Illawarra Grange (NSW) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 1:50 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Illawarra Grange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 1 Oct, 10:00 am AEST

Meetings · Thu, 1 OctIllawarra Grange (NSW)Change

Race 8 — Henry Clive Bar (Bm64) 1150m · jumps Thu 1 Oct, 5:30 pm AEST

Race notes

3yo+,BM64,BM64 HCP,Benchmark 64
GOOD4
Fine
7 runners

Shortest win price

Centimetre (9)

3.40

Most career wins

Los Padres

6-0-8 from 36 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1Los Padres

Midfield

8Nymphadora
11Zoukerino

Onpace

3Premium

Leader

4Epic
7Dragon Blood
9Centimetre

Los Padres · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Premium · Negative
Trainer SR
Gary Portelli striking at just 4%
Epic · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Dragon Blood · Negative
Jockey Booking
Tom Sherry current POT is 35% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Los PadresJ: Deon Le Roux·T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter862kg5 6 9 6 336: 6-0-8$8.00$3.30

Career

36: 6-0-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 1-0-2
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-1
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
13: 2-0-3
Going Good
17: 3-0-3
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-2
Going Soft
13: 2-0-3

Last starts

3Hawkesbury1100m10 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD41.8L
6Nowra900m10 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)2.3L
9Hawkesbury1100m2 May 2026 · BM78 · GOOD44.5L
6Rosehill1100m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.7L
5Albury1175m19 Mar 2026 · CITY HCP BM94 · SOFT71.4L
3Randwick1100m28 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · SOFT51L
1Sapphire Coast1200m1 Feb 2026 · BEGASPRINT · SOFT6-0.2
7Kembla Grange1300m22 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT74.6L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Came home hot on their heels to grab third Midway (Bm64) at Hawkesbury off spell. New to Illawarra Grange. Each way.

ILB

Improved to place when 3rd last time at Hawkesbury. Always seems to find the line well. Large claim helps. Definite contender.

Finishing third was a good effort three weeks ago at Hawkesbury; he can be taken on as poor record running for the second time after an absence.

RSIS

Good effort to finish 3rd last time at Hawkesbury. Will be hitting the line strongly. Large claim helps. Significant value and can go close.

2DonwonScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here

Comments

AAP

Under a passive ride and ran on evenly Provincial (Bm64) at Newcastle. Placed only time this t/d. Keep safe.

ILB

Started at $12.00 and picked up some late ground when 4th last start at Newcastle.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and kept chasing when 4th last start at Newcastle.

3PremiumJ: Alysha Collett·T: G Portelli660kg1 8 7 2 27: 2-2-0$9.00$3.60

Career

7: 2-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0

Last starts

2Illawarra Grange1150m17 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.5L
2Warwick Farm795m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L
7Warwick Farm819m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.7L
8Hawkesbury1100m8 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD49.5L
1Gosford1200m14 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT5-1
1Wyong1000m21 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD4-1.1
10Warwick Farm1200m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD410.1L
2Canterbury1100m23 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT50.3L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Gary Portelli striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 49%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 37% Profit on Turnover
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Kept grinding away for the minors this track off extended spell. Better for the outing. Strikes a race she can win.

ILB

Looked good when 2nd last run around here. Looks highly doubtful.

Not beaten far when runner-up at 40-1 just ahead of Dragon Blood last month; should go close.

RSIS

Did well when 2nd last time around here.

4EpicJ: Ashley Morgan·T: M, W & J Hawkes158.5kg1 1 1 4 75: 1-0-0$6.00$2.65

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 1-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Wyong1100m4 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.1L
4Newcastle900m22 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.8L
1Newcastle900m1 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.2
1Rosehill900m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-1
1Rosehill900m30 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-0.2
5Warwick Farm1100m26 Jan 2026 · 3Y C&G MDN SW · GOOD411.1L
7Randwick Kensington1150m14 Jan 2026 · Maiden · GOOD45.7L
5Rosehill900m2 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial2.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 27 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Wyong. Can show early speed. Can challenge.

ILB

Started $7.00 and faded away to finish 7th last run at Wyong but drawn well. Should be going forward early. Not at all out of this race.

Not beaten too far when seventh of 11 at Wyong last month; others are preferred.

RSIS

Was 6/1 and weakened to finish 7th last time at Wyong but can save some energy from the stall. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Could be in the mix.

5Can't Touch ThisScratched3––––

Career

16: 4-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-1
Track Gosford
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 2-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 2-0-0

Last starts

9Tuncurry1200m11 Sept 2026 · BM74 · GOOD37L
8Warwick Farm819m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.9L
5Kembla Grange1300m28 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD44.4L
4Newcastle1350m15 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT53.2L
3Wyong1200m20 Dec 2025 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD41.6L
1Gosford1200m22 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.1
6Kembla Grange1200m4 Nov 2025 · BM64 · GOOD44.4L
1Nowra1200m19 Oct 2025 · BM66 · GOOD3-1

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Finished well held at Tuncurry off long spell. First time around Illawarra Grange. Latest below par and lift required.

ILB

Was $8.00 and well beaten when 9th last start at Tuncurry. Has shown early pace in races to date.

Has achieved four wins from 16 career runs; finished ninth of 12 at Tuncurry 20 days ago.

RSIS

Started 7/1 and gave away some ground when 9th last time at Tuncurry. Should muster plenty of early pace.

6Miss ScandalScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (16-weeks). Close in Maiden company at Canterbury first-up last campaign. Key contender fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up from a spell. Controlled the pace to win by a margin of a nose last run at Canterbury but up in class.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Set the pace when winning by a margin of a nose last start at Canterbury and getting better in recent performances. Challenged by more formidable competitors.

7Dragon BloodJ: Tom Sherry·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald1056.5kg4 2 2 1 33: 1-1-1$3.60$1.85

Career

3: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Wyong
1: 1-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Illawarra Grange1150m17 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD43L
1Wyong1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.4
2Hawkesbury1100m20 Aug 2026 · Maiden · SOFT61.5L
2Warwick Farm786m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.3L
4Rosehill900m24 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.7L
3Warwick Farm795m20 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)2.7L
5Scone800m19 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial15.9L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Tom Sherry current POT is 35% below Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Wyong 4 Sep. Gave good sight filling the minors this venue over today's trip. Worth a look.

ILB

Looked good when 3rd last time at this track and putting a tidy record together so far. Expecting to settle positively. Worth strong consideration.

Creditable effort (went off 11-1) to finish third last month when just behind Premium; this just his fourth race; definite chance as shown he can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Placed 3rd last time at this track and showing consistent performance in races. Should muster plenty of early toe. Has not missed the money of late in 3 attempts. Major chance.

8NymphadoraJ: Keagan Latham·T: Stephen O'Halloran555.5kg7 8 5 6 126: 2-2-6$5.00$2.35

Career

26: 2-2-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Canterbury
2: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 1-0-3

Last starts

1Goulburn1100m11 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD4-1.2
6Hawkesbury1100m11 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT56.1L
5Hawkesbury800m27 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.5L
8Canterbury1550m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.9L
7Rosehill1400m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.8L
3Kembla Grange1400m21 Mar 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT73.6L
5Hawkesbury1400m7 Mar 2026 · Class 5 · SOFT55.2L
2Canterbury1250m13 Feb 2026 · 4UP MARES BM64 HCP · GOOD43L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -57% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 25%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Produced best late from the back half to win in Class 2 company at Goulburn second-up. Stays under strong notice for this.

ILB

Stormed home to win last start at Goulburn. Will run close.

Returned to winning ways when winning by just over 1l (Goulburn) last month; despite that Goulburn success, others make more appeal.

RSIS

Picked up nicely to win last run at Goulburn. Will go close today.

9CentimetreJ: Dylan Gibbons·T: John O'Shea & Tom Charlton255kg4 4 11: 1-0-0$3.40$1.80

Career

1: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Goulburn1200m11 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-0.6
4Randwick1045m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2L
4Randwick740m14 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.7L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Dylan Gibbons winning at 25% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Impressed in his first outing running on in good style to score when in the market. Dylan Gibbons retains the ride. Can take the next step.

ILB

Ran over the top of them when winning last start at Goulburn and having second race start. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Gets a chance against these.

Gained narrow success at Goulburn first time out at 15-8 last month; the stable is going well and this only his second handicap outing; holds leading claims.

RSIS

Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last start at Goulburn and was a debutant last start. Should come to hand quickly. Has a good draw. Facing formidable rivals. Win will not surprise.

10BarginoScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Corowa. First time around Illawarra Grange. Stiffer test here and drawn deep.

ILB

Odds of $16.00 and not competitive when 7th last time at Corowa.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and mediocre attempt when 7th last run at Corowa.

11ZoukerinoJ: Louise Day·T: J C Coyle455kg11 7 7 10 339: 2-3-2$19.00$5.00

Career

39: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
6: 1-0-0
Track Canterbury
6: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
17: 2-2-0
Going Good
22: 0-3-2
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
12: 1-0-0

Last starts

3Kembla Grange1200m12 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD41.2L
10Wyong1100m30 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD46.1L
7Randwick1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
7Kembla Grange1000m25 July 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.4L
11Wyong1000m4 July 2026 · BM64 HCP · SOFT77.9L
9Randwick1000m20 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.4L
4Warwick Farm791m9 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.2L
3Warwick Farm740m25 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC1.3L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought. Handily placed and gave his all at Kembla Grange as an odds drifter. First time around Illawarra Grange. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Ran 3rd last time at Kembla Grange. Prefer others.

Wasn't disgraced when third of nine at Kembla Grange three weeks ago; a while since his last success.

RSIS

Came in 3rd last run at Kembla Grange.

12KazotskyScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure in the Country Boosted (Bm66) at Corowa. First time around Illawarra Grange. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Uncompetitive when 8th last start at Corowa.

RSIS

Underwhelming when 8th last time at Corowa.

Odds correct as at Thu 1 Oct, 5:30 pm AEST. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races