Shortest win price
I Am A Rockstar (1)
1.95
Welcome to Laverton for the Desert Sands Contractors Mdn over 1200m on a good track under overcast skies. Punters looking at the win market will find I Am A Rockstar sitting at the head of affairs, closely followed by Inspirational Mac, Willyabrup, and Sambuca Rose. It is a fascinating 3UP MDN SW contest where every runner is hunting that elusive maiden victory, and the yarn heading into the jump at 4:25 pm AEDT is all about who can handle the quick back-ups and find their best form on the day.
Taking a closer look at the form lines for our market leaders, I Am A Rockstar comes in for trainer P R Bamford with Rosie Mahony steering from barrier 5. The stable is firing well above market expectations, and this runner is having its third run in the new stable while backing up quickly from a fifth at Leinster over 1400m. Meanwhile, Inspirational Mac draws nicely in barrier 2 for J H Reynolds and Ava Catarino, coming off a solid second over 1000m at Leinster where it showed the fastest overall finishing sectionals. That recent runner-up effort suggests this horse is primed to give a big sight.
Adding further intrigue to the race, Willyabrup lines up from barrier 3 for Ms M Forrester and Amy Jo Hayes, coming off a brave fourth after leading at Leinster over 1400m and now dropping back to the 1200m trip. With speed maps showing I Am A Rockstar taking up the running from the leader's lane and Inspirational Mac sitting right on the pace, the early tactical battle will be a crucial piece of the puzzle. Punters searching for a bit of value can weigh up whether the on-pace runners will dictate terms or if something from the back can swoop late.
Shortest win price
I Am A Rockstar (1)
1.95
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
I Am A Rockstar · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%
Willyabrup · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Inspirational Mac · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Sambuca Rose · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 85% in Last 100 Rides
Career
14: 0-1-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Queanbeyan
2: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-1
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1460m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 0-0-3
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 49%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 27% POT in L100 Runners
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Backing up quickly. Third run now in new stable/region. Unable to make an impression at Leinster second-up. Well placed to make an impact here.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Started at $4.20 and was nothing special when 5th last start at Leinster. Expecting improvement here. Has early speed and positions nicely. The testing material.
RP
Finished behind Willyabrup over 7f at Leinster (handicap) when beaten 7l in fifth last Saturday; likely to be thereabouts as has bits and pieces of decent form.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. At 10/3 disappointing display when 5th last run at Leinster. Is capable of a resurgence. Will be positive in the run early. Likeable type and a major player.
Career
25: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Narrogin
3: 0-0-1
Track Toodyay
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1677m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6kg now
AAP
On a short back-up. Brave in defeat after leading at Leinster. Has speed. Switching to 1200m.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Was $8.00 and weakened under pressure when 4th last time at Leinster and up in weight. Watch early betting.
RP
Recent efforts have generally been solid; gone 25 races without a win; fair effort when beaten just under 2l at Leinster last week in a handicap.
RSIS
On a short back up. Started 7/1 and didn't attack the line when 4th last run at Leinster and has to cope with a weight increase.
Career
11: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Leonora
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
On a quick back-up. Found enough to place in small field at Leinster second-up. Secures inside draw in small field. All the better, primed to go one better.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Made considerable ground when 2nd last time at Leinster and has a good draw. Should be going forward early. Attracts support.
RP
Solid effort in defeat to finish runner-up after going off 9-1 over 5f at Leinster (maiden) last Saturday (had two of these rivals behind); has taken a step forward the last twice but still seeking a first success after 11 starts.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Did well to run into 2nd beaten by 2L last start at Leinster and can find a nice position from the draw. Will be competitive.
Career
11: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geraldton
9: 0-0-0
Track Landor
1: 0-0-0
Track Leinster
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 85% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Key Rider
Positive
Casey Hunter 88% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 76%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 83% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Casey Hunter winning at 69% POT in last 100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
On a quick back-up. Ordinary performance in small field at Leinster. Rates highly.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Started at $11.00 and tailed off to finish 5th last time at Leinster and has to carry more weight this time. Cannot recommend as a betting proposition.
RP
Finished fifth, beaten 13l, at Leinster over 5f (maiden) dropped back in distance seven days ago; has arguably shown improved form the last twice; should go close.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Started 10/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 5th last time at Leinster and rising in weight. Will be trying to topple them late.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Carnarvon
4: 0-0-0
Track Leinster
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 6% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
On a short back-up. Ordinary performance in small field at Leinster. Well into preparation now, only for exotics.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Started $51.00 and got going late when 4th last run at Leinster and has drawn the rails. Gets back and needs luck. Prefer a race with softer competition.
RP
Split Inspirational Mac and Sambuca Rose over 5f at Leinster (maiden) when beaten 12l (fourth of six) a week ago; holds leading claims.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Odds of 50/1 and improved late to finish 4th last start at Leinster and has the ideal draw. Will be giving the leaders a big start.