Shortest win price
Johntialjo (3)
3.20
Welcome to Nowra for the Greenwell Point Bowling Club Country Boosted (Bm58) over 1400m on a good 3 track under overcast skies. Jump time is locked in for 2:45 pm AEDT. Looking at the early market order, Johntialjo heads the betting lines as the shortest runner, followed closely by Kendalia, Angel In The Wind, and Bound To Fire filling out the leading fancies in the win market.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those sharp prices, Johntialjo for trainer Jamie Stewart jumps from barrier 7 with Brodie Loy in the saddle, arriving off a strong third at Moruya in soft going where the stable put up a decent challenge and marking them out as tough to beat here. Kendalia is drawn nicely in barrier 1 for Matthew Dale with Nick Heywood steering, coming off a solid run at Canberra over 1300m and holding a rating of 97. Meanwhile, Angel In The Wind lines up for N J Olive from barrier 6 with Damon Budler aboard, though recent efforts at Canberra suggest punters might want to tread carefully.
Digging further down the pack, there are some fascinating tactical angles and track histories to weigh up. Bound To Fire gets the services of Jeff Penza from barrier 9 for trainer Warren Ganderton, boasting a pair of appealing recent runs right here at Nowra over 1200m where the genuine campaigner picked up intently, meaning the step up in distance looks a real plus. Speed-wise, we find Melodia Perfecta parked right up on the speed as the leader from barrier 2 in peak form, while the likes of Sure Intentions and Cloud Of Dust look to settle on the pace, setting up a proper tactical puzzle for us punters to unravel before the jump.
Shortest win price
Johntialjo (3)
3.20
Most career wins
Dubai Centre
6-14-5 from 68 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Dubai Centre · Negative
Form At Track
Yet to win here
Kendalia · Positive
Nice Barrier
Well drawn from gate 1
Johntialjo · Positive
Racing Strongly
Racing in great shape
Kirwans Bridge · Positive
Ran On Hard LS
Ran on well last start
Career
68: 6-14-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
11: 0-2-0
Second-up
10: 0-1-0
Third-up
8: 0-2-2
Fourth-up
7: 1-1-0
Track Goulburn
15: 1-5-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-1
Track Narrandera
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1435m
3: 0-2-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
29: 1-5-1
Going Heavy
14: 3-2-1
Going Soft
24: 2-7-3
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Big weight took its toll at Bathurst second-up. Has early speed. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Odds of $51.00 and was outmuscled late when 4th last start at Bathurst. Will need to find a new peak.
RP
Creditable effort to finish fourth, beaten just under 2l over 6½f at Bathurst (handicap) last month; leading contender as recent effort was encouraging.
RSIS
At 50/1 lost momentum when 4th last run at Bathurst.
Career
19: 1-6-1
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
5: 0-3-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-3-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-3-0
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS
AAP
Solid run Plate (C2) at Canberra 18 Sep. Well back and made limited headway at Canberra. Worth a look.
ILB
Started at $10.00 and improved late to finish 5th last time at Canberra and gets a favourable barrier. Will be trying to topple them late. Strong competitor.
RP
Had been doing well before disappointing effort latest but one win to his name was achieved a fair way back; missed the frame (beaten just over 5l into fifth, Canberra) last month in a conditions race; meeting some horses in good form and only limited appeal.
RSIS
Started 9/1 and was making up some late ground when 5th last start at Canberra and drawn by the rails. Should get going late. Has more weight to carry. Should feature prominently.
Career
12: 1-4-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Moruya
3: 0-1-2
Track Sapphire Coast
4: 1-2-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1650m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 1-3-2
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Freshened since return. Handy competitor. Issued decent challenge in choppy conditions Showcase (Bm58) at Moruya off long break. Take beating.
ILB
Zipped home into 3rd last run at Moruya. Stamps its reason for consideration.
RP
Not beaten far at Moruya over 6f (handicap); closely matched with Angel In The Wind on that running when dropped in distance last month; admirably consistent; prospects.
RSIS
Picked up late ground when 3rd last run at Moruya. Will run close.
Career
14: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2025m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 1-1-1
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Warmed up nicely late this venue first up. Fitter second-up and the longer trip helps. Fits well against this opposition.
ILB
Odds of $7.50 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last run at this venue. Small possibility.
RP
Finished just behind Bound To Fire when fourth over 6f here (handicap) two weeks ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
Started 13/2 and crept into 4th last run here.
Career
18: 2-1-2
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Canberra
4: 2-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-1
Going Soft
7: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
AAP
Well back and never a factor at Canberra when second-up. First time around Nowra. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Started $10.00 and came in 7th last run at Canberra. Jockey Damon Budler and trainer Nick Olive work well together. Has a great burst of speed late. Follow the money.
RP
Fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing seventh of 11 nine days ago (Canberra) in a conditions race; should not be far away as shown she can be competitive fairly recently.
RSIS
Started at 9/1 and finished 7th last time at Canberra. Jockey Damon Budler and trainer Nick Olive are a combination worth following. Expected to be flashing home. Should not be left out of your thoughts.
Career
22: 2-1-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-0-2
Track Nowra
5: 0-0-2
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1750m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-0-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-1-1
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (16-weeks). Handles the fresh run and tuned with a recent tidy trial but this isn't easy. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Jumped at $17.00 and finished 6th last run at Moruya. Cannot have.
RP
Fair effort (beaten 3l) at Moruya in July upped to 1m; been struggling to get his head in front recently so one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break. Odds of 16/1 and finished 6th last time at Moruya.
Career
15: 1-2-3
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-1-2
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
8: 0-2-3
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1425m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Genuine campaigner. Reserved midfield and picked up intently this track second-up. More ground a plus. Right in the mix again.
ILB
Made considerable ground when 3rd last start at this track. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation. Knockout chance.
RP
Creditable effort to finish third here over 6f (handicap) last month; producing fairly consistent form; subpar record of 1-15.
RSIS
Ran on when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time around here. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts of late.
Career
17: 1-5-5
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 1-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
3: 0-0-2
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 1-3-3
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-1
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Holding form. Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Queanbeyan. Maps well. Shapes as a major player.
ILB
Ran on when 2nd last run at Queanbeyan and can find a nice position from the draw. Should race on the speed. Watch betting.
RP
Beaten narrowly over 6f at Queanbeyan (handicap) last month; in good heart of late but managed just one success in her career to date; makes limited appeal as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Zipped home into 2nd last run at Queanbeyan and has a good draw. Likely to be well placed early. In strong racing shape since resuming from a break. Betting is the best guide.
Career
33: 2-3-5
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 2-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
3: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
9: 1-1-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1010m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1435m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
15: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
9: 1-1-1
Going Soft
9: 0-1-2
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Long losing streak. Last assignment this trip when ran on okay without troubling this track. Sharper now, could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Was $12.00 and came in 4th last run at the track. Likely to get back in the field. Has some claims.
RP
A course winner; not won for some time now; solid run when fourth two weeks ago upped to this trip; this looks a fair heat so others more appealing.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and ran 4th last start at this track. Expected to settle towards the rear.
Career
14: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Nowra
2: 0-0-1
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1375m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Made late rally from the back at Goulburn second-up. All the better, can make her presence felt.
ILB
Jumped at $7.50 and kept chasing when 4th last start at Goulburn. Not interested today.
RP
Produced a string of consistent efforts; solid run when fourth over 6½f at Goulburn (handicap) 26 days ago; encouragement to be gleaned from latest effort so in with a shout.
RSIS
At 13/2 made ground when closing off to finish 4th last time at Goulburn.