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Mt Gambier horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mt Gambier, with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 7 OctMt GambierChange

Race 2 — Living Turf Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to our Mt Gambier preview for the Living Turf Mdn Plate over 1200m on a Soft5 track. The race jumped at 2:45 pm AEDT, and punters looking at the win market order saw Blue Valentine leading the betting lines, followed closely by Nicaloha and Pure Pelt, with Rebel Jen and Bolshoi Bella not too far away in calculations as the speed maps showed a packed onpace contingent alongside the early leader.

Taking a closer look at the form underpinning those shorter prices, Blue Valentine brings a compelling case after finishing runner-up at Donald over 1200m and Wangaratta prior, with stable form pointing to a top chance to go one better here. Nicaloha is another getting attention from punters after giving a good sight to make the frame at this track second-up over 1200m, drawing favourably and looking ready to make an impact. Rebel Jen also holds claims after running on soundly from midfield at Warrnambool first run back, suggesting she is right in the mix as she strips fitter.

Down the market a touch, Pure Pelt resumes for a second prep after gaining valuable experience on debut at Morphettville when racing a long way off them, while other runners like Starry Eridanus put blinkers on for the first start. With plenty of speed group runners mapping onpace, this maiden event offered a fascinating tactical yarn for punters who dissected the form lines.

Race notes

  • 3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,Maiden
  • SOFT5
  • Fine
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

Blue Valentine (7)

1.80

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offpace

  • 12Pure Pelt

Onpace

  • 1Ashen Glow
  • 3Calm The Press
  • 4Mouse In The House
  • 10Rebel Jen
  • 11Bolshoi Bella
  • 2Balgownie Lad
  • 5Nicaloha
  • 9La Moma

Firststart

  • 6Starry Eridanus

Backmarker

  • 8Cocoa Charm

Leader

  • 7Blue Valentine
  • Ashen Glow · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races

  • Balgownie Lad · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides

  • Mouse In The House · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Nicaloha · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 1%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Ashen GlowJ: Campbell Rawiller·T: S & J Jaensch458kg5 3 5 5 611: 0-0-1$34.00$4.80

Career

11: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gawler

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Alice Springs

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Alice Springs1200m4 May 2026 · 3Y BM68 · GOOD7.7L
  2. 5Alice Springs1100m25 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM66 · GOOD13.5L
  3. 5Alice Springs1600m18 Apr 2026 · 3Y-SW · GOOD6L
  4. 3Alice Springs1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM68 · GOOD4.3L
  5. 5Alice Springs1000m21 Mar 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD3.3L
  6. 8Murray Bridge1200m7 Mar 2026 · 3-4yo · GOOD412.4L
  7. 8Strathalbyn1600m18 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD412L
  8. 5Murray Bridge1400m4 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (22-weeks). Competing in stronger races last prep. Check betting.

ILB

Fresh today after a break. At $20.00 couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start at Alice Springs and will have to carry more weight. Facing a difficult task.

RP

Was sixth of nine, beaten 8l, in a handicap at Pioneer Park five months ago; still without a win after 11 starts; now running for a new stable; returns from a layoff; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Fresh from a break. Odds of 19/1 and didn't attack the line when 6th last run at Alice Springs and will have to carry more weight.

2Balgownie LadJ: Melissa Julius·T: Luke Williams258kg81: 0-0-0$41.00$5.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Warrnambool1000m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.81L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Melissa Julius 35% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Had a low-key debut at Warrnambool 21 Sep. Better for the run. Only for the minors here.

ILB

Was $20.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last run at Warrnambool but having second race start. Gets a favourable barrier. Very slim hope.

RP

Not far behind Rebel Jen 16 days ago when eighth over 5f at Warrnambool; could show the benefit for having a run under their belts as others from the stable have in the past; could be in the mix as trainer's runners often benefit for having a run under their belts.

RSIS

Started 19/1 and faded away to finish 8th last run at Warrnambool but was on debut last time. Will try to take advantage of the stall.

3Calm The PressJ: Tala Hutchinson·T: S & J Jaensch558kg5 2 6 8 412: 0-1-0$21.00$3.90

Career

12: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Balaklava

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Mount Gambier1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT52.29L
  2. 8Naracoorte1200m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY99.6L
  3. 6Mount Gambier900m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY107.3L
  4. 2Naracoorte1100m24 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY81.3L
  5. 5Murray Bridge1100m17 July 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT64.8L
  6. 8Naracoorte1200m28 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L
  7. 8Naracoorte1430m31 Aug 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT715.2L
  8. 12Murray Bridge1600m13 Aug 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT518.9L

Comments

AAP

Off the speed, picked up soundly and wasn't beaten far this venue over this journey. Looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

Started at $21.00 and finished 4th last run at this track. Should muster plenty of early toe. Appears tested.

RP

Close up behind Nicaloha when fourth two weeks ago; still seeking a first success after 12 starts.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and finished 4th last time at this venue. Will be positive in the run early.

4Mouse In The HouseJ: Jemma Gutte·T: Ms L Treloar1258kg8 9 2 11 714: 0-1-0$31.00$4.60

Career

14: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Balaklava

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Augusta

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Strathalbyn1200m27 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT58.32L
  2. 11Murray Bridge1100m9 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD49L
  3. 2Port Augusta1100m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD2.4L
  4. 9Morphettville1000m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY811.4L
  5. 8Balaklava1050m26 July 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT715.8L
  6. 8Morphettville1000m18 July 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT613.5L
  7. 13Strathalbyn1350m29 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT522.4L
  8. 13Murray Bridge1600m22 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD417.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Safely held but not totally disgraced at Strathalbyn at cricket score odds. New to Mt Gambier. Keener on others.

ILB

Was $101.00 and came in 7th last start at Strathalbyn. Still in maiden grade after 14 starts. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. This looks a tough assignment.

RP

Still searching for his first win after 14 attempts; no impression when seventh of 14 at Strathalbyn last month; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and ran 7th last start at Strathalbyn. Trying to win after 14 starts. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide draw.

5NicalohaJ: Sophie Potter·T: Rachel Samsonenko358kg10 5 5 11 38: 0-1-2$4.60$1.65

Career

8: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bordertown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mildura

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-1-2

  • Going Good

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Mount Gambier1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT52.11L
  2. 11Warracknabeal1200m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47L
  3. 5Ararat1300m25 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.5L
  4. 5Bordertown1200m14 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD6.7L
  5. 10Morphettville1250m23 Aug 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.4L
  6. 3Murray Bridge1200m2 Aug 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT60.6L
  7. 2Mildura1200m19 July 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD41L
  8. 7Warracknabeal1000m27 June 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT79.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 1%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 84%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 83% Profit on Turnover

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Gave a good sight making the frame this track second-up. Drawn favourably. Sharper now, capable of making an impact.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 2L last run at this venue. Great chance.

RP

Shown recent signs of improvement; finishing third was a good effort two weeks ago; closely matched with Calm The Press on that running.

RSIS

Finished well when 3rd last start at the track. Should go well.

6Starry EridanusJ: Shuichi Terachi·T: Craig Stewart958kg3$41.00$5.50

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 3Mount Gambier1000m20 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.3L

Insights

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-1). Wasn't fully extended but still managed a place in only trial appearance at Mt Gambier. A Stead sticks for debut. Follow betting leads.

ILB

4yo by Star Turn racing as a debutant for trainer Craig Stewart. Keep your eye on the market.

RP

From the same family as Field Of Hearts, a winner over 5f; the only newcomer; plenty of appeal with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

4yo by Star Turn having first start for trainer Craig Stewart.

7Blue ValentineJ: Toby Atkinson·T: Tyler Donaldson-Aitken656kg6 3 2 24: 0-2-1$1.80$1.14

Career

4: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Donald

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1170m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1208m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
  2. 2Wangaratta1170m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT71.3L
  3. 3Donald1200m14 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
  4. 6Kyneton1208m28 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT55.2L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Tyler Donaldson-Aitken in good form, out performing market 76%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Racing Solidly

    Positive

    In peak form

Comments

AAP

Promising Bullbars 4-year-old. Just missed second-up at Donald in Maiden company. Stripping fitter, top chance to go one better.

ILB

Competed in a tight contest last time at Donald and good career start. Has shown early pace in races to date. Will attract plenty of interest.

RP

Ran well when beaten a head (Donald) last month; lightly raced with this just her fifth appearance.

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last run at Donald and showing consistent performance in races. Has plenty of early pace. Has not missed the placings lately in 2 attempts. Suited against these.

8Cocoa CharmJ: Dylan Caboche·T: Ms B O'Loughlin1156kg6 11 9 82: 0-0-0$81.00$8.50

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Naracoorte

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Mount Gambier1000m20 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)13.8L
  2. 9Naracoorte1430m19 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.2L
  3. 11Mount Gambier900m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN HCP · GOOD44.6L
  4. 6Mount Gambier900m13 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (24-weeks). Trialled quietly at Mt Gambier. Awkwardly drawn. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Fresh from a spell. Started at $12.00 and subpar when 9th last run at Naracoorte. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

RP

Ninth beaten just over 5l at Naracoorte over 7f (maiden) six months ago; lightly raced with this just her third appearance; returns from a layoff; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Back after a break. At 11/1 disappointing effort when 9th last run at Naracoorte. Does take a while to get into stride.

9La MomaJ: Kate Walters·T: Wayne Walters856kg5 7 13 9 610: 0-0-1$51.00$6.00

Career

10: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Casterton

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Mount Gambier1200m12 July 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY1011.1L
  2. 9Mount Gambier1200m10 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY911.4L
  3. 13Warrnambool1200m30 Oct 2025 · 3-5yo · GOOD313.4L
  4. 7Hamilton1600m15 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT67.6L
  5. 5Casterton1400m31 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT72.7L
  6. 11Warrnambool1100m24 July 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY98.3L
  7. 5Casterton1400m29 June 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT56.5L
  8. 3Casterton1200m8 June 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY81.9L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 36% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Kate Walters in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 35%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (12-weeks). Looks vulnerable.

ILB

First up from a break. Started at $51.00 and ran 6th last time at this venue. Still a maiden after 10 starts. Very difficult to back.

RP

Held in sixth in July; generally struggled of late and without a win after ten attempts; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break. Started 50/1 and ran 6th last start at the track. Yet to break through after 10 starts.

10Rebel JenJ: Christine Puls·T: Krystal Trembath156kg5 4 4 8 45: 0-0-0$12.00$3.10

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Warrnambool1000m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.01L
  2. 8Bordertown1200m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.3L
  3. 4Hamilton1200m7 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.4L
  4. 4Mount Gambier900m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN HCP · GOOD41.4L
  5. 5Warrnambool1000m9 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.4L
  6. 2Mount Gambier906m8 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial0.2L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Christine Puls current POT is 65% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 76% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Modest stats but thereabouts at times. Ran on soundly from midfield at Warrnambool first run back. Strips fitter. Right in the mix.

ILB

Started $16.00 and made up ground when 4th last time at Warrnambool and drawn the rails. Should be going forward early. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Creditable fourth at Warrnambool over 5f (maiden) last month; poses a threat given there's a paucity of good recent form on offer in this contest and her latest effort was promising.

RSIS

Was 15/1 and inched into 4th last run at Warrnambool and will appreciate a good stall. Won't be far away during the run. Can't leave out of your calculations.

11Bolshoi BellaJ: Harry Grace·T: A J Clarken754kg5 5 2 2 91: 0-0-0$14.00$3.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Murray Bridge1000m26 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.41L
  2. 2Halidon1000m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.6L
  3. 2Morphettville800m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial1.1L
  4. 5Murray Bridge1000m5 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial3.4L
  5. 5Murray Bridge800m19 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.2L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 129%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Found the debut assignment beyond him at Murray Bridge Gh 26 Sep. Better for it. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

At $19.00 lost ground in the run home when 9th last run at Murray Bridge but fitter for debut run. Should come to hand quickly. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Was ninth of 12 on her debut in Murray Bridge Gh maiden over 5f at 18-1 last month; could improve although needs to.

RSIS

Odds of 18/1 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last run at Murray Bridge but having second career run. Should be going forward early. Could feature here.

12Pure PeltJ: Kayla Crowther·T: Travis Doudle1054kg1 01: 0-0-0$6.00$2.05

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Morphettville1050m28 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD412.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming for second prep (27-weeks). Upside off spell. A long way off them at Morphettville on debut when pushed out in the market. Experience gained. Could show more here.

ILB

First up after a break of 27 weeks. Jumped at $71.00 and weakened under pressure when 10th last time at Morphettville but was on debut last time. Have to look elsewhere.

RP

Could not finish better than last on her debut (5f, Morphettville) with blinkers fitted at 66-1 in March; has had some time off; now dropping in class and prospects.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 27 weeks. Odds of 70/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run at Morphettville but having second race start.

13NorensonScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (28-weeks). Given some time to grow and mature after some mediocre runs in first two preps. Looks up against it.

ILB

Fresh today after a 28 week break. Didn't threaten when 10th last start here. Should jump out and bowl along.

RP

Tenth of 12 over 7f here (maiden) in March; layoff to overcome.

RSIS

Fresh from a 28 week break. Couldn't stay in touch when 10th last run at the track. Expecting to settle positively.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races