Nowra (NSW) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Nowra (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 1 NovNowra (NSW)Change

Race 5 — Antax Steel Mdn Hcp 1200m · jumps Sun 1 Nov, 3:55 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Nowra for the Antax Steel Mdn Hcp over 1200m on a good3 track under overcast skies. Punters looking at the win market order will find Nicolosi sitting at the head of affairs, closely followed by Diamond Dice, Capdiva, and Ponzi Scheme shaping up next in the betting order as they prepare for a fascinating battle over the sprint trip.

Taking a closer look at the form lines behind those shorter prices, Nicolosi comes out of a solid runner-up performance over this exact 1200m trip at Nowra where the runner was alertly away to lead and stuck on solidly at just the second career start for trainers G Waterhouse and A Bott, with Winona Costin in the saddle from barrier 8. Meanwhile, Diamond Dice represents Richard Litt with Keagan Latham steering from barrier 9, having shown plenty of promise and running a brave race when finishing third in a maiden plate at Bathurst off an extended spell, suggesting a fitter runner ready to have a big say here.

Further down the speed maps and race details, Capdiva maps as a leader alongside Nicolosi, with Damon Budler taking the ride from barrier 12 looking to bounce back after going to the line tamely at Newcastle last time out. Ponzi Scheme also holds claims for the Mitchell Beer and George Carpenter stable from barrier 5 after trying hard at Moruya when finishing third over this distance range, while Malietoa lurks as a backmarker carrying the top weight of 59kg for trainers Marc and Mitchell Conners after clocking the fastest overall finishing sectionals at the previous start.

Race notes

MDN,MDN HCP,Maiden
GOOD3
Overcast
10 runners

Shortest win price

Diamond Dice (7)

2.80

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10Song For Lilly

Midfield

5Ponzi Scheme

Offpace

15Burnt Fingers
14Stock Road
1Malietoa

Onpace

7Diamond Dice
11Swagger
16Lightning Joey

Leader

3Capdiva
4Nicolosi

Malietoa · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Capdiva · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Nicolosi · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Ponzi Scheme · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1MalietoaJ: Shannen Llewellyn·T: Marc & Mitchell Conners459kg3 6 31: 0-0-0$12.00$2.90

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Warwick Farm813m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2L
6Hawkesbury1300m21 May 2026 · 3Y MDN · HEAVY87.8L
3Warwick Farm801m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Marc & Mitchell Conners striking at just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (23-weeks). Disappointing debut performance at Hawkesbury 21 May. Better for the run. Good recent trial hit-out. Has plenty of scope to progress.

ILB

Racing fresh after a break. Started $12.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last run at Hawkesbury on a heavy track but having second career run. Respect the betting.

Never landed a blow on his debut when sixth of seven over 6½f at Hawkesbury at 11-1 in May; this only his second handicap outing; returns from a layoff here; must now step up.

RSIS

Fresh today. Started at 11/1 and faded to finish 6th last time at Hawkesbury but was a debutant last start. Watch for a sign in the market.

2Cathedral CoveScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (40-weeks). Capable fresh and looked forward in recent trial. Placed only other time here. Keeping safe at first run for new stable after long spell.

ILB

First up after a break of 40 weeks. Jumped at $5.00 and ran 5th last run at Wyong and will have to carry extra weight.

Beaten a fair way when fifth over 6½f at Wyong (handicap) in January; still winless and defeats stacking up (14 on the bounce); first start for trainer; layoff to overcome; makes limited appeal as has a lot on his plate here.

RSIS

Back from a break of 40 weeks. Started at 4/1 and ran 5th last time at Wyong and going up in weight. First race for a new trainer.

3CapdivaJ: Damon Budler·T: G Portelli1258kg5 5 5 2 68: 0-1-2$6.00$1.95

Career

8: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-1-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Newcastle900m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.57L
2Newcastle900m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · GOOD40.73L
5Gosford1100m6 Aug 2026 · Maiden · GOOD44.1L
5Wyong1000m23 July 2026 · Maiden · SOFT72.2L
5Canterbury1200m1 Jan 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · GOOD42.3L
3Canterbury1100m12 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN · GOOD41.4L
5Warwick Farm1000m3 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.5L
3Wyong1000m16 Nov 2025 · MDN · GOOD42.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Key Rider
Positive
Damon Budler 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 24%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Solid run 3yo+ Mdn at Newcastle 3 Oct. Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Newcastle. Can challenge back in a country Maiden.

ILB

Started at $7.50 and weakened under pressure when 6th last start at Newcastle. Can make a comeback and going back up in trip. Tough competitor.

She can be competitive at this level and has found improvement of late; didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Newcastle (beaten 4½l) in a maiden 15 days ago; difficult to oppose with a bit more luck as excuses last time (hampered).

RSIS

Started 13/2 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last run at Newcastle. Overlooking the last run and returning to more ground. Strong claims.

4NicolosiJ: Winona Costin·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott857.5kg8 1 6 5 22: 0-1-0$2.90$1.30

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Nowra1200m18 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD43L
5Randwick1050m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.1L
6Randwick1050m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.3L
1Randwick742m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.7
8Wyong1100m7 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD43.6L
3Canterbury898m10 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.4L
2Rosehill1030m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial1.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Alertly away to lead, stuck on solidly Mdn this venue at second start. Big show.

ILB

Gave plenty of cheek when 2nd beaten by 3L last time at this track. The wide alley shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Suited against these.

Gave good account to finish runner-up last month; runs for only the second time in a handicap.

RSIS

Couldn't maintain the momentum throughout when 2nd beaten by 3L last run here. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. Will go close today.

5Ponzi SchemeJ: Chad Lever·T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter557kg1 2 5 8 33: 0-0-1$5.50$1.80

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-1
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Moruya1200m2 Oct 2026 · Maiden · SOFT72.3L
8Kembla Grange1000m12 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49L
5Wellington1100m12 Apr 2026 · 2Y SWP · SOFT53.2L
2Hawkesbury1000m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.2L
1Kembla Grange800m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.5

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Stationed handy, tried hard but winner was simply too good at Moruya second-up. Stripping fitter, can play a role.

ILB

Looked good when 3rd last start at Moruya. Has definite claims.

Finishing third was a good effort last month at Moruya in a maiden; career moving upwards; cannot be ignored.

RSIS

Competitive effort when 3rd last time at Moruya. Can win.

6Setta IconScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Canberra off spell. Fitter second-up. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

Narrowly beaten last time at Canberra.

RSIS

Missed by a narrow margin last time at Canberra.

7Diamond DiceJ: Keagan Latham·T: Richard Litt956.5kg3 3 5 4 34: 0-0-3$2.80$1.28

Career

4: 0-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Bathurst1100m16 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.01L
4Warwick Farm816m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
5Warwick Farm792m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.4L
3Kembla Grange1200m16 May 2026 · F&M MDN · SOFT56.5L
3Gosford1100m25 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.4L
6Hawkesbury1100m8 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD44L
4Warwick Farm792m20 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)7.1L
7Warwick Farm796m8 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial10.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -47% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Shown promise in limited runs. Brave in defeat Mdn Plate at Bathurst off extended spell. Strips fitter. Has a big say here.

ILB

Finished 3rd last run at Bathurst and putting a tidy record together so far. Serious contender.

Gave good account to finish third at Bathurst over 5½f (maiden) 16 days ago; should be thereabouts.

RSIS

Came in 3rd last start at Bathurst and solid career start. Chance and can measure up.

8Southern GraceScratched16––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

Unhurried early and only battled home 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Hawkesbury off extended spell. Will be fitter second-up. Draw makes the job harder. Not out of it.

ILB

Started $11.00 and edged past some when finishing 4th last time at Hawkesbury.

RSIS

Was 10/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last run at Hawkesbury.

9MachrihanishScratched15––––

Career

9: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-1-1
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-1-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Canberra1200m23 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.73L
3Muswellbrook1280m5 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD42.62L
2Canberra1300m18 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD30.5L
9Kembla Grange1300m8 Aug 2026 · F&M MDN · GOOD45.8L
3Hawkesbury1100m19 July 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT63.1L
6Hawkesbury1000m2 July 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT72.7L
7Newcastle1300m6 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD44.3L
5Newcastle900m14 Feb 2026 · 2Y MDN · GOOD45.7L

Insights

Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Let down fiercely from midfield to grab third at Canberra over today's trip. Not as well drawn this time. Fit from racing, hope for exotics only.

ILB

Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last time at Canberra. Racing consistently since returning from a break.

Running well at present but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at nine; went close when third (Canberra) last month; others more appealing as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Managed to finish 3rd beaten by 3/4L last time at Canberra. Running with confidence since resuming from a break.

10Song For LillyJ: Quayde Krogh·T: Paul Murray256kg6 71: 0-0-0$61.00$6.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Moruya1200m19 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT511.5L
6Kembla Grange800m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 25%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (19-weeks). A long way off them at Moruya on debut at huge odds. Better for the time off but will need to step up. Prefer to see.

ILB

First up from a spell. Started at $101.00 and finished 7th last time at Moruya but fitter for debut run. Gets back and needs luck. Drawn nicely. Prefer in a much weaker race.

Held on her debut over this distance at Moruya at 100-1 in June; returns from a layoff; this only her second start in handicap company; definite chance.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started 100/1 and came in 7th last time at Moruya but having second career run. Likely to get back. Has a positive draw.

11SwaggerJ: Molly Bourke·T: Ms A Turner656kg7 9 63: 0-0-0$19.00$3.70

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Warwick Farm1300m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD411.47L
9Kembla Grange1300m29 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L
7Warwick Farm1200m15 Apr 2026 · 2YCG MDN · GOOD49.5L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Amanda Turner striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -47% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at Warwick Farm off long break. Strips in better shape. Reverts to slightly shorter trip. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Started at $71.00 and tailed off to finish 6th last start at Warwick Farm. Can't recommend.

Beaten 11l last week at Warwick Farm in a maiden; others appeal more.

RSIS

At 70/1 weakened under pressure when 6th last run at Warwick Farm.

12CrestwoodScratched7––––

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Nowra1400m18 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.3L
7Newcastle1300m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP SUPER MDN-SW · GOOD47.42L
5Newcastle1250m19 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD45.75L
2Randwick1050m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L
3Warwick Farm815m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.5L
4Hawkesbury800m27 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6L
7Goulburn1100m12 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD46.8L
1Warwick Farm817m3 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial-0.7

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

Lightly raced 4-year-old who has only managed a 4th from 4 runs to date. On pace but found little at the business end this course. Coming back in distance. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Was $19.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 4th last run around here.

Not disgraced when fourth over 7f here (maiden) last month; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Was 18/1 and didn't finish off when 4th last time at this track.

13SkitingScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (42-days). Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge this track. Form doesn't inspire.

ILB

Freshened for this. Only fair when 7th last time around here but gets a favourable alley.

No impression when seventh of ten six weeks ago in a maiden; still winless and defeats stacking up (21 on the bounce); a few rivals look in good form so is passed over.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Average performance when 7th last start around here but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

14Stock RoadJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: G D Hickman355kg–$26.00$4.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (50-days). Dropped out to last and never sighted at Kembla Grange when second-up. Since trialled at Warwick Farm 13 Oct. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Below standard effort when 9th last start at Kembla Grange. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Has strong claims.

Has not been firing consistently and winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 15; held when ninth beaten 13l over 7f at Kembla Grange (handicap) 50 days ago; this line-up contains some strong opposition so only limited appeal.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Mediocre performance when 9th last time at Kembla Grange. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time. Good prospects.

15Burnt FingersJ: Jeff Penza·T: Paul Murray1155kg7 7 8 5 117: 0-0-0$51.00$5.50

Career

7: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Goulburn2145m22 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT67.7L
5Newcastle1890m13 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.5L
8Nowra1600m24 May 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY94.7L
7Moruya1200m10 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD44.5L
7Coffs Harbour1200m24 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY85.8L
6Kembla Grange800m12 May 2025 · Barrier Trial3.6L
7Nowra1200m23 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD46.3L
8Grafton1175m18 July 2024 · Set Weights plus Penalties · GOOD49.23L

Insights

Hot Trainer
Positive
Paul Murray in good form, out performing market 25%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Keener on others.

ILB

Back from a break. Started at $19.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last start at Goulburn and dropping back to a shorter trip. Facing a difficult task.

Finished 11th of 12 over 1m2½f at Goulburn (handicap) four months ago; returns from an absence here.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break. Was 18/1 and folded up in the straight when 11th last time at Goulburn and coming back in distance.

16Lightning JoeyJ: Jon Grisedale·T: Paul Murray1055kg7 9 13 4 1218: 0-0-0$126.00$12.00

Career

18: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1217m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

12Nowra1400m18 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD418.3L
4Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.7L
13Kembla Grange2000m26 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD462.1L
9Kembla Grange1600m12 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD48.1L
7Wyong1350m4 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD49.6L
11Ballarat Synthetic1200m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.8L
13Cranbourne1300m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY916.7L
6Moe1217m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY107L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 25%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 18 starts

Comments

AAP

Record poor across numerous opportunities. No threat as a $101 chance in Mdn Plate this course. Coming back in distance. This looks a tall order.

ILB

Was $101.00 and didn't find the line when 12th last start at this track. Yet to fire a shot in 18 runs. Has not placed in 8 attempts this campaign. Hard to see this being competitive today.

Finished behind Crestwood with blinkers tried when back to 7f 14 days ago in a maiden.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and didn't threaten when 12th last time at this venue. Yet to place in 18 attempts. Struggling lately with no placings from 8 attempts.

Odds correct as at Sun 1 Nov, 4:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races