halidon. Will struggle to compete in this race.

Held when seventh of 14 at Halidon over 1m1f (handicap) last Sunday; others more appealing.

RSIS

On a short back up. Started 12/1 and finished 7th last start at Halidon.

7Mac KalhounJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: P Foster658kg–$61.00$7.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 5% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 145%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 489 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming after a (69-weeks) spell. Ex Ben Brisbourne in NSW. Would need a serious betting push off the long spell.

ILB

First up after a 69 week break. Started $31.00 and performed below standard when 13th last run at Albury. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. Not at all out of this race.

Been a while since he achieved his only career win; finished towards the rear of 14 at Albury back down to this distance last June; first start for current trainer; has a long absence to overcome; passed over.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a 69 week break. At 30/1 ordinary performance when 13th last start at Albury. Tongue strap go on for the first time. Change in trainer. Betting is the best guide.

8ShubaelJ: Hayley Spitse·T: Mitchell Leek258kg5 10 6 7 515: 2-1-2$6.50$2.30

Career

15: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1429m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1443m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT75.5L
7Cranbourne2025m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · GOOD49L
6Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT54.5L
10Caulfield Heath1600m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · SOFT69L
5Sale1600m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT63.2L
7Sale1429m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.1L
2Ballarat Synthetic1400m11 June 2025 · BM64 HCP · SYNTHETIC4.8L
1Geelong1443m23 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD4-0.5

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 64%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Out Of Form
Negative
Needs to try and find some form

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely in rain affected going at Bairnsdale over this trip at $17. Well into preparation now, can fill the minors here.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Jumped at $17.00 and came in 5th last start at Bairnsdale but drawn nicely. Hayley Spitse provides some weight relief. Competitive type.

Split a number of these rivals back down to this trip when beaten 6l (fifth of nine, Bairnsdale) on Monday; others more persuasive.

RSIS

On a short back up. Started at 16/1 and finished 5th last start at Bairnsdale but has a good draw. Hayley Spitse takes a large claim. Has definite claims.

9Cable De VegaJ: Lachlan King·T: Michael Huglin1157.5kg–$11.00$3.10

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Michael Huglin striking at just 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 71%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 64%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 71% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos

Comments

AAP

On pace but folded up quickly at Bairnsdale over this distance. Awkwardly drawn but has enough speed. Has some claims.

ILB

Jumped at $17.00 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last time at Bairnsdale. One of the value chances in this race.

Finished behind three of these rivals beaten 4l (Bairnsdale) four weeks ago; useful in this grade; has possibilities as shown promise on occasion.

RSIS

Was 16/1 and folded up in the straight when 7th last start at Bairnsdale. Has claims.

10PreservatorJ: Jake Noonan·T: K J Fythe157.5kg5 5 5 4 843: 3-3-3$6.00$2.15

Career

43: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
8: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1607m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
14: 1-0-2
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT76.85L
4Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.5L
5Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
5Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.4L
5Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.6L
8Sale1728m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY85.5L
7Bairnsdale1600m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY82.8L
3Werribee1625m30 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT60.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 236%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Sent out $13 when unable to threaten in choppy conditions at Bairnsdale over this distance. Very fit, warrants attention.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started $13.00 and unsatisfactory performance when 8th last time at Bairnsdale but has a nice advantage with a good draw. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

Behind several of these (Bairnsdale) when beaten 7l (eighth of nine) on Monday; does not win very often; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Started at 12/1 and below expectations when 8th last start at Bairnsdale but gets a favourable draw. Should be in the finish.

11Spirit AngelScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Void of early speed but she let down strongly Benchmark 56 company at Bairnsdale over this distance. Not out of this.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Looked good when 2nd last time at Bairnsdale and getting better in recent performances. Producing consistent results since coming back from a break.

Had three of these rivals behind her on Monday at Bairnsdale when a respectable second; wins infrequently; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so makes little appeal.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Ran 2nd last run at Bairnsdale and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Putting up notable efforts in recent runs.

12Rapido RiverJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: T Kilgower755kg10 5 2 7 1223: 1-2-3$101.00$12.00

Career

23: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
4: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
4: 1-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-2-2

Last starts

12Warrnambool2350m28 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY1047.5L
7Bairnsdale2200m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY88.8L
2Traralgon2400m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1L
5Moe2400m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.2L
10Pakenham2500m19 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT510.4L
1Pakenham2500m26 Feb 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD4-0.2
4Pakenham2500m5 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49L
12Moe2050m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD49.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 63% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Key Rider
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf 51% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 51%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start

Comments

AAP

First-up (16-weeks). Ex Mitchell Leek in Victoria. In the minors at Cranbourne first-up last campaign. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this affair.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break. Started $17.00 and gave away some ground when 12th last run at Warrnambool on a heavy track and back in trip. Not interested.

Finished out the back at Warrnambool over 1m3½f (handicap) four months ago; not always shown an awful lot since winning a maiden at Pakenham in February; first run for trainer; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started 16/1 and didn't attack the line when 12th last time at Warrnambool on a heavy track and down in trip.

13Neck HighScratched15––––

Career

19: 1-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Moe
5: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-1-0
Track Sale
7: 0-1-0
Distance 1419m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1614m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1717m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-1
Going Soft
7: 0-2-0

Last starts

7Moe1600m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.32L
11Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.5L
11Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT67.8L
7Hanging Rock1800m26 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.5L
8Stony Creek1600m18 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT57.3L
7Sale1717m8 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.05L
12Stony Creek1600m30 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD410.9L
1Stony Creek1600m7 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY10-0.5

Insights

Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Set tempo, offered little resistance when challenged this track over today's trip. Has work to do on recent figures.

ILB

Struggled with the pace when 7th last run here.

Could not manage better than seventh three weeks ago; grade looks suitable.

RSIS

Didn't find the line when 7th last time at this venue.

14Little Richie TurfScratched3––––

Career

105: 10-12-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 1-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
6: 1-0-0
Track Balnarring
6: 2-2-0
Track Healesville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1217m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1325m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
2: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
6: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
5: 1-2-0
Going Good
48: 2-5-1

Last starts

9Moe1600m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.52L
9Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD49.4L
10Warracknabeal1600m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT65L
9Bairnsdale1600m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT77.1L
1Bairnsdale1600m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY8-0.1
5Mornington1500m25 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT53.2L
6Pakenham1600m1 May 2026 · Open · GOOD44L
1Balnarring1600m4 Apr 2026 · Open-0.1

Comments

AAP

Recent figures have decined. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Not up to scratch when 9th last start at this venue.

Finished ninth of 12 last month; useful in this grade.

RSIS

Lacklustre showing when 9th last time at this venue.

15Shout Out GirlScratched11––––

Career

27: 1-1-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
5: 0-0-2
Track Sale
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1117m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-0-2
Going Good
15: 1-1-2

Last starts

10Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT510.5L
9Bairnsdale1200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58L
4Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT76.3L
9Bairnsdale1600m7 Sept 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD39.7L
10Bairnsdale1200m12 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT58L
9Echuca1209m25 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT79.3L
10Yarra Valley1968m26 Oct 2024 · 0 - 58 · SOFT517.28L
3Bairnsdale1600m14 Oct 2024 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD36.25L

Insights

Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Ridden back and never a factor at Mornington. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Back from a let up. Disappointing run when 10th last time at Mornington but up against a less competitive field.

Finished tenth of 12 over 7½f at Mornington (handicap) 44 days ago; this is her level; has winning form at this track.

RSIS

Freshened for this. Clearly outclassed when 10th last start at Mornington but dropping in grade.

16Nic Says NoScratched13––––

Career

33: 5-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Woolamai
1: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
3: 0-0-1
Track Alexandra
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1775m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1529m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-0-1

Last starts

10Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD35.27L
6Balnarring2000m11 Apr 2026 · Open15.2L
1Balnarring1600m4 Apr 2026 · Restricted-0.5
4Woolamai1608m21 Mar 2026 · Open4.5L
3Alexandra1540m14 Mar 2026 · Restricted0.7L
5Healesville1650m17 Jan 2026 · Open8.8L
1Drouin1775m26 Dec 2025 · Open-1.3
3Healesville1650m13 Dec 2025 · Restricted2.5L

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Cranbourne. Fitter second-up.

ILB

At $19.00 faded away to finish 10th last run at Cranbourne but going back up in trip.

Finished last of ten over 6f at Cranbourne (handicap) when dropped in distance last week; he meets the required standard ability wise.

RSIS

Was 18/1 and faded to finish 10th last start at Cranbourne but returns to a longer distance.

Odds correct as at Sun 18 Oct, 5:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 24 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Tue 8 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races