Mackay (QLD) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mackay (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 23 OctMackay (QLD)Change

Race 4 — Men Matter Hcp (C3) 1050m · jumps Fri 23 Oct, 4:14 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Mackay for the Men Matter Hcp, a Class 3 sprint over the 1050m dart on a Soft 5 surface under an overcast sky. Punters looking at the win market see Erimar heading the quotes, closely followed by Wasabi Barbie, Miss Moneypenny, and Unifies as the early fancies in a sharp little country field set to jump at 4:14 pm AEDT. Let us dive into the yarn behind this race and unpack where the value might hide for us astute racegoers looking to land a collect on the quick back-up.

The market leader Erimar jumps from barrier 1 for trainer Kevin Miller and jockey Ryan Wiggins, bringing strong recent form after leading and responding powerfully to score over this exact trip at Rockhampton. Another major player is Wasabi Barbie, drawn in barrier 4 for J E Mcconachy with Chris Mc Iver in the saddle, coming off a neat Rockhampton win over 1050m after a break. Meanwhile, Unifies starts from barrier 5 with Nathan Thomas steering for Joshua Manzelmann, having captured a Mackay win two starts back over 1300m before heading to Townsville. Miss Moneypenny holds barrier 3 for Lachie Manzelmann and Aidan Holt, looking to bounce back from a Birdsville test following a Cairns victory two runs ago.

Race notes

CL3,CL3 HCP,Class 3
SOFT5
Overcast
7 runners

Shortest win price

Erimar (8)

1.24

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2Miss Moneypenny
3Spirit Of Mac
5Blue Allure

Midfield

8Erimar
12Chalkley

Leader

1Unifies
9Wasabi Barbie

Unifies · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Miss Moneypenny · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Spirit Of Mac · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Blue Allure · Positive
Jockey Booking
Adam Sewell 21% above market expected in L100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1UnifiesJ: Nathan Thomas·T: Joshua Manzelmann560.5kg2 5 1 5 116: 3-2-3$34.00$5.50

Career

16: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Cairns
1: 1-0-0
Track Mackay
4: 1-0-1
Track Sale
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1609m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 950m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Mackay1300m12 Sept 2026 · BM65 · GOOD4-0.8
5Townsville1000m8 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD41.4L
1Cairns950m28 Aug 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-1.3
5Bowen1000m15 Aug 2026 · BM553.1L
2Townsville1000m8 Aug 2026 · BM65 · GOOD40.2L
3Mackay1100m25 July 2026 · 0 - 60 · GOOD41L
1Rockhampton1000m13 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-3.9
10Townsville1400m5 Mar 2026 · BM60 · SOFT54.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -51% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Won two from last three. Just held on after leading this course. Capable of figuring again.

ILB

Assumed control from the start to win by a margin of 3/4L last time at this track but back to a shorter trip. Expecting to settle positively. Respect the betting.

Scored by a slim margin in a handicap upped to 6½f six weeks ago; likely to go well.

RSIS

Was much too pacey in front when winning by 3/4L last start at the track but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Likely to be well placed early. Good chance in this.

2Miss MoneypennyJ: Aidan Holt·T: Lachie Manzelmann360kg2 2 1 1 412: 3-3-1$10.00$3.00

Career

12: 3-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
3: 1-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-2-1
Going Soft
5: 2-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

4Birdsville1400m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3-SW · GOOD3.5L
1Cairns1250m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.17
1Cairns1450m22 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 70 · SOFT6-0.2
2Townsville1400m8 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 70 · GOOD41.14L
2Mackay1300m25 July 2026 · CL3 · GOOD40.2L
3Townsville1200m14 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.4L
2Clermont1000m20 June 2026 · BM652.6L
5Gatton1400m23 May 2025 · 0 - 58 HCP · SOFT75.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (49-days). Cairns winner two back. Modest performance at Birdsville at short odds over longer test. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

Freshened up. Jumped at $1.95 and came in 4th last start at Birdsville. Has the talent to rebound quickly but dropping back to a shorter trip. Will go close today.

Career wins-runs record of 3-12; a disappointing result (went off favourite) when beaten 3½l at Birdsville last month in a conditions race; holds major claims.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Started 19/20 and finished 4th last start at Birdsville. Can make a comeback but dropping in distance. Should go close.

3Spirit Of MacJ: Anthony Allen·T: Tracy Simmons760kg2 2 8 5 926: 3-5-3$21.00$4.20

Career

26: 3-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
9: 1-2-1
Distance 1200m
12: 1-2-2
Distance 1240m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-2-0

Last starts

9Townsville1000m4 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD42.65L
5Mackay1300m25 July 2026 · CL3 · GOOD41L
8Townsville1200m5 July 2026 · CL5 · GOOD43.2L
2Mackay1200m23 June 2026 · BM70 · SOFT53.28L
2Mackay1300m11 June 2026 · 3UP CL3-SW · GOOD40.9L
3Townsville1200m25 May 2026 · BM65 · GOOD41.8L
1Mackay1200m14 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-3.2
3Mackay1050m1 May 2026 · BM62 · GOOD41.1L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Tracy Simmons striking at just 9%
Key Rider
Positive
Anthony Allen 30% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Key Jockey
Positive
Anthony Allen winning at 16% POT in last 100 rides
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Okay at latest when settled back. One for multiples.

ILB

Jumped at $9.50 and was well beaten when 9th last time at Townsville. Likely to get back in the field. Best to watch only.

Not disgraced when ninth at Townsville dropped back in distance 19 days ago; possesses winning form at this track; not been able to get his head in front lately so there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Started 17/2 and tailed off to finish 9th last start at Townsville. Likely to get back in the run.

4Triple TripleScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Went close at Mackay 3 Sep. Went home tamely on a soft deck at Rockhampton over this trip at $7. Rough place prospect only.

ILB

On a short back up. Odds of $7.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 5th last time at Rockhampton.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Was 6/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 5th last run at Rockhampton.

5Blue AllureJ: Adam Sewell·T: Lachie Manzelmann657kg9 6 8 10 426: 3-4-1$26.00$4.80

Career

26: 3-4-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 0-2-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Doomben
4: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-2-0
Distance 1100m
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
19: 3-4-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Bowen1000m10 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD40.8L
10Gold Coast1200m28 Aug 2026 · BM65 · GOOD45.6L
8Eagle Farm1200m12 Aug 2026 · BM68 · GOOD44.9L
6Doomben1200m22 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.2L
9Eagle Farm1000m1 July 2026 · BM70 · SOFT55.3L
6Doomben1000m18 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)3.4L
4Doomben1000m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.2L
7Doomben1200m29 Jan 2026 · BM68 · GOOD48.6L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Positive
Adam Sewell 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 106%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Gave a good sight at Bowen for new trainer. Outside place prospect at best.

ILB

Started at $8.00 and had difficulty when 4th last run at Bowen. Might have to make up considerable ground. Could be in the mix.

Fourth two weeks ago, only beaten less than a length, at Bowen on debut for this trainer; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Sunshine Coast New Year's Eve; facing a testing assignment and looks risky.

RSIS

Started at 7/1 and uncompetitive when 4th last time at Bowen. Might have to make up considerable ground.

6Shipping LaneScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. On pace but found little at the business end at Rockhampton over this trip. Good gate speed, soft draw. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Was $3.70 and came in 4th last time at Rockhampton but will try to take advantage of the draw. Showing great form this preparation.

Producing fairly consistent form; not disgraced in fourth at Rockhampton last Saturday; others appeal more as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 11/4 and ran 4th last run at Rockhampton but drawn nicely. Looking sharp on the track lately.

7Tara I AmScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Mackay
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs

Comments

AAP

Let-up (50-days). Handy and dug deep to bag a Class 2 win this track second-up. Leads, handy. Sharper now, can show up again at fair odds.

ILB

Let up. Charged home to win last time at this venue. Strong form this campaign winning 2 from as many attempts.

RSIS

Freshened for this. Ran home strongly to win last time around here. Looks very sharp in recent runs with 2 wins from 2 runs.

8ErimarJ: Ryan Wiggins·T: Kevin Miller155.5kg1 4 6 6 15: 2-0-0$1.24$1.04

Career

5: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
2: 2-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1110m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Rockhampton1050m2 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-3.48
6Doomben1110m12 Sept 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD42.4L
6Doomben1110m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L
4Eagle Farm1000m8 Aug 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD41.2L
1Rockhampton1000m13 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-7.8
1Rockhampton1050m14 Nov 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.5
2Rockhampton1000m20 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial0.4L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 228%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 23% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ex Sharryn Livingstone in QLD. Led, responded strongly to score in small field at Rockhampton over this trip. Good gate. Bears close watching at first country assignment.

ILB

Dictated terms in front when winning by almost 3 1/2L last time at Rockhampton and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Will attract plenty of interest.

Easy winner (3½l) at Rockhampton 21 days ago; the stable is going well; should go well.

RSIS

Made all when winning by almost 3 1/2L last run at Rockhampton and drawn beautifully. Ryan Wiggins and Kevin Miller are an appealing combination. Strong chance today.

9Wasabi BarbieJ: Chris Mc Iver·T: J E Mcconachy454kg5 5 3 2 17: 2-2-1$5.00$1.75

Career

7: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-1
Track Rockhampton
5: 2-1-0
Track Mackay
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1050m
4: 2-2-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 1-2-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Rockhampton1050m2 Oct 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD4-0.97
2Thangool800m12 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · FIRM(2)1.2L
3Mackay1200m1 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD42.71L
5Rockhampton1200m12 Apr 2026 · 2yo · SOFT66.3L
5Rockhampton1100m24 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT53.8L
1Rockhampton1000m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-4.1
1Rockhampton1050m18 Dec 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT5-9.8
2Rockhampton1050m9 Dec 2025 · 2Y HCP · GOOD41.8L

Insights

Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

All honours in the small field at Rockhampton off long break. Pace influence. Nicely weighted. Can again play a role.

ILB

Ran on strongly to win last time at Rockhampton and suited at this trip historically. Christopher Mciver and Jamie Mcconachy are an imposing duo. Getting better in recent performances. Should not be left out of your thoughts.

Narrow scorer in a handicap at Rockhampton three weeks ago; can't be ruled out.

RSIS

Charged home to win last run at Rockhampton and will be well suited at the trip. Jockey Christopher Mciver and trainer Jamie Mcconachy are consistently competitive together. Should run a competitive race.

10Loaded WeaponScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -68% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 66%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept grinding away for the minors at Jundah second-up. This looks more demanding.

ILB

Honest race when 3rd last start at Jundah and dropping weight.

Far from disgraced (beaten just over 3l, Jundah) three weeks ago; generally consistent.

RSIS

Ran well when 3rd last run at Jundah and will appreciate the drop in weight.

11Spec Of SilverScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Winless since 5 Nov 2024. Finished it off only fairly at Twin Hills. Steep class rise. Now faces a deeper field.

ILB

Not competitive when 4th last run at Twin Hills but back to a rise in trip. Goes down in weight.

RSIS

Underwhelming when 4th last run at Twin Hills but returns to more ground. Gets some weight taken off.

12ChalkleyJ: Nikki Olzard·T: David Micallef254kg5 5 4 2 579: 3-13-8$61.00$9.00

Career

79: 3-13-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
19: 0-2-3
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-1
Track Yeppoon
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1180m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1194m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
17: 1-1-2
Going Good
44: 3-6-6
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
20: 0-4-1

Last starts

5Bowen1200m10 Oct 2026 · 0 - 50 · GOOD45.68L
2Twin Hills1100m26 Sept 2026 · BM600.32L
4Mackay1100m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 50 · GOOD42.4L
5Mackay1200m3 Sept 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD44.3L
5Dingo1200m22 Aug 2026 · BM502.3L
7Bowen1280m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 5511.1L
4Middlemount1200m25 July 2026 · 0 - 552.5L
8Mackay1300m2 July 2026 · 0 - 55 · SOFT58.8L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Amie Meissner current POT is 10% below Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 90%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 59%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 69% Profit on Turnover
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip

Comments

AAP

Just missed at Twin Hills 26 Sep. Went home tamely at Bowen at $10. Faces stronger opposition now. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Started at $11.00 and finished 5th last run at Bowen but gets a favourable draw. Can't back with any confidence.

Came home fifth, beaten 6l, over 6f at Bowen (handicap) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Started 10/1 and finished 5th last start at Bowen but will try to take advantage of the draw.

Odds correct as at Fri 23 Oct, 4:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races
Thu 3 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races