Shortest win price
Quarterback (12)
2.35
Warwick Farm kicks off at 3:00 pm AEDT with a maiden plate over 1400m on a soft five track. The win market's got Quarterback from the Waller stable as the shortest price, followed by Snitzel's Girl and Nevada Falls. The track's in fine condition despite the heavy surface, and this is a wide-open affair for three-year-olds and older maidens looking to break through. Quarterback comes here off a skinny-line placing at Rosehill at 1200m, while Snitzel's Girl was a gallant second over this exact distance in choppy conditions on the Rosehill soft six last time.
Snitzel's Girl's form line reads as the one to respect. She's drawn to effect in barrier one, sits onpace, and the stable's strike rate sits bang on six percent profit on turnover across their last hundred runners—that's premier-level consistency. The AAP synopsis says she's primed to strike, and her rating of 100 IRD puts her right in this. Quarterback, meanwhile, looks better for his fresh-up run but rates 93 IRD and is only pencilled in for exotics by the form analyst. Horologist's another chance to consider: rated 94 IRD, he's got the fastest finishing sectionals from last start and comes from a stable performing at six percent POT. He's been placed at Warwick Farm and Canterbury before, and the step to 1400m from 1200m should suit his profile as a fast finisher.
There's also a narrative edge with My Ju Ju, who's drawn barrier six. The trainer-jockey combination—J & G Lee with Regan Bayliss—are outperforming market expectations by a hefty 215 percent, and the stable's running at 21 percent POT across their last hundred runners. My Ju Ju maps as the leader from the barrier, so punters keen on something with genuine stable form and tactical positioning might find value there. The speed groups tell the story: My Ju Ju will set early pace, Snitzel's Girl sits just off that, and Horologist and Quarterback will be midfield players looking to make their runs late. It's a race that could be won from anywhere, but the form and stable credentials sit strongest with Snitzel's Girl and Horologist.
Shortest win price
Quarterback (12)
2.35
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
My Ju Ju · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 215%
Brutelli · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Ligularia · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Supido Secret · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Career
15: 0-5-2
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Canberra
5: 0-3-1
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-4-2
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS
AAP
Back and deep when unable to threaten at Nowra. First time around Warwick Farm. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Was $13.00 and below standard effort when 9th last run at Nowra and has to cope with a weight increase.
RP
Yet to open his account after 15 starts; beaten 6l in ninth ten days ago at Nowra in a handicap; looks more likely to place than win so can be taken on.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and disappointing outing when 9th last time at Nowra and carrying more weight than last time.
Rating · IRD
20
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Showing some early promise. Just missed at Goulburn 24 Sep. Trailed pace and ran on gamely this venue last start. Key player if he gets the breaks.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Started at $3.00 and came in 4th last time at Hawkesbury but good career start. Showing great form this campaign but dropping in distance.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Was 2/1 and ran 4th last start at Hawkesbury but solid career start. Displaying good ability since returning from a break but back to a shorter trip.
Career
2: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 215%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept grinding away for the minors at Hawkesbury at second start. Two runs to date solid but facing stiffer task this level.
ILB
Even though being out sprinted still placed 3rd beaten by 2L last start at Hawkesbury. Blinkers go on for the first time. Good potential.
RP
Respectable effort when third over 5½f at Hawkesbury (maiden) two weeks ago; needs considering.
RSIS
Couldn't keep the momentum going throughout when 3rd last run at Hawkesbury. Blinkers go on for the first time. In the placings at every start recently. Solid chance.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Just missed at Kembla Grange 12 Sep. In the minor spoils but still well held at Kembla Grange over today's trip. Deep gate and keener on others.
ILB
Maintained a solid pace but eventually weakened to finish 3rd last start at Kembla Grange but going up in weight. Been in the money multiple times this campaign.
RSIS
Faded in the late stages of the race when 3rd beaten by 8L last start at Kembla Grange but has more weight to carry. Racing consistently recently.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Excellent debut performance when just nabbed at Kyneton at $5. Has scope. Good introduction and can progress further here.
ILB
Close up last start at Kyneton and having second career run. Can win.
RP
Beaten narrowly at the first time of asking (6f, Kyneton) at 4-1 three weeks ago; could improve from her debut but will need to.
RSIS
Just missed last time at Kyneton and was on debut last time. Definitely worth considering.
Career
2: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Honest performance without menacing winner at Rosehill at second appearance. Sure to be improved.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last run at Rosehill. The wide alley shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Good prospects.
RP
Respectable display to finish third, beaten just over 2l at Rosehill 14 days ago in a handicap; should figure as appeals from a breeding angle.
RSIS
Was competitive when 3rd last run at Rosehill. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace. Genuine claims.
Career
12: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1460m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
On a short back-up. Unable to threaten in the small field this venue. Usually gets back. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Odds of $201.00 and picked up some ground to run 5th last time here. Still in maiden grade after 12 runs. Questions at this level.
RP
No impression when fifth of seven here over 6½f (maiden) a week ago; improved form the last twice but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 12; others have more pressing claims with this looking like a hot contest.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Started at 200/1 and ran on into 5th last run around here. Still a maiden after 12 starts.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Shown some ability. Narrowly beaten in the small field at Kembla Grange first up. Strips in better shape. Makes a strong case in this field.
ILB
Missed by a narrow margin last run at Kembla Grange.
RSIS
Threw down a serious challenge last time at Kembla Grange.
Career
2: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Canterbury
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (16-weeks). Placed at Canterbury on debut last campaign while brought on with two trial seconds. Longer trip may help. 1400m should suit and in premier stable. Respecting.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Kept boxing on when 3rd last start at Canterbury on a heavy track. Placed in all barrier trials. Definitely worth considering.
RP
Gave it a good shot when a close third at Canterbury in July in a handicap.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd beaten by 1/2L last start at Canterbury. Placed in all trials. Good prospects.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Offered little to catch the eye on debut at Rosehill at longer odds 14 Oct. Looks a work in progress and others with more to offer.
ILB
Was $26.00 and ordinary when 8th last start at Rosehill but fitter for debut run. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Needs a lot of luck.
RP
Not far behind Nevada Falls two weeks ago when eighth at Rosehill; must make above-average progress to figure.
RSIS
Started at 25/1 and ordinary performance when 8th last run at Rosehill but was on debut last time. Does take a while to get into stride.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Tim Clark current POT is 50% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 35% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 55% in L100 rides
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Well held but far from disgraced on debut in rain affected going at Rosehill 14 Oct. Has an adverse draw. Others with more appeal.
ILB
At $9.50 outpaced some runners late when 4th last start at Rosehill and having second career run. Likely to get back in the field. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Respectable debut effort (beaten 5l) at Rosehill at 17-2 14 days ago; leading claims with a bit more luck as excuses last time (crowded).
RSIS
Started 17/2 and improved late to finish 4th last run at Rosehill and was on debut last time. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Could feature here.
Career
4: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-1
Track Gosford
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 28 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept fresh. Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Rosehill first run back. Better for the outing. Only for exotics.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Rosehill and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Good chance at a nice price.
RP
Four-race maiden though does have a second place to his name; creditable effort in third (beaten just over 1l) at Rosehill four weeks ago in a handicap; looks likely to be involved.
RSIS
Came on strongly when 3rd last run at Rosehill and promising career start. James Mcdonald is a smart booking. Finished 5th in a trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 23rd. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
2: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Let down late into the placings at Kembla Grange at second outing. Since trialled at Randwick 23 Oct. Sterner task awaits.
ILB
Just missed last start at Kembla Grange and has a good draw.
RP
Good effort when beaten into third by a neck at Kembla Grange over 6½f (maiden) two weeks ago.
RSIS
Close to claiming the win last start at Kembla Grange and gets a favourable draw.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
With premier stable but unremarkable debut performance at Rosehill at healthy odds 14 Oct. Improvement needed and leaning towards others.
ILB
At $19.00 was well beaten when 6th last run at Rosehill but fitter for debut run.
RSIS
Started at 18/1 and struggled with the pace when 6th last time at Rosehill but fitter for debut run.
Career
3: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Knuckled down with purpose in soft going this venue. Since trialled at Rosehill 19 Oct. Drops to shorter trip. Right in the mix.
ILB
Started $8.50 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last start around here.
RP
Not yet off the mark in three attempts although has finished second; respectable effort (beaten 1½l) 23 days ago in a handicap.
RSIS
Odds of 15/2 and hit the line well when 4th last time at this track.
Career
4: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
2: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Zac Lloyd in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 23%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Primed to strike. Gallant display in choppy conditions at Rosehill over this distance. Drawn to effect. Right in this.
ILB
Ran on when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Rosehill and has drawn to do little work. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Should progress and will be close.
RP
Not beaten far when second in a handicap (Rosehill) two weeks ago.
RSIS
Displayed good finishing pace when 2nd last time at Rosehill and can save some energy from the stall. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Will be competitive.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (16-weeks). Wasn't disgraced in first preparation and had two trials since. Worth a look going to 1400m fresh.
ILB
Back from a spell. At $17.00 inched into 5th last time at Canterbury on a heavy track. Has placed in all barrier trials. Very slim hope.
RP
Not disgraced in fifth when close behind Horologist at Canterbury four months ago in a handicap.
RSIS
Back after a break. At 16/1 picked up some ground to run 5th last start at Canterbury on a heavy surface. Placed in all trials.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
AAP
With leading trainer but disappointing debut performance at Rosehill 14 Oct. Has scope but drawn deep and needs a big lift.
ILB
Started $10.00 and weakened under pressure when 8th last run at Rosehill but was on debut last time.
RSIS
Started at 9/1 and didn't attack the line when 8th last time at Rosehill but was a debutant last start.