Shortest win price
Scenic Point (2)
3.20
Welcome to Randwick-Kensington for this fillies and mares benchmark 72 clash over 1250m on a soft 7 track under overcast skies. The win market lines up with Scenic Point sitting at the head of affairs, followed closely by Island Dec, Shotgun Bella, and Blue Monday rounding out the early fancies in the betting order.
Scenic Point represents Joseph Pride and comes into this fresh after a handy Warwick Farm trial win following a solid effort at Randwick. Island Dec from the R & L Price yard showed plenty of grit with a solid chase at Rosehill and handles the give in the ground nicely. Meanwhile, Shotgun Bella for Nathan Doyle resumes here after looking sharp in recent trials following a handy preparation last time in.
Looking further down the speed map, our leaders like Scenic Point, Shotgun Bella, Chix, and Our Huntress should roll forward to dictate terms early, while Blue Monday maps as a backmarker looking to swoop late. Blue Monday brings a strong fresh record and could provide some value for punters hunting a worthy yarn in this competitive race.
Shortest win price
Scenic Point (2)
3.20
Most career wins
Island Dec
4-0-1 from 16 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Reflect · Negative
Jockey Booking
Chad Schofield current POT is 20% below Career Avg.
Scenic Point · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Island Dec · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are under performing market expectations by -22%
Shotgun Bella · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Career
11: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 1-0-1
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Chad Schofield current POT is 20% below Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Against own gender when knuckled down with purpose at Warwick Farm as an outsider. Strips in better shape. Best results on firm going. Can play a role.
ILB
Started $21.00 and closed off nicely when 5th last run at Warwick Farm and drawn nicely. Not threatening these.
RP
Respectable effort finishing fifth (beaten just over 1l) dropped down to this trip (Warwick Farm) last month.
RSIS
Was 20/1 and improved when 5th last run at Warwick Farm and will try to take advantage of the stall.
Career
6: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 2-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kept fresh. Led, gave away final stages at Randwick for new stable. Since impressed with a Warwick Farm trial win 28 Sep. Looks placed to effect here. Leading chance.
ILB
Odds of $4.40 and lost ground when 5th last run at Randwick and back in an easier grade. Has to carry more weight this time. Tough competitor.
RP
Ran a bit below expectations (sent off 100-30) when fifth over 5½f here (handicap) four weeks ago on debut for this trainer; must be respected if replicating her best form.
RSIS
Started at 10/3 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last run at Randwick and facing a weaker group of contenders. Up in weight. Forward showing no surprise.
Career
16: 4-0-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 3-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 2-0-0
Track Rosehill
3: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 3-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -22%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
AAP
Gave solid chase in a good effort at Rosehill. Likes plenty of juice in the track. Deep into her campaign, among the dangers.
ILB
Odds of $19.00 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Rosehill. 3 wins from 6 starts have been on soft going. Expected to be flashing home. Watch betting.
RP
Creditable effort to finish eighth, beaten just under 2l at Rosehill 11 days ago; has achieved four wins from 16 career runs; shortlisted.
RSIS
Started 18/1 and didn't threaten when 8th last run at Rosehill. Has won 3 from 6 attempts on a soft surface. Shows very good closing pace. Has some claims.
Career
12: 3-4-3
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-1
Track Gosford
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-4-1
Going Soft
5: 1-0-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Regan Bayliss 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 9% Profit on Turnover
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
AAP
First-up (16-weeks). Landed (Bm84) win Scone 15 May. Nabbed on the wire in Class 1 company at Tamworth first-up last campaign whilst has looked forward enough in latest trials. Can make her presence felt.
ILB
First up and picked up late to win first up last preparation at Scone. Matched against a less competitive field. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.
RP
Resume shows that she is a proven winner (seeking a fourth career win); fair effort at Rosehill over 7f (handicap) four months ago; deserves respect.
RSIS
Resuming and rounded them up when winning resuming last preparation at Scone. Competing in a lower grade. Must be considered here.
Career
6: 3-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-0
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (19-weeks). Won 3 of 6 starts in first campaign. Tightened up with a couple handy trial hitouts and is a first-up winner. Watch closely.
ILB
First up from a spell. Was $21.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last time at Canterbury. Will be positive in the run early. Appears tested.
RP
Finished last of nine at Canterbury in May; winner of three of her six career runs; returns from a layoff here; every chance as would have leading chance if back in the same form she showed when winning two starts ago.
RSIS
Back from a break. Was 20/1 and struggled with the pace when 9th last run at Canterbury. Has early pace and positions nicely.
Career
3: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Scone
1: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
1: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Came home hot on their heels to grab third 3yo+ F&M (Bm72) at Canterbury first up. Better conditioned. Has some claims.
ILB
Was strong late when 3rd last time at Canterbury and promising career start. Must respect.
RP
Finishing third was a good effort last month at Canterbury over 5½f (handicap) just ahead of Blitzgal; just her fourth outing so still early days.
RSIS
Finished strongly when 3rd last run at Canterbury and showing consistent performance in races. Should go close.
Career
17: 3-1-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-1-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 58%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 29% POT in L100 Runners
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (45-days). Ordinary performance in small field at Goulburn. Since trialled at Beaumont 23 Sep. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Back from a let up. Jumped at $10.00 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last time at Goulburn and will appreciate the drop in weight. Will be a difficult assignment.
RP
Not disgraced when fifth of seven (Goulburn) 45 days ago; has winning track form; not really built on success in a handicap in February at Wyong; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Let up. Started 9/1 and got going late when 5th last run at Goulburn and will appreciate the drop in weight. Likely to get back in the run.
Career
5: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 2-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 63% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jean Van Overmeire 75% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%
Key Jockey
Positive
Jean Van Overmeire winning at 57% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
AAP
First-up (22-weeks). Big win in Benchmark 58 company Albury last time first-up. Soft tick, heavy query. Looks dangerous fresh.
ILB
First up from a break of 22 weeks and finished hard to win first up last preparation at Albury. Jean Van Overmeire is in good form for this stable. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Comfortably beaten when eighth at 2-1 over 1m at Wagga (handicap) five months ago; returns from a break here; passed over.
RSIS
Resuming and ran on hard when winning resuming last preparation at Albury. Jean Van Overmeire and Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter are a strong team. Drawn the rails. Could feature here.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Reeled in leaders late to salute at Illawarra Grange off spell. One for multiples.
ILB
Fought on well to win a tight contest last start at Illawarra Grange but testing ability against stronger contenders. Suited by the weight drop.
RP
Stepped up on her last two starts; off the mark at the eighth time of asking when winning by a head at Illawarra Grange three weeks ago; others more persuasive despite that win last time; also engaged in race 2 at Randwick.
RSIS
Put the head down when winning last time at Illawarra Grange but taking on stronger opponents. Gets some weight relief.
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Leader
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 77%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
On pace but soon under pressure and she knocked up badly at Canberra. Can go forward. Others carry more punch.
ILB
At $15.00 tailed off to finish 8th last start at Canberra but ideal trip as proven previously.
RP
Eighth of nine beaten 9l (Canberra) last month; a winner over C&D; has struggled to factor since winning a handicap at Randwick in July; she can be taken on.
RSIS
Odds of 14/1 and weakened to finish 8th last run at Canberra but proven performer at this distance in the past.
Career
9: 2-4-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
2: 0-1-1
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1250m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
5: 0-3-1
Going Soft
4: 2-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 40 days
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Ex Michael Freedman in QLD. Battled home okay at Gold Coast. Can figure without surprise.
ILB
Jumped at $6.50 and finished 6th last time at Gold Coast and rising in class. First start for a new trainer. Should race on the speed. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Useful at this level; not disgraced when sixth (Gold Coast) 40 days ago; first start for stable; also engaged in race 2 at Randwick.
RSIS
At 11/2 ran 6th last time at Gold Coast and up against tougher competition. First start for a new trainer. Will be positive in the run early.
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Onpace
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Last at turn, ran on late at Canterbury first up. Better for the outing. Worth an each way play.
ILB
Started $12.00 and advanced late into 5th last run at Canterbury. James Mcdonald is a suitable booking.
RP
This just her fifth race; far from disgraced (beaten 2½l) over 5½f at Canterbury (handicap) last month when just behind Found The Gold; booking of James McDonald takes the eye; also engaged in race 2 at Randwick.
RSIS
Odds of 11/1 and was making up some late ground when 5th last run at Canterbury. Jockey James Mcdonald is a bonus.