Shortest win price
Fashizlemanizle (5)
2.40
Port Lincoln hosts a Class 1 handicap over 1000 metres on Good 4 going this afternoon at 4:00 pm AEDT, and the punters' market is leaning toward a runner resuming fresh. Fashizlemanizle is shortest in the odds, with Equine Headline and Go Ask Alice making up the trifecta of favoured chances. She Rex and Trade Game follow, while the rest fill in around them. The story here is really one of form lines colliding with freshness angles, and a field where pattern and map position might matter just as much as recent effort.
Fashizlemanizle rates 90 on the IRD scale and carries some genuine appeal on paper—a Port Lincoln winner at this distance before, returning after 28 weeks out, and a course specialist with form to respect. The write-up says she saluted first-up last prep at this venue, suggesting the track suits fresh arrivals. That said, the jockey booking is noted as less suitable, and the form map suggests she sits back, which historically underperforms market expectations here by 25 per cent. Equine Headline, rated 96, just missed when second-up at Port Lincoln four starts back, showing plenty of ticker in soft ground. Connor Murtagh has ridden this horse to narrow defeats here twice in recent outings, and the stable line says one for exotics rather than a mainline win candidate. Go Ask Alice won impressively in choppy conditions here not long ago and has early speed, but stepping into stronger company off a rating of 74 feels the step up.
Gingermac, from the outside gate, deserves a squiz—Andrew Stead is a jockey recently running 10 per cent above his career average, and he's booked at 27 per cent above market expectation in his last 100 rides. She Rex is worth noting in exotics too; she finished full of running when switched to this stable and will drop to the sprint trip, and the form suggests some sharp finishing angles. The market offers multiple angles here, but Fashizlemanizle's freshness pedigree and track record feel like legitimate claiming chances, while form students might find value in the closer runners depending on their reading of midfield tempo.
Shortest win price
Fashizlemanizle (5)
2.40
Most career wins
Go Ask Alice
2-0-2 from 11 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Trade Game · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 25% lower than Career Avg.
Lyra Star · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 53% in Last 100 Rides
Russian Bobshark · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Vasilias · Negative
Trainer SR
B John Cozamanis striking at just 3%
Career
6: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 25% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 110%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 43% in L100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 6kg weight here
AAP
Went home tamely on a soft deck this venue for new stable at $13. A few runs under his belt this campaign, can challenge.
ILB
Was $13.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last start at this track. Has the ability to turn things around but will have to carry more weight. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Seventh of 12 beaten 5½l last month on debut for this trainer; has to be considered as shown he can get his head in front.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and tailed off to finish 7th last run at this venue. Happy to forgive that run but has to carry more weight this time. Has strong claims.
Career
9: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 1-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 53% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Polly Brewster 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (34-weeks). Lone career win was over 1000m at Ceduna in last campaign. Trialled strongly ahead of this return, but the long spell leaves some fitness to prove. This looks challenging.
ILB
Back from a 34 week spell. Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last time at Penong. Unlikely to go close.
RP
Has displayed improved form on last two starts; good effort when close up at Penong in March; returns from a layoff.
RSIS
Resumes after a 34 week break. Looked good when 2nd last time at Penong.
Career
13: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-1
Track Port Lincoln
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 1-1-1
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-2
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -65% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kept fresh following return. Handily placed but lacked the necessary pick-up this course off long spell. Since trialled at Murray Bridge Gh 29 Oct. Highly rated in this line-up.
ILB
Started $10.00 and ran 5th last run here. Happy to overlook that run. Displays very good closing speed. Should give this a shake.
RP
Beaten 6l into fifth four weeks ago, form boosted by Strawberry Swing; shown he can be competitive fairly recently and in the mix.
RSIS
Started at 9/1 and ran 5th last run around here. Capable of a strong comeback. Has a great burst of pace late. Stamps its reason for consideration.
Career
13: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
9: 1-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
9: 1-1-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
B John Cozamanis striking at just 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 67%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 70% Profit on Turnover
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
Failed to threaten on a soft deck this venue over this trip as an outsider. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Was $81.00 and looked outclassed when 9th last start around here. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Improved form the last twice; finished ninth of 12 last month; this is competitive and not easy to fancy.
RSIS
Started 80/1 and gave away some ground when 9th last run at this venue.
Career
6: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-1-0
Track Port Lincoln
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1210m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (28-weeks). Saluted at Port Lincoln first-up last prep. Winner at only other start at Port Lincoln. Right in this fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up and rounded them up when winning first up last preparation at this track. Expected to be flashing home. Back to a shorter trip. Solid claims.
RP
Held in eighth at Naracoorte over 7f (handicap) in April; returns from a layoff here; can be in the mix if duplicating the form of his most recent win.
RSIS
Resuming and finished well when winning resuming last preparation at this track. Displays good closing pace. Will be facing a significant drop in distance. Has definite claims.
Career
11: 2-0-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
4: 0-0-1
Track Strathalbyn
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
5: 1-0-2
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Bullish win in choppy conditions this track for new trainer. Has early speed. Meets stronger company here but in good order.
ILB
Dominant winner by just over 4L last run around here and has a positive alley. Form has been improving over recent runs. Not interested.
RP
Has kicked on in her last couple of races; easy winner (4l) in a maiden last month on debut outing for new trainer to break her duck; passed over despite the last time out success.
RSIS
Made no mistakes when winning by a margin of just over 4L last time at the track and gets a favourable stall. On an upward trajectory in recent races.
Career
12: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Port Lincoln
10: 1-2-2
Track CurrentTrack
10: 1-2-2
Track Oakbank
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
8: 1-2-2
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-2-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 9% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
J & K Dunn & Bishop striking at just 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Brooke King in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 28%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
AAP
Kept fresh. Off pace, worked his way into the minors without threatening winner this track 4 Oct. Since trialled at Murray Bridge Gh 29 Oct. Can play a role.
ILB
Picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 2L last time at the track. Rough chance today.
RP
Not beaten far when third 31 days ago; achieved only a sole win.
RSIS
Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 2L last run around here.
Career
17: 1-5-2
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
13: 1-5-2
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1539m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-2-2
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 1-4-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
J & K Dunn & Bishop striking at just 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Just missed at Port Lincoln 4 Oct. Prominent, showed plenty of ticker in soft going to just go under this venue when second-up. Drops to shorter trip. One for exotics.
ILB
Threw down a serious challenge last start here but dropping in distance. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this campaign. Should go close.
RP
Beaten narrowly when he had a couple of these behind last month upped to 6f; just the one victory on his CV; he can be taken on.
RSIS
Just missed last run at the track but coming back in trip. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts lately. Should go very close.
Career
6: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Broken Hill
1: 0-1-0
Track Port Augusta
5: 1-0-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 10% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Andrew Stead 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (25-weeks). Ex D J McMahon. Trained here now. Nabbed on the wire at Broken Hill first-up last campaign. Prefer to see.
ILB
First up from a break of 25 weeks and came in 2nd first up last preparation at Broken Hill. First start for a new trainer. Slim possibilty.
RP
Eighth of 12 beaten 13l over 5½f at Port Augusta (handicap) in May; stepped up on her last two starts; returns from a layoff here; first start for new yard; winner two starts ago and hard to dismiss.
RSIS
Resuming and claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd resuming last preparation at Broken Hill. First appearance for a new trainer and drawn well.
Career
17: 1-1-5
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-0-3
Trainer SR
Negative
J & K Dunn & Bishop striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Quietly handled in back half, shaken up and finished full of running this track for new stable. Switching to 1000m. Fit from racing, has some claims.
ILB
Started at $15.00 and ran on into 4th last time at this venue but coming back in trip. Watch the betting.
RP
Solid run when fourth here over 6f (handicap) on her first start for this trainer ten days ago; subpar since successful in a maiden at Bordertown six months ago; hard enough to fancy as a few rivals look in good form.
RSIS
Was 14/1 and crept into 4th last start around here but back in trip. Could be in the mix.
Career
18: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
3: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
13: 0-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Okay at latest when settled back. Strips fitter. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Jumped at $6.50 and came in 6th last run at this track and down in distance.
RP
Normally pretty consistent and grade looks suitable; respectable effort over 6f here (handicap) ten days ago.
RSIS
At 11/2 finished 6th last run at the track and back to a shorter trip.
Career
17: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
11: 1-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
8: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
15: 1-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
J & K Dunn & Bishop striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Dist Stats
Negative
Has struggled at this distance range
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Largely struggled in his post maiden runs. Off pace but only battled home to cross the line this venue when second-up. Switching to 1000m. Low percentage horse.
ILB
Was $15.00 and came in 6th last run at this venue and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Likely to get back.
RP
This is his grade; beaten 9l in sixth ten days ago upped to 6f.
RSIS
Started 14/1 and ran 6th last time here and dropping in distance. Might have to make up considerable ground.