Next2Go logo

Bairnsdale (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Bairnsdale (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 12 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 12 OctBairnsdale (VIC)Change

Race 3 — Reece Plumbing Mdn Plate 1000m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
  • SOFT5
  • Overcast
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Ostrom (4)

2.75

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 16Zwasp

Midfield

  • 5Reelness
  • 10Blue Jeans Talk
  • 6Sheeze Ominous

Offpace

  • 3Inner Thoughts
  • 8Tyrant Rex
  • 14Ain't A Bad Day

Onpace

  • 15Full Of Knowledge

Leader

  • 1Charleanor
  • 4Ostrom
  • Charleanor · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Inner Thoughts · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Ostrom · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Reelness · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1CharleanorJ: Craig Newitt·T: Michael Huglin257.5kg7 6 5 44: 0-0-0$6.50$2.20

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.75L
  2. 5Corowa900m31 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT54.9L
  3. 6Bairnsdale1200m22 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.3L
  4. 7Pakenham1100m5 Mar 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD45.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Form sound so far this campaign. Finished fourth over this track and distance last start so is in the mix.

ILB

Started at $91.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 4th last run here and can find a nice position from the draw. Should come to hand quickly. Much prefer the look of others in this race.

RP

Solid effort when beaten just under 3l to finish fourth 22 days ago; not many of these impressed last time out so is of some interest.

RSIS

Started 90/1 and overrun when 4th last time at this track and has a good draw. Expecting to settle positively.

2Graceful MistScratched5––––

Career

22: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Warracknabeal

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    8: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 12Cranbourne1300m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY913.9L
  2. 9Moe1217m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY1012.5L
  3. 7Great Western1200m24 Jan 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT510.3L
  4. 3Yarra Valley1000m13 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L
  5. 8Terang1200m2 Jan 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.9L
  6. 10Mornington1200m23 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.6L
  7. 9Cranbourne1000m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.5L
  8. 8Mornington1200m1 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD45.21L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 40% in L100 rides

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (12-weeks). New to Bairnsdale. Was third in a recent Mornington jumpout but he has had plenty of chances.

ILB

Fresh after a spell. Folded up in the straight when 12th last time at Cranbourne on a heavy rated track and dropping in distance.

RP

Still winless and defeats stacking up (22 on the bounce); finished towards the rear of 14 over 6½f at Cranbourne (maiden) in July; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Didn't attack the line when 12th last run at Cranbourne and back to a shorter distance.

3Inner ThoughtsJ: Jake Noonan·T: Rachael Cunningham657.5kg2 7 4 6 78: 0-2-0$11.00$3.00

Career

8: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1113m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Mornington1000m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.75L
  2. 6Stawell1300m18 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY912.3L
  3. 4Wangaratta1000m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY81.3L
  4. 7Sale1113m19 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.7L
  5. 2Kerang1100m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.8L
  6. 5Bairnsdale1000m22 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.7L
  7. 2Corowa1000m7 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.5L
  8. 10Echuca1000m20 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD417.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 52%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure first up in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Mornington. Strips fitter but need to improve.

ILB

Jumped at $61.00 and uncompetitive when 7th last run at Mornington. Won't find this easy.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten just under 5l in seventh, Mornington) three weeks ago when just behind Ostrom; performance slacked off wearing this headgear last twice and still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce); passed over.

RSIS

Started 60/1 and not in contention when 7th last run at Mornington.

4OstromJ: Celine Gaudray·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes357.5kg5 6 3 34: 0-0-2$2.75$1.30

Career

4: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Stony Creek

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Mornington1000m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
  2. 3Ballarat1000m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.9L
  3. 6Sale1000m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.5L
  4. 5Stony Creek1100m30 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD47.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Celine Gaudray 27% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Continues to race well. Mid-division, well held by winner but good through line at Mornington at $26 off long spell. Better for the outing. Looks well placed in this line-up.

ILB

Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 3L last time at Mornington. Should race on the speed. Strong chance.

RP

Ran well enough to finish third at 25-1 (Mornington) with Inner Thoughts just behind last month.

RSIS

Made considerable ground when 3rd beaten by 3L last start at Mornington. Should be going forward early. Will show up at the business end.

5ReelnessJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Paul Worthington1057.5kg7 2 9 5 129: 0-1-0$19.00$3.70

Career

9: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Stony Creek

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Woolamai

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1008m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1112m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 12Sale1400m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD413.4L
  2. 5Cranbourne1200m22 Jan 2026 · 3-5Y MDN-SW · GOOD36L
  3. 9Stony Creek1100m18 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT54.7L
  4. 2Woolamai1008m3 Jan 2026 · Maiden2L
  5. 7Sale1200m26 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT711.8L
  6. 7Moe1100m19 Oct 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.7L
  7. 5Bairnsdale1000m7 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.6L
  8. 8Sale1112m18 May 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT54L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

First-up (36-weeks). Query wet. Would need to improve off past efforts.

ILB

First up and nice run when 2nd first up last preparation at Woolamai. Interesting gear change of winkers off first time but down in trip. Tough ask.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 14 over 7f at Sale (maiden) in January; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at nine; returns from a layoff here; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Resuming and in the money when 2nd resuming last preparation at Woolamai. Cheekpieces go off for the first time but will be dropping in distance.

6Sheeze OminousJ: Carleen Hefel·T: M Croston & G Gilmour757.5kg9 7 9 8 48: 0-0-0$41.00$5.00

Career

8: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Moe1100m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.65L
  2. 8Seymour1000m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY88.5L
  3. 9Moe1000m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY106L
  4. 7Bairnsdale1000m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.7L
  5. 9Yarra Valley1200m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.52L
  6. 7Cranbourne1200m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD48.9L
  7. 5Cranbourne1000m13 Feb 2026 · 3Y F MDN-SW · GOOD311.7L
  8. 4Moe1100m19 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD49.5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Carleen Hefel current POT is 45% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 138%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Limited

    Negative

    Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Safely held but not totally disgraced at Moe as a despised outsider. This looks a tall order.

ILB

Odds of $101.00 and made up ground when 4th last run at Moe. Yet to place in 8 starts. Prefer a race with softer competition.

RP

Winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at eight; out of the frame when fourth over 5½f at Moe (maiden) two weeks ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and edged past some when finishing 4th last time at Moe. Yet to make an impression in 8 runs.

7LonneganScratched16––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

$375,000 Magic Millions purchase. First foal out of a two-time winning mare. Won his most recent Mornington jumpout after being asked for an effort.

ILB

Initial race appearance 3yo by Sword Of State for trainer Matt Laurie. Betting as a guide.

RSIS

3yo first starter by Sword Of State for Matt Laurie.

8Tyrant RexJ: Damien Thornton·T: A & S Freedman857kg81: 0-0-0$5.00$1.90

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.3L

Insights

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    A & S Freedman in good form, out performing market 38%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Safely contained at Kilmore debut when fancied 13 Sep. Experience gained. Dropping back to 1000m here. Should have more to offer.

ILB

Started $2.40 and didn't find the line when 8th last start at Kilmore. Has the ability to turn things around and having second race start. Great chance.

RP

Lack of experience may have been a factor 29 days ago on his debut when eighth of 11 (sent off 7-5) in Kilmore maiden over 5½f; trainer going well a plus; likely player as market vibes last time suggest he is capable of better.

RSIS

Started 7/5 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Kilmore. Looking past the last run and was on debut last time. Has a very strong case to be winning.

9Big TroubleScratched8––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Echuca1000m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT77.5L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 85%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (43-days). Offered little to catch the eye on debut at Echuca 30 Aug. Has work to do and others more fancied here.

ILB

Freshened up. At $11.00 struggled with the pace when 6th last run at Echuca but was on debut last time.

RP

Beaten on her debut at Echuca at 10-1 43 days ago; needs to make above-average progress.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Was 10/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last time at Echuca but having second career run.

10Blue Jeans TalkJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Shannon Roughan955kg4 4 7 7 135: 0-0-0$12.00$3.30

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 13Sandown1000m23 May 2026 · 2Y FILLIES HCP · SOFT725.2L
  2. 7Ballarat1200m30 Apr 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · GOOD315.7L
  3. 7Pakenham1100m9 Apr 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · SOFT54.6L
  4. 4Caulfield Heath800m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
  5. 4Pakenham1100m29 Jan 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.8L
  6. 4Pakenham1000m9 Jan 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD32.7L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 58% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Shannon Roughan striking at just 3%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels 69% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 53%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 59% Profit on Turnover

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels winning at 52% POT in last 100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (20-weeks). Has had a jumpout to prepare for return but hard to warm to here.

ILB

First up today. Odds of $151.00 and average performance when 13th last time at Sandown but up against a less competitive field. Rough chance.

RP

Best she's managed so far is fourth from five career starts; was tailed off at Sandown five months ago in a handicap; returns from an absence here; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

First run back. Odds of 150/1 and disappointing outing when 13th last run at Sandown but taking on a lower class of opponents.

11Southern SwayScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • On Debut

    Positive

    First race start

Comments

AAP

$160,000 purchase. Out of a unraced mare who has thrown two winners. Finished second in her most recent Flemington jumpout and wouldn't surprise to see her run well on debut.

ILB

3yo debutant sired by Alabama Express for Dominic Sutton. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Running for the first time; related to 6f winner Home Zone; plenty of appeal with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

3yo first starter sired by Alabama Express for trainer Dominic Sutton.

12Tale Of GenjiScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 140%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Debutant

    Positive

    First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

First foal out of an imported Dubawi mare. Made nice ground in her lastest jumpout but might need this run.

ILB

First start at the races 3yo by Frankel for trainer Clinton Mcdonald. Watch the betting.

RP

Attractively bred daughter of Frankel; stable has a good record with newcomers; warrants respect as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

3yo by Frankel having first race appearance for Clinton Mcdonald.

13Pragmatic LadyScratched15––––

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.7L
  2. 5Pakenham Synthetic1200m24 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD34.2L
  3. 5Ballarat Synthetic1000m6 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC1.8L

Insights

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Failed to threaten (wide barrier) at Donald last start after easing in betting. Untested in wet. Distant place hope only.

ILB

Gave away some ground when 10th last start at Donald.

RP

Last of ten over 6f at Donald (maiden) last month (wore blinkers).

RSIS

Faded away to finish 10th last start at Donald.

14Ain't A Bad DayJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: Matthew Brown159.5kg2 8 6 13 105: 0-1-0$9.00$2.70

Career

5: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Colac

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Mornington1000m4 Sept 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT514.9L
  2. 13Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT65.3L
  3. 6Colac1000m1 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT712L
  4. 8Mornington1000m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34L
  5. 2Seymour1000m13 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened. On a learning curve. Finished well down the track Mornington last outing. Has since finished second in a jumpout.

ILB

Faded away to finish 10th last start at Mornington but gets a favourable alley. Not without a chance.

RP

Not yet off the mark in five attempts although has finished second; finished tenth, beaten 15l, (Mornington) five weeks ago.

RSIS

Weakened to finish 10th last run at Mornington but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Betting is the best guide.

15Full Of KnowledgeJ: Liana Wood·T: Dani Walker459.5kg4 7 5 10 66: 0-1-0$8.50$2.60

Career

6: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Burrumbeet

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Swan Hill975m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.15L
  2. 10Yarra Valley1000m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.2L
  3. 5Moe1000m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42L
  4. 7Cranbourne1200m30 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD39.5L
  5. 4Cranbourne1000m17 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD36.5L
  6. 2Burrumbeet1000m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Dani Walker striking at just 8%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

In close proximity when battled home at Swan Hill after lengthy absence. Strips in better shape and takes a 3kg claim. Good gate speed, soft draw. Expect a much stronger performance here.

ILB

Weakened to finish 6th last time at Swan Hill. Displays good tactical speed. Liana Wood takes a large claim. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Winless in six starts but has shown promise with second his top showing; out of the frame (beaten just over 3l in sixth, Swan Hill) last month.

RSIS

Looked outclassed when 6th last run at Swan Hill. Should muster plenty of early toe. Liana Wood provides some weight relief. Watch the betting.

16ZwaspJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Shea Eden1259.5kg6 8 8 5 923: 0-2-3$12.00$3.30

Career

23: 0-2-3

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    6: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1008m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    11: 0-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.6L
  2. 5Moe1108m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.6L
  3. 8Cranbourne1300m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY97.7L
  4. 8Moe1217m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY1011.7L
  5. 6Moe1008m18 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY910.1L
  6. 7Pakenham1400m7 Nov 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · HEAVY88.7L
  7. 9Warrnambool1300m16 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT58L
  8. 8Cranbourne1300m10 Oct 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD411.6L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Gave solid chase in a good effort at Sale as an outsider. Has had a jumpout since last start but hard to make a case for.

ILB

Started at $71.00 and not competitive when 9th last run at Sale. A 23 start maiden. Might be ridden for luck. Needs to improve.

RP

Creditable effort to finish ninth, beaten 2½l over 6f at Sale (maiden) last month; useful at this level.

RSIS

Started at 70/1 and struggled when 9th last time at Sale. A 23 start maiden. Might be ridden for luck.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races