Sapphire Coast (NSW) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 1:46 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Sapphire Coast (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsSapphire Coast (NSW)Change

Race 5 — Bega Landscape Supplies Hcp (C1) 1400m · jumps Thu 5 Nov, 4:35 pm AEDT

Race notes

CL1,CL1 HCP,Class 1
GOOD4
Fine
7 runners

Shortest win price

Will The Thinker (1)

2.40

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Revoke

Onpace

1Will The Thinker
2Brundee Tom
7Sesto
4Flying Maurice

Leader

5Vanrosa
3Written Story

Will The Thinker · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Brundee Tom · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Written Story · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Flying Maurice · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 43% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Will The ThinkerJ: Pierre Boudvillain·T: B Joseph & P & M Jones259kg2 3 6 1 35: 1-1-2$2.40$1.40

Career

5: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Nowra
2: 1-1-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1460m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1605m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Sapphire Coast1605m7 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT71.8L
1Nowra1600m24 May 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY9-0.1
6Wagga1400m30 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD43.4L
3Queanbeyan1460m21 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.1L
2Nowra1200m5 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY82.3L
8Goulburn800m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)8L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (21-weeks). Held form well last time in. Placed on debut last campaign. Right in this fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up after a break. Came on strongly to finish 3rd last run at the track and solid career start. Will try to take advantage of the alley. Winning chance.

Seems to be improving based on last two runs; third here when 100-30 over 1m (handicap) in June; back from an absence here; one to be interested in.

RSIS

Resuming after break. Produced an eye catching run when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last run at this track and good career start. Should muster plenty of early pace. Will not be far away.

2Brundee TomJ: Jess Taylor·T: Ms T Bateup757.5kg2 3 5 6 615: 1-2-4$5.50$2.50

Career

15: 1-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-1
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1675m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 1-2-4

Last starts

6Hawkesbury1500m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT78.72L
6Moruya1200m2 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT75.5L
5Gosford2100m9 Apr 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · GOOD48L
3Canberra2000m3 Apr 2026 · BM60 · SOFT51L
2Albury2000m19 Mar 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · SOFT72.6L
8Wagga1600m28 Feb 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD43.8L
7Kembla Grange1400m17 Feb 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD49.9L
1Sapphire Coast1400m1 Feb 2026 · Maiden · SOFT6-0.8

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -45%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 44% Profit on Turnover
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Sapphire Coast
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten in choppy conditions at Hawkesbury second-up at wide odds. Winner at track and distance. One for multiples.

ILB

Jumped at $41.00 and weakened under pressure when 6th last time at Hawkesbury. Should jump out and bowl along. Hard to recommend.

Has winning C&D form to his name; patchy form recently; beaten sixth of ten over 7½f at Hawkesbury (handicap) last month; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Odds of 40/1 and weakened to finish 6th last start at Hawkesbury. Should jump out and bowl along.

3Written StoryJ: Coriah Keatings·T: N J Olive357.5kg4 11 6 3 714: 1-3-2$2.45$1.40

Career

14: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
6: 1-2-1
Track Caulfield
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 1-2-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

7Orange1300m8 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.73L
3Ballarat Synthetic1400m11 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC2L
6Sandown1300m22 July 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT66.7L
11Pakenham Synthetic1400m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.1L
4Pakenham Synthetic1200m22 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC0.8L
4Cranbourne1400m17 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · SOFT63.5L
1Cranbourne1400m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.5
2Cranbourne1400m20 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD31.3L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Sound two back in a Benchmark 62. Ran an honest race and not beaten far at Orange for new stable when fancied. Key contender.

ILB

Started at $3.60 and ran 7th last time at Orange. Giving another go here. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Good chance today.

String of consistent efforts of late and has proven competitive in a race of this nature; was a shade disappointing when seventh (13-5) over 6½f at Orange (handicap) on first run for current trainer 28 days ago; likely to be involved.

RSIS

Odds of 13/5 and came in 7th last run at Orange. Expecting improvement. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

4Flying MauriceJ: Emma Ly·T: Matthew Kelley155.5kg1 82: 1-0-0$8.50$3.50

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 1-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

8Bathurst1300m16 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD44.79L
1Canberra1200m26 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.38

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 43% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Emma Ly in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 43%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Bathurst at second outing. Stripping fitter, open to improvement.

ILB

Was $13.00 and gave away some ground when 8th last run at Bathurst. Should improve here and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Strong chance.

Not had much racing - third outing here; not beaten that far over 6½f at Bathurst (handicap) three weeks ago; just second start in this company; warrants plenty of respect as shown he can get his head in front.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and didn't threaten when 8th last time at Bathurst. Happy to forgive that run and drawn the rails. Strong chance.

5VanrosaJ: Sairyn Fawke·T: Daniel Nickson555kg8 1 7 9 27: 1-1-0$10.00$3.90

Career

7: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Moruya
3: 1-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 920m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1205m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Queanbeyan1460m11 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD40.51L
9Goulburn1300m11 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD45.6L
7Canberra1400m4 Sept 2026 · BM55 · SOFT62L
1Moruya1425m16 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY9-2.5
8Moruya1200m19 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT511.7L
11Sapphire Coast1205m7 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT78.2L
6Moruya920m10 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.6L
4Moruya900m23 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial0L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 22%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Pressed on early and stuck on well at Queanbeyan. Encouraging latest and warrants inclusion.

ILB

Faded at the finish when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last start at Queanbeyan. Should come to hand quickly. Needs a lot of luck in this race.

Ran a good race in defeat when a close second at Queanbeyan over 7½f (handicap) three weeks ago; should be thereabouts.

RSIS

Showed strength on the pace initially before fading at the end 2nd last time at Queanbeyan. Likely to be well placed early.

6Liamena AvenueScratched6––––

Career

18: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Queanbeyan
5: 1-1-1
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-1-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Moruya1200m3 Nov 2026 · BM50 · SOFT53.42L
3Queanbeyan1200m11 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.18L
4Cootamundra1200m4 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.62L
5Queanbeyan900m8 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.7L
9Queanbeyan1200m17 Feb 2026 · BM50 · GOOD45.5L
8Sapphire Coast1200m1 Feb 2026 · BM58 · SOFT65.4L
3Moruya1200m23 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41L
4Sapphire Coast1400m29 Dec 2025 · CL1 · SOFT56.4L

Insights

Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here

Comments

AAP

Thereabouts of late. Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Queanbeyan. Usually prominent. Right in this.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Was $2.60 and uncompetitive when 5th last run at Moruya but will appreciate the drop in weight.

Out of the frame (beaten 3½l in fifth) over 6f at Moruya (handicap) on Tuesday; a bit of a standing dish at this venue; others more persuasive; also engaged in race 7 at Sapphire Coast.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started at 8/5 and struggled when 5th last run at Moruya but suited by the weight drop.

7SestoJ: Ellen Hennessy·T: Luke Clarke455kg9 10 7 7 69: 1-0-1$34.00$9.00

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Bombala
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
2: 1-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Bombala1100m17 Oct 2026 · BM50 · FIRM24.14L
7Moruya1010m2 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT78.8L
7Cowra1100m9 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD47.2L
10Queanbeyan1000m18 Dec 2025 · Benchmark 50 · GOOD48.9L
9Cowra950m5 July 2025 · CL1 HCP · HEAVY85.2L
1Queanbeyan1000m21 June 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.6
6Sapphire Coast1010m8 June 2025 · MDN SW · SOFT66.6L
3Sapphire Coast1010m18 May 2025 · CTRY MDN HCP · SOFT61.6L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 72% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 81% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Started $6 when safely held in Benchmark 50 company at Bombala second-up. Unexposed at trip. Keener on others.

ILB

Was $10.00 and had difficulty when 6th last run at Bombala but suited by the weight drop. Has shown early pace in races to date. Would not recommend.

Not disgraced when sixth at Bombala over 5½f (handicap) last month; stamina to prove at this trip so looks an unlikely winner.

RSIS

Started at 9/1 and struggled when 6th last time at Bombala but gets some weight taken off. Should come to hand quickly.

8RevokeJ: Poppie Gorton·T: Michael Gatty655kg2 13 11 4 817: 1-1-1$23.00$6.50

Career

17: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
10: 1-1-1
Track Sapphire Coast
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1460m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-0
Going Soft
8: 1-0-1

Last starts

8Moruya1650m2 Oct 2026 · BM74 · SOFT711L
4Moruya1435m15 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT73.2L
11Moruya1425m19 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT53.9L
13Sapphire Coast1605m7 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT725.4L
2Moruya1650m10 May 2026 · BM58 · GOOD40.4L
11Wagga1200m30 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD48.8L
1Moruya1300m4 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.5
8Sapphire Coast1600m31 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD46.15L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 130%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Failed to flatter at Moruya second-up and remains unplaced from 4 starts here. Hard to make a case.

ILB

At $91.00 just average when 8th last run at Moruya but stepping down to a lower level. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Struggle to recommend.

Struggled a bit since winning a maiden at Moruya in April; eighth beaten 11l over 1m at Moruya (handicap) last month; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

At 90/1 performed below standard when 8th last time at Moruya but matched against less formidable competition. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

Odds correct as at Thu 5 Nov, 1:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.