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Sapphire Coast (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Sapphire Coast (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsSapphire Coast (NSW)Change

Race 3 — Bega District News Mdn Hcp 1200m · jumps

Race notes

  • MDN,MDN HCP,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Yes He Reigns (1)

1.60

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

  • 1Yes He Reigns

Offpace

  • 7North Star Miss

Firststart

  • 2Hikari Rising

Backmarker

  • 8Walking Unda Stars

Midfield

  • 6Ladylike

Leader

  • 3Setta Icon
  • 5Farsain
  • Yes He Reigns · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hikari Rising · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Setta Icon · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Farsain · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Yes He ReignsJ: Pierre Boudvillain·T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter459kg8 5 7 11: 0-0-0$1.60$1.16

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Hawkesbury800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1.2
  2. 7Wyong1600m16 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD42L
  3. 5Randwick1050m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L
  4. 8Randwick736m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (29-weeks). Ex G Waterhouse & A Bott. Far from disgraced at Wyong on debut. Better for it and looked forward enough in latest trial. Consider.

ILB

Back after a 29 week spell. Started $7.50 and had difficulty when 7th last time at Wyong. Should improve here and was on debut last time. Will attract plenty of interest.

RP

Far from disgraced, finishing seventh, on his debut at Wyong over 1m at 13-2 in April; entitled to have come on for that run; running in a handicap for just the second time.

RSIS

Resuming after a 29 week break. Started at 13/2 and tailed off when 7th last start at Wyong. Overlooking the last run and was a debutant last start. Very capable of taking this out.

2Hikari RisingJ: Nick Heywood·T: K J Parker657.5kg3 1$3.50$1.60

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 1Hawkesbury800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
  2. 3Kembla Grange800m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.8L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • On Debut

    Positive

    First race start

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:1-0-1). $150k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G1 winner Zoutori. Latest trial win at Hawkesbury will have topped him off nicely for debut. Big watch.

ILB

Debutant 3yo by Zoustar for trainer Kerry Parker. Winner in a barrier trial at Hawkesbury on Oct 20th. Market as guide.

RP

Sire can inject some quality; the only newcomer; has to be taken seriously.

RSIS

3yo by Zoustar having first race appearance for trainer Kerry Parker. Winner in a trial at Hawkesbury on Oct 20th.

3Setta IconJ: Quayde Krogh·T: Anthony Mountney257kg3 4 7 9 212: 0-3-1$16.00$4.00

Career

12: 0-3-1

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1205m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Canberra1000m9 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.33L
  2. 9Dubbo1300m13 July 2026 · MDN · SOFT55.7L
  3. 7Gosford1200m18 June 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY86.5L
  4. 4Sapphire Coast1205m7 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT72L
  5. 3Moruya1200m10 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD41.9L
  6. 5Kembla Grange1300m29 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · GOOD47.6L
  7. 2Sapphire Coast1205m13 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.3L
  8. 7Canberra1300m25 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT514.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 5% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sound performance in small field at Canberra off spell. Better conditioned and can challenge again from an ideal gate.

ILB

Narrowly denied a win last run at Canberra and gets a favourable alley. Likely to be well placed early. Very capable of taking this out.

RP

Close up runner-up at Canberra over 5f (handicap) dropped back in distance 27 days ago; hardly a model of consistency and still winless and defeats stacking up (12 on the bounce).

RSIS

Close up last time at Canberra and has a positive draw. Shows good early pace. Strong chance.

4CumulateScratched5––––

Career

5: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wodonga

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Hawkesbury800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.8L
  2. 2Ballarat1400m24 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · GOOD43.5L
  3. 3Wodonga1300m16 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.3L
  4. 3Kilmore1450m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.3L
  5. 4Seymour1300m13 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.3L
  6. 3Echuca1209m21 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
  7. 2Kilmore1200m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
  8. 5Tatura1100m1 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial8.2L

Insights

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Racing Strongly

    Positive

    Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (23-weeks). Ex Ben Brisbourne in Victoria. Competitive type. Placed at Echuca on debut last campaign while brought on by a single Hawkesbury trial. Betting?

ILB

First up after a break. Competitive effort when 2nd last run at Ballarat and honest performer putting a tidy record together. First start for a new trainer.

RP

Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice and appears to be going forwards; solid second at Ballarat five months ago in a maiden; first start for new stable; can give it a good shot.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break. Ran well when 2nd last start at Ballarat and good career start. Change in trainer.

5FarsainJ: Jess Taylor·T: Ms T Bateup156.5kg2 5 7 4 46: 0-2-0$4.80$2.10

Career

6: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moruya

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sapphire Coast

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 4Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L
  2. 4Moruya1200m10 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD42.2L
  3. 7Kembla Grange1200m29 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD47.1L
  4. 5Rosehill1200m6 Apr 2026 · 2&3Y MDN-SW · SOFT62.7L
  5. 2Kembla Grange1200m21 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT73.8L
  6. 2Sapphire Coast1000m1 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT72.2L
  7. 6Sapphire Coast1200m30 Oct 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.7L
  8. 5Kembla Grange805m14 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial2.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 44% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

First-up (25-weeks). Produced some fair results last prep without winning and has looked forward enough in latest trials. Respecting.

ILB

First up after 25 weeks and finished amongst the placegetters when 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L first up last preparation here. Will be positive in the run early. Drawn well. Has a good chance.

RP

Finished fourth but only beaten just over 2l when close behind Setta Icon (Moruya) six months ago; six-race maiden but has managed to finish second but good and bad recent runs found on her CV.

RSIS

Resuming and put in a competitive run when placing 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L resuming last preparation here. Will be positive in the run early. Forward showing expected.

6LadylikeJ: Shaun Guymer·T: Mitchell Maloney-Stone555kg5 7 6 94: 0-0-0$41.00$8.50

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sapphire Coast

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1205m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1405m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Canberra1900m12 June 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD311.2L
  2. 6Sapphire Coast1405m7 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT713.2L
  3. 7Sapphire Coast1205m13 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.1L
  4. 5Sapphire Coast1000m30 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT72.9L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 31% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 182%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 40% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (20-weeks). Fair debut first prep but struggled after. Prefer to see.

ILB

Back from a break. Was $101.00 and ordinary performance when 9th last start at Canberra and coming back in distance. Can't have in this.

RP

First-time blinkers didn't work in a conditions race (Canberra Acton) when ninth upped to 1m1½f five months ago; just her fifth outing so still early days; likely to be in contention with a bit more luck as excuses last time (inconvenienced).

RSIS

Resumes after a break. Odds of 100/1 and moderate showing when 9th last run at Canberra and down in trip.

7North Star MissJ: Coriah Keatings·T: Ms T Bateup755kg8 3 9 4 87: 0-0-1$18.00$4.60

Career

7: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sapphire Coast

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 8Hawkesbury1300m27 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · GOOD44.02L
  2. 4Cootamundra1100m4 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD43L
  3. 9Hawkesbury1400m14 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD47.8L
  4. 3Sapphire Coast1200m30 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT72.7L
  5. 8Kembla Grange1200m13 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT69L
  6. 5Sapphire Coast1200m1 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT73.4L
  7. 6Kembla Grange800m2 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial3.4L
  8. 5Kembla Grange1200m13 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY87.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 44% Profit on Turnover

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Lacklustre finish second-up at Hawkesbury but has turned in some useful form here. Capable of making an impact with even breaks.

ILB

Was $101.00 and didn't find the line when 8th last start at Hawkesbury. Prefer others.

RP

Not beaten too far when eighth at Hawkesbury over 6½f (handicap) last Tuesday; without a win in seven attempts although has finished third; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and struggled with the pace when 8th last run at Hawkesbury.

8Walking Unda StarsJ: Damon Budler·T: M J Smith355kg3 6 10 8 85: 0-0-0$126.00$18.00

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moruya

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sapphire Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1010m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1460m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Moruya1200m2 Oct 2026 · Maiden · SOFT77L
  2. 8Queanbeyan1600m21 Mar 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT716.3L
  3. 10Queanbeyan1460m17 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD48.2L
  4. 6Moruya1200m23 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.8L
  5. 3Queanbeyan900m10 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial1.2L
  6. 5Sapphire Coast1010m8 June 2025 · MDN SW · SOFT64.4L
  7. 3Queanbeyan900m11 May 2025 · Barrier Trial6.6L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Damon Budler 43% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Damon Budler in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 43%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

Comments

AAP

Freshened since return. Shown little to date. Well back and never a factor in rain affected going at Moruya off long break. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Started $101.00 and not up to scratch when 8th last time at Moruya. Does take a while to get into stride. Looks too tough.

RP

Finished eighth, beaten 7l, in a maiden at Moruya when dropped down to this distance 34 days ago; attempting to open her account at the seventh time of asking; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

At 100/1 clearly outclassed when 8th last start at Moruya. Might be ridden for luck.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.