Shortest win price
Eternal Torment (6)
2.90
Welcome to Nowra for the Crookhaven Rokk Oysters Mdn Plate over the 1400m journey on a good three track with an overcast sky. Punters looking at the early win market order will find Viva Viva heading calculations, closely followed by Adaptation, Gianluca, and Eternal Torment rounding out the top four in the betting ring. It sets up an intriguing maiden contest where local knowledge and barrier draws could play a massive part in how the race unfolds from the start at 3:20 pm AEDT.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Viva Viva comes in fresh here for stable trainer Ms A Turner after battling home okay at Kembla Grange over 1600m and recording a solid third prior to that. Winona Costin takes the reins, riding in good touch. Adaptation is another prominent hope from the G Ryan and S Alexiou yard, lining up from barrier two with Tom Sherry aboard. Although coming off an ordinary performance in a small field at Kembla Grange over 1300m, this runner has placed previously and might find this distance suitable to make an impact.
Further down the race book, several other runners offer interesting form lines and stable angles. Gianluca jumps from barrier five for trainer K J Parker and jockey Chad Lever, knowing this Nowra track well after keeping the effort going to finish among the placings here last time out over 1200m, suggesting the extra ground here will be a distinct plus. Meanwhile, Eternal Torment represents the powerful C Maher stable on debut from barrier three with Brodie Loy steering. This $200k purchase is out of a full sister to a Group One winner and has shown some ability in barrier trials, making it an intriguing runner well worth keeping an eye on as the race unfolds.
Shortest win price
Eternal Torment (6)
2.90
Back left · leaders right
Offmidfield
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Adaptation · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Aerostern Bro · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Captain Smoker · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Cold Mist · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Career
9: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-0-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Ordinary performance in small field at Kembla Grange. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Started $26.00 and weakened to finish 7th last run at Kembla Grange but will try to take advantage of the barrier. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Watch the betting.
RP
Finished last of seven at Kembla Grange over 6½f (maiden) last month; long-term maiden (0-9); may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
Started 25/1 and gave away some ground when 7th last run at Kembla Grange but has a good draw. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Could be in the mix.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
2: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1020m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 1%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Damon Budler 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 147%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 68%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 72% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler winning at 4% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
AAP
Shown little to date. Last at 400m, made minor headway in the strung out finish this track over this trip. Home track advantage but has an adverse draw. Facing an uphill task.
ILB
Ran 6th last run here. Likely to get back in the field.
RP
Not far behind Captain Smoker when sixth 14 days ago; may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
Finished 6th last start here. Likely to get back in the field.
Career
11: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (21-weeks). Given two trials. Can lead or take a sit. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Back after a break. Jumped at $21.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last time at Kembla Grange and coming back in trip. Not threatening these.
RP
12th attempt to get off the mark; finished eighth, beaten 18l, five months ago at Kembla Grange in a handicap; layoff to overcome; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Started 20/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last time at Kembla Grange and back in trip.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
AAP
Safely held but not totally disgraced this track at a mammoth price. Keener on others.
ILB
Was $151.00 and picked up some ground to run 5th last run here. Needs a lot of luck to figure in the finish.
RP
Held in fifth on debut outing for new trainer 14 days ago; others appeal more.
RSIS
Started 150/1 and overtook some late when 5th last time at this track.
Career
15: 0-5-2
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-1
Track Moruya
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-4-2
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 25%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now
AAP
Went home tamely this venue at $13. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Started at $13.00 and subpar when 9th last time at the track. Poppie Gorton provides some weight relief. Win will not surprise.
RP
Behind several of these over 6f here (handicap) when beaten 6l (ninth of 11) 14 days ago; makes limited appeal as looks more likely to place than win.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and lacklustre showing when 9th last run at this venue. Large claim helps. Price in this race is tempting to get involved.
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Firststart
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-1). $200k purchase. Out of a full sister to G1 winner Savvy Coup. Unplaced in latest trial but has shown some ability in his previous trial work. Good draw. Well worth a look.
ILB
Initial race appearance 4yo by Fastnet Rock for Ciaron Maher. Jockey Brodie Loy rates highly aboard. Fitter for a trial at Kembla Grange on Oct 7th. Watch early betting.
RP
His trainer gets plenty of debutant winners; already a gelding; first race for the son of Fastnet Rock; likely to be in contention.
RSIS
Ciaron Maher trained 4yo runner on debut by Fastnet Rock. Jockey Brodie Loy is a bonus. Ran 3rd in a trial at Kembla Grange on Oct 7th. Keep your eye on the market.
Career
5: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1020m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
AAP
No match but kept working home to finish among the placings this track. More ground a plus. Among the dangers again.
ILB
Good effort to finish 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last run at this track and form has been improving over recent runs. Strong claims.
RP
Finished ahead of three of these 14 days ago putting in a solid effort to finish third in a handicap; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; steps into the unknown over new trip and makes little appeal.
RSIS
Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 3 1/4L last time here and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Capable of winning this.
Career
19: 0-1-5
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Canberra
4: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
3: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 0-1-5
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -40%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here
AAP
Sound but non-threatening effort this venue first run back. Better for the outing. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Odds of $21.00 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last start at this venue but up in weight. Should be going forward early. Prefer in something a lot easier.
RP
Knocking at the door recently; defeats piling up (0-19); not beaten that far in fourth (just under 4l) last month dropped down to 6f in a handicap; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Started at 20/1 and hit the line well when 4th last start here but will have to carry more weight. Has shown early pace in races to date.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-0). $280k purchase. Out of a half-sister to the stakes winner Golden Horn. Not knocked around in his trials. Market watch advised.
ILB
3yo by Maurice having first start for trainer John Thompson. Unplaced in all barrier trials. Watch the market moves.
RP
This son of Maurice makes debut under rules; should be on the premises as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
First appearance at the races 3yo by Maurice for trainer John Thompson. Unplaced in multiple trials.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
2: 0-0-0
Track Orange
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Jean Van Overmeire 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
AAP
Shown some promise. Found enough to place in small field at Orange. This looks a nice race for the gelding.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last start at Orange and showing improvement in recent outings. Strong prospects.
RP
Finished third two weeks ago albeit only beaten just over 1l over 6½f (maiden) at Orange.
RSIS
Tidy effort when 3rd last run at Orange and getting better in recent performances. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
5: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-1
AAP
Sent out $13 when never got into the race this track off extended spell. Strips in better shape. Not out of it.
ILB
Was $13.00 and came in 7th last run at the track.
RP
Without a win in five attempts although has finished second; not disgraced when seventh over 6f here (handicap) two weeks ago; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and ran 7th last run at this venue.
Career
10: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-0-2
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 36 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened. Battled home okay at Kembla Grange. Can make her presence felt.
ILB
Started $21.00 and chased well when 4th last run at Kembla Grange. Trying to win after 10 starts. Others make far more appeal.
RP
Respectable effort in defeat (beaten 3l) at Kembla Grange over 1m (maiden) 36 days ago; has found improvement of late but long-term maiden (0-10); makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and made up ground when 4th last start at Kembla Grange. A 10 start maiden.
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Firststart
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 54% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). $550k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G1 winner Wyndspelle. Heading into debut with two lead-up trials. Gets a soft draw. Odds may prove best guide here.
ILB
Ciaron Maher trained 3yo by Wootton Bassett having first race start and drawn the rails. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Watch the market.
RP
Ciaron Maher-trained newcomers have a healthy record; there's hope from the sire that she has some ability; she has a shout with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Initial appearance 3yo by Wootton Bassett for Ciaron Maher and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time.
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer SR
Negative
R & W Freedman striking at just 9%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (5:0-0-0). Cost $130K out of a Savabeel mare Vinaceous. Pedestrian efforts in trials to date. Benefit of decent alley. Follow betting leads.
ILB
Career debut 3yo by Ocean Park for Richard Freedman & Will Freedman. Ran 6th in a barrier trial at Rosehill Gardens on May 11th. Watch betting.
RP
New Zealander bred; stable gets plenty of debutant winners; from the same family as Lark, a winner over 7f; respected as some good aspects to her profile and trainer is in good order.
RSIS
3yo debutant sired by Ocean Park for Richard Freedman & Will Freedman. Yet to place in multiple trials.