Sapphire Coast (NSW) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 1:45 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Sapphire Coast (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsSapphire Coast (NSW)Change

Race 4 — Forbes Stynes Property Group Bermagui Cup (Bm82) 1000m · jumps Thu 5 Nov, 4:00 pm AEDT

Race notes

BM82,BM82 HCP,Benchmark 82
GOOD4
Fine
5 runners

Shortest win price

Christmas Star (6)

1.85

Most career wins

Aegipan

6-4-3 from 37 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offpace

4Starlight Girl
7London Star

Onpace

8Selhurst Park

Leader

5Aegipan
6Christmas Star

Starlight Girl · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Aegipan · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Christmas Star · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
London Star · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 40% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Sutton VellaScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (17-weeks). Form solid last prep including first-up Orange placing. Back at right trip and in the mix fresh.

ILB

First up and was amongst the placegetters when 3rd first up last preparation at Orange.

RSIS

Resuming and good performance to run into 3rd beaten by 1L resuming last preparation at Orange.

2Los PadresScratched5––––

Career

38: 6-0-9

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 1-0-2
Second-up
6: 1-0-1
Third-up
6: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-1
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-2
Track Randwick
6: 0-0-1
Track Gosford
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
15: 4-0-4
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 2-0-3
Going Good
19: 3-0-4
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-2

Last starts

9Kembla Grange1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD44.9L
3Illawarra Grange1150m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
3Hawkesbury1100m10 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD41.8L
6Nowra900m10 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)2.3L
9Hawkesbury1100m2 May 2026 · BM78 · GOOD44.5L
6Rosehill1100m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.7L
5Albury1175m19 Mar 2026 · CITY HCP BM94 · SOFT71.4L
3Randwick1100m28 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · SOFT51L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Kembla Grange at $19. Form prior was sound enough. Switching to 1000m. Could surprise.

ILB

Started at $19.00 and came in 9th last run at Kembla Grange and competing in a higher grade. In fine form this campaign. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

Has won at this course; can be a player at this level; not disgraced when ninth over 6f at Kembla Grange (handicap) last month; every chance as shown promise on occasion.

RSIS

At 18/1 finished 9th last run at Kembla Grange and rising in class. In a purple patch of form since coming back from a break.

3Harry The ThiefScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Goulburn winner two back then made late rally from the back at Wyong when second-up. Can test these.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Jumped at $8.50 and finished 6th last run at Wyong but hard to fault at the trip. Will appreciate the drop in weight.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Was 15/2 and ran 6th last run at Wyong but will be well suited at the distance. Gets a reduction in weight.

4Starlight GirlJ: Coriah Keatings·T: Matthew Kelley655kg3 9 9 8 231: 4-5-5$5.00$2.20

Career

31: 4-5-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 1-1-0
Track Nowra
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1065m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1080m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 1-2-3
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-2
Going Soft
12: 3-2-0

Last starts

2Canberra1000m23 Oct 2026 · BM87 HCP · GOOD41.61L
8Wagga1000m17 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD43.79L
9Corowa1000m14 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD44.8L
9Queanbeyan1000m8 Sept 2026 · BM74 · SOFT54.7L
3Moruya1020m28 Aug 2026 · BM66 · GOOD40.3L
3Albury1000m18 Aug 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY80.8L
7Wagga1400m20 July 2026 · BM82 · HEAVY87.9L
12Moruya1435m10 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT510.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Winless since 17 Jan 2025. Courageous effort in the Open Hcp at Canberra over this distance. New to Sapphire Coast. Now faces a deeper field.

ILB

Improved to place when 2nd last start at Canberra. Will be around the mark.

Finished a decent second of eight at Canberra last month; recent display was promising so should give it a shot.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Canberra. Can win this.

5AegipanJ: Jess Taylor·T: Ms T Bateup255kg2 3 4 7 737: 6-4-3$3.00$1.38

Career

37: 6-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
5: 1-0-0
Distance 930m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
21: 6-3-1
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 2-3-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 3-1-1

Last starts

7Kembla Grange1000m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD47.2L
7Newcastle900m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID BM64 HCP · GOOD46.56L
4Queanbeyan1000m8 Sept 2026 · BM74 · SOFT51.2L
3Wyong1100m30 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.7L
2Kembla Grange1000m15 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD40.5L
2Kembla Grange1000m25 July 2026 · BM64 · GOOD40.2L
3Narrandera1000m12 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT71.8L
5Moruya1200m19 June 2026 · BM74 · SOFT51.6L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 44% Profit on Turnover
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jess Taylor in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 4%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Kembla Grange over today's trip at double-figure odds. Well into preparation now, one for exotics.

ILB

Struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Kembla Grange. Looking past the last run and has a good draw. Likely to be well placed early. Facing stiffer opposition. Winning potential.

Beaten 7l in seventh at Kembla Grange last month; all career wins have come over this trip but hit and miss profile recently; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Didn't attack the line when 7th last run at Kembla Grange. Expecting improvement here and drawn nicely. Should muster plenty of early pace. Racing against tougher rivals. Should go very close.

6Christmas StarJ: Pierre Boudvillain·T: B Joseph & P & M Jones155kg1 2 2 1 525: 4-4-8$1.85$1.20

Career

25: 4-4-8

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 1-0-2
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
8: 2-4-0
Track Cootamundra
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
6: 0-0-4
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 1-2-1
Going Good
16: 3-2-6

Last starts

5Queanbeyan1200m26 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.71L
1Sapphire Coast1005m3 May 2026 · BM66 · GOOD4-1.1
2Sapphire Coast1005m13 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD41.2L
2Sapphire Coast1000m30 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT74.4L
1Sapphire Coast1000m1 Mar 2026 · CL3 · SOFT7-0.3
4Wagga1000m16 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 62 · GOOD41L
2Sapphire Coast1000m31 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD40.1L
4Moruya1010m23 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.1L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Close enough but couldn't capitalize at Queanbeyan off long break. Strips fitter and generally improves second-up.

ILB

Jumped at $3.30 and couldn't stay in touch when 5th last start at Queanbeyan. Looking past the last run and drawn the rails. Shows good early pace. Ticks all the boxes.

Brings winning C&D form to the table; grade looks suitable; not beaten that far over 6f at Queanbeyan (handicap) last Monday; she shouldn't be far away as has wins in the formbook.

RSIS

Started 9/4 and lost ground in the run home when 5th last start at Queanbeyan. Has the ability to turn things around. Likely to be well placed early. Should take a lot of beating.

7London StarJ: Amy Mc Lucas·T: Ms T Bateup355kg8 9 6 3 225: 3-3-3$10.00$3.40

Career

25: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
7: 2-2-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1212m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1310m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
11: 2-3-2

Last starts

2Sapphire Coast1405m7 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT70.4L
3Nowra1400m24 May 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY94.7L
6Moruya1425m10 May 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42L
9Wagga1400m1 May 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD42.6L
8Hawkesbury1400m14 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD46.2L
1Sapphire Coast1400m30 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT7-0.8
7Warwick Farm1400m4 Mar 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT77.9L
1Queanbeyan1460m17 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-0.6

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 40% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 44% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Handy form when last seen. Not a noted first-up performer but tuned with two trial hitouts. Can play a role.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Just missed last time at the track but back in trip. Amy Mclucas takes the reins today and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Entitled to be a big price.

Beaten narrowly here over 7f (handicap) in June; track has proven suitable before; others are preferred as she may need this after a break.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Competed in a tight contest last start at this venue but will be down in distance. Amy Mclucas takes the reins today.

8Selhurst ParkJ: Poppie Gorton·T: Michael Gatty455kg2 3 3 1 558: 4-10-11$10.00$3.40

Career

58: 4-10-11

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
8: 1-3-0
Second-up
7: 1-1-2
Third-up
6: 1-0-3
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
29: 3-5-7
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
8: 0-1-2
Distance 1007m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
10: 1-1-5
Going Soft
30: 1-6-3
Going Good
18: 2-3-3

Last starts

5Moruya1010m2 Oct 2026 · OPEN BM89 · SOFT72.3L
1Moruya1210m28 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-0.3
3Moruya1200m16 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY91L
3Moruya1020m10 July 2026 · BM66 · SOFT52.5L
2Moruya1010m19 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT51.3L
7Sapphire Coast1205m7 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT76.3L
2Moruya1200m10 May 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.5L
6Wellington900m12 Apr 2026 · BM66 · SOFT54.1L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 130%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Unhurried early and only battled home Showcase Open Hcp at Moruya. One for multiples.

ILB

Started $31.00 and kept chasing when 5th last run at Moruya. Showing positive results this preparation. The large claim from Poppie Gorton helps. Not at all out of this race.

Respectable effort in defeat (beaten just over 2l, Moruya) last month.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and closed off nicely when 5th last start at Moruya. In the top three frequently recently. Poppie Gorton provides some weight relief.

Odds correct as at Thu 5 Nov, 1:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.