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Sapphire Coast (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Sapphire Coast (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsSapphire Coast (NSW)Change

Race 7 — Bermagui Motor Works (Bm58) 1200m · jumps

Race notes

  • BM58,BM58 HCP,Benchmark 58
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Merchant Reign (3)

4.00

Most career wins

Walk Up Start

6-9-6 from 73 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Showtime Maggie

Offmidfield

  • 11Walk Up Start

Offpace

  • 2Ciao Bella Mia
  • 8Miss Scoop

Onpace

  • 5Casino Shaw
  • 3Merchant Reign

Leader

  • 1Mctominay
  • 9Faerywood
  • Mctominay · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides

  • Ciao Bella Mia · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Merchant Reign · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 132%

  • Casino Shaw · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1MctominayJ: Brodie Loy·T: Luke Pepper661kg7 4 1 4 914: 2-2-1$5.50$1.90

Career

14: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Corowa

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    6: 0-1-1

  • Track Queanbeyan

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1310m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1460m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 9Canberra1000m23 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD44.41L
  2. 4Corowa1200m1 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT61.6L
  3. 1Corowa1200m11 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-0.4
  4. 4Canberra1000m17 Apr 2026 · BM60 · SOFT53L
  5. 7Queanbeyan1460m17 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD45.4L
  6. 9Canberra1300m6 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD410.4L
  7. 1Wagga1400m15 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD4-0.2
  8. 5Wagga1400m24 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD41.7L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Canberra off spell. Fitter second-up and performed really well only other go this course and trip.

ILB

Couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Canberra. Should bounce back. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Chance and can measure up.

RP

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Canberra (beaten 4½l) over 5f (handicap) two weeks ago; capable if in the mood so some hopes.

RSIS

Tailed off to finish 9th last run at Canberra. Capable of bouncing back. Should be going forward early. Should be in the finish.

2Ciao Bella MiaJ: Poppie Gorton·T: Anthony Mountney760.5kg4 6 9 3 326: 3-4-4$4.40$1.60

Career

26: 3-4-4

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    6: 0-0-1

  • Track Newcastle

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Wagga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    12: 0-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 3-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Nowra1400m18 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.1L
  2. 3Goulburn1300m6 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT60.84L
  3. 9Nowra1400m20 Sept 2026 · BM66 · GOOD45.5L
  4. 6Kembla Grange1400m29 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD44.1L
  5. 4Hawkesbury1300m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.6L
  6. 3Kembla Grange1400m8 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD40.3L
  7. 1Dubbo1400m13 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT5-0.2
  8. 1Sapphire Coast1405m7 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT7-0.4

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Courageous effort in the (Bm58) at Nowra. Has early speed and claiming apprentice engaged again. Placed to effect here.

ILB

Tidy effort when 3rd last start at Nowra. Poppie Gorton provides some weight relief. Very capable of taking this out.

RP

On the premises when third of eight at Nowra over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago; has winning form at this track; admirably consistent; one to be interested in as latest run was an encouraging one.

RSIS

Tidy effort when 3rd last run at Nowra. Poppie Gorton provides some weight relief. Strong prospects.

3Merchant ReignJ: Amy Mc Lucas·T: Luke Clarke460.5kg7 8 1 11 129: 5-3-2$4.00$1.50

Career

29: 5-3-2

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    9: 4-1-1

  • Track Goulburn

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 930m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1080m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    17: 3-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-3-0

Last starts

  1. 1Canberra1200m23 Oct 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD4-0.96
  2. 11Canberra1280m21 Aug 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD37.9L
  3. 1Canberra1080m7 Aug 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD3-1
  4. 8Moruya930m10 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT56.3L
  5. 7Sapphire Coast1200m30 Mar 2026 · BM58 · SOFT76.4L
  6. 2Queanbeyan1200m21 Mar 2026 · BM58 · SOFT70.2L
  7. 7Goulburn1200m27 Feb 2026 · CL3 · SOFT79.7L
  8. 4Braidwood1350m7 Feb 2026 · BDWD CUP2.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 132%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • 2nd Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when second up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Won two from last three. Delivered in dominant style at Canberra over this journey. Can lead or take a sit. Can again play a role.

ILB

Led all the way to win by a margin of 1L last run at Canberra. Peak required to upset this field.

RP

Scored by a slim margin in a handicap (Canberra) two weeks ago; easy to see him making an impression.

RSIS

Made all when winning by a margin of 1L last time at Canberra.

4Navajo CodeScratched10––––

Career

9: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moruya

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sapphire Coast

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1460m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Queanbeyan1460m26 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT64L
  2. 1Cootamundra1200m4 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-0.33
  3. 1Moruya1210m15 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT7-0.1
  4. 7Sapphire Coast1200m30 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT79.6L
  5. 2Sapphire Coast1400m1 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT73.1L
  6. 7Queanbeyan1200m17 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD413.9L
  7. 10Sapphire Coast1200m31 Jan 2026 · MDN · GOOD412.2L
  8. 7Sapphire Coast1200m29 Dec 2025 · MDN · SOFT59.2L

Insights

  • Good Form

    Positive

    Very competitive in recent runs

Comments

AAP

Battled home in Class 3 company on a soft deck at Queanbeyan. Drops to shorter trip. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Odds of $11.00 and came in 4th last time at Queanbeyan and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Going well this campaign winning 2 from 3 starts.

RP

Can be a player at this level; not beaten too far when fourth of nine at Queanbeyan over 7½f (handicap) last Monday; knows how to win so has to be taken seriously.

RSIS

Started 10/1 and came in 4th last start at Queanbeyan and back to a shorter trip. Has won 2 from 3 starts lately.

5Casino ShawJ: Jade Mc Kenzie·T: S W Coady359kg2 7 9 6 318: 2-5-2$6.00$2.05

Career

18: 2-5-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Nowra

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Queanbeyan

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1205m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 3Queanbeyan1460m11 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD40.55L
  2. 6Goulburn1300m24 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD42.32L
  3. 9Moruya1210m28 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD43.4L
  4. 7Goulburn1100m3 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT75.2L
  5. 2Nowra1100m15 June 2026 · CL3 · HEAVY80.1L
  6. 7Moruya1425m10 May 2026 · BM66 · GOOD43.5L
  7. 2Sapphire Coast1205m3 May 2026 · CL3 · GOOD41.2L
  8. 1Sapphire Coast1405m13 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-1.6

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Found enough to place in small field at Queanbeyan. Drawn to effect and performances have been good here. Course suits. Profiles well.

ILB

Couldn't shake them off when 3rd beaten by 1/2L last run at Queanbeyan but dropping in distance. Won't be far away during the run. Showing great form this preparation. Great chance.

RP

Third 25 days ago, only beaten half a length, at Queanbeyan over 7½f (handicap); has scored over C&D; easy enough to take on as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Honest run on the pace before fading to finish 3rd beaten by 1/2L last run at Queanbeyan but coming back in trip. Has plenty of early pace. Dropping weight. Should give plenty of sight.

6Brass MonkeysScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Refused to shirk task in (Bm50) at Bombala for new stable. Stiffer opposition here.

ILB

Close to a win last time at Bombala and carrying less weight this time.

RSIS

Was agonizingly close last time at Bombala and suited by the weight drop.

7Showtime MaggieJ: Jessica Brookes·T: K Dryden & L Snowden858kg2 8 1 10 317: 3-2-1$4.80$1.75

Career

17: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    8: 2-0-1

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Wagga

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    10: 3-1-1

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 2-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Canberra1200m23 Oct 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD41.18L
  2. 10Moruya1200m2 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT78.1L
  3. 1Canberra1200m18 Sept 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD3-0.48
  4. 8Moruya1210m28 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD43.3L
  5. 2Moruya1200m16 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY90.5L
  6. 2Goulburn1100m3 Aug 2026 · BM58 HCP · GOOD41.9L
  7. 11Wagga1300m20 July 2026 · Benchmark 50 · HEAVY812.7L
  8. 5Canberra1206m26 June 2026 · BM60 · GOOD31.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Put in a long run from the back at Canberra over this trip. Backmarker who needs everything to fall into place. One for exotics.

ILB

Strong run when finishing 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Canberra and gets some weight taken off. Has a great burst of speed late. Worth a serious look.

RP

Is a multiple winner at this distance (all wins at this trip); minor honours in a handicap two weeks ago (2-1) at Canberra, a race won by the reopposing Merchant Reign.

RSIS

Hit the line well when 3rd last time at Canberra and gets some weight relief. Has a nice turn of foot. Solid prospects.

8Miss ScoopJ: Shaun Guymer·T: Mitchell Maloney-Stone157kg2 2 8 6 424: 2-7-2$7.00$2.30

Career

24: 2-7-2

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Moruya

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    8: 1-4-2

  • Track Canberra

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1405m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-4-1

  • Going Good

    11: 0-3-0

Last starts

  1. 4Bairnsdale1200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT75.75L
  2. 6Canberra1280m30 May 2026 · CL2 · GOOD37.2L
  3. 8Sapphire Coast1405m3 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD47.8L
  4. 2Sapphire Coast1405m13 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.6L
  5. 2Sapphire Coast1200m30 Mar 2026 · BM58 · SOFT71.4L
  6. 3Sapphire Coast1200m1 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT73L
  7. 9Moruya1200m5 Jan 2026 · CTRY CL3 · GOOD48.4L
  8. 4Wagga1000m24 Dec 2025 · CL3 · GOOD41.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 182%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Unable to make an impression in rain affected going at Bairnsdale for new stable. Looks up against it.

ILB

Finished 4th last run at Bairnsdale but has drawn the rails. Watch the betting.

RP

Possesses winning form at this track; form has an up and down look to it; held when fourth of eight on first run for her current trainer at Bairnsdale three weeks ago; others are preferred with a few rivals in good form.

RSIS

Finished 4th last time at Bairnsdale but drawn the rails. Watch for a sign in the market.

9FaerywoodJ: Coriah Keatings·T: Anita Walder256.5kg2 7 5 3 614: 1-2-3$11.00$2.90

Career

14: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sapphire Coast

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Echuca

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 0-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Queanbeyan1200m11 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.79L
  2. 3Goulburn1100m24 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD44.34L
  3. 5Goulburn1300m11 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD43.4L
  4. 7Moruya1010m16 Aug 2026 · CL2 · HEAVY96.4L
  5. 2Sapphire Coast1010m26 July 2026 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT71.2L
  6. 2Canberra1280m26 June 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD31L
  7. 1Sapphire Coast1205m7 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT7-0.5
  8. 7Stawell1600m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 64%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 47%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Sapphire Coast

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Only battled home after leading in the small field at Queanbeyan. Gets the gun run. One for multiples.

ILB

Started $9.50 and weakened under pressure when 6th last time at Queanbeyan. Should muster plenty of early toe. Keep safe.

RP

Not beaten that far in sixth (just under 4l) when close behind Liamena Avenue (Queanbeyan) 25 days ago; track has proven suitable before; others appeal more as this is competitive.

RSIS

At 17/2 gave away some ground when 6th last time at Queanbeyan. Will be positive in the run early.

10Liamena AvenueScratched2––––

Career

18: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    6: 0-0-1

  • Track Cootamundra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 1-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Moruya1200m3 Nov 2026 · BM50 · SOFT53.42L
  2. 3Queanbeyan1200m11 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.18L
  3. 4Cootamundra1200m4 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.62L
  4. 5Queanbeyan900m8 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.7L
  5. 9Queanbeyan1200m17 Feb 2026 · BM50 · GOOD45.5L
  6. 8Sapphire Coast1200m1 Feb 2026 · BM58 · SOFT65.4L
  7. 3Moruya1200m23 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41L
  8. 4Sapphire Coast1400m29 Dec 2025 · CL1 · SOFT56.4L

Insights

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Form useful. Sound performance in small field at Queanbeyan over this journey. Drawn well and has placed this track and distance. Can have a major say.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Odds of $2.60 and tailed off when 5th last start at Moruya but drawn nicely. Dropping weight.

RP

Frequent visitor to this track; not beaten that far (Moruya) on Tuesday; this looks a fair heat so others are preferred; also engaged in race 5 at Sapphire Coast.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 8/5 and mediocre attempt when 5th last run at Moruya but drawn nicely. Goes down in weight.

11Walk Up StartJ: Emma Ly·T: M D Kelley555kg10 4 10 2 173: 6-9-6$23.00$3.90

Career

73: 6-9-6

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wagga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Orange

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1620m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1405m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    29: 2-5-2

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Bombala1100m17 Oct 2026 · BM50 · FIRM2-0.18
  2. 2Queanbeyan1000m11 Oct 2026 · BM58 HCP · GOOD40.9L
  3. 10Canberra1200m18 Sept 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD33.94L
  4. 4Queanbeyan1200m8 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT52.5L
  5. 10Canberra1280m21 Aug 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD37.2L
  6. 11Gundagai1400m4 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT76.8L
  7. 9Wagga1300m20 July 2026 · Benchmark 50 · HEAVY86.9L
  8. 8Canberra1280m26 June 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD34.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 43% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    David Kelley in good form, out performing market 24%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Emma Ly in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 43%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Broke a long run of outs when winning at Bombala but repeat would surprise.

ILB

Fought on well to win a tight contest by a short half head last time at Bombala and getting better in recent performances. Gets back and needs luck. Hard to warm to.

RP

Narrow scorer in a handicap (Bombala) last month; has winning form at this track; despite that Bombala success, not one to rely on.

RSIS

Game effort to win narrowly by a short half head last run at Bombala and getting better in recent performances. Likely to get back in the field.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.