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Illawarra Grange (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Illawarra Grange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 1 Oct, 10:00 am AEST

Meetings · Thu, 1 OctIllawarra Grange (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Amigos Provincial Mdn Plate 1450m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to the Illawarra Grange for the Amigos Provincial Mdn Plate over the 1450m journey on a fine day with a good four track rating. The win market order has shaped up with Creator Of World sitting at the head of affairs, closely followed by Neferusobek, Harrythewiz, and Gold Earth rounding out the early fancies in betting. Punters looking for a yarn in the opening event have plenty of differing form lines to weigh up across a provincial field full of contenders searching for that elusive maiden breakthrough.

Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Creator Of World comes in with solid credentials after racing on the pace before conceding late over 1400m at Kembla Grange following a previous effort at the same track over 1200m. The stable runner previously performed really well at this course and trip, suggesting a strong challenge could be on the cards despite a cold jockey and trainer combination. Meanwhile, Gold Earth arrives here after running on okay without troubling the winner over 1500m at Hawkesbury, following a similar effort at Muswellbrook, and despite drawing deep in barrier 10, the runner warrants some attention in this company according to the assessments.

Further down the line, Harrythewiz returns for a second campaign after a thirty-five-week spell, having previously raced for the C Maher stable in Queensland and tuning up with a couple of trials at Wyong and Hawkesbury where the runner finished midfield. Neferusobek kicks off a second campaign following a nineteen-week break with a quiet trial under its belt, usually getting back in its races but holding a lone placing over this exact trip to catch the eye of observant punters. With speed groups showing runners like Creator Of World, Classic Two, The Hard Road, and Waking Resources pushing forward on the pace, this 1450m affair sets up as an intriguing tactical battle for the punters to dissect.

Race notes

  • 4yo+,Maiden,PROV 4UP MDN-SW,PROV 4Y+ MDN-SW
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 11 runners

Shortest win price

Creator Of World (2)

3.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 10Neferusobek

Offmidfield

  • 11Rubilace

Midfield

  • 4Harrythewiz
  • 3Gold Earth

Offpace

  • 8Audacity

Onpace

  • 6Waking Resources
  • 2Creator Of World
  • 5The Hard Road
  • 1Classic Two

Leader

  • 7Alideel
  • 9Double Rainbow

  • Classic Two · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.

  • Creator Of World · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gold Earth · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Harrythewiz · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 31% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Classic TwoJ: Rory Hutchings·T: R A Bailey459kg9 5 3 2 39: 0-1-3$8.00$2.45

Career

9: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Taree

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    6: 0-1-2

  • Distance 1625m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1350m

    4: 0-1-2

  • Going Good

    5: 0-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Wyong1350m4 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD41.1L
  2. 2Wyong1350m16 Aug 2026 · Maiden · GOOD45.3L
  3. 3Wyong1350m2 Aug 2026 · Maiden · GOOD42.1L
  4. 5Wyong1300m23 July 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT74.6L
  5. 9Taree1600m30 June 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY911.1L
  6. 6Gosford1600m18 June 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY89.2L
  7. 7Wyong1625m7 June 2026 · Maiden · SOFT55.3L
  8. 5Wyong1350m30 Apr 2026 · Maiden · GOOD41.2L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Rory Hutchings 20% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 310%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 29%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Honest

    Positive

    Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Form around the mark. Solid performance in defeat in the 4yo+ Midway Mdn Plate at Wyong. Drawn to get a conservative run. Right in this.

ILB

Finished strongly when 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Wyong. Good chance in this.

RP

Good effort when just over 1l third over 6½f at Wyong (maiden) last month; recent form has a decent look to it; still winless and defeats stacking up (14 on the bounce).

RSIS

Strong effort when placing 3rd beaten by 1L last start at Wyong. Solid claims.

2Creator Of WorldJ: Alysha Collett·T: Ross Mcconville759kg7 3 2 7 611: 0-3-1$3.00$1.34

Career

11: 0-3-1

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Illawarra Grange

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    8: 0-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 6Kembla Grange1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD42.9L
  2. 7Kembla Grange1200m29 Aug 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD44.6L
  3. 2Illawarra Grange1450m30 July 2026 · MDN SW · GOOD41L
  4. 3Kembla Grange1200m16 July 2026 · 3yo · GOOD41.8L
  5. 7Randwick Kensington1150m1 July 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY85.5L
  6. 2Kembla Grange1200m20 June 2026 · MDN HCP · SOFT50.5L
  7. 1Kembla Grange800m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.3
  8. 7Warwick Farm1400m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.2L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On pace but conceded late at Kembla Grange. Performed really well only other go this course and trip. Can challenge.

ILB

At $10.00 faded to finish 6th last run at Kembla Grange. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Interesting gear change of winkers off first time. Solid chance.

RP

Winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 11 and not the most consistent of horses lately; close up behind Alideel when sixth in a handicap (Kembla Grange) last month.

RSIS

Started at 9/1 and didn't threaten when 6th last start at Kembla Grange. Has the ability to turn things around. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

3Gold EarthJ: Tom Sherry·T: T Wong1059kg2 6 2 5 46: 0-2-0$7.50$2.45

Career

6: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Hawkesbury1500m10 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD42.9L
  2. 5Muswellbrook1500m9 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.3L
  3. 2Bathurst1400m28 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD30.2L
  4. 6Gosford1000m9 July 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY106.5L
  5. 2Hawkesbury1000m29 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)0.8L
  6. 5Nowra1200m15 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY811.4L
  7. 2Nowra1200m8 Feb 2026 · MDN HCP · HEAVY92L
  8. 3Hawkesbury1000m23 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial0.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Hawkesbury. Drawn deep but warrants some attention.

ILB

Jumped at $13.00 and overtook some late when 4th last run at Hawkesbury. Suited against these.

RP

Without a win in six attempts although has finished second; fair effort (beaten 3l) last month at Hawkesbury in a handicap; recent effort was creditable so warrants respect.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and ran past a few when 4th last run at Hawkesbury. Will go close here.

4HarrythewizJ: Tyler Schiller·T: Marc Chevalier559kg5 4 7 5 54: 0-0-0$6.50$2.25

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Beaudesert

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Wyong1200m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
  2. 5Hawkesbury1250m24 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.1L
  3. 7Gold Coast1400m23 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49.1L
  4. 4Beaudesert1200m31 Dec 2025 · MDN · GOOD35.9L
  5. 5Sunshine Coast1200m14 Dec 2025 · 3YC&G MDN · GOOD45.1L
  6. 6Wyong1100m16 Nov 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.7L
  7. 3Kembla Grange780m5 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial5.3L
  8. 3Hawkesbury800m21 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial0.4L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 31% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Tyler Schiller 30% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 147%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (35-weeks). Ex C Maher in QLD. Tuned up with a couple of trials. Only for the minors here fresh in this affair.

ILB

Racing fresh after a break of 35 weeks. Jumped at $26.00 and was ordinary when 7th last time at Gold Coast. Cannot have today.

RP

Best he's managed so far is fourth from four career starts; beaten 9l (seventh) at Gold Coast in January; first start for new trainer; returning from a layoff here; passed over.

RSIS

Resuming after a 35 week break. Started 25/1 and mediocre performance when 7th last run at Gold Coast. Tongue strap go off for the first time.

5The Hard RoadJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: Joseph Ible159kg6 4 7 6 43: 0-0-0$20.00$3.90

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Nowra1200m20 Sept 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD44L
  2. 6Illawarra Grange800m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.7L
  3. 7Goulburn1500m27 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD46.7L
  4. 4Goulburn1200m11 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.6L
  5. 6Hawkesbury800m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)2.5L
  6. 6Kembla Grange800m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)4.4L
  7. 7Hawkesbury800m21 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial9.1L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 47% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jean Van Overmeire 57% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 18% POT in L100 Runners

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Off pace and failed to make an impression at Nowra first run back. Fitter second-up. Place preferred option.

ILB

Was $26.00 and ran 4th last start at Nowra but has drawn the rails. Looking elsewhere.

RP

Fair effort when beaten 4l, finishing fourth of ten over 6f at Nowra (maiden) last month; others more appealing.

RSIS

Was 25/1 and came in 4th last time at Nowra but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

6Waking ResourcesJ: Ellen Hennessy·T: Stephen O'Halloran859kg2 7 7 1 83: 0-0-0$8.00$2.50

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Hawkesbury1100m10 Sept 2026 · CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD44.5L
  2. 1Hawkesbury800m24 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.3
  3. 7Kembla Grange1400m17 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD47L
  4. 7Kembla Grange1300m28 Jan 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD43.1L
  5. 2Hawkesbury1000m15 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial0.2L
  6. 4Kembla Grange1150m2 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial6L
  7. 3Hawkesbury800m17 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial9.1L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Ellen Hennessy current POT is 67% below Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 76% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Hawkesbury first-up. Better for the outing. Quick rise in trip. Prefer to see another.

ILB

At $101.00 appeared lacklustre when 8th last time at Hawkesbury but going up in trip. Rough chance today.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten 4½l in eighth) at Hawkesbury over 5½f (maiden) last month; excuses last time (crowded) and by no means ruled out.

RSIS

At 100/1 not in contention when 8th last start at Hawkesbury but racing over a longer distance.

7AlideelJ: Grant Buckley·T: Peter D Green657kg5 12 7 5 57: 0-0-0$19.00$3.90

Career

7: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Kembla Grange1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD42.5L
  2. 5Bathurst1200m17 Aug 2026 · F&M MDN · HEAVY82.4L
  3. 7Hawkesbury1000m27 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.7L
  4. 12Newcastle1400m20 Nov 2025 · MID MDN · SOFT59.2L
  5. 5Wyong845m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial5.4L
  6. 10Newcastle1500m25 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD48.33L
  7. 6Newcastle1250m10 Jan 2025 · Maiden · SOFT66.16L
  8. 4Port Macquarie1000m29 Dec 2024 · Maiden · GOOD43.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -53% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unplaced but she has shown enough on occasions and worked home soundly at Kembla Grange. Blinkers are off today. Could give some cheek.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and came in 5th last time at Kembla Grange. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Looks too tough.

RP

Normally pretty consistent and lightly raced for age; respectable effort to finish fifth, beaten 2½l last month at Kembla Grange in a handicap; she has a shout if backing up last run.

RSIS

At 100/1 finished 5th last start at Kembla Grange. Should race on the pace. Blinkers go off for the first time.

8AudacityJ: Reece Jones·T: Sam Harris957kg6 8 7 5 93: 0-0-0$101.00$12.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Hawkesbury1500m10 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD413.4L
  2. 5Scone1300m17 Aug 2026 · MDN · SOFT55.3L
  3. 7Newcastle1200m26 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.1L
  4. 8Randwick Kensington850m18 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial5.5L
  5. 6Canterbury890m2 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial6.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 36% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Led, knocked up badly at Hawkesbury when second-up. Breaks from an outside gate. Has work cut out.

ILB

Jumped at $51.00 and gave away some ground when 9th last start at Hawkesbury. Cannot make a case for.

RP

Still searching for first win after three tries; behind Gold Earth when beaten 13l 21 days ago at Hawkesbury in a handicap; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

At 50/1 faded away to finish 9th last start at Hawkesbury.

9Double RainbowJ: Andrew Adkins·T: K J Parker1157kg5 8 4 10 84: 0-0-0$41.00$6.00

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Illawarra Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Illawarra Grange1150m17 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD43.6L
  2. 10Wyong1100m30 Aug 2026 · Maiden · GOOD47.8L
  3. 4Illawarra Grange800m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.1L
  4. 8Goulburn1000m11 Mar 2025 · Maiden · GOOD42.83L
  5. 5Kembla Grange1000m25 Feb 2025 · Class 1 · SOFT59.4L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced this venue when second-up. Added journey should assist. All the better and and goes into multiples.

ILB

Started at $151.00 and lacked competitiveness when 8th last start at this venue. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide alley. Cannot recommend as a betting proposition.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten 3½l in eighth) last month in a handicap; holds major claims.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and not competitive when 8th last time around here. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw.

10NeferusobekJ: Winona Costin·T: Ms D Poidevin-Laine357kg2 15 6 7 57: 0-1-0$5.00$1.90

Career

7: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    7: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Kembla Grange1600m16 May 2026 · MID MDN-SW · SOFT53.6L
  2. 7Kembla Grange1600m9 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD43.2L
  3. 6Kembla Grange1500m18 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT53.6L
  4. 15Kembla Grange1600m13 Mar 2026 · 3yo · SOFT68.4L
  5. 2Kembla Grange1500m24 Feb 2026 · MID MDN · GOOD40.1L
  6. 4Kembla Grange1300m28 Jan 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD41.9L
  7. 9Kembla Grange1300m3 Jan 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.9L
  8. 7Kembla Grange800m2 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial6.8L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 54% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (19-weeks). Had a quiet trial. Usually gets back but lone placing was this trip. Check markets.

ILB

Fresh after a break. Was $14.00 and got going late when 5th last start at Kembla Grange. Ran 6th in a trial around here on Sept 3rd. Hard to warm to.

RP

Winless in seven starts but has shown promise with second her top showing; finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) over 1m at Kembla Grange (maiden) in May; back from an absence here; passed over.

RSIS

Back from a break. Odds of 13/1 and improved late to finish 5th last start at Kembla Grange. Finished 6th in a trial at this venue on Sept 3rd.

11RubilaceJ: Jess Taylor·T: Ms T Bateup257kg7 5 4 5 717: 0-2-1$31.00$4.80

Career

17: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    8: 0-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Wagga1200m27 Aug 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY107.9L
  2. 5Kembla Grange1400m21 Mar 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT74.9L
  3. 4Kembla Grange1400m13 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT61.2L
  4. 5Wyong1200m26 Feb 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · SOFT52.6L
  5. 7Sapphire Coast1200m31 Jan 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.3L
  6. 4Kembla Grange1200m22 Jan 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT74.5L
  7. 5Moruya1200m5 Jan 2026 · Maiden · GOOD41.5L
  8. 2Sapphire Coast1212m8 June 2025 · MDN HCP · SOFT60.1L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 84% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jess Taylor 92% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -25%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Jess Taylor in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 92%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 35 days

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh. Failed to threaten on a H10 at Wagga off long break under sustained support. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

Started $4.40 and underperformed when 7th last run at Wagga. Looking for an improved run and has a good draw. Should get going late. Very tidy performer.

RP

Still winless and defeats stacking up (18 on the bounce); beaten 8l in a handicap at Wagga 35 days ago; others more likely.

RSIS

Started at 10/3 and moderate showing when 7th last start at Wagga. Happy to forgive that run and will try to take advantage of the stall. Suited against these.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races