Sapphire Coast (NSW) horses tips & previews

6 Nov, 2:18 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Sapphire Coast (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 5 NovSapphire Coast (NSW)Change

Race 2 — Bermagui Country Club Country Boosted (Bm58) 1600m · jumps Thu 5 Nov, 2:50 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Sapphire Coast for the Bermagui Country Club Country Boosted Benchmark 58 over the 1600m on a Good 4 surface with fine weather overhead. The local punters have sized up this middle-distance test and installed Dundeel Flyer at the head of the win market order. Sitting right behind the favourite in the early betting are Delago Serg and I Doubt It, with Peruno and Nagadec rounding out the remaining runners as we get ready for a fascinating yarn on the Sapphire Coast track this afternoon.

Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Dundeel Flyer comes in with strong appeal after just missing at Cootamundra over 1200m before closing off late from the tail at Orange over 1400m when second-up. Trained by Danielle Seib and steered by Brodie Loy, the gallop's only win to date was at this exact 1600m distance, making for a compelling form line. Meanwhile, Delago Serg is drawn in barrier 3 for trainer P J Facoory and jockey Damon Budler, looking to bounce back after folding up quickly when on pace at Queanbeyan over 1460m last time out in Class 3 company, dropping back to an easier assignment here.

Looking further down the field, I Doubt It starts from barrier 5 for trainer G Backhouse and jockey Pierre Boudvillain, bringing a hot stable combination that is outperforming market expectations alongside a solid rating of 86, despite being unable to threaten in soft going at Queanbeyan over this trip two runs back. Peruno jumps from barrier 1 for Michael Gatty and Amy Mc Lucas, dropping in class after trimming the margin late at Moruity over 1650m in BM74 grade. Over on the rails, Nagadec holds barrier 2 for Mark Gee and Jordan Quince, looking to use that low draw to overcome a backmarker speed map and make some noise late in the piece.

Race notes

Benchmark 58,CTRY BM58,CTRY BM58 HCP
GOOD4
Fine
5 runners

Shortest win price

Dundeel Flyer (5)

2.30

Most career wins

Peruno

6-3-8 from 54 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2Nagadec

Midfield

3Peruno
5Dundeel Flyer
6I Doubt It

Leader

4Delago Serg

Nagadec · Negative
Slow Early LS
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Peruno · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 40% lower than Career Avg.
Delago Serg · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Dundeel Flyer · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1JohntialjoScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Solid run Showcase (Bm58) at Moruya 2 Oct. Last at turn, ran on late at Nowra second-up. All the better, can get the job done.

ILB

On a quick back up. Started $3.20 and ran 6th last start at Nowra.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Odds of 11/5 and finished 6th last run at Nowra.

2NagadecJ: Jordan Quince·T: Mark Gee260kg5 6 4 1 624: 3-3-4$10.00$3.30

Career

24: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Nowra
3: 0-0-1
Track Queanbeyan
2: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
11: 2-2-2
Distance 1400m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1460m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
8: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Queanbeyan1460m26 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT65.75L
1Moruya1660m15 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT7-0.8
4Queanbeyan1460m8 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT51L
6Moruya1210m28 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD42.7L
5Moruya1200m16 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY92.4L
4Sapphire Coast1210m26 July 2026 · BM66 · SOFT71.2L
8Moruya930m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.1L
5Sapphire Coast1400m30 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT72.9L

Insights

Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Won Country Boosted (Bm58) Moruya 15 Sep. Went home tamely in soft going at Queanbeyan at $6. Drops in grade and back up in trip. Worth another look.

ILB

Started at $6.00 and below standard effort when 6th last run at Queanbeyan. Expected to rebound and will try to take advantage of the alley. Strong chance to be considered.

Has won previously at this course; held in sixth over 7½f at Queanbeyan (handicap) when not far behind Delago Serg last week; don't write her off; a winner two starts ago so in with a chance.

RSIS

Was 5/1 and mediocre performance when 6th last run at Queanbeyan. Has the potential to improve sharply and has a positive stall. Should be swooping on the field late. Winning potential.

3PerunoJ: Amy Mc Lucas·T: Michael Gatty159.5kg5 4 1 5 454: 6-3-8$8.50$3.00

Career

54: 6-3-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 1-0-2
Distance 1660m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
27: 3-2-4
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
24: 2-1-4

Last starts

4Moruya1650m2 Oct 2026 · BM74 · SOFT75.8L
5Moruya1660m15 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT74.1L
1Moruya2010m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM58 HCP · GOOD4-1.3
4Moruya1650m16 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY93.6L
5Canberra1750m24 July 2026 · BM65 · GOOD32.3L
8Moruya1660m10 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT53.6L
3Moruya1650m19 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT50.9L
3Sapphire Coast1405m7 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT73.3L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 40% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Trimmed margin late at Moruya. Down in class. Can run top three.

ILB

At $15.00 hit the line well when 4th last time at Moruya and challenged by less formidable competitors. Gets a favourable alley. Good chance in this.

Beaten a fair way when fourth at Moruya last month; grade looks suitable; much respected despite defeats on last two starts as he scored three runs back.

RSIS

Odds of 14/1 and overtook some late when 4th last run at Moruya and up against a less competitive field. Has minimal work to do from the stall. Can lift.

4Delago SergJ: Damon Budler·T: P J Facoory358.5kg1 2 11 5 520: 2-2-5$2.80$1.32

Career

20: 2-2-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
4: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1310m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
14: 2-1-3

Last starts

5Queanbeyan1460m26 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT65L
5Queanbeyan1460m11 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD42.96L
11Rosehill1500m30 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY910.3L
2Queanbeyan1600m17 May 2026 · CL3 · GOOD40.5L
1Sapphire Coast1605m3 May 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-1.5
5Canberra2000m17 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT59.1L
5Goulburn1600m11 Apr 2026 · CL1 & MDN-SW · GOOD44.9L
2Queanbeyan1600m21 Mar 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT71.6L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Key Rider
Positive
Damon Budler 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 32% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler winning at 25% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%

Comments

AAP

On pace but folded up quickly at Queanbeyan when second-up. Usually prominent and back in easier class. Worth a look.

ILB

At $9.50 came in 5th last start at Queanbeyan. Can make a comeback. Should come to hand quickly. Should not be far away.

Has won here; not beaten too far when fifth at Queanbeyan over 7½f (handicap) last Monday.

RSIS

At 17/2 came in 5th last run at Queanbeyan. Giving another chance here. Should muster plenty of early toe. Commands respect.

5Dundeel FlyerJ: Brodie Loy·T: Danielle Seib458.5kg4 8 1 2 512: 1-2-1$2.30$1.26

Career

12: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 1-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
8: 1-1-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Orange1400m19 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.11L
2Cootamundra1200m4 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD40.33L
1Goulburn1600m7 May 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-1.5
8Canterbury1900m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.4L
4Canberra1600m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.2L
5Muswellbrook1280m8 Mar 2026 · Maiden · GOOD42.6L
8Rosehill900m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial4.6L
4Canberra1400m24 Oct 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT51.6L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Just missed at Cootamundra 4 Oct. Closed off late from the tail at Orange second-up. Only win to date was this distance. Makes strong appeal.

ILB

Jumped at $3.80 and ran on into 5th last run at Orange. Holds a major chance.

Admirably consistent; finished fifth but only beaten just over 2l at Orange over 7f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Was 11/4 and chased well when 5th last time at Orange. Entitled to be respected in betting.

6I Doubt ItJ: Pierre Boudvillain·T: G Backhouse558.5kg7 10 3 9 521: 2-2-1$6.00$2.40

Career

21: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1605m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 2-1-0
Going Soft
13: 0-1-1

Last starts

5Queanbeyan1600m26 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT64.19L
9Canberra1300m9 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL2-SW · GOOD47.24L
3Moruya1300m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP SWP · SOFT71.6L
10Queanbeyan1200m8 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT57.9L
7Moruya1650m10 May 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.3L
1Sapphire Coast1605m13 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-1
2Sapphire Coast1600m30 Mar 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT71.3L
6Goulburn2140m10 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.9L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 41%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 38%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent out $4.80 when unable to threaten in soft going at Queanbeyan over this trip. Win wouldn't shock.

ILB

Was $4.80 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last run at Queanbeyan. Represents significant value.

A course winner; not beaten too far when fifth of nine at Queanbeyan last month upped to this distance; others more persuasive.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and showed some merit late when 5th last start at Queanbeyan.

7Deel HeadScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 38%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression at Bombala second-up. Quickly up in trip. Keener on others.

ILB

On a short back up. Disappointing run when 6th last start at Moruya but drawn nicely. Facing a rise in trip. Gets some weight taken off.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Was nothing special when 6th last start at Moruya but facing a rise in trip. Drawn nicely. Suited by the weight drop.

Odds correct as at Thu 5 Nov, 2:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.