Shortest win price
Ellipsis (2) and Ballet D'Light (11)
4.40
Welcome to Warwick Farm for the All Too Hard At Vinery Stud Benchmark 72 over 1100m. The track is rated a soft 5 under fine skies, setting up a ripping afternoon of racing for punters looking to jag a winner. Looking at the early win market order, Ellipsis heads the betting boards, closely followed by Scenic Point, Ballet D'Light, and Shady Road holding down the next lines in the yarn.
Ellipsis brings some serious stable confidence for Bjorn Baker, resuming off a solid third in Benchmark 78 class at Rosehill where the mare flashed home late from the back half. Dylan Gibbons takes the reins here with strong recent riding numbers behind him. Scenic Point for Joseph Pride is another runner coming to hand nicely, having led and fought on bravely for second at Randwick-Kensington second-up on a soft deck. Ballet D'Light is also worth keeping tabs on after an impressive debut win at Rosehill on soft ground, showing plenty of early toe for the Waller stable.
Down the line, speed maps suggest Hellabella and Ballet D'Light will look to dictate terms from the front, while the likes of Ellipsis and Scenic Point stalk from off the pace. Shady Road resumes after an 18-week break following a pleasing country trial campaign and could give punters some early cheek at value. It is shaping up as a tactical battle over the 1100m sprint trip where timing the final sectionals will tell the tale.
Shortest win price
Ellipsis (2) and Ballet D'Light (11)
4.40
Most career wins
Ellipsis and Show Business
3 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Ellipsis · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides
Scenic Point · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Kujenga · Positive
Key Rider
Mollie Fitzgerald 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Shady Road · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Led, gave up the ghost quickly in 3yo+ (Bm78) at Rosehill off long break. Has early speed and won only other time this t/d. Can find a few lengths here.
ILB
Jumped at $19.00 and weakened to finish 10th last run at Rosehill but stepping down to a lower level. The large claim from Amber Riddell helps.
RSIS
Started 18/1 and faded to finish 10th last time at Rosehill but drops back to a suitable grade. Large claim helps.
Career
10: 3-2-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 2-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-2
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-2
Track Canterbury
2: 1-1-0
Track Bathurst
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
7: 2-2-2
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dylan Gibbons 51% above market expected in L100 Rides
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 31%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Dylan Gibbons in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 51%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Ridden in back half, strong late to fill the minors 3yo+ (Bm78) at Rosehill off long break. Building fitness. Rates highly.
ILB
Ran on strongly when 3rd last run at Rosehill and will appreciate the drop in grade. Will relish the track conditions and will try to take advantage of the gate. Should go well.
RP
A course winner; has been consistent of late; finished a decent third of ten at Rosehill where just ahead of Kujenga 18 days ago; hard to ignore.
RSIS
Picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Rosehill and lining up against easier rivals. 1 win from 2 starts have been on soft going. Should give plenty of sight.
Career
7: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 2-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
AAP
Steps out for third run new stable/region. Led and fought on bravely on a soft deck for second at Randwick-Kensington second-up. Speedy. All the better, highly rated despite the weight.
ILB
Was strong on the speed before fading to finish 2nd last time at Randwick Kensington and hard to fault at this trip. Will go close here.
RP
Close up runner-up at Randwick over 6f (handicap) 21 days ago; has been fairly consistent lately; leading claims.
RSIS
Couldn't maintain the momentum throughout when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last start at Randwick Kensington and suited at this distance historically. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
Career
15: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Caulfield
2: 0-1-0
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
10: 0-1-2
Key Rider
Positive
Mollie Fitzgerald 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 7kg more than LS
AAP
Winless since 11 Jan 2025. First run back this trip ran on okay without troubling at Rosehill. Better for the outing and takes a 2kg claim. One for multiples.
ILB
At $13.00 faded away to finish 6th last start at Rosehill but challenged by weaker competitors. Might be ridden for luck. Has drawn the rails. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Been a while since she achieved her only career win; not far behind Ellipsis when sixth (Rosehill) 18 days ago; others more appealing with a few rivals in good form.
RSIS
Started at 12/1 and struggled with the pace when 6th last run at Rosehill but taking on a lower class of opponents. Likely to get back. Drawn beautifully.
Career
8: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (18-weeks). Close in Benchmark 64 company at Randwick-Kensington first-up last campaign. Had two country trials. Can figure fresh.
ILB
Back from a spell. Tidy run when 3rd last run at Randwick and up against a less competitive field. Placed 3rd in a trial at Muswellbrook on Oct 21st. Prefer in an easier race.
RP
Beaten narrowly over 6½f at Randwick (handicap) in June; returns from a layoff.
RSIS
First run back from a break. Honest race when 3rd last start at Randwick and up against weaker rivals. Fitter for a trial at Muswellbrook on Oct 21st.
Career
13: 2-6-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-2-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-2-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 2-3-0
Going Soft
7: 0-3-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Zac Lloyd 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Godolphin mare who ran home respectably into a non-threatening 5th this course over this distance. Lloyd rides and off a better draw. Can play a role.
ILB
Odds of $16.00 and pushed past some when 5th last start here. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Zac Lloyd and Michael Freedman are a proven combination. Definitely worth considering.
RP
Not disgraced when fifth of 13 23 days ago; this looks a decent race so not easy to fancy.
RSIS
Started 15/1 and kept chasing when 5th last run here. Zac Lloyd and Michael Freedman deserve serious attention when combined. Blinkers go off for the first time. Commands respect.
Career
9: 2-3-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-2-1
Second-up
3: 2-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 1-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
5: 1-3-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-3-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Tim Clark current POT is 50% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 55% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Really gutsy performance on the speed at Hawkesbury second-up. Tactical speed, inside draw. Stripping fitter, capable of figuring again.
ILB
Strong effort to the line to win last run at Hawkesbury but up in grade. Won't be far away during the run. Others much better.
RP
Won by 1½l at Hawkesbury three weeks ago; possibilities.
RSIS
Finished hard to win last run at Hawkesbury but facing a stronger grade. Should race on the pace.
Career
10: 3-1-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
3: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 2-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 2-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (27-weeks). Went desperately close in Class 1 company at Hawkesbury first-up last prep while warmed up with 2 trials. Check markets.
ILB
First up from a break of 27 weeks and close to a win first up last preparation at Hawkesbury. Has not placed in all trials. Slim chance.
RP
Career record shows her ability to win (wins-runs record of 3-10); beaten 1½l in April when sent off 25-1 (Canterbury) over 6f (handicap); returns from a layoff here; is passed over in what appears to be a competitive contest.
RSIS
Resuming and narrowly denied a win resuming last preparation at Hawkesbury. Unplaced in multiple trials.
Career
8: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1150m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 28% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent forward and conceded late at Illawarra Grange. On pacer. Stiffer opposition here.
ILB
Started at $10.00 and not in contention when 5th last time at Illawarra Grange. Best to watch and see.
RP
Respectable effort (beaten just under 3l) at Illawarra Grange four weeks ago; producing consistent form; others more appealing as this looks a fair heat.
RSIS
Odds of 9/1 and had difficulty when 5th last time at Illawarra Grange.
Career
4: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
AAP
Rider found a forward spot at Randwick-Kensington but she put in a very lacklustre finish when second-up. Switching to 1100m. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Started $11.00 and tailed off to finish 9th last run at Randwick Kensington but solid career start. Could feature here.
RP
Finished behind Scenic Point over 6f at Randwick (handicap) when finishing last of nine 21 days ago; not had much racing - fifth outing here; is passed over.
RSIS
Started 10/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last time at Randwick Kensington but good career start. Likes the cut in the ground. Not without a chance.
Career
1: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Showcased her talent with an impressive debut win on a soft deck at Rosehill. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Made all when winning by 1 1/2L last run at Rosehill and having second career run. Has plenty of early speed. Up against a higher level of opposition. Others are better.
RP
Won by 1½l on her debut over this distance at Rosehill at 9-2 two weeks ago; runs for only the second time in a handicap; should be in the mix.
RSIS
Led all the way when winning by 1 1/2L last run at Rosehill and was a debutant last start. Will be positive in the run early. Up against tougher opponents.