Shortest win price
Alabama Fox (3)
3.00
Welcome to Randwick-Kensington for the MyRacehorse (Bm78) over 1400m on a Soft7 track with overcast skies. As punters dissect the race, the win market is headed by Alabama Fox, closely followed by Beside The Ocean, Superfabulistic, and Sing Your Song, with Maluku, Burj, and Bondi Blossom rounding out the pack in a competitive mares test where tactics and track position always tell a tale.
Alabama Fox jumps from barrier one for Annabel and Rob Archibald with Zac Lloyd in the saddle, coming off a solid second at Warwick Farm over 1300m where she kept coming despite the winner being too strong. Stablemate Beside The Ocean lines up for C J Waller from barrier seven with James Mc Donald steering, carrying top weight of 60kg off the back of a good account over 1500m at Rosehill where she gave a good account and is known to get back in her races.
Further down the market, Superfabulistic represents the Waterhouse and Bott stable from barrier six as the lone leader on the speed map, having tuned up with a barrier trial win at Randwick ahead of this fresh assignment. Meanwhile, Sing Your Song for C J Waller draws barrier five with Siena Grima aboard, coming here fresh after showing a sharp turn of foot to score over 1400m at Warwick Farm last campaign, making this a fascinating form puzzle for punters.
Shortest win price
Alabama Fox (3)
3.00
Most career wins
Burj
5-2-0 from 17 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Beside The Ocean · Negative
Slow Early LS
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Alabama Fox · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Burj · Negative
Jockey Booking
Tom Sherry current POT is 35% below Career Avg.
Maluku · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Sent forward and stuck to the task bravely in the 3yo+ (Bm78) at Rosehill. Hard to beat here despite big impost.
ILB
Outgunned at the finish when 3rd beaten by 1/2L last start at Rosehill and taking on a lower class of opponents. In good shape since resuming from a break.
RSIS
Started off strong but faded towards the end when 3rd beaten by 1/2L last start at Rosehill and lining up against easier rivals. Carrying more weight than last time.
Career
10: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 1-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Gave good account 3yo+ (Bm78) at Rosehill. Usually gets back. Not out of this.
ILB
At $8.00 edged past some when finishing 5th last start at Rosehill and up against a less competitive field. Has good finishing speed. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Fifth at Rosehill but only beaten three-quarters of a length over 7½f (handicap) last month; has winning track form; hasn't really fired since her success in a handicap at Randwick in December; hard enough to fancy as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Was 7/1 and hit the line well when 5th last start at Rosehill and matched against a less competitive field. Has a great burst of pace late. Expected to be competitive.
Career
11: 3-4-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Randwick
4: 1-1-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-1-1
Distance 1400m
5: 1-2-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
6: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Zac Lloyd in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 27%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Warwick Farm off extended spell. Better for the outing. Decent alley. Key player.
ILB
Close up last time at Warwick Farm and drawn the rails. Should feature prominently.
RP
Has won here; showing consistent form; finished in front of two of these over 6½f at Warwick Farm (handicap) when close runner-up last month; definitely of interest.
RSIS
Missed by a narrow margin last time at Warwick Farm and has the ideal stall. Winning potential.
Career
17: 5-2-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 1-1-0
Track Canterbury
2: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 2-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
8: 4-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Tom Sherry current POT is 35% below Career Avg.
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 27% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
AAP
Went home tamely at Warwick Farm when second-up at $81. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
At $81.00 faded away to finish 6th last start at Warwick Farm. Hard to see it being competitive today.
RP
Admirable career strike-rate (five from 17 to date); not disgraced when sixth of nine over 6½f at Warwick Farm (handicap) last month; this is competitive and only limited appeal.
RSIS
Started 80/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last run at Warwick Farm.
Career
4: 3-1-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 1-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 1-1-0
Track Gosford
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 2-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 2-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Reeled in leaders late to salute at Warwick Farm second-up. Soft proven, heavy unknown. More ground a plus. Right in the mix again.
ILB
Reeled them in when winning last time at Warwick Farm and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Has won 2 from 2 attempts on a soft surface. Must respect.
RP
Has made a pleasing start to her career with three wins from four starts; narrow scorer in a handicap (Warwick Farm) two weeks ago; in with a big shout.
RSIS
Charged home to win last start at Warwick Farm and solid career start. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts of late. Likes the cut in the ground. Strong prospects in this race.
Career
7: 3-2-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 2-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Resuming (20-weeks). Placed at Randwick-Kensington first-up last campaign while brought on by a comfortable trial win. On pacer. Capable of making an impact fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Led and controlled the pace to win by a margin of 2L last run at Warwick Farm. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Goes for a hat-trick today; won a handicap by 2l at Warwick Farm in May; layoff to overcome; in with a shout.
RSIS
First run back. Controlled the pace to win by a margin of 2L last start at Warwick Farm on a heavy surface. Likely to be well placed early. Has some claims.
Career
12: 2-4-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
12: 2-4-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Settled midfield, ran on fairly without threatening at Newcastle first run back. Untried in the wet. New to Randwick-Kensington. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Odds of $9.50 and chased well when 4th last time at Newcastle and has a positive barrier. Taking on stronger rivals. Will struggle against these.
RP
Not disgraced when fourth of ten at Newcastle over 6½f (handicap) two weeks ago; has hit the frame in several recent runs; facing a testing assignment and one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Started 17/2 and overtook some late when 4th last time at Newcastle and can find a nice position from the draw. Racing against tougher rivals.
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Started $11 when safely held in Benchmark 78 company at Warwick Farm. One for your exotics.
ILB
Was $11.00 and faded to finish 9th last time at Warwick Farm.
RP
Last of nine at Warwick Farm over 6½f (handicap) last month; passed over as this looks a decent race.
RSIS
Started 10/1 and didn't threaten when 9th last start at Warwick Farm.
Career
3: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Fresh. Did it hard both ends from the wide gate at Warwick Farm when second-up. Nicely weighted. Warrants attention.
ILB
Dashed home to win last time at Warwick Farm but challenged by a tougher grade. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation. Looks highly doubtful.
RP
Off the mark at the third time of asking when winning by a neck at Warwick Farm 35 days ago; is respected.
RSIS
Stormed home to win last time at Warwick Farm but challenged by a tougher grade. Been in the top three each start recently and will benefit with the weight drop.