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Bairnsdale (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Bairnsdale (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 12 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 12 OctBairnsdale (VIC)Change

Race 1 — Grandview Receptions - Christmas Bookings Available Mdn Plate 1600m · jumps

Race preview

Bairnsdale hosts the Grandview Receptions Christmas Bookings Available Mdn Plate over the 1600m on an overcast day with the track rated a soft five. The race jumped at 1:30 pm AEDT and punters have sorted through a big field to establish a clear win market order. Ned Kelly holds down the shortest quote at the head of betting, closely followed by Passio, Sentaloa, and Vespasian rounding out the initial fancies in the yarn. Early speed looks like it will come from the likes of Vespasian and Huscarl who share the leader group lane, while others like Ned Kelly settle in the midfield section to chase them down.

Looking into the form behind those shorter prices, Ned Kelly brings some interesting New Zealand credentials from the J R Wheeler stable, having placed at Pukekura over 2000m and Waverley over 2200m before heading across for two Cranbourne jumpouts in preparation for this Australian debut. Passio has mixed country form and went home tamely at Bendigo after having every chance at the turn, but previous Mornington and Bendigo efforts keep them in calculations. Sentaloa is a promising three-year-old for the M M Laurie yard who has finished third at Bendigo in both career outings, running on with purpose last time out and getting the blinkers on today which adds plenty of interest for punters wanting some extra polish.

Vespasian is another prominent contender who gets the gun run from the front as part of the early speed group, having finished fourth at Tatura over 1600m where a big weight took its toll and second at Geelong prior. Further down the win market order, runners like Top Liner represent a stable operating with a healthy profit percentage over their last hundred runners, while Hoffstadt caught the eye by running on hard last start from a backmarker position. It is shaping as a fascinating contest where the on-pace runners will try to pinch a break on the chasers as the field sorts itself out over the mile.

Race notes

  • 3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
  • SOFT5
  • Overcast
  • 13 runners

Shortest win price

Ned Kelly (2)

3.60

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 10Hoffstadt

Offmidfield

  • 12Mr Biggles Worth

Midfield

  • 2Ned Kelly
  • 7Flying Riches

Offpace

  • 4The White Bull
  • 6Welkin Star
  • 8Silver Maid
  • 9Top Liner
  • 14Sentaloa

Onpace

  • 13Passio
  • 1Hirarkee

Leader

  • 11Huscarl
  • 5Vespasian

  • Hirarkee · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Reg Manning striking at just 5%

  • Ned Kelly · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • The White Bull · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 51% lower than Career Avg.

  • Vespasian · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -84% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1HirarkeeJ: Aaron Sweeney·T: R C Manning859.5kg8 10 3 9 710: 0-0-2$71.00$8.00

Career

10: 0-0-2

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1717m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1013m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 7Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.29L
  2. 9Sale1717m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT68.4L
  3. 3Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53L
  4. 10Sale1400m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT619.9L
  5. 8Cranbourne1400m16 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY99.4L
  6. 7Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY98.4L
  7. 8Mornington1500m23 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD411.4L
  8. 4Wangaratta1590m6 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.8L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Reg Manning striking at just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

Ran third here over this trip three starts back but has struggled since. Lacks appeal here.

RP

Yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at ten.

2Ned KellyJ: Jackie Beriman·T: Lucy Yeomans159.5kg7 4 2 3 27: 0-2-1$3.60$1.45

Career

7: 0-2-1

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pukekura

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Wanganui

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Waverley

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 2Pukekura2000m13 Feb 2026 · MDN · HEAVY80.7L
  2. 3Waverley2200m28 Jan 2026 · MDN · SOFT63.81L
  3. 2Wanganui2040m19 Jan 2026 · MDN · SOFT60.75L
  4. 4Pukekura2000m31 Dec 2025 · MDN · HEAVY815.3L
  5. 7Wanganui1600m29 Nov 2025 · MDN · SOFT55.6L
  6. 4Waverley1400m14 Nov 2025 · 3YO SW+P · SOFT55.4L
  7. 6Pukekura1400m5 Nov 2025 · MDN 3YO · GOOD411.7L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Career

    Positive

    Proven stable with a S/R of 25%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jackie Beriman 22% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Lucy Yeomans in good form, out performing market 56%

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

Ex J R Wheeler in New Zealand. Fronting up for second campaign (34-weeks). Has had two Cranbourne jumpouts to prepare for his Aus debut. Look for market support.

RP

Has taken a step forward the last twice; beaten three-quarters of a length over 1m2f at New Plymouth Raceway (maiden) in February; first run for stable; returns from an absence here.

3Rang A Round UpScratched8––––

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 46% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn 67% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 151%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 32% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Remains fresh. On pace but under siege late and weakened out of the fight off extended spell. Looks more a place prospect.

4The White BullJ: Brad Rawiller·T: T G Eurell359.5kg8 82: 0-0-0$81.00$9.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Ballarat Synthetic2100m7 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC9.8L
  2. 8Warrnambool2000m14 June 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1024.52L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 51% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 56% in L100 rides

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (13-weeks). Ex Richard Cully in Victoria. Finished down the track in both assignments last time in. Has had a jumpout to prepare for this but looks up against it.

RP

Missed the frame (beaten 10l into eighth) over 1m2½f at Ballarat (maiden) three months ago; starts out for new trainer; passed over.

5VespasianJ: Damien Thornton·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes259.5kg5 3 2 2 48: 0-2-2$6.50$2.25

Career

8: 0-2-2

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1700m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Tatura1600m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.95L
  2. 2Geelong1700m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L
  3. 2Pakenham Synthetic1600m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD31.3L
  4. 3Geelong1700m31 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT70.8L
  5. 5Ballarat Synthetic1500m12 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3L
  6. 9Bendigo1400m25 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT68.8L
  7. 3Cranbourne1500m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.8L
  8. 8Seymour1411m13 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.2L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -84% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Rarely far away. Big weight took its toll at Tatura over this trip. Gets the gun run. Has a big say here.

RP

Shown recent signs of improvement but still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce); left punters frustrated after going off favourite when fourth at Tatura 13 days ago; not been able to get his head in front lately so looks an unlikely winner.

6Welkin StarJ: Jason Maskiell·T: Nicole Dickson1359.5kg10 5 5 5 612: 0-0-1$51.00$7.00

Career

12: 0-0-1

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1454m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Warrnambool1700m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY912.02L
  2. 5Mornington1500m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.9L
  3. 5Tatura1450m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.9L
  4. 5Wodonga1300m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.9L
  5. 10Bairnsdale1200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.9L
  6. 5Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT73.9L
  7. 9Wodonga1100m27 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY89.4L
  8. 7Kyneton1454m12 Dec 2024 · Maiden · GOOD35.17L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 10kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Went out hard and paid the price folding badly at Warrnambool. Has an adverse draw. Leaning towards others here.

RP

Beaten 12l into sixth at Warrnambool over 1m½f (maiden) 11 days ago; still winless and defeats stacking up (12 on the bounce); he can be taken on.

7Flying RichesJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Rachael Cunningham1157.5kg7 7 8 7 56: 0-0-0$21.00$4.00

Career

6: 0-0-0

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD33.77L
  2. 7Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L
  3. 8Cranbourne1600m17 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT610.5L
  4. 7Pakenham1400m9 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT55.6L
  5. 7Cranbourne1400m20 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD36.5L
  6. 11Pakenham1100m26 Feb 2026 · MDN SW · GOOD48.8L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Rachael Cunningham striking at just 4%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Kept finding the line without threatening at Pakenham Synthetic. Has a tricky draw. Sharper now, could add some value to exotics.

RP

Not beaten too far when fifth at Pakenham over 7f (maiden) last week; others appeal more.

8Silver MaidJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Ms S Trolove557.5kg11 8 6 5 99: 0-0-1$126.00$15.00

Career

9: 0-0-1

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 9Moe2050m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD415.31L
  2. 5Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.73L
  3. 6Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY89.5L
  4. 8Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT69.9L
  5. 11Bairnsdale1200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT512.1L
  6. 11Sale1100m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65.9L
  7. 6Horsham1400m19 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY85.6L
  8. 3Seymour1300m26 Apr 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT53.5L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 79% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 44% Profit on Turnover

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 62% POT in last 100 rides

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

Well back and never sighted at Moe over longer assignment as an outsider. Drops to shorter trip. Keener on others.

RP

Yet to open her account after nine starts and been struggling to make an impact; finished ninth of 12 at Moe last month upped to 1m2f; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

9Top LinerJ: Patrick Moloney·T: Alexander Rae657.5kg6 4 5 63: 0-0-0$7.00$2.40

Career

3: 0-0-0

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.79L
  2. 5Pakenham1600m23 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD45.7L
  3. 4Pakenham1400m9 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT52.1L
  4. 6Caulfield Heath1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 32% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back this course first up. Strips fitter. More a minor money chance here.

RP

Can be in the mix as it was interesting that she was well backed last time and has been on the scene in the recent past.

10HoffstadtJ: Ben Allen·T: Angus Townley1257kg4 62: 0-0-0$8.00$2.60

Career

2: 0-0-0

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Ballarat1400m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.55L
  2. 4Mornington1200m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.2L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 373%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Ballarat at second start. Has a tricky draw. Might be looking for longer now but has to improve. Others carry more punch.

RP

Creditable effort in sixth (beaten 2½l) over 7f at Ballarat (maiden) last month.

11HuscarlJ: Holly Durnan·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin1057kg1 11: 0-0-0$101.00$12.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1312m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Echuca1312m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD411L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 33% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Holly Durnan 33% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 94%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Safely contained at Echuca debut when crunched in betting 19 Sep. Improvement needed and leaning towards others.

RP

Beaten 11l to finish 11th on his debut at Echuca at 11-1 last month; a major contender.

12Mr Biggles WorthJ: Logan Mcneil·T: Mitchell Maloney-Stone757kg2 6 1 91: 0-0-0$101.00$12.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moruya

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Moruya1200m2 Oct 2026 · Maiden · SOFT77.5L
  2. 1Moruya920m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-0.1
  3. 6Moruya920m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.5L
  4. 2Sapphire Coast1000m3 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to stamp himself on the race at Moruya debut 2 Oct. Quickly up in trip for second run. Others with more appeal.

RP

Beaten on his debut at Moruya at 17-2 ten days ago; could improve but still hard to see him winning here.

13PassioJ: Jett Stanley·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr957kg5 3 2 2 63: 0-2-0$3.90$1.55

Career

3: 0-2-0

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 6Bendigo1500m20 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD35.71L
  2. 2Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT51.8L
  3. 2Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT61.8L
  4. 3Warwick Farm792m20 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)7L
  5. 5Rosehill900m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 12%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jett Stanley 33% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Posted some decent efforts from three country appearances. Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Bendigo last outing. Can play a role.

RP

Held when sixth of nine over 7½f at Bendigo (maiden) three weeks ago; can be in the mix given that not many of these impressed last time out and he ran well in defeat two starts back.

14SentaloaJ: Jake Noonan·T: M M Laurie457kg3 32: 0-0-2$6.00$2.15

Career

2: 0-0-2

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.25L
  2. 3Bendigo1500m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.5L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Promising 3yo and been in the market each outing. Got back, ran on late with purpose at Bendigo at second outing. Fitter, has scope to progress. Stripping fitter, major player here.

RP

Ran well to finish third (beaten just over 2l) at Bendigo three weeks ago; likely to be a threat.

15LeventScratched3––––

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    A & A Yargi striking at just 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Early form encouraging. Brave in defeat 3yo Mdn Plate at Kilmore at second appearance. Maps to get a sweet run. Heading the right way and competitive here.

16Hot SpiritScratched7––––

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Kilmore when second-up. Handy last start and can measure up.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races