Randwick-Kensington horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 9:06 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Randwick-Kensington, with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 7 OctRandwick-KensingtonChange

Race 5 — Ranvet (Bm78) 1250m · jumps Wed 7 Oct, 4:40 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Ranvet (Bm78) at Randwick-Kensington has already jumped at 4:40 pm AEDT over the 1250m on a soft 7 track under overcast skies. This benchmark 78 handicap for five-year-olds and over saw Lightning Glory head the win market, with Monte Kate and Money Team following. The race shape looked to pivot on the early tempo: Lightning Glory was primed to lead, while Monte Kate, Uzziah, and Tristate mapped to run offpace and wait their moment. Who But Roo was positioned onpace as an early challenger, Super Norwest settled midfield, and Money Team was back.

Lightning Glory carried the market's confidence into this one, and the form case was straightforward—a four-from-seven winning strike rate and an unblemished first-up record from two outings, helped by a recent trial win at Wyong without much pressure. The comment tagged her among the dangers fresh, and with a 1250m sprint at this track, the early tempo she shapes to set could have suited her nicely. Monte Kate, running for the Price stable with Mollie Fitzgerald aboard from barrier 6, had won her last start by a narrow margin at Warwick Farm over 1300m and was tipped as a leading chance again. Her last-ten form (1-2-10-4-13-4-4-1) showed claws, and the insight flagged that she maps well at this track, outperforming market expectations by 10%. Uzziah, drawn barrier 1 for trainer Scott Aspery, had been away for 20 weeks but arrived with two trials and a proven weight-carrying record. First-up form of 2-0-2 from seven occasions gave her credentials, and the stable's current strike rate of 15% on turnover in the last 100 runners offered a useful angle.

Money Team, despite the fastest finishing sectionals at last start, had been disappointing at Randwick over 1400m and carried subpar form into the race, making her a less appealing option. The jockey and trainer combination working behind Super Norwest was running hot—59% outperformance on market expectations—a fact worth noting if the Keatings-Dale pairing could find their way home. Who But Roo, from the Becky Byrne stable, also had a hot combo behind her, with trainer and jockey combining at 77% overperformance, though recent form had been patchy. The narrative favoured Lightning Glory's polish and first-up edge, but Monte Kate's gritty pace credentials and well-documented map advantage offered a genuine alternative for those seeking value.

Race notes

5UP BM78 HCP,5Y+ BM78,5yo+,Benchmark 78
SOFT7
Overcast
7 runners

Shortest win price

Lightning Glory (5)

3.10

Most career wins

Who But Roo

10-4-5 from 49 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6Money Team

Midfield

7Super Norwest

Offpace

2Uzziah
4Tristate
1Monte Kate

Onpace

10Who But Roo

Leader

5Lightning Glory

Monte Kate · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Uzziah · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Tristate · Negative
Trainer SR
Edward Cummings striking at just 6%
Lightning Glory · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 13% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Monte KateJ: Mollie Fitzgerald·T: R & L Price662.5kg4 13 4 4 130: 7-4-4$4.00$2.00

Career

30: 7-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-0
Track Canterbury
4: 2-0-1
Track Randwick
4: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
14: 3-2-1
Going Good
13: 3-1-3

Last starts

1Warwick Farm1300m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.34
4Rosehill1200m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM94 HCP · GOOD44.7L
4Wyong1200m16 Aug 2026 · CL6 F&M SW · GOOD43L
13Rosehill1100m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT56.1L
4Rosehill900m30 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)2.8L
10Randwick1200m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.7L
2Kembla Grange1200m13 Mar 2026 · BM94 HCP · SOFT60.1L
1Canterbury1250m13 Feb 2026 · 5UP BM78 HCP · GOOD4-1.4

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now

Comments

AAP

Gritty on pace victory 3yo+ (Bm78) at Warwick Farm. Has speed. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Leading chance again.

ILB

Picked up late to win last time at Warwick Farm. A threat to the other main hopes.

A surprise scorer at 20-1 (Warwick Farm) last month; successful seven times from 30 career runs; definite chance.

RSIS

Finished well when winning last time at Warwick Farm. Capable type.

2UzziahJ: Anna Roper·T: Scott Aspery162.5kg11 4 3 13 641: 8-6-6$6.50$2.80

Career

41: 8-6-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 2-0-2
Second-up
6: 1-2-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-1-0
Track Armidale
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1007m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-2
Going Good
19: 5-2-4
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
19: 3-3-2

Last starts

6Warwick Farm795m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.6L
13Scone1700m16 May 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD46.04L
3Randwick1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD40.6L
4Gosford1200m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.1L
11Muswellbrook1500m27 Mar 2026 · MWBK CUP · SOFT54.5L
1Armidale1400m13 Mar 2026 · ARMIDALE CUP 94 · SOFT5-2.8
4Rosehill1300m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.2L
2Randwick1200m7 Feb 2026 · BM78 · GOOD40.7L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

First-up (20-weeks). Can pull out a run fresh while tuned with 2 trials. More suitable draw and a proven weight carrier. Worth a look fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up and good effort to finish 3rd beaten by 1L first up last preparation at Randwick. Has drawn the rails. Coming back in distance. Do not dismiss.

Last of 13 over 1m½f at Scone (handicap) when not far behind Man Of Worth five months ago; has won here before; returns from a layoff; others appeal more.

RSIS

Resuming and was strong late when 3rd resuming last preparation at Randwick. Has the ideal draw. Will be dropping in distance.

3Man Of WorthScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Effective fresh while building fitness through 2 trials. Right in this fresh in this line-up with even breaks.

ILB

First up and displayed a good turn of foot when winning first up last preparation at Canterbury. James Mcdonald is a plus. Likely to get back in the field.

Fair effort when beaten just over 4l, finishing sixth of nine at Rosehill over 7½f (handicap) in May; has won here previously; James McDonald booking heightens interest; returns from a layoff; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Resuming and picked up nicely to win resuming last preparation at Canterbury. James Mcdonald rates highly aboard. Likely to get back in the field.

4TristateJ: Adam Hyeronimus·T: Edward Cummings560.5kg11 9 7 11 132: 4-3-6$11.00$3.80

Career

32: 4-3-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 1-1-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Gosford
1: 1-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1100m
18: 4-1-4
Distance 1200m
8: 0-1-1
Going Good
19: 3-3-4
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-0-2

Last starts

1Randwick740m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.8
11Rosehill1100m15 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.1L
7Rosehill1100m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT53.2L
9Rosehill1100m4 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.8L
11Sandown1000m13 June 2026 · BM84 · HEAVY814.8L
7Caulfield1000m9 May 2026 · BM84 · SOFT73.6L
5Caulfield Heath800m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.1L
3Rosehill1100m30 Nov 2024 · LISTED 3UP QUALITY · SOFT71.45L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Edward Cummings striking at just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

Let-up (53-days). Failed to make an impression in the 3yo+ (Bm78) at Rosehill. Since won a Randwick trial 25 Sep. All the same, looks up against it in this company.

ILB

Freshened for this. Faded away to finish 11th last run at Rosehill. Respect the betting.

Has won at this course; last of 11 over 5½f at Rosehill (handicap) 53 days ago; others appeal more.

RSIS

Let up. Looked outclassed when 11th last run at Rosehill. Has some claims.

5Lightning GloryJ: Ashley Morgan·T: Nathan Doyle360kg1 1 10 5 17: 4-0-1$3.10$1.70

Career

7: 4-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 2-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 1-0-1
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 4-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Wyong1000m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1.4
5Gosford800m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.4L
10Rosehill1300m13 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.9L
1Newcastle1000m3 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-2.4
1Scone1300m16 May 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · GOOD4-0.4
4Newcastle1000m4 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.7L
1Wyong1200m16 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD4-2.7
1Newcastle1250m31 Mar 2026 · CL1 HCP · GOOD4-0.2

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 13% lower than Career Avg.
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs

Comments

AAP

First-up (16-weeks). Has an unblemished first-up record while winning a recent trial without much pressure. Leads, handy. Among the dangers fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up and dictated terms in front to win by a short half head first up last preparation at Newcastle. Likely to be well placed early. Has definite claims.

Finished towards the rear of 13 at Rosehill four months ago; strong claims despite defeat last time as he was successful two runs back.

RSIS

Resuming and went to the front and never looked back when winning by a short half head resuming last preparation at Newcastle. Has early pace and positions nicely. Competitive type.

6Money TeamJ: Zac Lloyd·T: Brad Widdup260kg5 8 6 11 317: 5-3-2$5.00$2.35

Career

17: 5-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-2
Second-up
4: 2-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
10: 3-1-2
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0
Going Good
12: 5-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Hawkesbury800m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
11Randwick1400m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD411.48L
6Rosehill1200m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM94 HCP · GOOD46.1L
8Rosehill1200m15 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58.8L
5Rosehill1030m7 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.7L
6Hawkesbury800m27 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.9L
9Gundagai1400m14 Nov 2025 · Open · GOOD35.88L
4Randwick1200m4 Nov 2025 · 5UP BM84 HCP · SOFT61.9L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Zac Lloyd in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 27%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't come on at Randwick. Since trialled at Hawkesbury 29 Sep. New to Randwick-Kensington. Form subpar and others are packing more punch.

ILB

Couldn't stay in touch when 11th last run at Randwick. Jockey Zac Lloyd usually performs well for this stable. Will be hitting the line strongly. Has some claims.

Last of 11 over 7f here (handicap) two weeks ago; career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 5-17); booking of Zac Lloyd takes the eye; ought to be competitive.

RSIS

Folded up in the straight when 11th last start at Randwick. Zac Lloyd has a good track record with the Brad Widdup stable. Displays good finishing pace. Could be in the mix.

7Super NorwestJ: Coriah Keatings·T: Matthew Dale758.5kg9 10 6 8 1231: 6-4-2$10.00$3.80

Career

31: 6-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
6: 2-0-0
Second-up
5: 2-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
10: 2-3-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
8: 2-1-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 5-1-0
Going Heavy
7: 0-2-0
Going Soft
8: 1-1-2

Last starts

12Randwick1100m5 Sept 2026 · 4UP MARES BM78 HCP · GOOD44.2L
8Randwick1400m20 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.2L
6Rosehill1200m30 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY91.9L
10Wagga1200m30 Apr 2026 · Open · GOOD45.3L
9Rosehill1300m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.7L
8Randwick1200m14 Feb 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD43.6L
1Randwick1200m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · GOOD4-1
1Randwick1200m27 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · GOOD4-2.4

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Randwick. Prefer others.

ILB

Was well beaten when 12th last run at Randwick. Coriah Keatings provides some weight relief. Should go close.

Towards the rear of 13 here over 5½f (handicap) dropped back in distance last month; has won at this track; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Randwick in January; easy enough to take on as no great record on second run back following a layoff.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 12th last start at Randwick. The large claim from Coriah Keatings helps. Has strong claims.

8ScillatoScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Insights

Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Led, gave away final stages at Warwick Farm. Makes strong appeal.

ILB

Jumped at $6.00 and faded to finish 8th last start at Warwick Farm but can find a nice position from the draw. Matched against a stronger field.

String of consistent efforts of late and career wins-runs record of 3-10; finished eighth last month albeit only beaten just under 3l at Warwick Farm; could be interesting if replicating most recent run.

RSIS

At 5/1 lost ground in the run home when 8th last start at Warwick Farm but has a good draw. Testing ability against stronger contenders.

9Atmospheric RockScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ridden cold and never in the picture at Bathurst. Usually gets back. First time around Randwick-Kensington. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Below expectations when 11th last run at Bathurst. Large claim helps.

11th of 12 at Bathurst three weeks ago; has won here; others more appealing.

RSIS

Mediocre performance when 11th last time at Bathurst. Dale Cole provides some weight relief.

10Who But RooJ: Sairyn Fawke·T: Becky Byrne454kg1 8 6 5 549: 10-4-5$9.00$3.70

Career

49: 10-4-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-2
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Gundagai
2: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
4: 0-0-0
Track Parkes
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
13: 0-0-3
Going Soft
12: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
30: 7-3-3

Last starts

5Rosehill1100m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD42.38L
5Canberra1000m18 Sept 2026 · Open · GOOD33.56L
6Canberra1300m4 Sept 2026 · Open · SOFT63.6L
8Rosehill1100m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD43.6L
1Canberra1206m21 Aug 2026 · OPEN BM84 · GOOD3-2.4
8Canterbury1100m5 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.2L
8Canterbury1200m22 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT713.6L
1Canberra1206m8 July 2026 · FED OPEN BM87 · GOOD3-0.1

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 77%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 77%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 60% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

There to threaten just couldn't quite finish it off at Rosehill. Pace influence. Fit from racing, can make his presence felt.

ILB

Got tired late when 5th last run at Rosehill. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

Finished fifth beaten 2½l at Rosehill over 5½f (handicap) last month; career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 10-48) but subpar since successful in a handicap at Canberra Acton 47 days ago.

RSIS

Was outsprinted when 5th last time at Rosehill. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

Odds correct as at Wed 7 Oct, 4:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Wed 9 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races