Shortest win price
Unhinged (6)
1.80
Welcome to Illawarra Grange for the Wests Illawarra - Your Next Stop Super Mdn Plate over the 1400m journey on a good 4 surface. The win market lines up with Unhinged holding down the top of the order, closely followed by Cotoletta Cut, I Am Dynasty, and Cloudy Scout rounding out the early fancies in what shaped as an intriguing maiden puzzle on a fine afternoon.
Looking into the form behind those shorter prices, Unhinged represents the stable of C J Waller with James Mc Donald in the saddle from barrier 10, bringing a rating of 100 after a solid runner-up finish at Randwick Kensington over 1550m and looking sharp as an on-pacer. Meanwhile, I Am Dynasty for Brad Widdup and Chad Schofield comes off a bold debut effort when just shaded by the winner at this track over 1300m, suggesting the experience will leave this runner ready to make an impact. Cotoletta Cut also carries the Waller polish and Jason Collett steer from barrier 8, showing sound promise in two runs including a third at Randwick Kensington.
Further down the order, other runners provide interesting angles, such as Cloudy Scout from the Richard and Will Freedman yard drawing barrier 4 with a barrier trial win at Rosehill under their belt to top off debut preparations. With speed maps showing Cotoletta Cut taking up a leading role and Unhinged pushing forward on the pace, punters had plenty of narrative threads to follow in a race where the early form lines held strong value.
Shortest win price
Unhinged (6)
1.80
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Firststart
Onpace
Leader
Almaaz · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Fly The Wind · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Zouallo · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Unhinged · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Career
5: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (25-weeks). Sound form first prep including a narrow miss at Rosehill. Given two trials. Can give a sight fresh.
ILB
Back from a spell. Started $6.00 and average effort when 8th last run at Hawkesbury but good career start. Ran 3rd in a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Sept 22nd. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Shown recent signs of improvement; not beaten that far in a handicap (Hawkesbury) in April; returning from a layoff here; passed over.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break. Was 5/1 and basic showing when 8th last run at Hawkesbury but solid career start. Watch betting.
Career
5: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-1-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
AAP
Game effort at Tuncurry over this journey. Gets the inside draw. Each way.
ILB
Came on strongly when 2nd last time at Tuncurry and has a nice advantage with a good gate. Likely to get back. Has some claims.
RP
Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; ran well when beaten three-quarters of a length (Tuncurry) last month in a handicap.
RSIS
Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last time at Tuncurry and can save some energy from the draw. Might have to make up considerable ground. Could be in the mix.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 31% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Tyler Schiller 30% above market expected in L100 Rides
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Gave a sight on debut this venue under sustained support 17 Sep. Experience a positive. Only for exotics.
ILB
Started at $7.50 and finished 4th last time at this venue but was on debut last time.
RSIS
Started 13/2 and came in 4th last start at this venue but fitter for debut run.
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Trials (3:1-0-0). $90k yearling. Dam was a Singapore Horse Of The Year and has produced Silver Shadow winner Formality among seven winners. Stronger showing in latest Warwick Farm trial 15 Sep. Big watch.
ILB
Gary Portelli trained 3yo by Fastnet Rock having first race start. Betting as a guide.
RP
Related to 6f winner Minato; racing education begins here for this son of Fastnet Rock; strong contender with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
3yo by Fastnet Rock on debut for Gary Portelli.
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Jean Van Overmeire 57% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). $60k yearling. Dam unraced. First foal to race. Wasn't all that far away in only trial Moruya. Drawn well. Hard to dive into on debut.
ILB
3yo debutant by Zousain for trainer Theresa Bateup. Finished 4th in a barrier trial at Moruya on Sept 15th. Watch betting.
RP
Shares a dam with Zouqua, a 6f winner; already a gelding; first competitive racecourse experience; one to take seriously with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
3yo debutant sired by Zousain for trainer Theresa Bateup. Ran 4th in a trial at Moruya on Sept 15th.
Career
4: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
2: 0-1-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-2-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Promising Snitzel 3-year-old. Found enough to place in small field at Randwick-Kensington second-up. On pacer. Sharper now, high on the shortlist.
ILB
Was strong late when 2nd last run at Randwick Kensington and putting a tidy record together. Gains the services of jockey James Mcdonald. Will not be far away.
RP
Beaten narrowly last month at Randwick where just ahead of Cotoletta Cut upped to 7½f in a handicap.
RSIS
Flashed home late into 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Randwick Kensington and promising career start. Great to see jockey James Mcdonald taking the ride. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Okay at latest when settled back. Strips fitter. Place preferred option.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Placed 3rd last time at Rosehill and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Ran well when 3rd last start at Rosehill and on an upward trajectory in recent races.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Firststart
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 14% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 27% in L100 rides
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Bold debut effort when just shaded by winner this track 17 Sep at $3.50. Better for experience. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Right up there last time at this track and was on debut last time. Good winning chance.
RP
Just denied on his debut here over 6½f at 5-2 last month; couldn't rule out improvement although wouldn't get too carried away.
RSIS
Close to claiming the win last time at this track and was a debutant last start. Should go very close.
Career
2: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Shown promise in two runs. Sound performance in small field at Randwick-Kensington at second outing. Improver, fitter third-up. Among the dangers again.
ILB
Faded in the late stages of the race when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Randwick Kensington. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide draw. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Creditable effort to finish third, beaten less than a length when close behind Unhinged (Randwick) three weeks ago in a handicap.
RSIS
Even though fading at the finish still placed 3rd last time at Randwick Kensington. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-1
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Supported in early runs. Solid debut placing E&G Mdn Plate at Kembla Grange 29 Aug. Off the speed, picked up soundly and wasn't beaten far at Canterbury at second start. All the better, can play a role.
ILB
Started at $4.00 and was well beaten when 5th last start at Canterbury.
RP
Respectable effort over 6f at Canterbury (handicap) 15 days ago; the trainer continues to be among winners recently; shown he can be competitive fairly recently and likely to be in contention.
RSIS
Started 3/1 and looked outclassed when 5th last start at Canterbury.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Hot Trainer
Positive
Clarry Conners in good form, out performing market 25%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Battled to make a major impact. In close proximity when battled home this venue. Looks up against it.
ILB
At $101.00 had difficulty when 8th last time at the track but drawn nicely. Seems unlikely.
RP
Behind I Am Dynasty two weeks ago when beaten 3½l in eighth in a handicap; attempting to open his account at the sixth time of asking; others more likely.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and lacked competitiveness when 8th last start around here but has a positive stall.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 49%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 37% Profit on Turnover
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (17-weeks). Failed to excite in first campaign. Seen in two trials since. Well beaten in two runs to date. Others with more appeal.
ILB
First up. Started $14.00 and underwhelming when 8th last time around here. Yet to place in all trials. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Won't find this easy.
RP
Last of eight here over 6½f (maiden) in May; returns from a layoff; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
First run back. At 13/1 had difficulty when 8th last run around here. Unplaced in all trials. Likely to get back in the run.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
AAP
Put in some big strides late this track at second start. Warrants attention.
ILB
Did well when 2nd last time at the track.
RSIS
Placed 2nd last run here.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 84% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Marc & Mitchell Conners striking at just 7%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jess Taylor 92% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jess Taylor in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 92%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (22-weeks). A long way off them at Kembla Grange on debut as a despised outsider. Since given 2 trials. Must show more this time in and hard to entertain without market support.
ILB
Resuming after a break. Was $101.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 10th last start at Kembla Grange but having second race start. Has not placed in multiple barrier trials. Not ready for this level.
RP
Well beaten behind the runner-up, Unhinged, when beaten 12l on her debut at Kembla Grange over 6½f at 100-1 five months ago; back from an absence here; warrants consideration.
RSIS
First run back today. Was 100/1 and gave away some ground when 10th last run at Kembla Grange but having second career run. Yet to place in multiple trials.
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Trials (4:1-1-1). Cost $30k. Dam a 3/4 sister to More Joyous. Latest trial win at Rosehill will have topped her off nicely for debut. Gets a soft draw. Follow betting leads.
ILB
3yo first starter by Trapeze Artist for Richard Freedman & Will Freedman. Won a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Sept 8th. Respect the betting.
RP
Shares a dam with Naval Chief, a 1m winner; stable can ready one first time out; sire's stock can be smart performers; also engaged in race 3 at Illawarra Grange.
RSIS
First start at the races 3yo by Trapeze Artist for trainer Richard Freedman & Will Freedman. Won a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Sept 8th. Watch the market.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (19-weeks). From top stable however had no answers when the pressure went on at Warwick Farm debut 20 May. Aided by 2 lead-in trials but plenty of improvement needed.
ILB
Fresh after a spell. Weakened under pressure when 14th last run at Warwick Farm on a heavy surface but was a debutant last start.
RP
Seemed to find life tough on his debut four months ago at Warwick Farm; could be more streetwise here; returns from a break today; also engaged in race 4 at Illawarra Grange.
RSIS
Resuming. Struggled with the pace when 14th last run at Warwick Farm on a heavy track but was a debutant last start.