Bairnsdale (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Bairnsdale (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 12 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 12 OctBairnsdale (VIC)Change

Race 2 — Bet365 Same Race Multi Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps Mon 12 Oct, 3:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Bairnsdale for the Bet365 Same Race Multi Mdn Plate over the 1200m journey on a Soft 5 track with overcast skies overhead. The betting boards have framed an intriguing maiden affair where punters are sorting through the form lines. The early win market shows Castelli In Aria holding down the mantle as the shortest runner in the race, closely followed by Japanese Moka, Do The Dirty, and Weasel Sea rounding out the top end of the market order in what shapes as a fascinating tactical battle across the short course.

The form behind the shorter-priced fancies tells an interesting yarn. Castelli In Aria resumes after a 31-week spell from barrier 9 for trainer E Jusufovic, partnered by Carleen Hefel, bringing a handy previous placing at this very track into calculations. Meanwhile, Japanese Moka jumps from barrier 4 with Patrick Moloney steering for trainer M M Laurie; this runner left a strong impression when finishing second on debut over this exact distance at Hamilton on a soft surface and looks well-poised to take natural improvement second-up. Weasel Sea also demands respect from barrier 1 under Dylan Dunn for Jason Warren, carrying strong consecutive minor placings including a solid closing effort at Kilmore.

Looking further down the race shape and speed groups, we see Castelli In Aria and Weasel Sea listed among the leaders, while runners like Do The Dirty and Japanese Moka are mapped to stalk them from an off-pace position. Chronic drawn in barrier 10 maps off-midfield for trainer M E Templeton, though the stable has been working through a quieter patch. With plenty of query runners and fresh legs engaged in this Bairnsdale maiden, punters weighing up the speed map and previous track experiences might find some value diving deeper into the form guide before settling on their selections.

Race notes

3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT5
Overcast
9 runners

Shortest win price

Castelli In Aria (4)

2.65

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

7Motherduck
18Shields

Offmidfield

17Go Go Ruby
1Chronic

Midfield

8Think Sassy

Offpace

10Do The Dirty
11Japanese Moka

Leader

3Weasel Sea
4Castelli In Aria

Chronic · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Weasel Sea · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 46% in Last 100 Rides
Castelli In Aria · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Motherduck · Negative
Jockey Booking
Christopher Pang current POT is 26% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1ChronicJ: Teodore Nugent·T: M E Templeton1059.5kg2 4 3 3 914: 0-2-2$21.00$3.50

Career

14: 0-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
3: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1623m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1744m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-1

Last starts

9Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY1014.2L
3Moe1623m12 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT71.7L
3Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44L
4Sale1429m19 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.6L
2Sale1400m29 Mar 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT63.3L
9Ballarat1200m10 Mar 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD33.3L
10Sale1400m26 Oct 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT713.7L
6Sale1744m8 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.4L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (19-weeks). Adverse barrier tests. New to Bairnsdale. Distant place hope only fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Was $10.00 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last start at Moe on a heavy surface and back in trip. Won't find this easy.

Seems to be improving based on last two runs but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 14; finished behind Motherduck over 1m at Moe (maiden) when beaten 14l (ninth of 11) in May; returns from a break today; may have to settle for supporting role as has a lot on his plate here.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break. At 9/1 faded away to finish 9th last run at Moe and dropping back to a shorter trip.

2Prestige LuckyScratched15––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

$600 Inglis digital purchase. Out of a mare who has three foals to race for three winners. Has had three Cranbourne jumpouts, winning his last one. Can make an impact on debut.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Got the prize when winning by 1/2L last run at Morphettville and having second career run.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Got the prize when winning by 1/2L last time at Morphettville and was a debutant last start.

3Weasel SeaJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Jason Warren159.5kg2 3 3 2 26: 0-3-3$7.00$2.00

Career

6: 0-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-1
Track Hamilton
1: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-2
Distance 1100m
3: 0-2-1
Going Good
3: 0-2-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-2

Last starts

2Kilmore1100m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.75L
2Hamilton1100m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT62L
3Cranbourne1000m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L
3Seymour1000m13 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT52.3L
2Yarra Valley1000m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
3Ararat1100m3 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT71L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 46% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dylan Dunn 67% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 151%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 32% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Dylan Dunn winning at 39% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1

Comments

AAP

Continues to race well. Ridden cold, produced solid finish late at Kilmore when second-up. Good draw. This looks within his reach.

ILB

Rattled home nicely into 2nd last time at Kilmore and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Should progress and will be close.

Signs of improvement on last two runs; finishing second was a good effort last month at Kilmore over 5½f (maiden); others more appealing as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Picked up late ground when 2nd last start at Kilmore and gets a favourable stall. Expecting to settle positively. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts recently. Strong chance to be considered.

4Castelli In AriaJ: Carleen Hefel·T: E Jusufovic957.5kg2 2 3 94: 0-2-1$2.65$1.22

Career

4: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-2-0

Last starts

9Pakenham1200m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.4L
3Bendigo1400m28 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY93L
2Echuca1200m10 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT60.4L
2Bairnsdale1000m21 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT63L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (31-weeks). Placed only other run at Bairnsdale. Finished third in a recent Cranbourne jumpout. Warrants attention fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Resuming after a break of 31 weeks. Was $4.00 and tailed off to finish 9th last run at Pakenham. Looking for an improved run and solid career start. Has every chance.

Not yet off the mark in four attempts although has finished second; not disgraced when ninth of 11 (Pakenham) in March; returns from a break today; needs considering.

RSIS

Back from a 31 week break. Started at 3/1 and weakened to finish 9th last time at Pakenham. Has the talent to rebound quickly and solid career start. Will show up at the business end.

5CelestraScratched6––––

Career

6: 0-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

9Pakenham1400m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY911.6L
3Kilmore1450m6 Mar 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L
8Pakenham1400m5 Feb 2026 · 3-5yo · GOOD44.95L
3Geelong1225m20 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD35L
7Sandown1200m10 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD44.8L
3Sandown1300m2 July 2025 · 2YF HCP · SOFT51.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jett Stanley 52% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (28-weeks). Ex A & S Freedman in Victoria. Has had two jumpouts to prepare for her return and one to watch.

ILB

Racing fresh after a break of 28 weeks. At $8.00 subpar when 9th last time at Pakenham. First start for a new trainer.

Ninth beaten 12l at Pakenham over 7f (maiden) in March; has displayed improved form on last two starts but patchy form recently; returns from an absence here; representing new stable today; this is competitive and looks risky.

RSIS

Fresh after a break of 28 weeks. Started at 7/1 and was nothing special when 9th last time at Pakenham. First appearance for a new trainer.

6Gypsy StormScratched18––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 79% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 53%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 77%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Out of a mare who retired a maiden. She has had four jumpouts to prepare for her debut. Drawn deep for debut and would need a positive betting lead.

ILB

4yo by Thunder Fire first starter for Shannon Roughan. Watch the market moves.

Related to multiple race winner Jamberoo (6f-1m1f); having first race; leading claims as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

4yo by Thunder Fire having first start for Shannon Roughan.

7MotherduckJ: Christopher Pang·T: Kerry Farrugia857.5kg4 2 2 4 816: 0-2-0$41.00$4.60

Career

16: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.5L
4Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY105.7L
2Moe1623m12 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT71.5L
2Sale1717m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD35L
4Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.3L
8Sale1400m29 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT633.7L
5Sale1717m8 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.4L
6Echuca2100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD310.5L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Christopher Pang current POT is 26% below Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 226%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 51% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Raced in back half and never likely at Pakenham Synthetic first run back. New to Bairnsdale. Keener on others.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Started $101.00 and weakened under pressure when 8th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 16 runs. Appears tested.

Was eighth of ten, beaten 8l, at Pakenham (dropped back to this trip) last week; yet to open her account after 16 starts; this looks a decent race so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Started 100/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Still a maiden after 16 starts.

8Think SassyJ: Lauren Burke·T: Melanie Bullard357.5kg5 4 9 8 85: 0-0-0$126.00$10.00

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1411m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Kyneton1454m9 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD310.45L
8Sale1411m14 Sept 2025 · 4yo+ · GOOD37.2L
9Yarra Valley1514m21 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD415.26L
4Cranbourne1300m4 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD32.75L
5Cranbourne1200m20 Dec 2024 · Maiden · GOOD310.25L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 368 day break (> 300 days)
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (52-weeks). Ex Julius Sandhu in Victoria. Lightly raced 5-year-old who has only managed a 4th from 5 runs to date. Failed to make any headway in early form and recent jumpouts have been plain.

ILB

First run back from a break of 52 weeks. Odds of $31.00 and below standard effort when 8th last start at Kyneton and coming back in trip. Best to watch only.

Finished eighth, beaten a fair way over 7f at Kyneton (maiden) a year ago; this now her sixth attempt to get off the mark; runs for a new trainer here; long absence to overcome; easy to oppose.

RSIS

First run back from a break of 52 weeks. Started at 30/1 and subpar when 8th last start at Kyneton and back to a shorter distance.

9Count ChevalierScratched4––––

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Swan Hill1200m22 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD34.5L
8Bendigo1100m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT512.8L
5Sale1112m1 Mar 2026 · 2yo · SOFT66L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Celine Gaudray 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fair way from the winner but battled home into third at Swan Hill second-up. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd beaten by 4 1/2L last start at Swan Hill.

Finished just behind Do The Dirty when third at Swan Hill last month; others are preferred.

RSIS

Good performance to run into 3rd last run at Swan Hill.

10Do The DirtyJ: Holly Durnan·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin757kg6 4 23: 0-1-0$6.00$1.75

Career

3: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Swan Hill1200m22 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD32L
4Mornington1000m4 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT53L
6Seymour1100m7 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT74.9L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Holly Durnan 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 94%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Building nicely. Honest performance without menacing winner at Swan Hill over this trip. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Zipped home into 2nd beaten by 2L last time at Swan Hill and getting better in recent performances. Watch the betting.

Was on the premises (second, beaten 2l) at Swan Hill last month.

RSIS

Ran on when 2nd last time at Swan Hill and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Respect the betting.

11Japanese MokaJ: Patrick Moloney·T: M M Laurie457kg21: 0-1-0$2.80$1.24

Career

1: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Hamilton1200m14 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT61.3L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Left a decent impression on debut at Hamilton when in the market 14 Sep. Better for the run. Highly fancied to go one better.

ILB

Caught the eye when 2nd last start at Hamilton and having second career run. Won't be far away during the run. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Commands respect.

Favourite when second on his debut at Hamilton at 9-5 last month; warrants consideration if confirming promise shown first time up.

RSIS

Hit the line well when 2nd last run at Hamilton and was on debut last time. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Will run close.

12Moving PointScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Early ability evident. Last start this trip ran on without troubling winner in the 3yo Mdn Plate at Cranbourne. Improver, fitter third-up. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Pulled away to win by 3 3/4L last start at Hamilton and promising career start. Has not missed the placings this campaign in 3 attempts.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Was rock solid when winning by a margin of 3 3/4L last run at Hamilton and good career start.

13Lady BlancScratched17––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
T & N Busuttin & Young striking at just 12%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

$38,000 purchase. Out of a mare who won once. Has had two jumpouts and finished third in the most recent but under heavy riding. Watch for market support.

ILB

3yo first starter by Acrobat for Trent Busuttin And Natalie Young. Watch betting.

Related to 5f winner Kermitisapet; yard gets plenty of debutant winners; looks like a player.

RSIS

3yo first starter sired by Acrobat for trainer Trent Busuttin And Natalie Young.

14Scorching BeautyScratched5––––

Career

5: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Geelong1425m23 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD36.65L
3Wodonga1300m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65L
4Geelong1100m31 July 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT75.8L
9Pakenham Synthetic1100m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD39.6L
5Flemington1000m8 Nov 2025 · 2yo · SOFT76L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and passed a few late in the 3yo F Mdn at Geelong. Dropping back to 1200m. Not fancied.

ILB

Made some ground when 5th last run at Geelong.

Has displayed improved form on last two starts; fifth beaten 7l at Geelong over 7f (maiden) last month; others more persuasive.

RSIS

Ran on into 5th last run at Geelong.

15CipheredScratched10––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Pakenham1200m8 May 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY810.7L
3Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 85%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Gavin Bedggood in good form, out performing market 85%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 60% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (22-weeks). Disappointing debut performance at Pakenham 8 May. Has had two jumpouts ahead of his return but prefer to see.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break. Started at $5.50 and didn't attack the line when 7th last start at Pakenham but having second race start.

Could not finish better than seventh on his debut at Pakenham at 9-2 in May; returning from a layoff here.

RSIS

Back from a break. Started at 9/2 and folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Pakenham but was a debutant last start.

16DextroseScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Clifford I Brown striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -68% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 63%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 68% Profit on Turnover
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Safely contained at Ballarat debut at wide odds 18 Sep. Has a fair bit to find.

ILB

Unsatisfactory performance when 10th last time at Ballarat but was on debut last time.

Never landed a blow on her debut when towards the rear of 13 over this distance at Ballarat at 66-1 last month; potential for improvement; entitled to have come on for that run.

RSIS

Fairly underwhelming when 10th last start at Ballarat but having second career run.

17Go Go RubyJ: Ben Allen·T: John R Allen257.5kg81: 0-0-0$23.00$3.70

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1108m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Kyneton1108m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.9L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (28-weeks). Failed to stamp herself on the race at Kyneton when she had market support. Has had two quiet jumpouts ahead of her return but improvement needed.

ILB

First up after a break of 28 weeks. Odds of $15.00 and average performance when 8th last start at Kyneton but was on debut last time. Has a positive barrier. Others make far more appeal.

Came home eighth over 5½f on her debut at Kyneton at 14-1 in March; potential to step up; returns from a layoff.

RSIS

Resuming from break of 28 weeks. Was 14/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 8th last run at Kyneton but was on debut last time.

18ShieldsJ: Craig Newitt·T: C W Mcdonald657.5kg51: 0-0-0$14.00$3.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Echuca1009m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.42L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Made ground on debut at Echuca when very easy in the market 19 Sep. Better for race exposure. Extra trip may assist. Only for exotics.

ILB

Odds of $13.00 and crept into 5th last run at Echuca and was a debutant last start. Has some claims.

Far from disgraced, finishing fifth, on her debut over 5f at Echuca at 12-1 last month; entitled to have come on for that run.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and improved late to finish 5th last start at Echuca and having second race start. Could feature here.

Odds correct as at Mon 12 Oct, 3:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races