Shortest win price
Upstart Legend (6)
2.70
Welcome along to Mackay for the Ladbrokes Mega Multi Hcp over the 1300m trip. The track is rated a soft 5 under an overcast sky, setting up an intriguing open handicap contest where the punters have cast their early eyes over a capacity field. Looking at the win market order, Our Missile heads the betting lines closely followed by Upstart Legend, The Extreme Cat, and Cochrane right there in the mix. With a massive team of runners engaged from the Lachie Manzelmann yard, sorting through the stable puzzle is half the fun of this yarn.
Taking a closer look at the form lines for those towards the head of the market, Cochrane comes in following a terrific effort from a wide gate to score at Cloncurry before a solid placing at Ewan, and the draw here should give this runner an economical trail in transit. Upstart Legend is back on a quick back-up as an experienced campaigner, having picked up solidly when midfield at Innisfail last time out to suggest another bold showing is on the cards. Meanwhile, The Extreme Cat switches down in distance after delivering a steely performance to win an Open Handicap at Emerald for the new stable connection.
Further down the line, Our Missile heads the market despite getting back in the run and failing to figure in the Open Handicap at Atherton four weeks ago, though a rating of 100 keeps this backmarker firmly in calculations. Speed maps show Cochrane and Raetihi looking to dictate terms up front as leaders, while runners like Outback Action and Upstart Legend track off the pace waiting to pounce. It shapes as a fascinating race where trusting the stable connections and mapping out the early speed battle could land punters the right result.
Shortest win price
Upstart Legend (6)
2.70
Most career wins
Cochrane
14-19-15 from 89 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Outback Action · Positive
Ideal Map
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Cochrane · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 106%
Raetihi · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 13% lower than Career Avg.
The Extreme Cat · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
42: 7-6-9
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
9: 1-1-1
Second-up
8: 1-1-2
Third-up
8: 2-1-2
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-1
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Isa
1: 0-0-1
Track Cloncurry
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
16: 2-2-4
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
20: 4-4-2
Going Heavy
7: 1-0-3
Going Soft
14: 2-2-3
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Mackay
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure in the Open Hcp at Cloncurry. Home track advantage but has a tricky draw and lumped with 61.5kg. Went close only other go this course and trip. Very fit, one for multiples.
ILB
Jumped at $7.00 and improved when 5th last start at Cloncurry and back over extra ground.
RP
Fair effort when beaten 4½l over 5f at Cloncurry (handicap) two weeks ago; has won here; useful at this level; respected if finding his best form.
RSIS
Started at 6/1 and overtook some late when 5th last time at Cloncurry and returns to an increased distance.
Career
64: 11-7-8
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
7: 1-1-1
Second-up
6: 2-1-1
Third-up
6: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
18: 3-3-4
Track Rockhampton
2: 0-0-0
Track Bowen
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
8: 2-1-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
17: 3-1-2
Going Unknown
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
44: 8-6-6
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Seasoned performer. Unable to make an impression at Townsville. Usually gets back. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Started $6.50 and picked up some late ground when 5th last time at Townsville and returning to more ground. Good prospects.
RP
Not beaten that far in fifth (4l) at Townsville over 5f (handicap) three weeks ago; boasts winning form over C&D; likely to be a threat.
RSIS
Started 11/2 and made up ground when 5th last start at Townsville and back over extra ground. Can go through the gears. Good prospects.
Career
89: 14-19-15
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 1-3-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-2-1
Track Barcaldine
1: 0-0-0
Track Bedourie
1: 0-0-0
Track Bluff
1: 0-1-0
Distance 950m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
29: 7-10-3
Distance 1050m
5: 1-0-2
Going Good
56: 10-15-14
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
25: 4-3-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 106%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Having a good preparation. Terrific from the wide gate at Cloncurry. Drawn to get an economic trail. Looks a serious player.
ILB
Led from start to finish when winning by a margin of 1L last run at Cloncurry and returns to more ground. In fine form this preparation. Great chance.
RP
Scored by a slim margin in a handicap (Cloncurry) 14 days ago; suited by this C&D; despite that Cloncurry success, easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Showed a clean pair of heels when winning by a margin of 1L last start at Cloncurry and back to a longer distance. Looking sharp on the track lately. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.
Career
52: 9-6-7
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-2-1
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-1
Track Rockhampton
3: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1325m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
29: 7-5-3
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 0-1-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 13% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 124%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 37% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
AAP
Won two from last three. Posted a hard fought win in the Open Hcp at Cloncurry over longer assignment. Outer barrier but has good gate speed. Deep into his campaign, worth a look.
ILB
Ran on hard when winning last run at Cloncurry but up against a higher level of opposition. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Will be a difficult assignment.
RP
Got the job done in a handicap by half a length at Cloncurry two weeks ago; C&D has proven suitable before; makes limited appeal despite that win last time.
RSIS
Rocketed home when winning last run at Cloncurry but competing at a higher level of competition. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. Will be down in distance.
Career
33: 8-4-3
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 2-1-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Cairns
1: 0-0-1
Track Mackay
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1005m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 3-2-3
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
13: 4-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ex Ms G Bell. Trained here now. Delivered a steely performance to score Open Hcp at Emerald for new trainer. Coming back in distance. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Landed the spoils when winning by 1 1/2L last start at Emerald and hard to fault at the distance. Warwick Satherley and Lachie Manzelmann deserve respect together. Marginal contender.
RP
Came out on top by 1½l over 1m1f at Emerald (handicap) two weeks ago; a winner over C&D; first start for new trainer; has to be taken seriously.
RSIS
Showed promise when winning by 1 1/2L last time at Emerald and hard to fault at this trip. Warwick Satherley and Lachie Manzelmann make a formidable team.
Career
51: 9-12-5
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 1-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Springsure
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Track Innisfail
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
8: 0-4-1
Distance 1200m
14: 5-1-2
Going Good
26: 5-4-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
18: 3-7-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Anthony Allen 30% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Anthony Allen in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 30%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run
AAP
On a quick back-up. Experienced campaigner. Midfield, picked up solidly at Innisfail. Rates among the better chances.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Odds of $4.20 and finished 4th last time at Innisfail but suited by the weight drop. Strong prospects in this race.
RP
String of consistent efforts of late and multiple course winner; respectable effort when fourth over 6f at Innisfail (handicap) last Saturday; is passed over as a few rivals look in good form.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Started at 10/3 and finished 4th last start at Innisfail but will appreciate the drop in weight. Strong prospects in this race.
Career
22: 7-4-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Moranbah
2: 0-0-1
Track Middlemount
1: 0-0-1
Track Clermont
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 3-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Form At Track
Positive
2 time winner here at Mackay
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Settled back and didn't figure in the Open Hcp at Atherton. Usually gets back. Can have a major say.
ILB
Was $5.00 and disappointing outing when 8th last time at Atherton. Happy to forgive that run and has a good draw. Has been a model of consistency this prep. Attracts support.
RP
Split The Extreme Cat and Raetihi when eighth last month at Atherton over 7f (handicap); a winner over C&D; can be a player at this level; shown he can get his head in front so some hopes.
RSIS
Started 4/1 and not up to scratch when 8th last start at Atherton. Has the ability to turn things around and can find a nice position from the draw. Will not be far away.
Career
108: 11-12-16
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
9: 1-1-1
Second-up
8: 1-1-1
Third-up
8: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
8: 0-0-1
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-1-0
Track Mackay
18: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
18: 1-0-1
Distance 1475m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1570m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1900m
3: 1-1-1
Going Unknown
9: 1-2-1
Going Good
69: 8-7-10
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 79%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
On a short back-up. Experienced campaigner. Strong winning performance after getting back worse than midfield at Innisfail over longer assignment. Very fit, capable of figuring again.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Finished well when winning last time at Innisfail but dropping in distance. Likely to get back in the run. Slim hope.
RP
Won a handicap by 1l at Innisfail upped to 1m2f on Saturday; has won here; despite that Innisfail success, unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
On a short back up. Finished with purpose when winning last run at Innisfail but dropping in distance. Likely to settle back in the field.
Career
21: 2-6-3
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Emerald
1: 0-0-1
Track Moranbah
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
6: 2-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-2-1
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Resuming (19-weeks). Placed at Emerald first-up last campaign. This will test.
ILB
First up. Narrowly denied victory last time at Moranbah but facing a stronger group of contenders. Gets back and needs luck. Gets a reduction in weight. Considering others.
RP
Recent runs have been consistent; has won previously at this course; not beaten far over 7½f at Moranbah (handicap) in June; returns from a layoff here.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Was agonizingly close last time at Moranbah but racing in stronger company. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
24: 2-2-6
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
1: 1-0-0
Track Ingham
1: 0-0-0
Track Middlemount
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1540m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
14: 1-2-5
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run
AAP
Backing up quickly. No match but kept working home to finish among the placings at Townsville over longer test. Coming back in distance. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last time at Townsville but rising in grade. Down in distance. A long shot.
RP
Some competitive efforts here recently and performing creditably of late; favourite when third over 1m at Townsville (handicap) on Sunday.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Finished strongly when 3rd last run at Townsville but will be dropping in distance. Up against a more competitive field.
Career
20: 2-0-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
2: 0-0-0
Track Ingham
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1470m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1560m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
5: 1-0-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5.5kg from LS run
AAP
On a quick back-up. Well back and never a factor at Innisfail. Unplaced from 4 starts here. Others more persuasive.
ILB
On a short back up. Jumped at $18.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Innisfail but drawn beautifully. Racing in stronger company. Dropping weight. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Middlemount in July; not beaten that far over 6f at Innisfail (handicap) on Saturday; a lot on his plate here and has questions to answer.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started 17/1 and faded to finish 8th last start at Innisfail but will appreciate a good stall. Matched against tougher rivals. Suited by the weight drop.