Shortest win price
Morning Sun (3)
3.20
Welcome to Mackay for our Thursday evening fixture under overcast skies and on a Soft5 track for the Racing Again Thursday 19Th Nov Benchmark 60 over 1560m. Punters looking at the early win market order find Morning Sun sitting at the top of calculations, closely followed by Intrepid Lad, Rashford, and Heathcliff rounding out the early fancies in this competitive field.
Taking a look at the form lines behind those shorter prices, Morning Sun comes into this race for trainer Ricky Vale after placing third at Rockhampton over 1600m and third at Townsville over 1400m, showing plenty of early speed that should suit this circuit. Stablemate Intrepid Lad jumps from barrier 8 with Aidan Holt in the saddle, arriving here on the back of a brave win at Rockhampton over 1600m where he held on gamely.
Further down the race book, Heathcliff brings an interesting profile for trainer Lachie Manzelmann, having put in some good work late when finishing fourth at Townsville over 1200m on the quick back-up. Meanwhile, Rashford is another runner stepping out for Tracy Simmons, looking to improve following a fifth at Townsville over 1400m and a runner-up effort at Gordonvale in previous outings.
Shortest win price
Morning Sun (3)
3.20
Most career wins
Cash Artist
8-10-5 from 59 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Intrepid Lad · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 77%
Cash Artist · Negative
Early Sectionals
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Morning Sun · Positive
Early Splits
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Airwaves · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%
Career
15: 4-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kempsey
1: 0-0-0
Track Casino
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 3-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 77%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Brave display holding on at Rockhampton. Has early speed.
ILB
Got the upper hand late when winning by a head last start at Rockhampton. Aidan Holt and Ricky Vale are consistently competitive when paired. Very competitive this preparation. Definite winning chance.
RP
Has winning form over this course and distance on the CV; gained narrow success in a handicap (Rockhampton) three weeks ago; can figure.
RSIS
Narrowly clinched the victory last run at Rockhampton. Aidan Holt and Ricky Vale are consistently competitive when paired. Has been a model of consistency since returning from a break. Good prospects.
Career
59: 8-10-5
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 1-2-0
Third-up
5: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
10: 1-4-1
Track Townsville
1: 0-0-0
Track Home Hill
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
7: 1-2-0
Distance 850m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 1-8-4
Going Soft
15: 3-0-0
Going Synthetic
5: 0-0-0
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 6.5kg more than LS
AAP
Finished a long way from the action Open Hcp at Emerald. Switching to 1560m.
ILB
Underperformed when 8th last run at Emerald but drops back to a suitable class. Has plenty of early speed. Carrying more weight than last time. Not at all out of this race.
RP
A course winner; form lately has been a mixed bag; held when eighth beaten 12l over 1m1f at Emerald (handicap) two weeks ago; others have more pressing claims given this looks a decent race.
RSIS
Disappointing outing when 8th last run at Emerald but will appreciate the drop in class. Likely to be well placed early. Will have to carry extra weight. Respect the betting.
Career
29: 3-1-7
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
7: 1-1-3
Second-up
6: 1-0-2
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-1-0
Track Randwick
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1408m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1677m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 3-1-5
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-2
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Racing well for new stable. Pressed on early and stuck on well when supported at Rockhampton. Has early speed.
ILB
Was strong on the speed before fading to finish 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Rockhampton. Amongst the placegetters at every start this campaign. Expecting a strong showing.
RP
Subpar record of 3-29; creditable effort behind Intrepid Lad (Rockhampton) three weeks ago; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Maintained a solid pace but eventually weakened to finish 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Rockhampton. Been in the placings each start lately. Has a good chance.
Career
15: 4-0-2
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Cairns
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
10: 2-0-1
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1470m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1609m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-2
Going Good
9: 3-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Solid 61kg winner at Ewan 25 Sep. Sheer display of grit and determination at Bowen. Claiming apprentice engaged again.
ILB
Displayed potential when winning by 1/2L last start at Bowen. Undefeated last 2 attempts. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.
RP
Bids to pull off a hat-trick and successful four times from 15 career runs; gained narrow success in a handicap at Bowen when dropped back to 7½f 13 days ago; a big player.
RSIS
Landed the spoils when winning by 1/2L last time at Bowen. Undefeated last 2 attempts. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.
Career
38: 3-6-7
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
5: 2-0-0
Track Doomben
11: 0-3-1
Track Ipswich
6: 2-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
3: 0-0-3
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1240m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-2
Going Good
22: 1-3-3
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-2
Going Soft
12: 1-2-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Key Jockey
Positive
Anthony Allen winning at 16% POT in last 100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a short back-up. Not disgraced at Townsville.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Jumped at $19.00 and advanced late into 5th last start at Townsville. Forward showing expected.
RP
Creditable effort in fifth (beaten just over 2l) over 7f at Townsville (handicap) at the weekend; not a frequent winner; not been able to get his head in front lately so not easy to fancy.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Was 18/1 and advanced late into 5th last start at Townsville. Strong claims.
Career
17: 3-0-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
1: 0-0-0
Track Emerald
2: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-1
Going Soft
7: 2-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Tom Orr current POT is 18% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 245%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Stephen Rundle in good form, out performing market 93%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 66% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 45% in L100 rides
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
AAP
Failed to threaten at Rockhampton at wide odds. Void of early speed and needs the breaks to fall his way.
ILB
Weakened to finish 8th last time at Rockhampton but will try to take advantage of the barrier. Will be trying to topple them late. Rises in weight. Watch betting.
RP
Beaten 9l in eighth over 7f at Rockhampton (handicap) three weeks ago; this C&D holds no fears; useful at this level; is a player.
RSIS
Faded away to finish 8th last time at Rockhampton but has a good draw. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight. Has some claims.
Career
12: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bowen
1: 0-0-0
Track Ewan
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Darby Amos striking at just 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 30% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Gave good account (Bm65) at Bowen. Coming back in distance.
ILB
Started $13.00 and finished 4th last time at Bowen. Will relish the track conditions. Should not be far away.
RP
Finished fourth 13 days ago albeit only beaten 1½l over 1m1f (handicap) at Bowen; hasn't really fired since his success in a maiden at Gold Coast three months ago; this line-up contains some strong opposition so not one to rely on.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and came in 4th last start at Bowen. Prefers the sting out of the ground with 1 win from 2 runs. Gets a chance against these.
Career
7: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-2
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-1
Track Cloncurry
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1280m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 106%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Backing up quickly. Third run now in new stable/region. Put in some good work late at Townsville.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Started at $14.00 and showed some merit late when 4th last start at Townsville.
RP
A close fourth over 6f at Townsville (handicap) at the weekend; his best form stacks up so has to be respected.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Started at 13/1 and edged past some when finishing 4th last run at Townsville.
Rating · IRD
20
Out Of Form
Negative
Needs to try and find some form
AAP
Not disgraced at Bowen.
ILB
Ran 4th last run at Bowen. Has not placed in 7 attempts this preparation.
RSIS
Came in 4th last time at Bowen. Struggling of late with no placings from 7 starts.
Career
42: 3-2-9
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
7: 1-0-2
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
6: 0-1-3
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
3: 1-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-1
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 1-1-6
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
19: 2-1-2
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 258%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Third run now in new stable/region. Ordinary performance in small field at Bowen.
ILB
Odds of $26.00 and finished 4th last run at Bowen but gets some weight taken off. Needs to find a lot more.
RP
Beaten a fair way when fourth at Bowen over 6½f (conditions race) 13 days ago; not a frequent winner; this looks a decent race so may be vulnerable.
RSIS
Started 25/1 and ran 4th last start at Bowen but gets a reduction in weight.
Career
29: 2-6-3
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-0
Track Curragh
1: 0-0-0
Track Cairns
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1470m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1612m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 1-4-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-2-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 7kg from LS run
AAP
No threat to winner but ran on for the minors at Cloncurry.
ILB
Good effort to place 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last start at Cloncurry and has a nice advantage with a good gate. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Turned in a solid effort in defeat two weeks ago, when third over 7f (handicap) at Cloncurry; not a frequent winner.
RSIS
Solid effort to run into 3rd last run at Cloncurry and can save some energy from the draw. Nikki Olzard and Lachie Manzelmann are a proven combination. Watch betting.
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offmidfield
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (18-weeks).
ILB
Resuming. At $9.50 ran 6th last run at Longreach.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten 3l, Longreach) four months ago; layoff to overcome; this is competitive and one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Back after a break. Started 17/2 and finished 6th last time at Longreach.
Career
8: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mackay
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1609m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a short back-up. Sent out $19 when battled home to finish 5th at Townsville.
ILB
On a quick back up. Odds of $19.00 and edged past some when finishing 5th last start at Townsville. Very minor chance.
RP
Finished fifth, beaten 5½l, over 7f at Townsville (maiden) five days ago; yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight; this looks a fair heat so there are better alternatives here.
RSIS
On a short back up. Started at 18/1 and kept chasing when 5th last run at Townsville.