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Moe (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Moe (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 18 OctMoe (VIC)Change

Race 5 — O & M Services Hcp (56) 1000m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Moe for the O and M Services Handicap over the dash-happy 1000m on a Good 4 surface with fine weather overhead. The local punters are lining up to dissect a tricky restricted 56 affair, and the early win market has sorted itself out with Irresistible Sir heading the traditional lists. Hot on the heels of the market leader are Bleak Mid Winter and Rock Glory, with Squazeemoto and Laura's Gold not too far away in the betting order either.

Looking closely at the form behind those shorter prices, Irresistible Sir is sent out to make amends after an unthreatening effort on rain-affected ground at Bairnsdale over this exact trip, with Caitlin Hollowood taking the mount from barrier 3. Bleak Mid Winter resumes here after a thirteen-week break for trainer Ms B Mcphan, tackling Moe third-up in a new region with Jackie Beriman in the saddle from barrier 4. Form suggests this fresh runner has handy capabilities and might sneak into the placings if things pan out nicely.

Further down the speed map, the early pace looks like it could be dictated by the likes of Bleak Mid Winter, Rock Glory, and Squazeemoto, all tagged as leaders in the speed groups. Squazeemoto returns from a fifteen-week spell for Dennis Julius, dropping back from stiffer company last preparation to tackle this fresh assignment from barrier 8 with Bailey Kinninmont aboard. It shapes as an intriguing yarn where the on-pace runners will try and pinch a break before they turn for home.

Race notes

  • 0 - 56,0 - 56 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 56
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Bleak Mid Winter (1)

4.00

Most career wins

The Cruiser

9-7-10 from 81 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 9Laura's Gold

Offmidfield

  • 3Sleeping Tiger
  • 5Moonlight Rustler
  • 10Charming Di

Midfield

  • 4Adiuro

Offpace

  • 8The Cruiser

Onpace

  • 2Irresistible Sir

Leader

  • 7Rock Glory
  • 11Squazeemoto
  • 1Bleak Mid Winter

  • Bleak Mid Winter · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Irresistible Sir · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides

  • Sleeping Tiger · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 217%

  • Adiuro · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Bleak Mid WinterJ: Jackie Beriman·T: Ms B Mcphan460kg2 1 10 6 76: 1-1-1$4.00$1.60

Career

6: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Clare

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1217m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 7Bairnsdale1000m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT73.1L
  2. 6Cranbourne1000m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT72.9L
  3. 10Morphettville1050m10 May 2025 · 3Y BM64 HCP · GOOD48.4L
  4. 1Clare1100m19 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD4-2.39
  5. 2Gawler1100m25 Oct 2024 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.7L
  6. 3Moe1217m18 Aug 2024 · Maiden · SOFT61.52L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (13-weeks). Third run now in new stable/region. Handy fresh horse. Could get into the placings fresh in this affair.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Jumped at $18.00 and came in 7th last run at Bairnsdale. Has the potential to improve sharply. Interesting gear change of ear muffs on first time. Competitive type.

RP

Not had much racing for his age; fair effort when beaten 3l, finishing seventh of 12 (Bairnsdale) in July; chance as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and shown he can get his head in front.

RSIS

Fresh today. At 17/1 ran 7th last time at Bairnsdale. Likely to bounce back. Shows good early pace. Interesting gear change of hood on first time. Expected to be competitive.

2Irresistible SirJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: R C Manning359kg7 10 1 8 847: 4-3-11$4.20$1.65

Career

47: 4-3-11

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-3

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Colac

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Sale

    6: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1005m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1008m

    3: 0-1-2

  • Distance 1200m

    16: 2-2-3

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    14: 0-0-2

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 8Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT74.66L
  2. 8Pakenham Synthetic1000m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.9L
  3. 1Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD3-1.25
  4. 10Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT66.6L
  5. 7Bairnsdale1000m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.3L
  6. 4Sale1000m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65.3L
  7. 3Bairnsdale1000m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT72.5L
  8. 9Sale1005m28 June 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY84.9L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Caitlin Hollowood 39% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $13 when unable to threaten in rain affected going at Bairnsdale over today's trip. Can make amends here.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. At $13.00 appeared lacklustre when 8th last time at Bairnsdale. Has some claims.

RP

Not beaten that far (Bairnsdale) on Monday; others are preferred.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Started 12/1 and appeared lacklustre when 8th last run at Bairnsdale. Could feature here.

3Sleeping TigerJ: Melea Castle·T: Ms R Waymouth758.5kg8 3 2 7 641: 6-6-7$8.00$2.50

Career

41: 6-6-7

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Stony Creek

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Balnarring

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Healesville

    4: 3-1-0

  • Distance 1009m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1012m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1014m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    14: 2-2-3

  • Going Good

    23: 4-3-4

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Moe1000m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.91L
  2. 7Werribee1012m30 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT66.7L
  3. 2Moe1100m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.1L
  4. 3Werribee1100m11 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT51.1L
  5. 8Cranbourne1000m27 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT610.4L
  6. 3Stony Creek1000m8 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT61.4L
  7. 1Yarra Valley1009m21 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-0.5
  8. 9Moe1000m14 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD45.1L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 217%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 22%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 16% POT in L100 Runners

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers this course first run back. Better conditioned. Warrants attention.

ILB

At $13.00 well beaten when 6th last start at this track. Will be trying to topple them late. Keep safe.

RP

Beaten sixth of nine last month; has won over C&D; form is hit and miss; not a great record on second run back after a layoff and others make more appeal.

RSIS

Odds of 12/1 and unimpressive effort when 6th last run at this venue. Has a nice turn of foot. Betting is the best guide.

4AdiuroJ: Mitchell Aitken·T: T Kilgower257kg7 6 3 8 1030: 1-2-3$21.00$3.90

Career

30: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    8: 0-1-0

  • Track Sale

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1205m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1209m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 1-1-3

Last starts

  1. 10Echuca1209m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD49.75L
  2. 8Pakenham Synthetic1200m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC3.4L
  3. 3Bairnsdale1200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52L
  4. 6Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT76.6L
  5. 7Stony Creek1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP CG&E 0 - 56 HCP · HEAVY1010.7L
  6. 1Bairnsdale1200m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT7-0.4
  7. 8Seymour1200m12 Oct 2025 · 4YU MDN-SW · GOOD48.9L
  8. 3Moe1217m23 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT74L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Ex R J Besanko in Victoria. Ridden cold and never in the picture at Echuca. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Odds of $20.00 and not up to scratch when 10th last run at Echuca but drawn nicely. Coming to a new trainer. Potential to run into a place.

RP

Came home tenth, beaten 10l, at Echuca over 6f (handicap) last month; first run for trainer; others are preferred.

RSIS

Was 19/1 and only fair when 10th last time at Echuca but drawn nicely. Racing for a new trainer.

5Moonlight RustlerJ: Jason Maskiell·T: W J Wood1057kg4 6 4 5 1049: 4-4-2$12.00$3.30

Career

49: 4-4-2

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Moe

    11: 1-2-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    11: 1-2-1

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 955m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    35: 4-4-0

  • Going Good

    30: 1-3-2

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    14: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 10Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT76.81L
  2. 5Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.83L
  3. 4Bairnsdale1000m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY82.4L
  4. 6Sale1006m8 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD37.7L
  5. 4Sale1000m29 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · SOFT65.5L
  6. 4Bairnsdale1000m22 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD44.4L
  7. 8Stony Creek1100m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM62 · SOFT68.1L
  8. 5Moe1000m22 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.7L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 48% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 62% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Settled back and didn't figure in rain affected going second-up in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Bairnsdale. Has a tricky draw. Hard to warm to.

ILB

On a quick back up. At $21.00 below standard effort when 10th last start at Bairnsdale. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Knockout chance.

RP

Likes this combination of C&D; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Bairnsdale last November; last of ten (Bairnsdale) six days ago; he can be taken on.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. At 20/1 performed below standard when 10th last start at Bairnsdale. Gets back and needs luck.

6ShyleahScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Casterton Hcp (56) placegetter 30 Aug. Sound effort making only minor gains over today's trip at Coleraine. Right in the mix.

ILB

Jumped at $9.50 and improved when 5th last run at Coleraine.

RSIS

At 17/2 overtook some late when 5th last time at Coleraine.

7Rock GloryJ: Luke Currie·T: Ms S Trolove156kg1 11 10 9 616: 1-2-2$6.50$2.35

Career

16: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Great Western

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1113m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1118m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    10: 1-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Moe1008m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY96.3L
  2. 9Bairnsdale1200m12 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY87.1L
  3. 10Moe1000m28 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY109.1L
  4. 11Moe1214m12 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT720.9L
  5. 1Sale1113m19 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
  6. 7Sale1206m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD38.3L
  7. 9Bairnsdale1000m22 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD417.6L
  8. 3Kyneton1118m10 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Sharyn Trolove striking at just 3%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

First-up (17-weeks). Maps well. Right in the mix fresh in this affair.

ILB

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Odds of $31.00 and finished 6th last time at this track but drawn the rails. Shows good early pace. Have to look elsewhere.

RP

Slumped a bit since winning a maiden at Sale six months ago; held when sixth beaten 6l in June; returning from a layoff here; others more persuasive.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Started 30/1 and finished 6th last start around here but gets the perfect stall. Should muster plenty of early pace.

8The CruiserJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Ms S Trolove656kg4 12 6 8 681: 9-7-10$23.00$4.20

Career

81: 9-7-10

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    7: 1-1-2

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Cairns

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Sale

    13: 1-1-2

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1005m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1006m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    46: 3-4-5

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    27: 3-3-4

Last starts

  1. 6Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT73.7L
  2. 8Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.33L
  3. 6Bairnsdale1000m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY83.4L
  4. 12Sale1008m17 May 2026 · 0-66 · GOOD48.7L
  5. 4Mornington1000m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT61.1L
  6. 7Moe1100m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.3L
  7. 5Werribee1100m11 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT51.3L
  8. 3Bairnsdale1000m22 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD44.3L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 63% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf 51% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 43% POT in last 100 rides

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced in choppy conditions at Bairnsdale second-up. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Came in 6th last run at Bairnsdale. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Bairnsdale (beaten just under 4l) last Monday; respected based on the pick of his form.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Finished 6th last time at Bairnsdale. Watch betting.

9Laura's GoldJ: Zac Spain·T: Mitchell Leek955.5kg5 11 6 9 520: 2-1-1$8.50$2.70

Career

20: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    13: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1013m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1014m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    6: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD41.9L
  2. 9Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD36.08L
  3. 6Casterton1000m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT53.67L
  4. 11Wangaratta1000m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY97.2L
  5. 5Bairnsdale1000m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT72.8L
  6. 7Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.1L
  7. 7Cranbourne1000m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT73.1L
  8. 5Moe1014m12 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT72.9L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought. Latest attempt this journey when reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Ballarat. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Finished 5th last start at Ballarat. Finishes off strongly. Watch betting.

RP

This is her level; solid effort when beaten just under 2l to finish fifth at Ballarat last Friday.

RSIS

Finished 5th last run at Ballarat. Always seems to find the line well. Respect the betting.

10Charming DiJ: Samantha Noble·T: S G Noble554kg6 6 7 5 647: 4-0-2$31.00$5.00

Career

47: 4-0-2

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    7: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1009m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1117m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    20: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    9: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    18: 2-0-2

Last starts

  1. 6Echuca1009m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.73L
  2. 5Warracknabeal1000m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.9L
  3. 7Wodonga1100m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY84.8L
  4. 6Wangaratta1170m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY92.9L
  5. 6Casterton1100m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY83.7L
  6. 5Casterton1000m7 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY81.8L
  7. 8Kilmore1200m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY97.1L
  8. 8Mornington1200m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD35.2L

Insights

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Echuca. Winner at only other start at Moe. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Odds of $19.00 and finished 6th last time at Echuca. Yet to fire this preparation with no placings from 9 runs. Expected to settle towards the tail. Needs to find a lot more.

RP

Useful in this grade and has maintained her consistent level of form; posted respectable effort when beaten just under 2l at Echuca last month; must go on the shortlist as recent display was promising.

RSIS

Odds of 18/1 and ran 6th last time at Echuca. Yet to fire in recent runs. Might have to make up considerable ground.

11SquazeemotoJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: Dennis Julius854kg2 5 7 2 943: 4-6-6$5.50$2.10

Career

43: 4-6-6

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-2

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Track Kerang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Stawell

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1220m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    30: 4-3-4

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Ballarat Synthetic1000m30 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC8.2L
  2. 2Bairnsdale1000m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY81.5L
  3. 7Mornington1000m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT63.6L
  4. 5Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44L
  5. 2Balnarring1008m4 Apr 2026 · Open0.2L
  6. 10Woolamai1008m21 Mar 2026 · Open16.9L
  7. 9Stony Creek1000m8 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT612.4L
  8. 2Moe1000m22 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 5% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Bailey Kinninmont 25% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Resuming (15-weeks). Raced in stiffer company last prep. Leads, handy. Best viewed as a rough place hope fresh in this affair.

ILB

Resuming from a spell. Started at $81.00 and faded to finish 9th last time Ballarat Synthetic. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 (Ballarat) four months ago; he can be competitive at this level.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started 80/1 and faded to finish 9th last time Ballarat Synthetic. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.

12Cheeky DollScratched11––––

Career

12: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1006m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1008m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Bairnsdale1000m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.5L
  2. 5Sale1008m17 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.3L
  3. 9Sale1100m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD312.41L
  4. 7Sale1006m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD38.8L
  5. 11Stony Creek1100m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT67.7L
  6. 7Sale1000m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46L
  7. 6Yarra Valley1000m13 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.8L
  8. 9Moe1000m19 June 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT710.7L

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Bairnsdale. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

First up after a break. Didn't attack the line when 9th last time at Bairnsdale. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Ruby Lamont provides some weight relief.

RP

Finished ninth, beaten 6l, in August (Bairnsdale) in a maiden.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break. Struggled with the pace when 9th last run at Bairnsdale. Likely to settle back in the field. Ruby Lamont provides some weight relief.

13Bring The ThunderScratched6––––

Career

8: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Traralgon

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1017m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.3L
  2. 5Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT61.9L
  3. 2Moe1000m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY100.4L
  4. 6Moe1017m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY92.5L
  5. 6Ballarat Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.1L
  6. 1Hanging Rock1000m1 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.5
  7. 7Kyneton1203m11 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN SW · GOOD44.9L
  8. 7Traralgon1100m30 Nov 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · HEAVY92L

Insights

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

Close up in sound performance 3yo+ Hcp (56) at Kilmore. Lone victory was over this trip. Profiles well.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Jumped at $15.00 and was ordinary when 9th last time at Bendigo.

RP

Wasn't at his best last time out following some good runs; beaten 6l into ninth at Bendigo yesterday; held an entry at Bendigo Saturday.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 14/1 and fairly underwhelming when 9th last run at Bendigo.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 24 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Tue 8 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races