Shortest win price
Skating On By (3)
3.70
Welcome to Port Lincoln for the Asahi Publican's Day Hcp 54 over a sharp 1000m on a good 4 surface under fine skies. The market has found an early favorite in The Hass, with Skating On By, Prescient, and Hayzee Fantayzee next in line as punters sort through a tricky sprint field where early speed looks set to play a major role in how the yarn unfolds.
The Hass jumps from barrier one for Christopher Harrison with Jade Doyle steering, bringing a gritty recent win over 1210m here on soft going before a midfield finish over this exact trip. Prescient lines up outside them in barrier six for J Branford and H Dorward, looking to bounce back after weakening here last time out over further. Meanwhile, Skating On By returns from a thirty-one week break following two quiet trials at Murray Bridge, and Hayzee Fantayzee comes in fresh after a recent trial spin following a reasonable effort at this track and distance.
Looking further down the speed maps, leaders like The Hass and Prescient will be kept honest upfront by on-pace runners such as Skating On By, Ze Birds'N'Zebees, Chiaro, and Wadaana. With a few runners searching for their best form, this 1000m dash promises plenty of early pressure and gives the on-pacer brigade every chance to dictate terms if they can handle the quick back-up.
Shortest win price
Skating On By (3)
3.70
Most career wins
Prescient
6-6-4 from 46 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
The Hass · Negative
Trainer SR
Chris Harrison striking at just 4%
Prescient · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Skating On By · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Bulls On Parade · Negative
Jockey Booking
Murray Henderson current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Career
54: 5-7-9
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
8: 1-1-0
Second-up
7: 1-1-2
Third-up
7: 0-3-1
Fourth-up
7: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
4: 1-1-0
Track Port Lincoln
11: 1-2-3
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1109m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1110m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
38: 3-6-6
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-2
Going Soft
10: 2-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Chris Harrison striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 65%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Sheer display of grit and determination this venue. On pacer. Switching to 1000m but well placed to run another big race.
ILB
Strong effort to the line to win last run around here and drawn the rails. Has shown early pace in races to date. Down in trip. Absolutely right in this.
RP
Accounted for Prescient and Bulls On Parade when winning by a neck ten days ago upped to 6f; hard to ignore.
RSIS
Ran home strongly to win last run at this track and has minimal work to do from the stall. Expecting to settle positively. On an upward trajectory in recent races. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
46: 6-6-4
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 1-2-1
Second-up
5: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
39: 3-4-3
Track CurrentTrack
39: 3-4-3
Track Balaklava
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
11: 1-0-3
Distance 1200m
5: 2-1-1
Distance 1210m
15: 1-2-0
Going Good
43: 6-6-3
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Weakened in run home this venue second-up. On pacer. Drops to shorter trip. Each way.
ILB
Started $8.50 and was well beaten when 7th last time at the track. Expected to rebound but coming back in distance. Won't be far away during the run. Can win this.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten 3½l in seventh) ten days ago upped to 6f; good record here of three wins from 38 runs; poses a threat if replicating best previous efforts.
RSIS
Was 15/2 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last time at the track. Giving another chance here but will be down in distance. Good chance and definitely has claims.
Career
12: 1-0-3
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
7: 1-0-2
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-3
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (31-weeks). Put together some solid performances last preparation. Two quiet trials for return. Looms large first-up.
ILB
Fresh after a break of 31 weeks. Ran a solid race on the speed before weakening to finish 3rd last time around here. Expecting a solid performance.
RP
Went down by less than a length in March; has a record of 1-12; returns from a break today; others appeal more as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Resuming after a 31 week break. Solid run on the pace before weakening to finish 3rd last run here. Should muster plenty of early pace. Solid claims.
Career
34: 4-2-3
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
9: 1-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1210m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1350m
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 2-1-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 2-1-3
Jockey Booking
Negative
Murray Henderson current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 71% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
AAP
Performance just fair on a soft deck this course off long spell at $8. Will be fitter second-up. Has some claims.
ILB
Odds of $8.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start here and back to a shorter trip. Watch betting.
RP
Not beaten too far when eighth of 12 over 6f here (handicap) last month 3½l behind The Hass; useful in this grade; every chance if finding his best form.
RSIS
Started at 7/1 and didn't attack the line when 8th last time at this track and coming back in distance. Betting is the best guide.
Career
18: 2-2-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-1
Track Clare
1: 0-0-1
Track Oakbank
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1210m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
14: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 9% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Andrew Stead 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Andrew Stead in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 27%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Track And Dist
Positive
Loves at this track and trip
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (33-weeks). Ex J Dunn & K Bishop. Trained here now. Usually performs well here. Can make a positive start for new trainer off long lay-off.
ILB
First up and caught the eye when 3rd first up last preparation at Clare. First race for a new trainer and proven runner at this trip. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Behind Wadaana when beaten 12l at Oakbank in March; starts out for new trainer; layoff to overcome; possible squeak if running to the best of his form.
RSIS
Resuming and good effort to finish 3rd resuming last preparation at Clare. Racing for a new trainer and strong performer at the distance.
Career
13: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Clare
1: 0-0-0
Track Ceduna
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1214m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Kept fresh following return. Failed to threaten this course off long break at wide odds. Unplaced from two previous goes this track and distance. Low percentage horse.
ILB
Started at $41.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last run at the track. The large claim from Stephanie Wright helps. This won't be easy.
RP
Generally modest form since maiden success at Port Lincoln last December; finished 11th of 12 four weeks ago; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Started at 40/1 and tailed off to finish 11th last run at this track. The large claim from Stephanie Wright helps.
Career
38: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
8: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
7: 0-2-0
Going Good
23: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-0-0
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Freshened since return. Found it tough since shaking his maiden. Sent out $17 when unable to threaten this course off long spell. Distant place hope only.
ILB
Jumped at $17.00 and weakened under pressure when 8th last start at this venue. Likely to be well placed early. Ashlee Stone takes a large claim. Looks optimistic.
RP
Recent form nothing to write home about and you have to go back a fair way to find his only win; not disgraced when eighth of 11 31 days ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Started 16/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last time here. Shows good early pace. Ashlee Stone provides some weight relief.
Career
38: 2-2-5
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
7: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Oakbank
6: 0-0-3
Track Morphettville
3: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
9: 0-1-2
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
33: 2-1-3
Going Soft
5: 0-1-2
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
AAP
Kept fresh. Last assignment this trip when reasonable effort without seriously threatening this venue. Since trialled at Murray Bridge Gh 29 Oct. Not out of this.
ILB
Started $13.00 and chased well when 4th last start at this track and can find a nice position from the draw. Has some claims.
RP
Not seen the winners' enclosure for a while now (last win in 2023); had a bunch of these behind her when fourth here four weeks ago; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Started at 12/1 and ran on into 4th last time around here and can find a nice position from the draw.
Career
32: 2-4-3
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Clare
4: 0-1-0
Track Port Augusta
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
24: 2-4-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Resuming (27-weeks). Trialled quietly at Port Lincoln. Tested against better opposition last prep. Among the dangers fresh.
ILB
First up after a break of 27 weeks. Odds of $26.00 and didn't find the line when 12th last time at Port Augusta. Not very reliable.
RP
Finished last of 12 over 5½f at Port Augusta (handicap) on debut for this handler six months ago; does not win very often; returns from an absence here; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
First run back from a 27 week break. At 25/1 looked outclassed when 12th last time at Port Augusta.
Career
32: 1-6-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Oakbank
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Augusta
11: 0-0-2
Track Murray Bridge
7: 0-3-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
11: 0-2-2
Going Soft
7: 0-2-0
Going Good
23: 1-4-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 61%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 71% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
AAP
First-up (16-weeks). Long winless run. Went to the paddock below best last prep. Expect will need this.
ILB
First up after a break. Odds of $101.00 and weakened to finish 11th last run at Balaklava and down in distance. Might have to make up considerable ground. Needs a lot of luck to figure in the finish.
RP
Finished 11th of 12 over 7f at Balaklava (handicap) four months ago; been a while since she managed only win; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Back after a break. At 100/1 couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last run at Balaklava on a heavy track and dropping in distance.