Shortest win price
Opal Heritage (9)
3.70
Morphettville's Sportsbet Feed Maiden Plate over 1400 metres on Good 4 going sets up at 1:27 pm AEDT with Intimus shortest in the market, followed by Opal Heritage, Brewster Buck, and Buffo. This is a genuine three-year-old plus maiden where several runners carry recent form, though a debut winner hasn't emerged from the group. The race shapes as a leaders' affair with Buffo and Intimus mapping to the front, while Egyptians Reign, Blazing Missile, and Cathay Express sit onpace, creating genuine tempo. That should suit runners who can settle midfield and make a move into the straight.
Intimus has been racing well in recent weeks, leading at Strathalbyn before surrendering late in a 3yo+ Maiden Plate—a strong indicator she's close to breaking through. From barrier 2, she'll land a touch of luck in the run and maps positively as a leader. Brewster Buck gets the positive on the rise in trip to 1400 metres second-up after fitter work, though the formline reads modest at best. Buffo returns on a short back-up after a wide-draw outing at Morphettville, and the comment notes he looks a natural fit at the distance. The rider Jake Toeroek's recent strike rate sits 37 per cent above market expectation in his last 100 rides, adding genuine colour to the booking. Opal Heritage, second-shortest, maps midfield and strengthened between runs after 22 weeks away; the form suggests she's better-suited to exotics fresh.
Blazing Missile warrants consideration further down the board. The stable is in winning form, outperforming market by 80 per cent, and runners from the yard strike at 58 per cent profit-on-turnover across their last 100 runners. From barrier 3, she'll be right there onpace where the tempo should play into the hands of a colt with genuine ability. Cathay Express also catches the eye with a hot J/T combo striking at 26 per cent POT, though that form edge must be weighed against a bigger field where luck in running counts for plenty in a maiden.
Shortest win price
Opal Heritage (9)
3.70
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Atticusspartacus · Negative
Trainer SR
Shane Stutley striking at just 2%
Buffo · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 35% better than Career Avg.
Egyptians Reign · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 67%
Latibulate · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -52% POT in their L100 Races
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Shane Stutley striking at just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Went home just tamely at Murray Bridge Gh at $101. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
At $101.00 overtook some late when 4th last start at Murray Bridge. This looks a tough assignment.
RP
Not beaten that far in fourth (just over 4l) at Murray Bridge Gh upped to this trip last Wednesday; should be thereabouts.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last time at Murray Bridge.
Career
5: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 35% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jake Toeroek 37% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 87%
Key Jockey
Positive
Jake Toeroek winning at 26% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
On a short back-up. Failed to threaten (wide draw) at Morphettville when supported. Looks a natural fit at 1400m. Can step up from latest.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Was $3.50 and well beaten when 9th last start at this venue. Can make a comeback. Jake Toeroek usually performs well for the Michael Hickmott stable. Expecting a strong showing.
RP
Seemed to find it tough last week when ninth of 14 over 6f (maiden); some promise; closest he has come to winning after five starts was a second; makes limited appeal with stamina to prove over this new distance.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started at 5/2 and didn't threaten when 9th last start at the track. Looking for an improved run. Genuine claims.
Career
6: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Penola
2: 0-0-1
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1075m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-2
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 67%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 24%
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Backing up quickly. In touch, no match but did enough for a minor prize at Naracoorte in Maiden company second-up. This looks a deeper race.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Was strong late when 3rd last run at Naracoorte. Hard to see this being competitive today.
RP
Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; not beaten far when third at 18-1 over 6f at Naracoorte (maiden) last Sunday.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 2 3/4L last run at Naracoorte.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -52% POT in their L100 Races
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Second campaign (15-weeks). Ex Peter Hardacre in SA. Since trialled at Murray Bridge Gh. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Racing fresh after a break. Jumped at $6.00 and underperformed when 8th last run at Naracoorte. First race for a new trainer. Shows very good finishing speed. Great chance.
RP
Tailed off (Naracoorte) in July upped to this distance; wears first-time blinkers; first start for trainer; no surprise to see him go well.
RSIS
First run back. Started 5/1 and well beaten when 8th last time at Naracoorte. First start for a new trainer. Has very good closing pace. Definite claims for punters.
Career
5: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 80%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 58% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
AAP
Safely held but not totally disgraced at Morphettville. Drawn to get a conservative run. More ground a plus. Well into preparation now, right in the mix.
ILB
Was $14.00 and ran on into 4th last run at this venue and going over extra ground. Rises in weight. Rather have another day.
RP
Beaten 8l over 5f here (maiden) last month; not yet off the mark in five attempts although has finished third; may have to settle for supporting role with stamina to prove at this new trip.
RSIS
At 13/1 kept chasing when 4th last time at this venue and going over extra ground. Rises in weight.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Stephen Theodore striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 24%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ran on okay without troubling at Gawler. Will be fitter second-up and rise in trip a plus. Hope for exotics only.
ILB
Advanced late into 4th last start at Gawler and coming back up in distance. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.
RP
Creditable effort to finish fourth, beaten just over 2l over 5½f at Gawler (maiden) when dropped in distance last month.
RSIS
Inched into 4th last time at Gawler and back over more ground. Good chance of taking this out.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
Jockey Booking
Negative
Dylan Caboche current POT is 27% below Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
John Hyam striking at just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -72% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 59%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 66% Profit on Turnover
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Raced in back half and never likely at Strathalbyn at his second race start. Has plenty to find.
ILB
Finished 7th last start at Strathalbyn. Will be giving the leaders a big start.
RSIS
Came in 7th last time at Strathalbyn. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Simon Bates striking at just 2%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 52%
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (17-weeks). Form to date uninspiring. Yet to show any competitive form. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Fresh today. At $31.00 finished 8th last time at this venue. Hard to entertain.
RP
Held when eighth beaten 7l here over 1m (maiden) four months ago; yet to manage better than fifth in his five races; returns from a layoff; others appeal more.
RSIS
Back after a break. Odds of 30/1 and ran 8th last run at this venue.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 24%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Set for second campaign (22-weeks). Strengthened up. Ex P Stokes in Victoria. Sound on debut at Seymour 21 May. Place preferred option fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up after a break. At $31.00 lacklustre showing when 7th last start at Sandown but challenged by weaker competitors. Gets back and needs luck. Some hope in this event.
RP
Beaten 8l in seventh in June at Sandown in a handicap; blinkers fitted for the first time; returns from a layoff here; can make his presence felt.
RSIS
Fresh today. Odds of 30/1 and below standard effort when 7th last time at Sandown but drops back to a suitable class. Likely to get back in the field.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure off extended spell in the 4yo+ Mdn Plate at Gawler. Will be fitter second-up. This looks a nice race for the racemare.
ILB
Started $3.20 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last start at Gawler. Should bounce back and returning to an increased distance. Good potential.
RP
Not yet off the mark in four attempts although has finished third; ran below market expectations (second favourite) when ninth over 5½f at Gawler (maiden) last month; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Odds of 11/5 and folded up in the straight when 9th last run at Gawler. Should improve here and returning to a rise in trip. Rates as one of the key chances.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Failed to threaten at Strathalbyn last outing as an odds drifter. Rise to 1400m may suit. Not out of it.
ILB
Started $9.50 and came in 6th last start at Strathalbyn but has drawn to do little work. Prefer to watch.
RP
Beaten 9l (sixth) over 6f at Strathalbyn (maiden); could go close given there is limited recent form on offer in this race.
RSIS
Was 17/2 and came in 6th last run at Strathalbyn but drawn well.
Career
5: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1380m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 12%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 51% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
AAP
Racing well in recent weeks. Surrendered late after leading second 3yo+ Mdn Plate. Good gate. This looks within her reach.
ILB
Couldn't shake them off when 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Strathalbyn and drawn nicely. Shows good early pace. Been in the money regularly this preparation. Watch the betting.
RP
Signs of improvement on last two runs and has run well in defeat a number of times; just denied at Strathalbyn two weeks ago.
RSIS
Although peaking on the run still placed 2nd last run at Strathalbyn and good career start. Has early pace and positions nicely. Been in the money frequently lately. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent out $18 when unable to threaten at Gawler off long spell. Awkwardly drawn. Looks up against it.
ILB
Was $18.00 and weakened under pressure when 7th last run at Gawler. Others make far more appeal.
RP
Finished seventh, beaten a fair way over 5½f at Gawler (maiden) when not far behind Brewster Buck last month; still looking to open her account after three runs; with hopes pinned on headgear bringing improvement, others are preferred.
RSIS
Was 17/1 and didn't find the line when 7th last time at Gawler.