Shortest win price
Fiorowngood (2) and Smiling Assassin (6)
4.60
Welcome to Mt Gambier for the Scott Group Of Companies BM68 over the staying test of 2400m on a Soft5 track under fine skies. Punters eye a fascinating middle-distance puzzle here with Fiorowngood leading the win market order, closely followed by Smiling Assassin, Pianta, and Fuwari rounding out the early fancies in the betting ring. With speed maps showing Eagle Angel and Sharma Princess taking up the running early, the race was set up for a true staying test as the field rounded the bends on this fine afternoon.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Fiorowngood lines up with Jack Hill steering for trainer Symon Wilde from barrier 9, hunting three wins on the trot after a gutsy Benchmark 56 win at Donald over 2200m where the runner dug deep. The stable insight suggests this runner maps well and outperforms market expectations here, with the extra ground a definite plus. Meanwhile, Pianta jumps from barrier 10 for Wayne and Kate Walters, coming off a solid effort at Coleraine and a placing at Bordertown, bringing proven wet track credentials and fighting fitness to the table.
Further down the form lines, veteran campaigner Smiling Assassin lines up for Garret Lynch from barrier 6 after tackling a tough assignment over 3100m at Warrnambool on a Heavy 9 track, making this a quick back-up for the stable stalwart. While some runners boast cold trainer combinations, others like Pianta benefit from an in-form stable looking to outpace market expectations. It all adds up to an intriguing yarn for punters sorting through the staying form on a cracking Mt Gambier card.
Shortest win price
Fiorowngood (2) and Smiling Assassin (6)
4.60
Most career wins
Smiling Assassin
13-17-14 from 129 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Eagle Angel · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 16% lower than Career Avg.
Fiorowngood · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Hula Beat · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Pianta · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 36% in Last 100 Rides
Career
17: 3-2-2
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Track Wolverhampton
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2520m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2580m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1421m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 3-2-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 16% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 57% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Let-up (44-days). Ex Gavin Bedggood in Victoria. Finished out the back at Pakenham Synthetic second-up. Sharper now, can play a role.
ILB
Let up. Weakened to finish 10th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Has the potential to improve sharply and will find this grade more suitable. Coming to a new trainer. Chance and can measure up.
RP
Tenth of 12 over 1m3f at Pakenham (handicap) 44 days ago; first run for trainer; prospects as shown promise on occasion.
RSIS
Let up. Didn't find the line when 10th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Happy to forgive that run and facing a weaker group of contenders. Good chance and definitely has claims.
Career
8: 2-1-2
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-1
Track Casterton
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1443m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-2
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Lining up for three wins on the trot. Handy and dug deep to bag a Benchmark 56 win at Donald. More ground a plus. Top billing again.
ILB
Finished well when winning last start at Donald but facing stiffer opposition. Can't knock the form winning 2 in succession. Prefer others.
RP
Sprang a shock when scoring at 14-1 at Donald over 1m3f (handicap) three weeks ago; going for a hat-trick and has raised his game the last twice; this only his second handicap outing; has to be considered.
RSIS
Ran over the top of them when winning last run at Donald but competing in a higher grade. Unbeaten last 2 attempts. Will relish the track conditions.
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Midfield
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
AAP
Having a good preparation. Pretty good effort in defeat at Murray Bridge Gh. Very fit, among the dangers again.
ILB
Made some ground late when 2nd last start at Murray Bridge and facing weaker opposition. Goes up in weight.
RP
Had two of these rivals behind him over 1m4½f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) last month when a respectable runner-up.
RSIS
Good effort when placing 2nd last time at Murray Bridge and lining up against easier rivals. Has to carry more weight this time.
Career
44: 5-6-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Ruakaka
1: 0-0-1
Track Tauranga
2: 0-1-1
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 2-1-0
Distance 2100m
9: 0-2-3
Going Soft
19: 1-2-1
Going Good
8: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
17: 4-4-2
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Failed to threaten (outside alley) this track over longer assignment. Distance record a concern Lacks appeal here.
ILB
At $10.00 ran 8th last time at the track but competing in a less challenging grade. Likely to get back in the run. Gets a favourable gate. Some hope in this event.
RP
Out of the frame when eighth two weeks ago upped to 1m7½f; facing a testing assignment and is passed over.
RSIS
Started at 9/1 and came in 8th last time at this venue but up against a less competitive field. Might have to make up considerable ground. Drawn the rails.
Career
40: 3-6-4
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1423m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2088m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 0-4-2
Going Heavy
7: 2-1-1
Going Soft
10: 1-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 36% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 22%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 5.5kg from LS run
AAP
Sent out $12 when battled home to finish 4th at Coleraine. Proven in wet. Reserves best for home track. Fit from racing, capable of making an impact if he gets the breaks.
ILB
Started $12.00 and felt the pinch when 4th last time at Coleraine but up against a higher level of opposition. Carrying less weight this time. Not without a chance.
RP
Split Initial Moment (second) and Fuwari (eighth) over 1m3f at Coleraine (handicap) when not disgraced two weeks ago; specialist here with three wins from eight visits; not hard to turn elsewhere as this looks a fair heat.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 4th last start at Coleraine but up against a more competitive field. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Not without a chance.
Career
129: 13-17-14
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
7: 0-0-2
Second-up
6: 0-2-0
Third-up
6: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-0
Track Balaklava
10: 1-1-2
Track Oakbank
3: 1-0-0
Track Warrnambool
6: 2-2-0
Distance 2900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 3340m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
5: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
18: 4-5-0
Going Soft
60: 6-8-10
Going Good
51: 3-4-4
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
On a short back-up. Experienced campaigner. Failed to threaten (wide draw) in rain affected going at Warrnambool over longer assignment. A few runs under his belt this campaign, one for multiples.
ILB
On a quick back up. Jumped at $14.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last start at Warrnambool and back to a shorter trip. Kayla Crowther rates highly. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Finished out the back at Warrnambool last Thursday upped to 1m7½f; has shown glimpses of ability recently and should give it a bold bid.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started 13/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last start at Warrnambool and rising in grade. Kayla Crowther rates highly aboard but down in trip. Could feature here.
Career
17: 2-4-1
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-1
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1629m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 2-4-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 33% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Melissa Julius 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run
AAP
Settled close, couldn't match winner but ran on for second at Coleraine. Prefers better than heavy. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Put in a competitive run when placing 2nd beaten by 3L last time at Coleraine but up against tougher competition. Gets a reduction in weight. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Ahead of Pianta and Fuwari when second (beaten 3l) at Coleraine over 1m3f (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Picked up late ground when 2nd last time at Coleraine but taking on stronger competition. Will benefit with the weight drop. Has some claims.
Career
15: 1-3-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-2
Going Soft
6: 0-2-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Andrew Bobbin striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run
AAP
Failed to threaten at Coleraine. Keener on others.
ILB
Started at $8.00 and came in 8th last time at Coleraine. May see an upturn in form but stepping up to a higher level. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Strong prospects in this race.
RP
Finished eighth, beaten 9l, 12 days ago at Coleraine upped to 1m3f; not the most consistent of horses lately and just the one win to her name; this is competitive and makes little appeal.
RSIS
At 7/1 finished 8th last start at Coleraine. Happy to overlook that run but up against tougher rivals. Will be trying to topple them late. Gets some weight relief. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.
Career
20: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 2238m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 47% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Brooke King 70% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 46%
Key Jockey
Positive
Brooke King winning at 48% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
AAP
Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Gave solid chase in a good effort at Gawler. Nicely weighted. A few runs under her belt this campaign, has some claims.
ILB
Got going late when 4th last start at Gawler. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.
RP
Wasn't beaten that far when fourth (beaten 2½l) over 1m2½f at Gawler (conditions race) last month; low strike-rate of 1-20; others appeal more in what appears to be a competitive contest.
RSIS
Crept into 4th last run at Gawler. Expecting a solid performance.
Career
56: 6-1-4
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-1
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-1
Track Bordertown
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2004m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2033m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
30: 3-1-3
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
20: 3-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 358%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Long winless run. Finished well down the track in (Bm75) this course last outing. Query back in trip. Hard to make a case beyond the minors.
ILB
Started at $16.00 and lost ground in the run home when 12th last start around here but back in an easier grade. Will be pushing for a forward position early. A difficult test here.
RP
Last of 12 over 1m7½f here (handicap) last month when just behind Hula Beat; possibilities as shown promise on occasion.
RSIS
Started 15/1 and didn't threaten when 12th last time here but goes down in class. Expecting to settle positively. Can find a nice position from the draw.
Career
47: 3-3-7
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-0-2
Third-up
6: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
6: 2-1-0
Track Kilmore
2: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
8: 0-0-1
Going Soft
10: 1-0-2
Going Good
29: 2-3-4
Trainer SR
Negative
Kelly Dufty striking at just 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 83%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 88% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Failed to threaten at Mornington over longer test at huge odds. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Was $101.00 and lacklustre showing when 7th last start at Mornington and down in trip. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.
RP
Been out of sorts of late and a while since he's been in the winners' enclosure (last win in 2023); missed the frame (beaten 9l into seventh) at Mornington over 1m7½f (handicap) last month; facing a testing assignment and unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and fairly underwhelming when 7th last run at Mornington and dropping in distance.
Career
39: 2-5-3
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Naracoorte
1: 1-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-1-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2066m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2426m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
11: 0-1-2
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Judy Streets striking at just 3%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -23%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Long losing streak. Well back and never sighted at Murray Bridge Gh at a mammoth price. Rough exotics hope.
ILB
Odds of $151.00 and came in 11th last run at Murray Bridge but dropping in class. Pass.
RP
Largely found things tough going of late and infrequent winner; missed the frame (beaten 13l into 11th) over 1m4½f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) last month; this looks a decent race so others more likely.
RSIS
Started 150/1 and finished 11th last time at Murray Bridge but taking on a lower class of opponents.