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Nowra (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Nowra (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 1 NovNowra (NSW)Change

Race 4 — Crookhaven Rokk Oysters Mdn Plate 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Nowra for the Crookhaven Rokk Oysters Mdn Plate over the 1400m journey on a good three track with an overcast sky. Punters looking at the early win market order will find Viva Viva heading calculations, closely followed by Adaptation, Gianluca, and Eternal Torment rounding out the top four in the betting ring. It sets up an intriguing maiden contest where local knowledge and barrier draws could play a massive part in how the race unfolds from the start at 3:20 pm AEDT.

Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Viva Viva comes in fresh here for stable trainer Ms A Turner after battling home okay at Kembla Grange over 1600m and recording a solid third prior to that. Winona Costin takes the reins, riding in good touch. Adaptation is another prominent hope from the G Ryan and S Alexiou yard, lining up from barrier two with Tom Sherry aboard. Although coming off an ordinary performance in a small field at Kembla Grange over 1300m, this runner has placed previously and might find this distance suitable to make an impact.

Further down the race book, several other runners offer interesting form lines and stable angles. Gianluca jumps from barrier five for trainer K J Parker and jockey Chad Lever, knowing this Nowra track well after keeping the effort going to finish among the placings here last time out over 1200m, suggesting the extra ground here will be a distinct plus. Meanwhile, Eternal Torment represents the powerful C Maher stable on debut from barrier three with Brodie Loy steering. This $200k purchase is out of a full sister to a Group One winner and has shown some ability in barrier trials, making it an intriguing runner well worth keeping an eye on as the race unfolds.

Race notes

  • MDN-SW,Maiden
  • GOOD3
  • Overcast
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

Eternal Torment (6)

2.90

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

  • 7Gianluca

Firststart

  • 6Eternal Torment
  • 9Choisirising
  • 13Interlocking
  • 14Miss Pinot Noir

Backmarker

  • 4Captain Smoker

Midfield

  • 5Cold Mist
  • 12Viva Viva

Offpace

  • 3Aerostern Bro

Onpace

  • 1Adaptation

Leader

  • 8So Superior
  • 10Invasion
  • Adaptation · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Aerostern Bro · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 7%

  • Captain Smoker · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 9%

  • Cold Mist · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1AdaptationJ: Tom Sherry·T: G Ryan & S Alexiou259kg4 4 6 7 79: 0-0-2$5.50$2.05

Career

9: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Kembla Grange1300m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.7L
  2. 7Illawarra Grange1300m17 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD42.8L
  3. 6Kembla Grange1600m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.6L
  4. 4Hawkesbury1300m11 Aug 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT53.7L
  5. 4Canterbury1200m22 July 2026 · 2&3Y C&G MDN · SOFT72.7L
  6. 6Rosehill1030m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)8.4L
  7. 1Rosehill900m30 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-2.4
  8. 9Rosehill1500m25 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD49.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at Kembla Grange. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Started $26.00 and weakened to finish 7th last run at Kembla Grange but will try to take advantage of the barrier. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Watch the betting.

RP

Finished last of seven at Kembla Grange over 6½f (maiden) last month; long-term maiden (0-9); may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and gave away some ground when 7th last run at Kembla Grange but has a good draw. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Could be in the mix.

2AerionScratched13––––

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moruya

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1020m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Nowra1400m18 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD48.3L
  2. 10Moruya1200m2 Oct 2026 · Maiden · SOFT79.8L
  3. 7Nowra1200m20 Sept 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD45.4L
  4. 10Moruya1020m28 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD412.4L
  5. 7Warwick Farm1207m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.3L
  6. 9Warwick Farm1200m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)12.4L
  7. 9Warwick Farm786m20 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)10.5L
  8. 10Warwick Farm792m18 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial11L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 1%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Damon Budler 24% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 147%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 68%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 72% Profit on Turnover

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Damon Budler winning at 4% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%

Comments

AAP

Shown little to date. Last at 400m, made minor headway in the strung out finish this track over this trip. Home track advantage but has an adverse draw. Facing an uphill task.

ILB

Ran 6th last run here. Likely to get back in the field.

RP

Not far behind Captain Smoker when sixth 14 days ago; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Finished 6th last start here. Likely to get back in the field.

3Aerostern BroJ: Jess Taylor·T: J M Austin1159kg2 4 8 6 411: 0-2-1$41.00$6.00

Career

11: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Warwick Farm1207m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)9.1L
  2. 6Warwick Farm819m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
  3. 8Kembla Grange2000m2 June 2026 · MDN · HEAVY817.7L
  4. 4Bathurst1800m12 May 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD45.8L
  5. 2Bathurst1800m25 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD40.8L
  6. 4Canberra1400m3 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53L
  7. 6Warwick Farm786m20 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.3L
  8. 4Wyong1625m21 Feb 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · GOOD45.6L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Given two trials. Can lead or take a sit. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Back after a break. Jumped at $21.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last time at Kembla Grange and coming back in trip. Not threatening these.

RP

12th attempt to get off the mark; finished eighth, beaten 18l, five months ago at Kembla Grange in a handicap; layoff to overcome; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Started 20/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last time at Kembla Grange and back in trip.

4Captain SmokerJ: Richard Bensley·T: Haylee Day859kg9 8 9 6 52: 0-0-0$126.00$15.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Nowra1400m18 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.8L
  2. 6Canberra1280m7 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD36.2L
  3. 9Warwick Farm1202m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.6L
  4. 8Warwick Farm815m26 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)4.8L
  5. 9Warwick Farm789m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial7.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 9%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%

Comments

AAP

Safely held but not totally disgraced this track at a mammoth price. Keener on others.

ILB

Was $151.00 and picked up some ground to run 5th last run here. Needs a lot of luck to figure in the finish.

RP

Held in fifth on debut outing for new trainer 14 days ago; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and overtook some late when 5th last time at this track.

5Cold MistJ: Poppie Gorton·T: Paul Murray1459kg3 2 2 4 915: 0-5-2$23.00$4.20

Career

15: 0-5-2

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Queanbeyan

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Moruya

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1080m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1209m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 0-4-2

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Nowra1200m18 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.2L
  2. 4Kembla Grange1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD42.3L
  3. 2Moruya1310m28 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L
  4. 2Canberra1280m7 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32.8L
  5. 3Wyong1350m25 Jan 2026 · Maiden · GOOD46L
  6. 4Kembla Grange1300m10 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.1L
  7. 2Moruya1300m21 Dec 2025 · Maiden · SOFT51L
  8. 4Queanbeyan1200m28 Nov 2025 · Maiden · GOOD42.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 25%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 4.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely this venue at $13. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Started at $13.00 and subpar when 9th last time at the track. Poppie Gorton provides some weight relief. Win will not surprise.

RP

Behind several of these over 6f here (handicap) when beaten 6l (ninth of 11) 14 days ago; makes limited appeal as looks more likely to place than win.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and lacklustre showing when 9th last run at this venue. Large claim helps. Price in this race is tempting to get involved.

6Eternal TormentJ: Brodie Loy·T: C Maher359kg10 3 4$2.90$1.36

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 4Hawkesbury1000m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.8L
  2. 3Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
  3. 10Rosehill900m22 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)24.8L

Insights

  • On Debut

    Positive

    First race start

Comments

AAP

Trials (3:0-0-1). $200k purchase. Out of a full sister to G1 winner Savvy Coup. Unplaced in latest trial but has shown some ability in his previous trial work. Good draw. Well worth a look.

ILB

Initial race appearance 4yo by Fastnet Rock for Ciaron Maher. Jockey Brodie Loy rates highly aboard. Fitter for a trial at Kembla Grange on Oct 7th. Watch early betting.

RP

His trainer gets plenty of debutant winners; already a gelding; first race for the son of Fastnet Rock; likely to be in contention.

RSIS

Ciaron Maher trained 4yo runner on debut by Fastnet Rock. Jockey Brodie Loy is a bonus. Ran 3rd in a trial at Kembla Grange on Oct 7th. Keep your eye on the market.

7GianlucaJ: Chad Lever·T: K J Parker559kg5 7 6 4 35: 0-0-1$8.00$2.60

Career

5: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kembla Grange

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1020m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Nowra1200m18 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.2L
  2. 4Kembla Grange1200m26 Sept 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD43.6L
  3. 6Moruya1020m15 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT710L
  4. 7Kembla Grange1200m21 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT77.8L
  5. 5Kembla Grange1000m3 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY91.7L
  6. 2Kembla Grange800m2 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial0.2L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

No match but kept working home to finish among the placings this track. More ground a plus. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Good effort to finish 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last run at this track and form has been improving over recent runs. Strong claims.

RP

Finished ahead of three of these 14 days ago putting in a solid effort to finish third in a handicap; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; steps into the unknown over new trip and makes little appeal.

RSIS

Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 3 1/4L last time here and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Capable of winning this.

8So SuperiorJ: Molly Bourke·T: Ms A Turner959kg3 10 4 1 419: 0-1-5$17.00$3.80

Career

19: 0-1-5

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Canberra

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Goulburn

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 0-1-5

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Nowra1200m18 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.7L
  2. 1Warwick Farm816m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1.3
  3. 4Nowra1600m24 May 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY91.5L
  4. 10Kembla Grange1600m16 May 2026 · MID MDN-SW · SOFT57.9L
  5. 3Hawkesbury1500m17 Mar 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.5L
  6. 6Wyong1600m26 Feb 2026 · MDN SW · SOFT55.5L
  7. 3Gosford1600m5 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD42.8L
  8. 2Warwick Farm1200m22 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial0.1L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -40%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Sound but non-threatening effort this venue first run back. Better for the outing. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Odds of $21.00 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last start at this venue but up in weight. Should be going forward early. Prefer in something a lot easier.

RP

Knocking at the door recently; defeats piling up (0-19); not beaten that far in fourth (just under 4l) last month dropped down to 6f in a handicap; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and hit the line well when 4th last start here but will have to carry more weight. Has shown early pace in races to date.

9ChoisirisingJ: Keagan Latham·T: John Thompson657.5kg5 5$23.00$4.40

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 5Hawkesbury1250m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)9.9L
  2. 5Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (3:0-0-0). $280k purchase. Out of a half-sister to the stakes winner Golden Horn. Not knocked around in his trials. Market watch advised.

ILB

3yo by Maurice having first start for trainer John Thompson. Unplaced in all barrier trials. Watch the market moves.

RP

This son of Maurice makes debut under rules; should be on the premises as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

First appearance at the races 3yo by Maurice for trainer John Thompson. Unplaced in multiple trials.

10InvasionJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: Bjorn Baker1057.5kg2 8 5 4 34: 0-0-1$14.00$3.70

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Goulburn

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Orange

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Orange1300m19 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.23L
  2. 4Orange1300m8 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.94L
  3. 5Goulburn1400m24 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.79L
  4. 8Goulburn1200m11 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.8L
  5. 2Hawkesbury1000m24 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.3L
  6. 6Randwick740m14 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.2L
  7. 8Warwick Farm792m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial6.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Jean Van Overmeire 21% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

Comments

AAP

Shown some promise. Found enough to place in small field at Orange. This looks a nice race for the gelding.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last start at Orange and showing improvement in recent outings. Strong prospects.

RP

Finished third two weeks ago albeit only beaten just over 1l over 6½f (maiden) at Orange.

RSIS

Tidy effort when 3rd last run at Orange and getting better in recent performances. Very capable of taking this out.

11Fierce CriticScratched12––––

Career

5: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 7Nowra1200m18 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD44.1L
  2. 4Hawkesbury1000m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.1L
  3. 4Rosehill900m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5L
  4. 10Warwick Farm1600m4 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT715.3L
  5. 2Hawkesbury1500m19 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD40.8L
  6. 3Canberra1400m6 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD41L
  7. 5Kembla Grange1300m22 Jan 2026 · Maiden · SOFT73.3L
  8. 5Rosehill900m2 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.8L

Comments

AAP

Sent out $13 when never got into the race this track off extended spell. Strips in better shape. Not out of it.

ILB

Was $13.00 and came in 7th last run at the track.

RP

Without a win in five attempts although has finished second; not disgraced when seventh over 6f here (handicap) two weeks ago; others more persuasive.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and ran 7th last run at this venue.

12Viva VivaJ: Winona Costin·T: Ms A Turner757kg3 4 4 3 410: 0-0-2$4.60$1.85

Career

10: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Illawarra Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Kembla Grange1600m26 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
  2. 3Kembla Grange1600m12 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.2L
  3. 4Newcastle1350m25 Aug 2026 · MID MDN-SW · SOFT62.4L
  4. 4Illawarra Grange1150m30 July 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD41.2L
  5. 3Goulburn1500m12 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD42.1L
  6. 7Randwick Kensington1250m21 Jan 2026 · 2-3yo · SOFT75.9L
  7. 13Kembla Grange1300m3 Jan 2026 · MDN · GOOD412.7L
  8. 10Hawkesbury1300m7 Dec 2025 · MDN HCP · GOOD43.5L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 36 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Battled home okay at Kembla Grange. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

Started $21.00 and chased well when 4th last run at Kembla Grange. Trying to win after 10 starts. Others make far more appeal.

RP

Respectable effort in defeat (beaten 3l) at Kembla Grange over 1m (maiden) 36 days ago; has found improvement of late but long-term maiden (0-10); makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and made up ground when 4th last start at Kembla Grange. A 10 start maiden.

13InterlockingJ: Louise Day·T: C Maher155.5kg6 5$11.00$3.30

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 5Hawkesbury1000m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.9L
  2. 6Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.7L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 54% lower than Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). $550k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G1 winner Wyndspelle. Heading into debut with two lead-up trials. Gets a soft draw. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

Ciaron Maher trained 3yo by Wootton Bassett having first race start and drawn the rails. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Watch the market.

RP

Ciaron Maher-trained newcomers have a healthy record; there's hope from the sire that she has some ability; she has a shout with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Initial appearance 3yo by Wootton Bassett for Ciaron Maher and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time.

14Miss Pinot NoirJ: Shaun Guymer·T: Richard & Will Freedman455.5kg6 9 8 7$26.00$4.60

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 7Rosehill1030m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.2L
  2. 8Warwick Farm1210m9 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)11.7L
  3. 9Rosehill1030m22 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)5.2L
  4. 6Rosehill900m11 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.6L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    R & W Freedman striking at just 9%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (5:0-0-0). Cost $130K out of a Savabeel mare Vinaceous. Pedestrian efforts in trials to date. Benefit of decent alley. Follow betting leads.

ILB

Career debut 3yo by Ocean Park for Richard Freedman & Will Freedman. Ran 6th in a barrier trial at Rosehill Gardens on May 11th. Watch betting.

RP

New Zealander bred; stable gets plenty of debutant winners; from the same family as Lark, a winner over 7f; respected as some good aspects to her profile and trainer is in good order.

RSIS

3yo debutant sired by Ocean Park for Richard Freedman & Will Freedman. Yet to place in multiple trials.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races