Shortest win price
Inevitable Award (5)
2.75
Welcome to Morphettville where an intriguing over-distance battle awaits us in the Philip Bryant Memorial, run over 2260m on a good four surface under overcast skies. Punters looking at the early market order will find Suit Of Wands holding top billing, closely followed by Inevitable Award, Darknconfidential, and Arugamama shaping up next in the betting. It is a fascinating middle-distance puzzle where tactical racing styles will play a massive hand in how the yarn unfolds.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Suit Of Wands heads the market after a cakewalk victory in a BM80 over 2541m here at Morphettville. That on-pacer is tasked with carrying 55.5kg again under Jordyn Weatherley for the Will Clarken and Charlotte Sorby stable and deserves clear respect. Meanwhile, Darknconfidential lines up for S P Gower with Todd Pannell steering from barrier six, looking to bounce back after going home tamely when finishing tenth over 2000m here previously. Arugamama is another worthy inclusion from barrier nine, coming off a solid runner-up effort behind Suit Of Wands when outgunned late but fighting hard under claiming apprentice Rose Hammond.
Digging deeper into the race data, speed maps indicate Suit Of Wands and Mister Popcorn will likely look to dictate terms from the front, which could suit backmarkers like Arugamama who clocked the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start. Further down the win market order, runners like Inevitable Award from the P A Preusker stable with Noel Callow aboard look to settle off the pace and aim for minor spoils. It all adds up to a cracking betting heat where the early leaders will have to earn every bit of it if they are to hold off the fast-finishing stayers.
Shortest win price
Inevitable Award (5)
2.75
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Tippa · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Darknconfidential · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Arugamama · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Crimson Vine · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 130%
Career
24: 7-3-4
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
2: 1-0-0
Track Balaklava
3: 0-0-1
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
4: 2-0-2
Distance 2014m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
14: 5-2-2
Going Soft
10: 2-1-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Caitlin Tootell 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
AAP
Went home tamely at Morphettville at $26. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Started at $26.00 and struggled with the pace when 9th last run at this track. Caitlin Tootell is a plus. Do not dismiss.
RP
Finished ninth of 12 here over 1m2f (handicap) two weeks ago; knows how to win here; respected if replicating best previous efforts.
RSIS
Started at 25/1 and didn't find the line when 9th last start at this track. Caitlin Tootell is a plus.
Career
30: 5-1-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-2
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 2-0-0
Track Morphettville
23: 3-0-3
Track CurrentTrack
23: 3-0-3
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1522m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
23: 5-1-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -68%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Todd Pannell in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 28%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 24%
AAP
Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Morphettville. Usually gets back. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
At $9.00 tailed off when 10th last run around here. Overlooking the last run. Finishes off strongly. Should go close.
RP
Finished tenth of 12 here over 1m2f (handicap) two weeks ago; knows how to win here; may be involved.
RSIS
Was 8/1 and lacked competitiveness when 10th last time at the track. Should improve. Possesses very good closing pace. Capable type.
Career
44: 7-6-5
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-2-0
Track Murray Bridge
3: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1950m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 2800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2006m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
31: 6-5-5
Going Soft
13: 1-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
AAP
Outgunned but did enough for second at $7.50 at Morphettville. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Course suits. Worth a look.
ILB
Was amongst the placegetters when 2nd last start at this venue. Should be swooping on the field late. Large claim helps. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Multiple course winner; comfortably beaten finishing runner-up (6l) over 1m4½f here (handicap) behind Suit Of Wands 21 days ago.
RSIS
Did well to run into 2nd beaten by 5 3/4L last run here. Has a great burst of pace late. The large claim from Ms Rose Hammond should help. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
35: 4-6-3
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
8: 1-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-1-0
Track Morphettville
20: 2-3-2
Track CurrentTrack
20: 2-3-2
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1516m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1568m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
25: 3-5-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 130%
Dry Spell
Negative
Recent form uninspiring
AAP
Fair performance at Morphettville at $51. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Crept into 4th last time around here. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Possesses winning form at this track; not disgraced when fourth here over 1m2f (handicap) last month; this looks a decent race so has questions to answer.
RSIS
Moved through the field into 4th last time at the track. Betting is the best guide.
Career
15: 3-2-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
2: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1406m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
15: 3-2-3
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 78%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 63% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent out $26 when unable to threaten at Caulfield second-up. Sharper now, remote place hope at best.
ILB
Didn't threaten when 8th last start at Caulfield. Should improve. Commands respect.
RP
Beaten just over 5l over 1m2f at Caulfield (handicap) last month; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; capable if in the mood so should go well.
RSIS
Gave away some ground when 8th last run at Caulfield. Happy to overlook that run. Competitive type.
Career
42: 6-3-2
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
5: 1-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
8: 1-0-0
Track Gawler
2: 0-1-0
Distance 2006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2107m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
25: 4-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
15: 2-1-2
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 67%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Winless since 1 Feb. Was a long way from the action in 2000m (Bm80) at Morphettville. Fringe place hope at best.
ILB
Odds of $26.00 and tailed off to finish 12th last run at the track. Rough chance today.
RP
Finished behind three of these rivals over 1m2f here (handicap) when last of 12 14 days ago; has winning form at this track; this is his level; definitely of interest.
RSIS
Was 25/1 and weakened under pressure when 12th last time at this venue.
Career
24: 3-4-4
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
3: 0-0-2
Track Morphettville
8: 1-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
8: 1-2-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1800m
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 1-2-1
Going Soft
14: 2-2-3
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 12%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
AAP
Won the (Bm80) in a cakewalk at Morphettville. On pacer. Top billing again.
ILB
Made all to win by 5 3/4L last time at the track and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Should be rolling forward early from the wide gate. Rates as one of the key chances.
RP
Had four of these in arrears when running out a comfortable winner upped to 1m4½f last month; despite that Morphettville success, others more likely.
RSIS
Made all when winning by 5 3/4L last start at the track and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Displaying good ability recently. Good chance of taking this out.
Career
41: 5-4-7
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
9: 3-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1856m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2050m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 2100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
19: 4-2-2
Going Good
21: 1-1-5
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 363%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 49% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
AAP
Raced midfield, couldn't match it but not disgraced at Morphettville. Nicely weighted. Among the dangers.
ILB
At $15.00 ran on into 4th last start around here. Likely to get back. Unlikely to cause an upset.
RP
Beaten 6l into fourth here over 1m4½f (handicap), finishing well behind reopposing Suit Of Wands last month; impressive record of three wins from nine runs here; meeting some horses in good form and others more appealing.
RSIS
Started 14/1 and made some ground when 4th last start at the track. Does take a while to get into stride.
Career
39: 4-7-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Northam
6: 1-3-0
Track York
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1920m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1940m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
26: 2-5-1
Going Soft
13: 2-2-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
3yo+ (Bm66+) winner Albany 26 Apr. Finished well down the track in (Bm80) at Morphettville last outing. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Odds of $26.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 13th last time here but gets a favourable draw. Expecting to settle positively. Big improvement required to threaten these.
RP
Finished last of 13 over 1m4½f here (handicap) three weeks ago; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Albany six months ago; a lot on his plate here and others are preferred.
RSIS
Odds of 25/1 and was well beaten when 13th last start at this venue but drawn nicely. Likely to be well placed early.
Career
11: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1525m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 24%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ran on okay without troubling at Cranbourne. Has a light weight. Won only other time at Morphettville Parks. Can challenge.
ILB
Jumped at $11.00 and ran 6th last run at Cranbourne and matched against a stronger field. Suited by the weight drop. Facing a difficult task.
RP
Fair effort (beaten 2½l) at Cranbourne over 1m5f (handicap) 22 days ago; possesses winning form at this track; a few rivals look in good form so not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Started 10/1 and finished 6th last start at Cranbourne and up in grade. Will appreciate the drop in weight.
Career
19: 3-1-6
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Morphettville
4: 0-0-3
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-3
Track Gawler
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 2112m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
14: 3-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
3: 0-1-2
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 46% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 55%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 58% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 53% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
On a short back-up. Placed Hcp (64) at Morphettville 17 Oct. Sent out $6 when unable to threaten at Morphettville. Capable of better here.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Odds of $6.00 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last run around here and up against a higher level of opposition. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.
RP
Not disgraced when sixth over 1m2f here (handicap) a week ago; facing a testing assignment and may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Was 5/1 and folded up in the straight when 6th last time at the track and facing a stronger group of contenders. Gets a reduction in weight.
Career
24: 3-0-4
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-1
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-0-3
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
6: 2-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 25% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Battled home okay at Bendigo. Has speed. New to Morphettville Parks. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Odds of $41.00 and came in 6th last start at Bendigo but will appreciate a good gate. Won't be far away during the run. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Very hard to have.
RP
Not beaten that far at Bendigo over 1m4f (handicap) last Wednesday; a few rivals look in good form so easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Was 40/1 and came in 6th last time at Bendigo but gets the perfect stall. Will be positive in the run early. Facing formidable competition.
Career
60: 7-2-4
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
10: 1-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
10: 1-0-0
Distance 2150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 2500m
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
22: 3-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
32: 4-1-3
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 87%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Backing up quickly. Recaptured winning form with a strong victory at Naracoorte. This will test her mettle.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Finished hard to win last run at Naracoorte but racing in stronger company. Tala Hutchinson provides some weight relief and getting better in recent performances. Very weak selection.
RP
Came out on top by 2½l at Naracoorte over 1m2f (handicap) on Sunday; has won here before; others more persuasive despite that win at Naracoorte.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Ran on hard when winning last time at Naracoorte and getting better in recent performances. Tala Hutchinson provides some weight relief but competing in a higher grade.