Shortest win price
Hay Deer (7)
2.50
Welcome to Wagga for the Riverina Crane Services Hcp (C1) Heat Of The Rising Star over 1200m on a good 4 track with fine weather, which jumped at 3:40 pm AEDT. The win market has Hay Deer heading up proceedings, followed closely by Rebel Terra, Angling For Info, and Elastane Miss rounding out the front end of betting as punters search for value in this class 1 affair.
Hay Deer brings strong appeal after saluting on career debut at Goulburn over this exact distance on a soft surface following heavy support. Rebel Terra also commands respect after a huge win at Nowra when biding time at the rear before letting down with the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start. Angling For Info resumes here for stable D J O'Prey, having previously placed fresh at Corowa and showing early speed capabilities. Elastane Miss is on a quick back-up after trimming the margin late at Albury last time out, with the added journey expected to assist.
Looking further down the field, speed maps show Angling For Info and Hay Deer sharing early leadership duties from favourable lanes. Capital Babe comes in as a backmarker carrying the fastest overall finishing sectionals from a previous outing, while runners like Forjori and Graynita present interesting trainer and jockey angles for punters mapping out the race structure.
Shortest win price
Hay Deer (7)
2.50
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Angling For Info · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 29% lower than Career Avg.
Midnight Eagle · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Elastane Miss · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Seasmoke · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Career
7: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1109m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-2
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 29% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Resuming (18-weeks). Placed at Corowa first-up last campaign while trialling quietly in preparation for return. Can show early speed and capable of making an impact fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up from a break of 18 weeks and good effort to place 3rd first up last preparation at Corowa. Gets the perfect draw. Going up in weight. Respect the betting.
RP
Best form so far in last two starts; beaten 12l in eighth at Ballarat four months ago; this just his second run in a handicap; layoff to overcome; facing a testing assignment and not one to rely on.
RSIS
Resuming and displayed good finishing pace when 3rd beaten by 1L resuming last preparation at Corowa. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Should jump out and bowl along. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
10: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-0
Track Towong
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
3: 1-1-1
Distance 1590m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (21-weeks). Lone career win was over 1590m at Wodonga in last campaign. First time around Wagga. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Resuming from a break. Odds of $11.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Corowa and back to a shorter trip. Suited by the weight drop. Can't have on what it has been showing.
RP
Has found improvement of late; not beaten that far in eighth (3½l) over 1m at Corowa (handicap) in June; returns from an absence here; not hard to turn elsewhere as has a lot on his plate here.
RSIS
Fresh from a break. Odds of 10/1 and was well beaten when 8th last run at Corowa and coming back in distance. Gets some weight taken off.
Career
12: 1-4-4
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-3-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Albury
5: 1-2-1
Track Wagga
7: 0-2-3
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-2-3
Distance 1000m
9: 1-4-2
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
8: 0-3-3
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 44% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Backing up quickly. Trimmed margin late at Albury second-up. Added journey should assist and this looks very achievable.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Was $2.50 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last time at Albury. Shows very good closing speed. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Things not gone well in this headgear in last couple of starts and has a record of 1-12; could not land a telling blow when fifth despite odds of 6-4 over 5f at Albury (handicap) on Saturday; meeting some horses in good form and makes little appeal.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Was 6/4 and picked up some ground to run 5th last time at Albury. Finishes off strongly. Could feature here.
Career
19: 1-4-3
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-0-1
Track Cootamundra
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-2-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Cootamundra. Drops to shorter trip but others rate stronger.
ILB
Was $9.00 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last time at Cootamundra. In good condition since resuming from a break. Entitled to be a big price.
RP
Finished last of nine at Cootamundra over 7f (handicap) 26 days ago; been a while since she achieved her only career win and form has been a bit mixed lately; a few rivals look in good form so has questions to answer.
RSIS
Started 8/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last time at Cootamundra. Looking sharp on the track since returning from a break.
Career
2: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 1-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 160%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Huge win after biding time at the rear at Nowra at second start. Stripping fitter and can take the next step.
ILB
Finished well when winning last run at Nowra. Jockey Molly Bourke is in top form for this stable. Has not missed the money this preparation in 2 attempts. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Gained a first success at the second time of asking at Nowra over 5½f (maiden) when successful by 1l 12 days ago; one to consider.
RSIS
Reeled them in when winning last time at Nowra. Molly Bourke and Pat Murphy must be respected when they team up. Respect the betting.
Career
1: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Straight into the black book after a terrific debut at Wodonga as fav. Pay to follow.
ILB
Ran on strongly to win last run at Wodonga and was on debut last time.
RP
Came out on top at the first time of asking by 2l at Wodonga over 5½f at 6-4 13 days ago; she's worth a go.
RSIS
Ran on strongly to win last run at Wodonga and having second race start.
Career
1: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
The medium of heavy support and duly saluted at Goulburn on career debut. Looks capable of taking the next step.
ILB
Controlled the speed when winning by 2L last run at Goulburn and fitter for debut run. Has early speed and positions nicely. Worth strong consideration.
RP
Got the job done on her debut by just over 2l at Goulburn at 13-8 three weeks ago; unexposed in handicaps with this her second start in this company; definitely of interest.
RSIS
Led and controlled the pace when winning by a margin of 2L last start at Goulburn and was a debutant last start. Has shown early pace in races to date. Should feature prominently.
Career
4: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Glenn Cahill in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 36%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fought off challengers in an exciting battle at Queanbeyan. Glenn Cahill on again and takes a 1.5kg claim. Game second only other time over this track and distance. Each way.
ILB
Ran home strongly to win last time at Queanbeyan. Looking at others.
RP
Gained a first success at the fourth time of asking in a maiden when dropped in distance (Queanbeyan) 19 days ago; can be on the premises.
RSIS
Bold effort when winning last start at Queanbeyan.
Career
8: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1215m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 27% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Emma Ly 20% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (19-weeks). Lone career win was over 1400m at Parkes in last campaign. Could get into the placings fresh in this company.
ILB
Resumes from a break. Jumped at $7.50 and ran 6th last time at Moruya and coming back in distance. Will benefit with the weight drop. Better to look elsewhere.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Moruya (beaten just over 4l) over 1m (handicap) in June; has had some time off; this is competitive and only limited appeal.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Started 13/2 and ran 6th last time at Moruya and down in distance. Will benefit with the weight drop.
Career
13: 1-3-1
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
7: 1-0-1
Track Goulburn
2: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1300m
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-2-1
Going Soft
7: 1-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 713%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fair way from the winner but battled home into third at Canberra first up. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Made some ground late when 3rd last run at Canberra and gets some weight taken off. Has a great burst of speed late. Strong prospects in this race.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten 4½l in third) over 5f at Canberra (handicap) three weeks ago; passed over.
RSIS
Ran home into 3rd beaten by 4 1/4L last run at Canberra and gets a reduction in weight. Should be swooping on the field late. Capable of winning this.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Trainer SR
Negative
Gary Colvin striking at just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a short back-up. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Albury. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
On a short back up. Gave away some ground when 9th last run at Albury.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Looked outclassed when 9th last time at Albury.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Last success was 28 Feb. Outgunned but did enough for third at $6 at Deniliquin. Switching to 1200m and this looks a deeper race.
ILB
Tidy effort when 3rd last start at Deniliquin. Matt Kirk takes a large claim.
RSIS
Looked good when 3rd last run at Deniliquin. The large claim from Matt Kirk should help.
Career
14: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
2: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1460m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fresh. Handily placed and gave her all at Canberra. New to Wagga. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Improved to place when 3rd last start at Canberra. Others preferred.
RP
Good effort when just under 2l third at Canberra over 7f (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Flashed home late into 3rd last time at Canberra.
Career
50: 1-3-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
8: 0-0-0
Second-up
7: 1-0-0
Third-up
7: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Gundagai
3: 1-0-0
Track Albury
15: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
11: 0-0-0
Distance 1065m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
28: 1-3-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
17: 0-0-2
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
Backing up quickly. Comfortably beaten at Albury and others more persuasive.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Started $151.00 and didn't find the line when 11th last time at Albury but has a good draw. Need a lot of luck to be threatening these.
RP
Achieved just the one win; finished towards the rear of 14 at Albury on Saturday; a few rivals look in good form so hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
On a short back up. Started at 150/1 and didn't find the line when 11th last time at Albury but will try to take advantage of the stall.