Wagga (NSW) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Wagga (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 30 OctWagga (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Andersens Flooring Mountaineer Cup (Bm74) 2500m · jumps Fri 30 Oct, 1:15 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Wagga for the Andersens Flooring Mountaineer Cup, a testing 2500m benchmark 74 showdown on a good 4 track with fine weather overhead. The local punters have been looking closely at the form lines for this staying test, with Mr Fabulous heading the win market order ahead of Behtar, Sorry Sunshine, and That A Boy. It shapes as a fascinating tactical race with plenty of distance query runners looking to stretch out over the marathon trip this fine afternoon.

Looking into the form of the market principals, Mr Fabulous sits right at the top of betting despite a tenth at Rosehill over 2400m in soft going following a fourth at the same track, though it is worth noting he is a winner at his only other start here at Wagga and could find a few lengths. Behtar occupies the second line in the market for trainer N J Olive and jockey Braith Nock from barrier four, coming off an eighth at Randwick Kensington and a fourth at Hawkesbury where the comment noted he was unsuited in choppy conditions but should appreciate this trip. Sorry Sunshine has also drawn well and brings a win here over 1800m followed by a solid fifth over 2000m at Wagga, with the stable currently performing well above market expectations.

Further down the win market order, That A Boy is another to monitor after warming up nicely late when finishing fourth over 2000m at Canberra, and the step up in distance should suit him. The speed map points to Behtar and Valentine John taking up the running early, while Sorry Sunshine and Tabor will look to settle on pace, leaving Mr Fabulous to find his feet back in the field. It is a tricky contest for punters dissecting the staying form, but the extra trip will certainly sort out the true stayers as they head towards the jump at 1:15 pm AEDT.

Race notes

BM74,Benchmark 74
GOOD4
Fine
7 runners

Shortest win price

Mr Fabulous (2)

2.65

Most career wins

Sorry Sunshine

8-2-3 from 43 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2Mr Fabulous

Offpace

6That A Boy
7Party It Down

Onpace

1Behtar
4Sorry Sunshine
5Tabor

Leader

3Valentine John

Behtar · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 64%
Mr Fabulous · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Valentine John · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 37% better than Career Avg.
Sorry Sunshine · Positive
Trainer Form
In form stable, out performing market expectations 72%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1BehtarJ: Braith Nock·T: N J Olive459kg4 8 10 8 432: 2-4-4$4.20$2.05

Career

32: 2-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
4: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2500m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1899m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2025m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 2-2-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
10: 0-1-1

Last starts

4Hawkesbury2000m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT78.63L
8Randwick Kensington1800m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49L
10Moruya1435m28 Aug 2026 · BM82 HCP · GOOD49.2L
8Orange1600m30 Dec 2025 · BM82 · GOOD49.7L
4Warwick Farm2200m17 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
11Rosehill2000m29 Nov 2025 · 4UP SW · GOOD44.3L
9Canterbury1900m19 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD410.4L
4Rosehill1800m12 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD31.4L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 64%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 5kg now

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression in choppy conditions at Hawkesbury. Suited this trip. Can run top three.

ILB

Odds of $13.00 and finished 4th last run at Hawkesbury. Has the potential to improve sharply but carrying more weight than last time. A threat to the other main hopes.

Infrequent winner; beaten 9l (fourth) over 1m2f at Hawkesbury (handicap) two weeks ago; passed over.

RSIS

At 12/1 came in 4th last run at Hawkesbury. Happy to overlook that run but carrying more weight than last time. Displays good tactical pace. Very capable of taking this out.

2Mr FabulousJ: Pierre Boudvillain·T: Ms T Bateup558kg10 7 4 4 1031: 3-2-3$2.65$1.45

Career

31: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2110m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
24: 3-2-3
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Rosehill2400m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT68.23L
4Rosehill2400m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.14L
4Newcastle2300m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.51L
7Randwick2400m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD416L
10Rosehill1800m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP MIDWAY BM7270 HCP · GOOD48L
7Kembla Grange1600m15 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD43.2L
4Illawarra Grange1150m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.3L
11Albury2000m20 Mar 2026 · ALBURY CUP · SOFT67.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Struggling
Negative
Doesn’t look to be going well
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten in soft going at Rosehill at healthy odds but winner at only other start at Wagga and can find a few lengths here.

ILB

Didn't find the line when 10th last time at Rosehill. Giving another go here and matched against less formidable competition. Possesses very good closing speed. Goes up in weight. Capable of winning this.

Finished tenth of 12 over 1m4f at Rosehill (handicap) 16 days ago; a course winner; can be a player at this level; trainer has been going through a quiet spell.

RSIS

Folded up in the straight when 10th last start at Rosehill. Happy to overlook that run and up against a less competitive field. Has a great burst of pace late. Has strong claims.

3Valentine JohnJ: Glenn Cahill·T: Anthony Warren755kg11 2 6 5 833: 3-8-0$8.00$3.30

Career

33: 3-8-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-2-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
5: 1-1-0
Track Leeton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1811m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
18: 1-3-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-5-0

Last starts

8Rosehill2400m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT67.26L
5Warwick Farm2200m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.3L
6Wagga2000m27 Aug 2026 · BM74 (BM69) · HEAVY108.8L
2Grafton3120m19 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.5L
11Grafton2350m16 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD326.3L
2Goulburn2150m3 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.5L
10Canberra1750m12 June 2026 · BM65 · GOOD314.9L
11Moruya1425m10 May 2026 · BM66 · GOOD411.5L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 37% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Glenn Cahill 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Glenn Cahill winning at 10% POT in last 100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten on a soft deck at Rosehill at a mammoth price. Won only other time this track and distance. Can rebound.

ILB

At $201.00 lost ground in the run home when 8th last run at Rosehill but challenged by weaker competitors. Won't be far away during the run. Will be tested in this.

Finished ahead of two of these rivals over 1m4f at Rosehill (handicap) when beaten 7l 16 days ago; has winning form at this track; has not been firing consistently; passed over.

RSIS

Odds of 200/1 and tailed off to finish 8th last run at Rosehill but facing a weaker grade. Shows good early pace.

4Sorry SunshineJ: Josh Richards·T: Doug Gorrel655kg7 2 1 1 543: 8-2-3$5.50$2.50

Career

43: 8-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-2
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-0
Track Wagga
27: 5-1-3
Track CurrentTrack
27: 5-1-3
Track Leeton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1460m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
14: 3-1-0
Going Good
18: 3-0-1
Going Heavy
14: 2-2-1
Going Soft
10: 3-0-1

Last starts

5Wagga2000m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.17L
1Wagga1800m3 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT6-1.11
1Wagga2000m19 Sept 2026 · AGGIES CUP · GOOD4-1.07
2Wagga2000m27 Aug 2026 · BM74 (BM69) · HEAVY103.5L
7Albury1600m27 July 2026 · BM58 HCP · HEAVY912.7L
6Wagga1600m20 July 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY88L
5Wagga1400m6 July 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY93.8L
7Albury1600m16 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY95.7L

Insights

Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 72%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 54% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Won twice here in easier races before battling to line at latest. Added journey should assist. Key player.

ILB

Was $8.00 and not up to standard when 5th last start around here. Respected competitor.

Specialist here with four wins; respectable effort when fifth over 1m2f here (handicap) two weeks ago; holds leading claims.

RSIS

Started at 7/1 and struggled when 5th last run at the track. One for the value hunters.

5TaborJ: Blaike Mc Dougall·T: J M Cleary255kg9 2 5 2 1121: 3-2-0$8.50$3.50

Career

21: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
3: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
12: 2-1-0

Last starts

11Rosehill2400m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT69.07L
2Wagga1800m3 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT61.11L
5Canberra2000m26 Sept 2026 · BM55 · GOOD410.37L
2Gundagai1800m6 Sept 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY101.7L
9Moruya1650m16 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY915.9L
5Gundagai1800m4 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT77L
8Goulburn1600m17 July 2026 · BM66 · SOFT610.2L
12Goulburn1400m3 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT713.7L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Rosehill but better placed here. Likes some cushion.

ILB

Started $101.00 and well beaten when 11th last time at Rosehill but taking on a lower class of opponents. Will try to take advantage of the barrier. Entitled to be a big price.

Finished 11th of 12 two weeks ago at Rosehill upped to 1m4f; failed to impress last time, although was second 27 days ago and could figure.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and underperformed when 11th last time at Rosehill but going down in class. Has a good draw. Has to carry more weight this time.

6That A BoyJ: Damon Budler·T: P J Facoory355kg5 8 7 5 420: 4-1-1$8.50$3.50

Career

20: 4-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 2-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
3: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1460m
5: 2-1-1
Distance 1500m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
16: 4-1-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Canberra2000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM65 HCP · GOOD42.93L
5Wagga2000m28 Sept 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.86L
7Goulburn1600m11 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.5L
8Nowra1600m10 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT75.9L
5Canberra1750m8 July 2026 · BM65 · GOOD34.5L
4Canberra1750m12 June 2026 · BM65 · GOOD30.9L
9Randwick Kensington1800m13 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD413.2L
1Goulburn1500m27 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-1.7

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 37% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Warmed up nicely late at Canberra. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Can challenge.

ILB

Was $13.00 and ran past a few when 4th last time at Canberra. Has to be in the finish.

String of consistent efforts of late; solid effort over 1m2f at Canberra (handicap) ahead of Party It Down when fourth three weeks ago; assuming he steps up from most recent effort then should be on the premises.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and picked up some late ground when 4th last time at Canberra. Entitled to be respected in betting.

7Party It DownJ: Amy Mc Lucas·T: P J Facoory155kg12 12 3 7 620: 2-1-3$18.00$5.00

Career

20: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
11: 2-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-1

Last starts

6Canberra2000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM65 HCP · GOOD43.9L
7Goulburn1500m24 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD44.8L
3Queanbeyan1460m8 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT50.9L
12Goulburn1600m3 Aug 2026 · BM58 · GOOD47.8L
12Randwick1600m11 July 2026 · 3UP CL3SW · HEAVY913.1L
9Moruya1425m19 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT52.4L
3Canberra Action900m12 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC2L
5Canberra2000m3 Apr 2026 · BM60 · SOFT52.9L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 36% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 37% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 40% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

Comments

AAP

Midfield, unable to muster a threatening rally at Canberra. Has her first look at 2500m here. Only for exotics.

ILB

At $18.00 gave away some ground when 6th last run at Canberra but drawn beautifully. Hard to recommend.

Finished just behind That A Boy when sixth at Canberra three weeks ago upped to 1m2f; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role stepping into the unknown over new trip.

RSIS

Was 17/1 and looked outclassed when 6th last start at Canberra but drawn by the rails.

Odds correct as at Fri 30 Oct, 1:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Mon 28 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races