Shortest win price
Utah (4)
3.10
Welcome to Port Lincoln for the Marina Hotel Hcp (54) over the 1350m trip on a Good 4 surface with fine weather overhead. The local punters are lining up to dissect a tricky restricted handicap where Utah holds down the mantle at the head of the win market. Following closely in the betting order are Toorak Blaze, Outcaster, and Minato, setting up an intriguing yarn as the field prepares to tackle the 1350m journey.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Utah from the J Dunn and K Bishop stable comes off a handy effort over this track and distance where it boxed on solidly, rating among the better chances here from barrier two with Connor Murtagh in the saddle. Toorak Blaze is next in calculations with Kayla Crowther steering from barrier one, though its recent Port Lincoln run saw it race in the back half. Meanwhile, Outcaster brings some late sectional power after putting in big strides late over this course last time out, suggesting it could give some cheek at odds from barrier five with Caitlyn Munro taking the mount.
Further down the market order, runners like Minato add depth to the race profile for the Dunn and Bishop stable, having lobbed handy and boxed on behind a runaway winner here previously. With speed map runners such as Sir Panama, Utah, Midnight Ruler, and Minato likely to dictate terms on the speed, punters looking for value have plenty of angles to weigh up in what promises to be a competitive contest.
Shortest win price
Utah (4)
3.10
Most career wins
Jamrock and Sir Panama
6 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Jamrock · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides
Sir Panama · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Toorak Blaze · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Utah · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Career
64: 6-8-8
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Strathalbyn
2: 0-0-1
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1800m
14: 1-3-3
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
32: 3-3-5
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
24: 2-4-3
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Andrew Stead 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (17-weeks). Not beaten far Benchmark 56 company at Strathalbyn first-up last preparation. Each way fresh.
ILB
First up. Was $31.00 and looked outclassed when 11th last run at Port Augusta but up against a less challenging field. Back in trip. May find these too slick.
RP
Been generally quiet since successful in a handicap at Port Lincoln New Year's Eve; finished 11th of 12 at Port Augusta over 1m3½f (handicap) four months ago; returns from a break today; easy to oppose.
RSIS
First run back after break. Started 30/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last run at Port Augusta but competing at a lower level of competition.
Career
50: 6-7-7
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Quorn
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
10: 0-0-1
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
8: 0-2-1
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-0-0
Going Good
36: 4-4-6
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 2-1-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 65%
Track And Dist
Positive
Excels at this track and trip
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 31 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened after return. Settled back and didn't figure first run back in the Hcp (56) this venue. Track and trip specialist. Looking to bounce back.
ILB
Jumped at $5.50 and ran 8th last time around here. Can make a comeback and solid performer at this distance in the past. Will be hitting the line strongly. Can win.
RP
Good C&D record (three wins); split a number of these rivals when beaten 4½l in eighth 31 days ago; cannot be ignored as has been on the scene in the recent past.
RSIS
Odds of 9/2 and finished 8th last start here. Should bounce back and suited at this distance historically. Expected to be flashing home. Expect a forward showing.
Career
28: 4-2-3
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Lock
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-1
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
7: 0-0-1
Going Good
25: 4-2-3
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 158%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 26%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
AAP
Raced in back half and never likely this track second-up. One for multiples.
ILB
At $7.50 weakened to finish 11th last run around here but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Worth a serious look.
RP
11th of 12 last month; knows how to win here; others appeal more.
RSIS
Was 13/2 and faded away to finish 11th last time at the track but will appreciate a good draw. Kayla Crowther and Brent Hull are a proven combination. Good chance at a nice price.
Career
14: 1-3-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-1-0
Track Sale
2: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-3-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Great run at Port Lincoln 4 Oct. Last start this trip handy and boxed on solidly this course. Rates among the better chances.
ILB
At $2.60 was getting tired late when 4th last run around here and gets a favourable gate. Can go through the gears. Will go close here.
RP
Generally struggled with a record of 1-14; favourite but out of the places when fourth last month; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so not easy to fancy.
RSIS
Was 8/5 and lost ground late when 4th last start at this track and has a positive stall. Will be trying to topple them late. Strong chance to be considered.
Career
35: 5-4-2
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (35-weeks). Ex Trent & Laura Allen in SA. Will have much longer trips in mind. Prefer to watch without betting support.
ILB
First run back from a break of 35 weeks. Sub-standard effort when 12th last start here and down in distance. First appearance for a new trainer.
RP
Beaten a long way over 1m½f here (handicap) in February; first start for new trainer; layoff to overcome; very interesting as has been on the scene in the recent past.
RSIS
Back from a break of 35 weeks. Disappointing effort when 12th last time at this track and coming back in trip. First start for a new trainer.
Career
46: 5-6-7
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-1-2
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Lock
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Narrandera
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-3
Distance 1300m
3: 1-1-1
Going Soft
15: 4-4-3
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 1-2-3
Jockey Booking
Negative
Dylan Caboche current POT is 27% below Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
B John Cozamanis striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -76% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 67%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 70% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 50% in L100 rides
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Port Lincoln Hcp (56) placegetter 29 Mar. Safely held but not totally disgraced in soft going this venue. Strips in better shape. Danger.
ILB
Was $5.50 and inched into 5th last time around here. Prefers to settle towards the rear. This will pose a challenge.
RP
Out of the frame when fifth here over 6f (handicap) last month; this is his level; finished third two runs ago and too soon to write him off - ought to be on the premises.
RSIS
Started 9/2 and improved when 5th last time at this venue. Gets back and needs luck.
Career
20: 3-2-2
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Streaky Bay
1: 0-0-1
Track Port Lincoln
18: 3-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
18: 3-2-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
9: 2-1-1
Going Good
16: 3-2-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Raced in back half and never likely this course second-up. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
Odds of $17.00 and didn't threaten when 12th last time at this venue. Does take a while to get into stride. Not without a chance.
RP
Finished last of 12 last month when behind five of these rivals upped to this trip; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
At 16/1 tailed off to finish 12th last start here. Does take a while to get into stride. Keep safe.
Career
53: 1-4-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-2
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
37: 1-4-4
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track Clare
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
10: 1-2-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
43: 1-4-5
Going Soft
9: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 279%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Settled back and didn't come on this venue off extended spell. Locally trained but awkwardly drawn and looking elsewhere.
ILB
Jumped at $151.00 and tailed off to finish 12th last start at this track. Simply cannot have today.
RP
Finished last of 12 here over 6f (handicap) last month; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Odds of 150/1 and weakened under pressure when 12th last run at this venue.
Career
10: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
2: 1-0-1
Going Good
7: 1-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
J & K Dunn & Bishop striking at just 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Lobbed handy, boxed on behind runaway winner in the Hcp (54) this course second-up. Ordinary stats at this track and trip. Right in the mix again.
ILB
Came in 3rd last run at this venue. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation. Definite claims.
RP
Had three of these behind over 6f here (handicap) when well held third last month.
RSIS
Ran well when 3rd last run at this track. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts of late. Expecting a solid performance.
Career
22: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
3: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-1
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 1-1-0
Distance 1750m
7: 0-1-1
Distance 1960m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 9% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Key Jockey
Positive
Brooke King winning at 11% POT in last 100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Winless since 7 Aug 2024. Off the speed, picked up soundly and wasn't beaten far this course when second-up. Has an adverse draw. Not fancied.
ILB
Started $15.00 and ran on into 5th last run around here. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw. Appears tested in this event.
RP
Just the one win to her name; respectable effort (beaten just under 3l) last month.
RSIS
Started 14/1 and kept chasing when 5th last time here. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall.
Career
45: 5-7-5
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-1-2
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
13: 2-3-0
Track Pakenham
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1221m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1619m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-3
Going Synthetic
7: 1-1-1
Going Good
30: 4-6-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 110%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Long losing streak. Put in some big strides late this course second-up. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Finished well when 3rd beaten by 1L last run here. Placed at every start this preparation. Likely to settle back in the field. Respect the betting.
RP
String of consistent efforts of late; good effort when close up when finished in front of five of these last month; capable of making an impact if replicating most recent run.
RSIS
Improved to place when 3rd last time at this venue. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts lately. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Respect the betting.
Career
16: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Roxby Downs
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
12: 1-2-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
5: 0-2-0
Going Good
14: 1-2-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 99%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 31 days
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Failed to threaten (outside alley) this course for new trainer at longer odds. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Was $21.00 and faded to finish 9th last time around here but returns to a rise in trip. Will be a tough ask.
RP
Has struggled to factor since winning a maiden at Port Lincoln in January; ninth of 12 over 5f here (handicap) on first outing for new trainer last month; others appeal more.
RSIS
Started at 20/1 and didn't threaten when 9th last time at the track but returns to an increased distance.
Career
28: 5-3-2
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
8: 0-1-0
Track Murray Bridge
5: 1-1-1
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
7: 2-1-1
Going Good
19: 3-3-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 2-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
J & K Dunn & Bishop striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Failed to threaten on a soft deck this course when second-up. Drawn to get a soft run. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Started $9.00 and weakened under pressure when 10th last run at the track.
RP
Finished tenth of 12 ten days ago; this is his grade.
RSIS
Started 8/1 and gave away some ground when 10th last start at this venue.
Career
22: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
11: 1-1-0
Track Strathalbyn
2: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 2-0-0
Going Good
19: 2-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 53% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Last win was 5 Oct 2024. Well back and never sighted this track after lengthy absence at healthy odds. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Was ordinary when 10th last run at the track.
RP
Finished tenth of 12 here over 6f (handicap) last month; grade looks suitable.
RSIS
Below par when 10th last time at the track.
Career
44: 6-6-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
8: 0-0-0
Second-up
6: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
7: 1-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
9: 2-0-0
Distance 2470m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 3600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
27: 3-5-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 3-1-0
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Dropped out to last and never sighted this track off long spell. Outsider and rightly so.
ILB
Unimpressive effort when 12th last time at the track.
RP
Finished behind three of these rivals over 6f here (handicap) when last of 12 last month; this is his level.
RSIS
Ordinary performance when 12th last time here.
Career
68: 2-9-10
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 0-0-2
Second-up
6: 0-2-1
Third-up
6: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-2-2
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
2: 0-0-1
Track Port Lincoln
47: 2-9-9
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
10: 1-2-2
Distance 1396m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
62: 2-9-9
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Key Rider
Positive
Brooke King 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 67%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 70% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Brooke King winning at 18% POT in last 100 rides
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Last assignment this trip when ran on okay without troubling this venue. Worth a look.
ILB
At $15.00 was found wanting late when 4th last start at the track and has drawn the rails.
RP
Can be a player at this level; creditable fourth when separating a number of reopposing rivals four weeks ago.
RSIS
Was 14/1 and outmuscled late when 4th last run here and can save some energy from the stall.