Shortest win price
Tornado's Sister (4)
3.00
Welcome to Port Lincoln for the Kimba Hotel Hcp, a restricted 54 sprint over the 1000m course on a good four surface with fine weather overhead. The win market is headed by Tornado's Sister, closely followed in the order by Kublai, Broadway Lane, and Lapilli. It sets up as a fascinating dash where early speed will be heavily contested across the short trip, keeping punters guessing as the field sorts out their positions early in the yarn.
Looking into the form behind those shorter prices, Broadway Lane draws barrier two for trainer Jackie Stoetzer with Jemma Gutte in the saddle, returning from a thirty-one-week spell. This runner showed handy form in stronger company last campaign and boasts a solid fresh record that makes them a key player in this line-up. Kublai jumps from barrier four for trainers J Dunn and K Bishop with Rochelle Milnes steering, looking to build upon a previous effort at this track where they raced on pace before feeling the pinch.
Further down the market order, Wayne Brown brings out Tornado's Sister from barrier seven with Caitlyn Munro taking the ride following a sixty-day let-up. Despite a lacklustre finish at Mildura last time out, this runner is a past winner over the distance and commands attention in a competitive race. Speed maps suggest Broadway Lane and Tornado's Sister will look to use their early gate speed to lead the charge, ensuring a solid tempo from the jump.
Shortest win price
Tornado's Sister (4)
3.00
Most career wins
Catalina Blue
8-4-5 from 79 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Broadway Lane · Positive
Jockey Booking
Jemma Gutte 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Kublai · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Lapilli · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Tornado's Sister · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Career
62: 5-8-10
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Geelong
3: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-1-0
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
12: 3-1-1
Distance 1050m
11: 1-0-2
Distance 1100m
10: 0-1-1
Going Good
42: 1-6-7
Going Soft
8: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
10: 3-1-1
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jemma Gutte 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (31-weeks). Handy form in stronger company last campaign. Key player fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up from a break of 31 weeks and led throughout to win by 3/4L first up last preparation at Balaklava. Expecting to settle positively. Has a good draw. Solid claims.
RP
Useful at this level and consistent lately; respectable effort over 6½f here (handicap) in March; returns from a layoff; ought to give it a shot if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.
RSIS
Resuming and set the pace when winning by 3/4L resuming last preparation at Balaklava. Expecting to settle positively. Has a good draw. Down in trip. Rates as one of the key chances.
Career
22: 2-7-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
3: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1210m
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
14: 2-6-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
On pace but offered little resistance when challenged and petered out it this track. Fitter second-up. Can lead or take a sit. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Was $10.00 and faded away late when 4th last time at the track but coming back in distance. Should race on the speed. Will be fighting out the finish.
RP
Out of the frame when fourth here over 6f (handicap) last month; not won for some time now; others more appealing.
RSIS
Was 9/1 and faded late when 4th last time at the track but coming back in distance. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Will be competitive.
Career
29: 4-2-2
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 1-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
11: 0-2-0
Distance 1250m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 4-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-1-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (12-weeks). Proven fresh but below best last prep and prefer to see improvement.
ILB
Back from a break. Started $12.00 and didn't find the line when 8th last time at Mount Gambier on a heavy surface and dropping in distance. Looks like solid value.
RP
Found life tough when 6l back in eighth over 6½f at Mt Gambier (handicap) in August; this is her grade; difficult to oppose if replicating the best of her form and has won after a similar break previously.
RSIS
Resuming from break. Was 11/1 and well beaten when 8th last start at Mount Gambier and will be down in distance. Watch the market moves.
Career
21: 1-6-4
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-2
Track Sale
2: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
6: 0-2-2
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
15: 1-6-4
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-6-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-2
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (60-days). Rider found a forward spot at Mildura but she put in a very lacklustre finish. Winner this trip. Commands attention here.
ILB
Folded up in the straight when 8th last start at Mildura. May see an upturn in form. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Will go close.
RP
Form has been a bit up and down of late and been a while since she managed only win; not beaten too far when eighth of ten at Mildura two months ago; looks more likely to place than win so is passed over.
RSIS
Didn't threaten when 8th last run at Mildura. Should improve. Will be positive in the run early. Definite claims for punters.
Career
16: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-0
Track Oakbank
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 9% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Brooke King in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 28%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Settled back and always among the cab-catchers this course when second-up. Switching to 1000m. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
Odds of $10.00 and faded to finish 11th last start at this track and down in distance. Displays good tactical speed.
RP
Finished 11th of 12 over 6f here (handicap) last month; has a chance if replicating best previous efforts.
RSIS
Started at 9/1 and weakened under pressure when 11th last time around here and coming back in distance. Should come to hand quickly.
Career
22: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ceduna
2: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Returns for second campaign (36-weeks). Trialled quietly at Port Lincoln. Locally trained but awkwardly drawn and up in weight for return. Expect will need this.
ILB
First up from a 36 week spell. Was ordinary when 10th last run at this track and dropping in distance. The large claim from Stephanie Wright should help. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Generally modest form since maiden success at Ceduna last November; finished last of ten over 6f here (handicap) in February; back from an absence here; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Resuming after a 36 week break. Lacklustre showing when 10th last time here and coming back in distance. Large claim helps. Could feature here.
Career
23: 1-3-6
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-1
Track Clare
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
16: 1-3-3
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-1-2
Going Soft
7: 0-1-4
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 53% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Polly Brewster 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Long time since last saluted. Great run at Port Lincoln 4 Oct then no threat in latest. Place only.
ILB
Odds of $7.50 and struggled with the pace when 9th last time around here and back to a shorter distance.
RP
Finished ninth of 12 last month upped to 6f; has a record of 1-23 and good and bad recent runs found on her CV; looks more likely to place than win so passed over.
RSIS
Started 13/2 and gave away some ground when 9th last time at this track and back to a shorter distance.
Career
30: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
13: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 0-0-2
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 27% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -76% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 67%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 50% in L100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
AAP
First-up (36-weeks). Blew the cobwebs away in recent trial. Right in the mix fresh in this affair at country level.
ILB
Resuming after a 36 week break. At $21.00 finished 8th last run around here and down in trip. Might be ridden for luck. Rises in weight. Can't recommend.
RP
Held in eighth over 6½f here (handicap) in February; shown only moderate recent form and been a while since he managed only win; layoff to overcome; is passed over.
RSIS
Back after break of 36 weeks. At 20/1 came in 8th last run around here and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Rising in weight.
Career
79: 8-4-5
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
7: 1-0-0
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-1
Track Broken Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Ceduna
1: 1-0-0
Track Jamestown
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1396m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
51: 6-4-4
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
19: 1-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 98%
AAP
Ran on okay without troubling on a soft deck this venue. Coming back in distance. Place.
ILB
Odds of $101.00 and got going late when 5th last run at the track but will be dropping in distance. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Place hope.
RP
Record over this course and distance is four wins from 15 runs; finished fifth beaten 1½l here over 6f (handicap) last month; encouragement to be gleaned from latest effort so is respected.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and made up ground when 5th last time around here but will be dropping in distance. Likely to get back.
Career
65: 4-6-6
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
50: 4-6-4
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Augusta
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1210m
16: 3-1-0
Distance 1250m
7: 0-1-1
Going Good
55: 4-6-4
Going Soft
10: 0-0-2
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 279%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Kept fresh following return. Failed to threaten this track off extended spell at healthy odds. Prefer to see again.
ILB
Started $31.00 and weakened to finish 10th last run at this track but can save some energy from the draw. Has more weight to carry. Potential to run into a place.
RP
Knows this place inside out (four course wins); tenth of 12 when dropped to this distance last month; not a great record second time out after a break and hard to recommend.
RSIS
Started at 30/1 and faded to finish 10th last run at the track but drawn the rails. Carrying more weight than last time.