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Randwick-Kensington horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Randwick-Kensington, with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 7 OctRandwick-KensingtonChange

Race 4 — Hyland Race Colours (Bm72) 1800m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Randwick-Kensington for the Hyland Race Colours benchmark 72 over 1800m. The track is rated a soft 7 under overcast skies for this 5yo+ event that jumped at 4:05 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, Leica Storm sits at the head of affairs, closely followed by Botanical Boy and Standard Deviation, with Sneaky Choice and Furious not too far away in betting.

Taking a look at the form for our market principals, Leica Storm comes out of Matthew Smith's yard carrying 58.5kg from barrier 6 under Zac Lloyd, having finished within striking distance at Warwick Farm over 1600m on a soft 5 surface, showing solid credentials as a major player. Botanical Boy, prepared by A & S Freedman and piloted by Adam Hyeronimus from barrier 9, scored a tight win at Warwick Farm over 1600m last time out where he clocked the fastest overall finishing sectionals, suggesting the rise in distance here should be a distinct plus.

Further down the line, Standard Deviation for C J Waller and James Mc Donald looks an interesting proposition from barrier 4, having gone close at Canterbury over 1900m when finishing within striking distance on a soft 7 track, pointing to strong each-way claims. Sneaky Choice maps well from barrier 2 for Tommy Berry and Brad Widdup, coming off a solid effort at Warwick Farm where the step up in trip should suit. Punters assessing the speed map will note Leica Storm is nominated as the leader, while runners like Botanical Boy, Standard Deviation, and Sneaky Choice look to settle midfield.

Race notes

  • 5UP BM72 HCP,5Y+ BM72,5yo+,Benchmark 72
  • SOFT7
  • Overcast
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Leica Storm (4)

3.40

Most career wins

Knights Armour

10-3-5 from 45 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 2Knights Armour

Offmidfield

  • 3Furious

Midfield

  • 1Botanical Boy
  • 6Standard Deviation
  • 9Off The Scale
  • 7Sneaky Choice

Offpace

  • 10Ivy Legend

Onpace

  • 8Dolce Dior

Leader

  • 4Leica Storm
  • Botanical Boy · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Knights Armour · Positive

    Top Trainer

    Stable in form at present with a S/R of 22%

  • Furious · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 39% in Last 100 Rides

  • Leica Storm · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Botanical BoyJ: Adam Hyeronimus·T: A & S Freedman962kg5 4 5 2 112: 4-2-0$3.70$1.38

Career

12: 4-2-0

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    3: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 3-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.19
  2. 2Randwick1050m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L
  3. 5Rosehill1500m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM78 HCP · GOOD44.4L
  4. 4Caulfield Heath1500m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT62.7L
  5. 5Sandown1400m15 July 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY94L
  6. 4Flemington1400m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD32.2L
  7. 1Geelong1400m3 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD3-1.8
  8. 1Geelong1430m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2.5

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Got up in final strides at Warwick Farm. More ground a plus. Can go back to back.

ILB

Ran over the top of them when winning last run at Warwick Farm. Will be fighting out the finish.

RP

Accounted for Leica Storm and Knights Armour scoring narrowly at Warwick Farm over 1m (handicap) two weeks ago; resume shows that he is a proven winner (seeking a sixth career win); the stable has enjoyed plenty of winners of late; warrants plenty of respect.

RSIS

Finished with purpose when winning last run at Warwick Farm. Will go close here.

2Knights ArmourJ: Rebecca Bronett Prag·T: Ross Lavis162kg6 6 7 2 845: 10-3-5$20.00$3.80

Career

45: 10-3-5

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Albury

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Goulburn

    5: 3-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2400m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 4-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    8: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    17: 3-2-2

Last starts

  1. 8Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.45L
  2. 2Canberra900m4 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.2L
  3. 7Moruya920m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)11.5L
  4. 6Wagga2000m1 May 2026 · LISTED HCP · GOOD44.4L
  5. 6Warwick Farm2400m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.3L
  6. 4Warwick Farm2200m1 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.6L
  7. 7Albury2000m20 Mar 2026 · ALBURY CUP · SOFT64.2L
  8. 5Canberra2000m8 Mar 2026 · CANB CUP · SOFT72.5L

Insights

  • Top Trainer

    Positive

    Stable in form at present with a S/R of 22%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 79%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 116%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Under a hold, only battled home at Warwick Farm off spell. Usually gets back. Keener on others.

ILB

Odds of $101.00 and had difficulty when 8th last time at Warwick Farm but will appreciate a good draw. Ross Lavis stable are on fire recently. Very unlikely to shake these.

RP

Safely held at Warwick Farm last month behind Botanical Boy back down to 1m when not disgraced; has achieved ten wins from 45 career runs; can be in the thick of things if replicating best previous efforts.

RSIS

Odds of 100/1 and had difficulty when 8th last time at Warwick Farm but drawn well. Recent form of the stable is strong. Likely to get back in the field.

3FuriousJ: Dylan Gibbons·T: M, W & J Hawkes761kg5 5 11 5 923: 4-3-1$9.00$2.50

Career

23: 4-3-1

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Caulfield

    4: 1-1-0

  • Track Sandown

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1410m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 3-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Rosehill1900m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM88 HCP · GOOD44.98L
  2. 5Rosehill1800m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L
  3. 11Sandown1600m22 Aug 2026 · BM84 · HEAVY85.2L
  4. 5Flemington1410m1 Aug 2026 · BM100 · GOOD32.6L
  5. 5Caulfield2000m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.3L
  6. 9Randwick2000m28 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM88 HCP · SOFT56.4L
  7. 6Randwick1600m14 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM88 HCP · GOOD43.4L
  8. 1Randwick2000m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM88 HCP · GOOD4-1.2

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 39% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Dylan Gibbons 45% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Gibbons winning at 36% POT in last 100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $61 when never got into the race at Rosehill. Needs to lift to figure. On trust.

ILB

Looked flat when 9th last time at Rosehill but challenged by weaker competitors. Will be motoring home late. Rises in weight. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 at Rosehill over 1m1½f (handicap) last month; has won at this course; this is his grade; should not be far away.

RSIS

Lacked competitiveness when 9th last time at Rosehill but facing a weaker group of contenders. Going up in weight. Keep safe.

4Leica StormJ: Zac Lloyd·T: Matthew Smith658.5kg3 3 4 2 518: 4-4-5$3.40$1.38

Career

18: 4-4-5

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-3

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-2

  • Third-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Newcastle

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Randwick

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Mudgee

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-3-2

  • Going Good

    9: 3-1-3

Last starts

  1. 5Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51L
  2. 2Warwick Farm1208m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L
  3. 4Warwick Farm1600m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.2L
  4. 3Newcastle1500m22 Aug 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · GOOD40.4L
  5. 3Kembla Grange1400m8 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD41.7L
  6. 1Randwick1200m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.2
  7. 1Warwick Farm1600m1 Apr 2024 · BenchMark 72 · GOOD4-2.66
  8. 2Randwick1800m17 Feb 2024 · Class 3 · SOFT52.24L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Finished within striking distance 3yo+ (Bm72) at Warwick Farm. Major player here.

ILB

Started at $4.40 and came in 5th last time at Warwick Farm. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Should come to hand quickly. Will run close.

RP

1l behind the winner, Botanical Boy, over 1m at Warwick Farm (handicap) last month; a proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 4-18.

RSIS

Odds of 10/3 and came in 5th last run at Warwick Farm. Expecting improvement. Shows good early pace. Jockey Zac Lloyd and trainer Matthew Smith are a promising combination. Should go close.

5Great IdeaScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 37 days

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh. Triumphant on speed display at Taree for new trainer. First try at 1800m. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Nice effort when winning by 2 1/4L last time at Newcastle but racing against tougher rivals. Goes down in weight.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Finished on top by 2 1/4L last start at Newcastle but challenged by more formidable competitors. Unbeaten recently with 2 wins from 2 starts.

6Standard DeviationJ: James Mc Donald·T: C J Waller457.5kg5 4 6 2 49: 1-3-0$4.20$1.55

Career

9: 1-3-0

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1637m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1900m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Canterbury1900m16 Sept 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · GOOD41.41L
  2. 2Canterbury1900m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.3L
  3. 6Warwick Farm1208m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)3.6L
  4. 4Canterbury1550m5 Aug 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · GOOD43.6L
  5. 5Rosehill1030m24 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3L
  6. 7Rosehill1030m30 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.6L
  7. 6Randwick Kensington1800m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT77.2L
  8. 6Cranbourne1600m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD45.8L

Insights

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

Comments

AAP

Ready to win. Went close at Canterbury 26 Aug. Finished within striking distance 5yo+ (Bm72) at Canterbury. Each way.

ILB

Jumped at $4.00 and came in 4th last time at Canterbury. Has the potential to improve sharply. James Mcdonald is a strong choice aboard. Expecting a solid performance.

RP

Admirably consistent; creditable fourth over 1m1½f at Canterbury (handicap) three weeks ago.

RSIS

Started at 3/1 and ran 4th last start at Canterbury. Has the ability to turn things around. Jockey James Mcdonald is in form. Should be in the finish.

7Sneaky ChoiceJ: Tommy Berry·T: Brad Widdup256kg4 4 8 2 512: 3-1-1$6.50$2.15

Career

12: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Illawarra Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    4: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 2-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Warwick Farm1600m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.45L
  2. 2Warwick Farm1600m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
  3. 8Rosehill1400m15 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.7L
  4. 4Illawarra Grange1200m30 July 2026 · BM68 HCP · GOOD43.4L
  5. 4Rosehill1030m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.7L
  6. 2Hawkesbury1000m29 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)2.1L
  7. 1Kembla Grange1600m13 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT6-0.2
  8. 1Kembla Grange1500m24 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-0.2

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went close at Warwick Farm 2 Sep. Not disgraced at Warwick Farm at $6.50. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Not out of this.

ILB

Started $6.50 and made some ground when 5th last start at Warwick Farm and has a positive draw. Tommy Berry takes the reins today. Do not dismiss.

RP

Proven that she knows how to get her head in front (seeking a fourth career win); not beaten that far over 1m at Warwick Farm (handicap) 14 days ago; excuses last time (hampered) and could figure.

RSIS

Was 11/2 and closed off nicely when 5th last start at Warwick Farm and can find a nice position from the draw. Tommy Berry is a suitable booking.

8Dolce DiorJ: Anna Roper·T: Peter Snowden555.5kg5 11 9 1 921: 4-3-2$20.00$3.90

Career

21: 4-3-2

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    6: 1-1-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2110m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2140m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2145m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    14: 3-2-1

Last starts

  1. 9Canterbury1900m16 Sept 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · GOOD48.99L
  2. 1Kembla Grange1600m29 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD4-0.2
  3. 9Warwick Farm1208m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)15.5L
  4. 11Warwick Farm2110m20 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.8L
  5. 5Kembla Grange2000m29 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.6L
  6. 2Wyong2100m16 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD40.2L
  7. 3Rosehill2000m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.7L
  8. 5Kembla Grange2400m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM68 HCP · SOFT68.3L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 20% Profit on Turnover

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Every chance but compounded at Canterbury second-up. New to Randwick-Kensington. Looks up against it.

ILB

Odds of $31.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last time at Canterbury. Should be going forward early. Rough hope.

RP

Finished behind Standard Deviation at Canterbury when beaten 9l (ninth of ten) 21 days ago upped to 1m1½f; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and didn't attack the line when 9th last time at Canterbury. Will be positive in the run early.

9Off The ScaleJ: Braith Nock·T: Lou Mary854kg4 11 1 3 823: 5-1-5$34.00$4.80

Career

23: 5-1-5

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Randwick

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    9: 1-1-2

  • Distance 1614m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 4-1-3

Last starts

  1. 8Newcastle1500m18 Sept 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · GOOD34.17L
  2. 3Scone1100m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.9L
  3. 1Moree1600m2 June 2026 · BM66 HCP · SOFT7-0.2
  4. 11Newcastle1600m19 May 2026 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT711.4L
  5. 4Taree1614m5 May 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY82.8L
  6. 1Taree1614m21 Apr 2026 · BM66 · SOFT6-0.1
  7. 8Newcastle1890m11 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD49L
  8. 3Scone1600m20 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT51.6L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Braith Nock current POT is 43% below Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent out $31 when never got into the race at Newcastle first up. New to Randwick-Kensington. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Started $31.00 and ran 8th last run at Newcastle and competing in a more challenging class. Needs to improve.

RP

Fair effort when beaten just over 4l, finishing eighth of 13 at Newcastle over 7½f (handicap) last month; career wins-runs record of 5-23; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and ran 8th last run at Newcastle and racing in stronger company.

10Ivy LegendJ: Tyler Schiller·T: L J Bridge354kg1 8 7 3 615: 2-2-1$31.00$4.60

Career

15: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 6Illawarra Grange1450m17 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD47.2L
  2. 3Hawkesbury1800m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.7L
  3. 7Randwick Kensington1550m29 July 2026 · 3UP F&M BM72 HCP · SOFT513.5L
  4. 8Randwick1800m11 July 2026 · 3&4Y BM78 · HEAVY923.9L
  5. 1Gosford1600m11 June 2026 · BM64 · SOFT5-1
  6. 9Canterbury1900m27 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT711.1L
  7. 5Kembla Grange1600m9 May 2026 · BM64 · GOOD43.1L
  8. 6Canterbury1100m1 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ridden back and never a factor at Illawarra Grange for new stable. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

At $21.00 only fair when 6th last start at Illawarra Grange and challenged by more formidable competitors. Cannot have.

RP

Beaten 7l when sixth of eight at Illawarra Grange over 7f (handicap) on debut for new trainer 20 days ago; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and fairly underwhelming when 6th last start at Illawarra Grange and rising in grade.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Wed 9 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races