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Illawarra Grange (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Illawarra Grange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 1 Oct, 10:00 am AEST

Meetings · Thu, 1 OctIllawarra Grange (NSW)Change

Race 6 — Plumbing The Gong (Bm64) 2000m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM64,BM64 HCP,Benchmark 64
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Sonic Bender (2)

2.50

Most career wins

Marsabit

6-7-9 from 92 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 1Can't Recall One

Offmidfield

  • 7Meritage

Midfield

  • 2Sonic Bender
  • 3Kirkuk

Offpace

  • 6Powerful Prayer

Onpace

  • 5Super Sugoi
  • 10My Greek God

Leader

  • 8Mah Ali
  • 9Marsabit
  • Can't Recall One · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Sonic Bender · Negative

    Early Splits

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Kirkuk · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Regan Bayliss current POT is 11% below Career Avg.

  • Super Sugoi · Positive

    Trainer ROI

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Can't Recall OneJ: Adam Farragher·T: Matthew Smith558.5kg7 11 11 3 120: 3-0-4$6.50$2.05

Career

20: 3-0-4

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Eagle Farm

    5: 2-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    8: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    13: 3-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Tuncurry2100m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.2
  2. 3Kembla Grange1600m29 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41L
  3. 11Kembla Grange1600m15 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD44L
  4. 11Newcastle1400m1 Aug 2026 · BM64 · SOFT512.1L
  5. 7Warwick Farm1202m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)13.9L
  6. 7Warwick Farm1600m18 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.9L
  7. 8Gosford2100m5 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.7L
  8. 9Newcastle1850m24 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down strongly from back half to salute in the 3yo+ BM66 2100m at Tuncurry. Back in top form and looks hard to beat again.

ILB

Rocketed home when winning last run at Tuncurry. Displays good closing speed. Could feature here.

RP

Landed a narrow success in a handicap at Tuncurry upped to 1m2½f three weeks ago; major player.

RSIS

Strong effort to the line to win last start at Tuncurry. Finishes off strongly. Could be in the mix.

2Sonic BenderJ: James Mc Donald·T: C J Waller858.5kg11 4 8 10 37: 1-0-1$2.50$1.24

Career

7: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1850m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Newcastle1850m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · GOOD34.08L
  2. 10Kembla Grange1400m29 Aug 2026 · CL1 · GOOD48L
  3. 8Warwick Farm1208m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)13.1L
  4. 4Warwick Farm1200m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.9L
  5. 11Caulfield2400m11 Apr 2026 · 3Y-SWP · SOFT76.7L
  6. 4Kilmore2007m31 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT62.2L
  7. 1Yarra Valley1950m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-4.3
  8. 5Kyneton1887m27 Feb 2026 · MDN SW · SOFT66.8L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Outgunned but did enough for third at $6.50 at Newcastle second-up. Fitter for those two runs and ready to show best. Can have a major say if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Improved to place when 3rd last start at Newcastle and facing less formidable opponents. Jockey James Mcdonald is highly regarded. Strong prospects.

RP

Third, beaten 4l, in a conditions race last month at Newcastle upped to 1m1f; booking of James McDonald takes the eye; possible squeak.

RSIS

Zipped home into 3rd beaten by over 4L last time at Newcastle and facing less formidable opponents. James Mcdonald is a smart booking. Very tidy performer.

3KirkukJ: Regan Bayliss·T: J & G Lee957kg3 2 9 6 332: 3-4-4$9.00$2.45

Career

32: 3-4-4

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    11: 1-3-1

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    8: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    14: 0-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-2-1

Last starts

  1. 3Hawkesbury1800m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.15L
  2. 6Kembla Grange1600m12 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.5L
  3. 9Kembla Grange1400m29 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD46.4L
  4. 2Kembla Grange2000m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.1L
  5. 3Gosford1600m18 July 2026 · Benchmark 68 · HEAVY95.1L
  6. 6Randwick Kensington1550m1 July 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · HEAVY84.8L
  7. 5Hawkesbury1500m23 June 2026 · BM64 · SOFT50.8L
  8. 8Gosford1200m11 June 2026 · BM64 · SOFT53.2L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Regan Bayliss current POT is 11% below Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 135%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 38%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Winless since 1 Aug 2025. Reserved at rear, late into the frame at Hawkesbury. Each way.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Ran home into 3rd last run at Hawkesbury. Could be in the mix.

RP

Turned in a solid effort in defeat last Thursday, when third at Hawkesbury over 1m1f (handicap); hit and miss profile recently; is passed over as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Finished well when 3rd last run at Hawkesbury. Respect the betting.

4Think I DoScratched10––––

Career

17: 3-4-3

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-3-0

  • Third-up

    3: 2-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Wagga

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Forbes

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 2-2-1

  • Distance 1660m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-2-3

Last starts

  1. 8Canterbury1900m16 Sept 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · GOOD48.36L
  2. 3Canberra1600m4 Sept 2026 · BM65 · SOFT62.8L
  3. 2Goulburn1600m23 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD40.2L
  4. 7Kembla Grange1400m8 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD42.6L
  5. 1Sapphire Coast900m26 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-0.4
  6. 3Albury2400m20 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.2L
  7. 3Kembla Grange2400m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM68 HCP · SOFT63.5L
  8. 2Canterbury1900m27 Feb 2026 · 3&4Y BM64 · SOFT61L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 10%

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 5.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Settled midfield and never a serious challenger at Canterbury. Can show more here.

ILB

Jumped at $17.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last run at Canterbury but stepping down to a lower level. Expecting to settle positively. Will have to carry more weight.

RP

Held in eighth (Canterbury) 15 days ago upped to 1m1½f; wasn't at her best last time out following some good runs and useful at this level; failed to impress last time, although was third last month and warrants respect.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Canterbury but facing weaker opposition. Displays good tactical pace. Going up in weight.

5Super SugoiJ: Kerrin Mc Evoy·T: Matthew Smith156kg3 3 8 2 618: 2-3-5$10.00$2.65

Career

18: 2-3-5

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-2

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Wyong

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Orange

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Tuncurry

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 1-1-3

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-2-2

Last starts

  1. 6Tuncurry1600m11 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD33.5L
  2. 2Scone1600m1 Sept 2026 · BM66 · SOFT51.5L
  3. 8Newcastle1400m1 Aug 2026 · BM64 · SOFT59.5L
  4. 3Newcastle1400m11 July 2026 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT64L
  5. 3Hawkesbury1250m29 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)3.8L
  6. 5Kembla Grange1600m27 Sept 2025 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD33.1L
  7. 2Kembla Grange1600m13 Sept 2025 · BM64 · HEAVY82.5L
  8. 2Kembla Grange1400m30 Aug 2025 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT52L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Placed (Bm66) at Scone 1 Sep. Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Tuncurry. Suited by the longer assignment now. Not out of this.

ILB

At $7.50 came in 6th last time at Tuncurry. Should improve from the last run and drawn the rails. Competitive type.

RP

Not disgraced when sixth over 1m at Tuncurry (handicap) last month; this line-up contains some strong opposition so only limited appeal.

RSIS

Started 13/2 and ran 6th last run at Tuncurry. Looking past the last run and has minimal work to do from the stall. Must respect.

6Powerful PrayerJ: Keagan Latham·T: John Thompson355.5kg4 3 5 3 615: 1-1-4$5.50$1.85

Career

15: 1-1-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-2

  • Track Nowra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    5: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 1-1-2

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 6Newcastle2300m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.1L
  2. 3Canberra2000m4 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT62.6L
  3. 5Newcastle1880m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · GOOD42.6L
  4. 3Gosford1600m6 Aug 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD41.7L
  5. 4Kembla Grange1300m25 July 2026 · CL1 HCP · GOOD40.8L
  6. 5Rosehill1030m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)7.2L
  7. 5Hawkesbury1000m29 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)4.6L
  8. 4Kembla Grange2400m28 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.9L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Newcastle. Coming back in distance. Rates highly.

ILB

Jumped at $4.80 and ran 6th last start at Newcastle. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Strong claims.

RP

Been a while since he achieved his only career win; close up behind My Greek God when sixth (Newcastle) last month upped to 1m3½f; been struggling to get his head in front recently so looks risky.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and finished 6th last run at Newcastle. Can show a better performance this time. Blinkers go on for the first time. Very capable of taking this out.

7MeritageJ: Lee Magorrian·T: Bryce Heys255kg10 7 7 6 910: 1-1-0$41.00$4.80

Career

10: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1850m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Newcastle1850m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · GOOD38.9L
  2. 6Gosford1600m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP MID BM68 HCP · SOFT58.1L
  3. 7Wyong1350m16 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD42.3L
  4. 7Warwick Farm792m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.2L
  5. 10Warwick Farm796m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)10.4L
  6. 1Wyong2125m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.7
  7. 6Newcastle1600m14 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD45.5L
  8. 2Kembla Grange1600m28 Jan 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -55% POT in their L100 Races

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Newcastle. Usually gets back. Best viewed as a rough place hope.

ILB

Odds of $31.00 and ordinary performance when 9th last start at Newcastle but facing a weaker group of contenders. Likely to get back in the run. Has a good draw. Cannot be tipped.

RP

Behind Sonic Bender over 1m1f at Newcastle (conditions race) with blinkers added when beaten 9l (ninth of 11) last month; knows how to win so one to watch out for.

RSIS

Started at 30/1 and below standard effort when 9th last run at Newcastle but facing a weaker grade. Likely to get back in the field. Gets a favourable stall.

8Mah AliJ: Jeff Penza·T: Ms D Poidevin-Laine455kg10 9 4 10 543: 2-6-3$21.00$3.70

Career

43: 2-6-3

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track Queanbeyan

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    8: 2-1-0

  • Distance 1850m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-2-1

  • Going Good

    31: 2-3-2

  • Going Heavy

    6: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Kembla Grange1600m26 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD44.9L
  2. 10Kembla Grange1600m12 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD44L
  3. 4Kembla Grange1600m29 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.5L
  4. 9Kembla Grange1600m15 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD43.6L
  5. 10Illawarra Grange1400m30 July 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD42.9L
  6. 9Goulburn750m17 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)12.3L
  7. 8Illawarra Grange800m3 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)25.2L
  8. 4Kembla Grange1600m3 Mar 2026 · BM64 · HEAVY92.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 52% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jeff Penza 48% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Jeff Penza in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 48%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Last success was 7 Nov 2024. Sent back to last and safely held in the small field at Kembla Grange. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. At $11.00 lacked competitiveness when 5th last time at Kembla Grange. Prefer to watch.

RP

Not beaten that far over 1m at Kembla Grange (handicap) on Saturday; a long time since her last win; this looks a decent race so has questions to answer.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 10/1 and underwhelming when 5th last start at Kembla Grange.

9MarsabitJ: Winona Costin·T: D A Williams755kg8 4 3 9 492: 6-7-9$15.00$3.30

Career

92: 6-7-9

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    7: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Track Windsor

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track York

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Narrandera

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1435m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1580m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    44: 5-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    12: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    36: 0-4-7

Last starts

  1. 4Bathurst1800m13 Sept 2026 · BATH CUP MBM78 · SOFT54.5L
  2. 9Rosehill2000m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD410L
  3. 3Canberra1900m21 Aug 2026 · OPEN BM79 · GOOD32.4L
  4. 4Canterbury1900m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · SOFT51.7L
  5. 8Rosehill2000m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT55.4L
  6. 9Randwick1800m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.5L
  7. 3Canterbury1580m22 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.3L
  8. 4Moruya1435m10 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT54.1L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 101%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Well back and made limited headway at Bathurst. Harder now but could get into the placings.

ILB

Odds of $41.00 and picked up some late ground when 4th last start at Bathurst and taking on a lower class of opponents. Marginal contender.

RP

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Bathurst (beaten 4½l) over 1m1f (handicap) last month; others more likely as this is a fairly competitive event.

RSIS

Started 40/1 and overtook some late when 4th last run at Bathurst and up against weaker rivals.

10My Greek GodJ: Rachel King·T: Matthew Smith655kg7 4 5 3 521: 1-4-4$6.00$2.00

Career

21: 1-4-4

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1850m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 0-1-3

Last starts

  1. 5Newcastle2300m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.08L
  2. 3Mudgee2000m30 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT75.7L
  3. 5Randwick Kensington2400m29 July 2026 · 3UP BM72 71 HCP · SOFT55.6L
  4. 4Kembla Grange2400m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.1L
  5. 7Newcastle2200m14 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT53.9L
  6. 2Goulburn2145m22 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT60.1L
  7. 5Wyong2025m7 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.1L
  8. 7Hawkesbury1800m14 May 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT78.7L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -62% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. There to threaten just couldn't quite finish it off at Newcastle over longer assignment. Drops to shorter trip. Hard fit but only for exotics.

ILB

Jumped at $14.00 and outmuscled in the late stages when 5th last time at Newcastle. Prefer in a much weaker race.

RP

Finished fifth but only beaten 2l at Newcastle last month upped to 1m3½f; low strike-rate of 1-21; passed over as running in what looks to be a hot race.

RSIS

At 13/1 outmatched in the closing stages when 5th last start at Newcastle.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races