Moe (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 1:59 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Moe (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 18 OctMoe (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Gippsland Motor Group (Bm56) 2050m · jumps Sun 18 Oct, 3:35 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Gippsland Motor Group benchmark 56 handicap over 2050 metres at Moe this afternoon shapes as a proper arm-wrestle in the midfield battle. The track is rated good 4 with fine conditions looking after the surface, and the race jumps at 3:35 pm AEDT. Olney is shortest in the win market, ahead of Staphani and Aseventy Seven, while Stole Him and Frank Express sit next. The field is bunched around the middle grades, which means bar a genuine soft lead, this looks like a race won by something that can finish hard.

Olney carries the plum barrier 3 and has genuine early speed, an asset on this circuit according to the formline. Zac Spain rode the horse last time but is out of the saddle today, which counts as a negative rider change. The rating of 100 suggests this horse has class beyond a benchmark 56, though the form record tells a story of inconsistency—eleventh at Seymour over 2000 metres in soft 5 ground was a shocker, yet the previous start at Sale over 1732 metres in good 4 shows he can run a quick mile at this level. Aseventy Seven, drawn low in barrier 1 and suited for it, is raced by a hot jockey–trainer combo outperforming market expectations by 86 per cent. The horse was sent out at $61 when unable to threaten at Ballarat, but the comment says he is very fit and could sneak into the placings, and the barrier draw plays to his hand as a leader.

Staphani makes her case on the back of a sound run at Mornington over this exact journey, finishing within striking distance at 2050 metres in good 4 ground. The rating of 100 sits level with Olney, and the comment flags she can make her presence felt. Stole Him shaped well at Kilmore, forwardly placed and sticking on nicely, and the jockey–trainer combo with Jason Warren is winning at 32 per cent in their last 100 races. Both Devine Grunt and Larryoctane map well on this track and are suited by the circuit, outperforming market expectations by 17 per cent each, offering value angles further down the market for punters looking to build multiples.

Race notes

3yo+,BM56,BM56 HCP,Benchmark 56
GOOD4
Fine
10 runners

Shortest win price

Olney (4)

3.90

Most career wins

Aseventy Seven

7-2-6 from 48 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Devine Grunt
8Frank Express
9Larryoctane

Offmidfield

4Olney
6Staphani
11African Grey

Offpace

7Stole Him
10Women In Uniform

Leader

1Aseventy Seven
3King Tagaloa

Aseventy Seven · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 86%
King Tagaloa · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 5% better than Career Avg.
Olney · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Devine Grunt · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Aseventy SevenJ: Beau Mertens·T: E & D Browne162.5kg9 9 6 3 948: 7-2-6$5.00$1.90

Career

48: 7-2-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-2
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
8: 1-0-1
Track Sale
4: 0-0-1
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
5: 0-0-2
Distance 1614m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
21: 4-1-2
Going Heavy
7: 1-1-1
Going Soft
11: 1-0-1

Last starts

9Ballarat1600m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD44.6L
3Mornington1500m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.25L
6Pakenham Synthetic1600m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.3L
9Sale1600m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65.9L
9Sale1429m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY910.8L
7Donald1200m9 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT76.8L
7Kyneton1856m31 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD34.6L
8Pakenham2000m23 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD312.4L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 86%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Sent out $61 when unable to threaten at Ballarat. Very fit, could get into the placings.

ILB

Was $61.00 and not up to standard when 9th last start at Ballarat but facing weaker opposition. Should be going forward early. Back to a rise in trip. Will need to elevate.

Has won at this course; grade looks suitable; not disgraced when ninth of 11 over 1m at Ballarat (handicap) last Friday; big player as shown promise on occasion.

RSIS

Started 60/1 and underwhelming when 9th last start at Ballarat but taking on easier opposition. Won't be far away during the run. Drawn the rails. Coming back up in distance.

2Great ProsperityScratched7––––

Career

22: 2-1-10

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Wangaratta
3: 0-1-2
Track Donald
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 2000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 2-0-3
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-4
Going Soft
7: 0-1-3

Last starts

3Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT72.25L
3Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.5L
3Wangaratta1590m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY90.5L
10Sale1746m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY916.2L
3Geelong1425m19 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY96L
4Mornington1200m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT54L
2Wangaratta2000m27 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.5L
1Kyneton1856m9 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD3-1.3

Insights

Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Recent form sound this level. Got back, cut loose late to fill the minors at Bairnsdale. A few runs under his belt this campaign, can play a role.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Was competitive when 3rd last time at Bairnsdale. In good condition this preparation.

Finishing third was a good effort on Monday over 1m (handicap, Bairnsdale); makes limited appeal as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Competitive effort when 3rd last run at Bairnsdale. Showing positive results lately.

3King TagaloaJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: K & G Mayberry561.5kg8 2 6 1 811: 1-1-1$51.00$6.50

Career

11: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2050m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Geelong1765m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT514.46L
1Moe2050m13 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY10-1.25
6Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.05L
2Seymour1600m19 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY92.3L
8Moe1600m14 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD411.8L
6Mornington2050m27 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.8L
4Moe1600m16 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42L
3Cranbourne1600m31 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 5% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Bailey Kinninmont 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Bailey Kinninmont winning at 17% POT in last 100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 4%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Broke maiden at Moe 13 Aug. Finished a long way from the action 3yo+ (Bm62) at Geelong. On pacer. Has some claims.

ILB

Started at $81.00 and weakened under pressure when 8th last run at Geelong but lining up against easier rivals. Should come to hand quickly. Entitled to be a big price.

Has taken a step forward the last twice; likes this combination of C&D; finished last of eight over 1m1f at Geelong (handicap) on his debut for this trainer dropped back in distance last week; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started 80/1 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Geelong but facing a weaker grade. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

4OlneyJ: Zac Spain·T: G Eurell361.5kg3 5 9 3 1121: 2-2-6$3.90$1.55

Career

21: 2-2-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
3: 0-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 2-2-5
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

11Seymour2000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT511.87L
3Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.1L
9Pakenham Synthetic1400m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC6L
5Cranbourne2025m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD41.8L
3Cranbourne2025m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD41.7L
1Cranbourne2080m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.2
3Sandown1800m21 Jan 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD44L
3Cranbourne2025m10 Jan 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD41.5L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never landed a blow at Seymour. Highly rated despite the weight.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Jumped at $19.00 and didn't threaten when 11th last start at Seymour. Expecting improvement and competing in a less challenging grade. Rising in weight. Genuine claims.

11th of 12 (Seymour) a week ago upped to this trip; he can be competitive at this level; one to note as shown he can get his head in front.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started 18/1 and faded away to finish 11th last start at Seymour. Can make a comeback and facing a weaker group of contenders. Should go very close.

5Devine GruntJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Aaron Laing960kg1 9 3 8 810: 1-0-2$16.00$3.70

Career

10: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Echuca
2: 0-0-2
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1732m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

8Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC6L
8Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.6L
3Echuca1600m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.9L
9Kyneton1862m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD411.7L
1Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
4Pakenham2500m16 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD418L
3Echuca2100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD32.5L
4Tatura1600m14 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD33L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Pakenham Synthetic. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Jumped at $61.00 and disappointing outing when 8th last time at Pakenham Synthetic but back in an easier grade. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Not dismissing.

A course winner; beaten 6l into eighth over 1m at Pakenham (handicap) 13 days ago; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started at 60/1 and sub-standard effort when 8th last time at Pakenham Synthetic but competing in a lower grade. Likely to get back.

6StaphaniJ: Luke Currie·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr760kg1 5 10 6 45: 1-0-0$4.40$1.70

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
3: 0-0-0
Track Tauranga
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2021m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

4Mornington2050m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.86L
6Seymour2021m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.1L
10Seymour1600m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT76.7L
5Seymour1600m19 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY93.8L
1Tauranga1600m15 Nov 2025 · MDN · SOFT5-0.4

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
M G & M Price & Kent striking at just 10%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Finished within striking distance 3yo+ (Bm62) at Mornington over this journey. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

Odds of $6.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last time at Mornington and competing at a lower level of competition. Strong claims.

Finished ahead of two of these rivals at Mornington when a close-up fourth last month; subpar since successful in a maiden at Tauranga last November.

RSIS

Started at 5/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last start at Mornington and competing at a lower level of competition. Must respect.

7Stole HimJ: Lachlan King·T: Jason Warren1060kg2 9 8 7 39: 1-0-1$7.50$2.45

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-1

Last starts

3Kilmore2000m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.9L
7Geelong1700m11 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD43.7L
8Morphettville1544m8 Aug 2026 · CL2 · SOFT78.6L
9Mildura1400m17 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD48L
2Pakenham Synthetic1400m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC0.5L
9Hobart2200m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD48.8L
6Caulfield1800m31 Jan 2026 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD43.2L
5Flemington2000m17 Jan 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD34.2L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 32% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 75%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 55% POT in L100 Runners
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Kilmore. Not out of this.

ILB

Was competitive when 3rd last start at Kilmore. Jockey Lachlan King and trainer Jason Warren must be respected as a team. Can measure up against these.

Gave good account to finish third last month at Kilmore upped to this distance.

RSIS

Ran well when 3rd last run at Kilmore. Lachlan King and Jason Warren are an imposing duo. Definite claims.

8Frank ExpressJ: Liana Wood·T: A Rosolini259.5kg2 3 4 6 435: 4-2-2$9.00$2.70

Career

35: 4-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 2-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 1-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2114m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
22: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1

Last starts

4Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.15L
6Kilmore2000m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44L
4Pakenham Synthetic2200m3 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.9L
3Pakenham Synthetic2200m20 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC2L
2Traralgon2400m2 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.1L
9Warrnambool2000m14 June 2026 · BM56 HWGT · HEAVY1010.7L
6Traralgon2800m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)12.3L
3Mornington2050m25 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT53.8L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Tony Rosolini striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought. Started $21 when battled home in Benchmark 56 company this course. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Started at $21.00 and peaked in the closing stages of the race when 4th last run around here and has a positive draw. Gets back and needs luck. Others are more appealing.

Fourth beaten 6l here over 1m4f (handicap) three weeks ago; has possibilities based on the pick of his form.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and lost momentum when 4th last run here and can find a nice position from the draw. Expected to settle towards the tail. Large claim helps.

9LarryoctaneJ: Damien Thornton·T: Luke Oliver659kg7 5 5 3 521: 2-2-2$18.00$3.80

Career

21: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
6: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 2025m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2350m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Hamilton2200m10 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT50.94L
3Kilmore2000m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.3L
5Moe2050m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY109.3L
5Moe2447m21 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY97.7L
7Bairnsdale2200m13 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT75.1L
8Cranbourne2025m21 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT77.9L
8Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY109.8L
9Moe2447m23 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT720.5L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down with purpose at Hamilton after a market ease. Deep into his campaign, right in the mix.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Started $14.00 and made up ground when 5th last run at Hamilton. Does take a while to get into stride. Hard to see this being good enough.

A close fifth at Hamilton over 1m3f (handicap) last week.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Odds of 13/1 and was making up some late ground when 5th last run at Hamilton. Likely to get back in the run.

10Women In UniformJ: Olivia East·T: Bill Papazaharoudakis859kg3 1 13 6 822: 2-5-2$9.00$2.75

Career

22: 2-5-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Moe
4: 1-2-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
4: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
5: 1-2-0
Distance 1621m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1628m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
11: 2-3-0
Going Soft
7: 0-2-2
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Mornington2050m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.76L
6Geelong1765m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT73.3L
13Sale1400m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT69.6L
1Moe2050m19 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-0.4
3Moe2447m23 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.8L
2Bairnsdale2200m7 Sept 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.2L
9Pakenham Synthetic2200m18 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.3L
5Pakenham Synthetic1600m14 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Mornington over today's trip at $11. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Odds of $11.00 and faded away to finish 8th last start at Mornington but competing in an easier class. Betting is the best guide.

Not beaten too far when eighth at Mornington upped to this distance last month; suited by this C&D; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started 10/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last time at Mornington but dropping in class. Watch the betting.

11African GreyJ: Jake Noonan·T: Julius Sandhu458.5kg6 4 7 9 109: 1-0-1$11.00$3.20

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
4: 1-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2025m
2: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-1

Last starts

10Mornington2050m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.21L
9Mornington2030m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT55.6L
7Sandown2400m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT712.8L
4Seymour2000m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT74.5L
6Cranbourne1600m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94L
10Cranbourne2580m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.1L
7Geelong2418m26 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD34.7L
1Cranbourne2025m31 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.3

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Julius Sandhu striking at just 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Mornington over this distance at $9.50. Looks up against it.

ILB

Was $9.50 and couldn't stay in touch when 10th last time at Mornington but stepping down to a lower level. Expect a forward showing.

Not beaten too far when tenth of 11 at Mornington last month; should figure given there is limited recent form on offer in this race and has been on the scene in the recent past.

RSIS

At 17/2 weakened to finish 10th last run at Mornington but matched against lesser competition. Strong prospects.

12OpusScratched4––––

Career

21: 2-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 2350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
7: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-1

Last starts

10Wodonga2050m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT612.6L
1Bairnsdale2200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.4
4Wodonga2050m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY94.8L
5Wodonga2050m27 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY82.9L
11Mornington2030m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT69.5L
3Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.5L
14Bairnsdale2200m21 July 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT640.36L
12Warrnambool2350m6 July 2025 · 3UP BM58 HWGT HCP · HEAVY6.25L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 48% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 62% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Finished out the back at Wodonga over this journey. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Was $7.00 and tailed off to finish 10th last start at Wodonga. Likely to get back in the run.

Has proven competitive in a race of this nature; last of ten (Wodonga) 47 days ago.

RSIS

Freshened for this. Odds of 6/1 and didn't threaten when 10th last run at Wodonga. Prefers to settle towards the rear.

13KiwiesqueScratched6––––

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1612m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1854m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2015m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Kilmore1600m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.95L
10Seymour2015m13 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.4L
3Kilmore1612m31 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
8Kilmore1450m13 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L
7Ballarat1600m29 June 2025 · BM64 HCP · SOFT78.6L
8Bendigo2200m30 May 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD46L
9Kyneton1854m8 May 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT55.4L
9Sandown1600m9 Apr 2025 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD37.11L

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure for new stable in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Kilmore. Outside place prospect at best.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Started $6.00 and disappointing effort when 8th last time at Wodonga.

Beaten a fair way when eighth at Wodonga upped to this trip yesterday; was entered at Wodonga Saturday.

RSIS

On a short back up. Odds of 5/1 and moderate showing when 8th last start at Wodonga.

Odds correct as at Sun 18 Oct, 3:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 24 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Tue 8 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races