Shortest win price
Crown The King (2)
2.70
Welcome to Wagga for the Southern Cross Austereo Plate, a Class 1 set-weight showdown over the mile on a good four surface with fine weather overhead. The win market is headed by Crown The King, closely followed by Bottas, Scorched Lane, and Classic Touch rounding out the early fancies in what shapes as a tricky betting affair for punters looking for a winner on the quick back-up.
Crown The King jumps from barrier four for Luke Pepper with Jean Van Overmeire steering, having finished down the track at Kembla Grange last time out when comfortably beaten for a new stable, though a bounce back here wouldn't shock. Bottas lines up for C D Widdison from gate five with Cory Parish aboard, coming off a midfield effort at Bendigo on a soft deck following a lengthy absence where the run had merit. Classic Touch for Scott Collings maps off pace and strips fitter third-up after sticking on fairly at Canberra over thirteen hundred metres, while Scorched Lane handles the leader duties from gate seven for Matthew Kelley after a solid fourth over this exact sixteen hundred metre trip at Canberra last start.
Shortest win price
Crown The King (2)
2.70
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Bottas · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Crown The King · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 40% in Last 100 Rides
Masakari · Positive
Stable In Form
Stable going well. Out performing market by 75%
Moral Turpitude · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Career
9: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 66%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Cory Parish in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 64%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Got back and wasn't totally disgraced on a soft deck at Bendigo after lengthy absence. Better for the outing. Usually gets back. Not out of this.
ILB
Started at $101.00 and not competitive when 6th last start at Bendigo. Looks hopeful.
RP
Boasts winning form over C&D; he can be competitive at this level; not beaten too far when sixth of nine over 6½f at Bendigo (handicap) 26 days ago; leading claims if replicating the best of his form.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and tailed off when 6th last time at Bendigo.
Career
13: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 40% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Jean Van Overmeire 47% above market expected in L100 Rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Comfortably beaten at Kembla Grange for new stable but can find a few lengths here.
ILB
Odds of $19.00 and gave away some ground when 11th last time at Kembla Grange. Capable of bouncing back. Should race on the speed. Looks set to run a big race.
RP
You have to go back a fair way to find his only win; finished towards the rear of 13 over 7f at Kembla Grange (handicap) three weeks ago on debut for this trainer; not hard to turn elsewhere as this looks a fair heat.
RSIS
Was 18/1 and weakened to finish 11th last run at Kembla Grange. Giving another go here. Likely to be well placed early. Terrific hope.
Career
11: 1-2-3
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 75%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 59% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Genuine campaigner in top order. Stuck tough, holding off challengers this track over today's trip at $2.80. On pacer who can figure again.
ILB
Rocketed home when winning last run at this track but matched against a stronger field. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Has kicked on in his last couple of races; scored narrowly in a handicap when off the mark 13 days ago; passed over despite that win last time.
RSIS
Ran home strongly to win last time here but racing in stronger company. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
17: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
2: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 1-2-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Lacked early speed and turn of foot at Wodonga last outing. Suited by the longer assignment now. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Was $5.00 and ran 6th last start at Wodonga but will try to take advantage of the alley. Up against a more competitive field. Could feature here.
RP
Not beaten too far when sixth at Wodonga two weeks ago in a handicap; is not ruled out as shown he can be competitive fairly recently.
RSIS
Odds of 4/1 and came in 6th last run at Wodonga but has a good draw. Rising in class. Respect the betting.
Career
17: 1-5-3
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-2-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Glenn Cahill 36% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On pace but found little at the business end at Canberra over this distance. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
At $11.00 overrun in the late stages of the race when 4th last run at Canberra. Should be rolling forward early from the wide barrier. Can feature in this event.
RP
Managed just one success in his career to date; finished fourth but wasn't beaten too far (4½l) at Canberra three weeks ago; a lot on his plate here and others appeal more.
RSIS
Was 10/1 and peaked on the run when 4th last start at Canberra. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall. Value selection.
Career
9: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 43% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 51% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
AAP
On pace but found little at the business end at Canberra second-up. Ready to peak third-up. Sharper now, right in this.
ILB
Started $31.00 and peaked on the run when 4th last time at Canberra. Can surprise at a nice price.
RP
Knocking at the door recently; this is her level; out of the frame (beaten 4l in fourth) over 6½f at Canberra (conditions race) three weeks ago; shown she can get her head in front so looks a likely player.
RSIS
Odds of 30/1 and tired late when 4th last time at Canberra.
Career
20: 1-2-3
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
11: 1-1-1
Track Leeton
1: 0-0-1
Track Deniliquin
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
6: 0-1-1
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 54% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Last success was 28 Feb. No match but kept on for a distant third in the 3yo+ Hcp (C1) at Deniliquin. Needs to lift again here.
ILB
In the money when 3rd last start at Deniliquin but up against a higher level of opposition. Expected to settle towards the tail. Needs to find a lot more.
RP
Possesses winning form at this track; wasn't disgraced when third of nine in a handicap (Deniliquin) two weeks ago; should not be far away.
RSIS
Finished 3rd last run at Deniliquin but up against stronger opponents. Gets back and needs luck.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5.5kg more than LS
AAP
Failed to threaten at Deniliquin but look for an improved effort here.
ILB
At $3.70 moderate showing when 8th last run at Deniliquin but has drawn to do little work. Showing great form this preparation but challenged by more formidable competitors.
RSIS
Started 11/4 and average performance when 8th last start at Deniliquin but drawn nicely. Showing great form since resuming from a break but up against a higher level of opposition.
Career
3: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Snagged back and worked home okay in Mdn Plate at Albury last outing. First try 1600m. Keep safe.
ILB
Started at $10.00 and advanced late into 4th last time at Albury but facing formidable opponents.
RP
Without a win in three attempts although has finished second; not beaten too far when fourth at Albury 20 days ago in a maiden; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Started 9/1 and improved when 4th last run at Albury but up against a more competitive field.
Career
21: 0-0-3
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Leeton
1: 0-0-0
Track Charleville
1: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2230m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
8: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 63%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 60% Profit on Turnover
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Landed handy, unable to go with winner in Maiden company this course over this trip. Looks up against it.
ILB
Zipped home into 3rd last run at the track but racing in stronger company. Pass.
RP
Produced a good effort to finish third when behind the reopposing Masakari 13 days ago in a handicap; improved form the last twice but yet to open his account after 21 starts.
RSIS
Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by 2L last run at the track but matched against a stronger field.
Career
9: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
2: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Bombala
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-1-0
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Bombala. Sterner task awaits.
ILB
Was competitive when 2nd last time at Bombala but testing ability against stronger contenders. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Produced an encouraging effort (runner-up of five, beaten 1l) over 1m½f at Bombala (conditions race) 13 days ago; has taken a step forward the last twice but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at nine; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Tidy run when 2nd last run at Bombala but facing stiffer opposition.
Career
25: 0-4-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
3: 0-1-1
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
6: 0-2-1
Distance 2110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-1-0
Going Good
14: 0-3-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 67%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Well back and never a factor at Moruya when second-up. Sharper now, rough exotics hope.
ILB
Odds of $26.00 and inched into 5th last run at Moruya but competing at a higher level of competition. Gets back and needs luck. Facing a difficult task today.
RP
Form has an up and down look to it and yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 25; didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Moruya (beaten just over 4l) in a maiden four weeks ago upped to this trip; this is competitive and others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Started 25/1 and made some ground when 5th last run at Moruya but competing at a higher level of competition. Might be ridden for luck.