Bairnsdale (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Bairnsdale (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 12 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 12 OctBairnsdale (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Greenway Turf Solutions (Bm56) 1000m · jumps Mon 12 Oct, 5:08 pm AEDT

Race notes

3UP BM56 HCP,3yo+,BM56,Benchmark 56
SOFT5
Overcast
10 runners

Shortest win price

Just Remember It (4)

3.90

Most career wins

The Cruiser

9-7-10 from 80 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10Moonlight Rustler

Offmidfield

12Heartattack Jack

Midfield

6Divine Empress
2Astari

Offpace

4Just Remember It
9Free To Play
11The Cruiser

Onpace

1Mr Tickles
7Irresistible Sir

Leader

8Derelict

Mr Tickles · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Astari · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 138%
Just Remember It · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Divine Empress · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 46% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Mr TicklesJ: Hayley Spitse·T: Mitchell Leek764kg3 1 4 11 646: 6-12-5$4.40$1.70

Career

46: 6-12-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-2-1
Second-up
4: 2-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
5: 0-1-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1108m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
8: 1-2-1
Going Good
18: 2-2-2
Going Heavy
9: 1-2-2
Going Soft
13: 2-5-1

Last starts

6Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD33.65L
11Caulfield Heath1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT612.9L
4Moe1017m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.6L
1Cranbourne1000m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-1.8
3Bendigo1000m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.6L
4Wangaratta1000m22 Dec 2025 · BM56 · SOFT51.8L
1Moe1000m14 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD4-0.3
6Geelong1100m22 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT612.4L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Modest performance at Pakenham Synthetic over this trip. May improve back on the turf with a bit of give in the track.

ILB

Started $7.50 and folded up in the straight when 6th last time at Pakenham Synthetic but will find this grade easier. Has the speed to overcome the wide draw. Solid prospects.

Out of the frame (beaten 3½l in sixth) at Pakenham ten days ago; not a great record on second run back after a layoff and others appeal more.

RSIS

Started at 13/2 and didn't find the line when 6th last start at Pakenham Synthetic but challenged by weaker competitors. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

2AstariJ: Liana Wood·T: M W Walker563.5kg7 4 8 1 612: 2-2-1$4.60$1.80

Career

12: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
9: 1-1-1
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0

Last starts

6Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD42.81L
1Echuca1000m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT7-1
8Pakenham Synthetic1100m3 Aug 2026 · BM62 · GOOD33.4L
4Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD31.5L
7Pakenham Synthetic1000m22 June 2026 · BM62 · GOOD32.7L
5Pakenham1100m5 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.8L
2Geelong1125m20 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31L
3Cranbourne1000m3 Jan 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD31.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 138%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Won over this trip at Echuca two starts back. Ran on with some conviction from back half at Ballarat over this trip. Worth including.

ILB

Odds of $16.00 and came in 6th last run at Ballarat. Expected to rebound and going down in grade. Liana Wood and Mark Walker deserve serious consideration as a team. Definite claims for punters.

Fair effort (beaten just under 3l, Ballarat) last month.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and finished 6th last run at Ballarat. May see an upturn in form and drops back to a suitable class. Good potential.

3Midnight DevilScratched9––––

Career

27: 4-6-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-3-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Sale
5: 1-2-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
4: 1-0-0
Distance 888m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 955m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1012m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0
Going Good
20: 4-4-1

Last starts

3Pakenham Synthetic1000m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.35L
2Moe1000m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.06L
10Sale1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.3L
2Sale1000m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT63.8L
9Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.2L
4Seymour1000m18 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD43.75L
8Geelong1214m26 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD39.6L
5Moonee Valley955m24 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD32.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Stephanie Hateley current POT is 37% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Went Made late ground at Pakenham Synthetic over this distance last start. Has placed on soft and heavy tracks, is right in the mix.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Good effort to place 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Pakenham Synthetic and challenged by weaker competitors.

Consistent lately; ahead of Heartattack Jack and Irresistible Sir when third (beaten 1½l, Pakenham) last week; in with a big shout as recent performance was encouraging.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Ran on when 3rd last run at Pakenham Synthetic and competing at a lower level of competition. In strong racing shape of late.

4Just Remember ItJ: Ben Allen·T: Kane Harris463kg2 6 3 2 712: 2-2-2$3.90$1.55

Career

12: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
9: 1-2-2
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-1

Last starts

7Cranbourne1200m10 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT62.5L
2Yarra Valley1000m24 Mar 2026 · BM56 · SOFT50.2L
3Moe1000m22 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.9L
6Sale1000m1 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD43.8L
2Yarra Valley1000m13 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD40.3L
11Caulfield1100m12 July 2025 · 3Y HCP · SOFT69.9L
5Caulfield1000m28 June 2025 · 3Y HCP · SOFT61L
1Ballarat Synthetic1100m11 June 2025 · 0 - 64 · SYNTHETIC-0.1

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (26-weeks). Has looked good in two recent jumpouts ahead of his return and has to be included here.

ILB

First up and competed in a tight contest first up last preparation at Yarra Valley. Change in trainer and will appreciate the drop in class. Winning chance.

Can be a player at this level and consistent performer; creditable effort in seventh (beaten 2½l) at Cranbourne over 6f (handicap) six months ago; first run for trainer; has had some time off; latest effort was encouraging so should be thereabouts.

RSIS

Resuming and missed by a narrow margin resuming last preparation at Yarra Vstall. First start for a new trainer and facing weaker opposition. Stamps its reason for consideration.

5Bliss BombScratched7––––

Career

6: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 1-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
2: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Ballarat Synthetic1200m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.9L
3Ballarat Synthetic1100m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.25L
10Sandown1000m15 July 2026 · 3Y BM64 · HEAVY99.7L
2Ballarat Synthetic1000m26 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.8L
1Seymour1100m16 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD4-1.5
3Morphettville1000m26 Dec 2024 · Set Weights plus Penalties · GOOD42.47L

Insights

Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Let-up (42-days). Sent out $12 when unable to threaten at Ballarat Synthetic. Has since won a Cranbourne jumpout but is untested on rain affected ground.

ILB

Freshened for this. Started $12.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last run Ballarat Synthetic.

Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (5l) at Ballarat over 6f (handicap) 42 days ago; could go well given there is limited recent form on offer in this race and shown she can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Freshened up. Started 11/1 and didn't threaten when 6th last run Ballarat Synthetic.

6Divine EmpressJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Jason Warren260kg5 2 1 5 76: 1-1-0$9.00$2.70

Career

6: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

7Sale1006m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD419.2L
5Cranbourne1300m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.1L
1Yarra Valley1200m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.1
2Kyneton1218m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · SOFT61.5L
5Sale1006m11 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.3L
4Benalla1212m2 Sept 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT57.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 46% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Dylan Dunn 67% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 151%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 32% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2

Comments

AAP

Freshened since return. Ordinary performance in small field at Sale off long spell. Has had a recent jumpout between runs.

ILB

Started $15.00 and struggled with the pace when 7th last time at Sale but competing in a lower grade. Can find a nice position from the draw. Not at all out of this race.

Finished last of seven (Sale) when dropped to this trip last month; definitely of interest as a number of her rivals have questions to answer and she was successful three starts back.

RSIS

Odds of 14/1 and was well beaten when 7th last start at Sale but stepping down to a lower level. Can find a nice position from the draw. Watch betting.

7Irresistible SirJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: R C Manning959.5kg4 7 10 1 846: 4-3-11$12.00$3.30

Career

46: 4-3-11

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-3
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-1
Track Sale
6: 0-0-1
Track Bairnsdale
7: 2-0-1
Distance 1000m
15: 2-0-4
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
3: 0-1-2
Going Synthetic
4: 1-0-2
Going Unknown
5: 0-2-2
Going Good
18: 2-1-4

Last starts

8Pakenham Synthetic1000m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.9L
1Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD3-1.25
10Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT66.6L
7Bairnsdale1000m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.3L
4Sale1000m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65.3L
3Bairnsdale1000m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT72.5L
9Sale1005m28 June 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY84.9L
1Bairnsdale1000m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY8-1.5

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 79% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Reg Manning striking at just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 88%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Key Jockey
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 62% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Got back, never a serious danger at Pakenham Synthetic last start. Did win over this track and distance two starts ago.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Started at $31.00 and was well beaten when 8th last time at Pakenham Synthetic but competing in a less challenging grade. Going up in weight. Possible place chance.

Fair effort when beaten just under 4l, finishing eighth of nine at Pakenham last Monday; brings winning C&D form to the table; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Started at 30/1 and faded away to finish 8th last run at Pakenham Synthetic but up against a less competitive field. Rising in weight.

8DerelictJ: Craig Newitt·T: Carly Thomas157.5kg5 8 4 4 1020: 2-5-1$10.00$2.90

Career

20: 2-5-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
4: 1-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
15: 1-5-1
Going Soft
5: 0-2-0
Going Synthetic
5: 0-2-1
Going Good
9: 2-1-0

Last starts

10Hamilton1100m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY106.8L
4Bairnsdale1000m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT72.5L
4Ballarat Synthetic1000m30 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC3.7L
8Mornington1000m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64.1L
5Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L
8Caulfield Heath800m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)15.8L
9Yarra Valley1009m25 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD46.5L
2Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (72-days). Started $9.50 when safely held in Restricted 56 company on a waterlogged track at Hamilton. Has since had a jumpout in good company but needs to improve.

ILB

Back from a break. Jumped at $9.50 and faded away to finish 10th last run at Hamilton but gets a favourable alley. Has plenty of early speed. Watch betting.

Finished tenth of 12 at Hamilton over 5½f (handicap) in August; hasn't won for a while; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Back from a break. Started 17/2 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Hamilton on a heavy surface. Should jump out and bowl along. Watch the betting.

9Free To PlayJ: Lauren Burke·T: Melanie Bullard357kg4 7 4 11 424: 2-1-1$8.50$2.65

Career

24: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
3: 0-0-1
Track Moe
3: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 955m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
15: 1-1-0
Distance 1009m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
16: 1-1-0
Going Soft
8: 1-0-1

Last starts

4Moe1000m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.21L
11Moe1200m22 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.7L
4Kilmore1200m13 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD48.5L
7Sandown1000m4 Feb 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD45.6L
4Werribee1014m12 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD32.9L
3Wangaratta1170m22 Dec 2025 · BM56 · SOFT50.95L
6Moe1000m14 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD41.9L
9Cranbourne955m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD37L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Melanie Bullard in good form, out performing market 78%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

Off pace and failed to make an impression at Moe off long spell.

ILB

Started $41.00 and finished 4th last start at Moe. Needs a lot of luck in this race.

Close up behind Midnight Devil when fourth (Moe) two weeks ago; winning form over C&D; a few throw outs since his success in a handicap at Yarra Glen 12 months ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

At 40/1 ran 4th last run at Moe.

10Moonlight RustlerJ: Jason Maskiell·T: W J Wood657kg4 4 6 4 548: 4-4-2$23.00$4.00

Career

48: 4-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Stony Creek
3: 0-0-0
Track Moe
11: 1-2-1
Track Mornington
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 955m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
30: 1-3-2
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
13: 2-1-0

Last starts

5Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.83L
4Bairnsdale1000m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY82.4L
6Sale1006m8 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD37.7L
4Sale1000m29 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · SOFT65.5L
4Bairnsdale1000m22 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD44.4L
8Stony Creek1100m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM62 · SOFT68.1L
5Moe1000m22 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.7L
5Moe1000m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 40% in L100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Gave solid chase in a good effort this track first up. Usually gets back but has won on soft and heavy tracks.

ILB

Was $10.00 and ran past a few when 5th last run at this track. Does take a while to get into stride. Lines up against a competitive field.

Fifth, beaten just under 2l by Irresistible Sir three weeks ago; has a good record at this venue, including three C&D wins but struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Bairnsdale last November; been struggling to get his head in front recently so may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Started at 9/1 and advanced late into 5th last start around here. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

11The CruiserJ: Jake Noonan·T: Ms S Trolove1056.5kg7 4 12 6 880: 9-7-10$51.00$6.50

Career

80: 9-7-10

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
8: 1-0-1
Second-up
6: 1-1-2
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-1
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
10: 2-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
10: 2-0-2
Distance 1200m
13: 2-2-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
26: 3-3-4
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

8Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.33L
6Bairnsdale1000m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY83.4L
12Sale1008m17 May 2026 · 0-66 · GOOD48.7L
4Mornington1000m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT61.1L
7Moe1100m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.3L
5Werribee1100m11 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT51.3L
3Bairnsdale1000m22 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD44.3L
3Geelong1112m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 73%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely this venue first up. Needs to improve but won on rain affected going.

ILB

Started $10.00 and weakened to finish 8th last time at this track. Not without a chance.

Has scored over C&D; safely held here three weeks ago behind Irresistible Sir when beaten 5½l (eighth of ten); others more likely.

RSIS

Was 9/1 and looked outclassed when 8th last time at the track. Watch for a sign in the market.

12Heartattack JackJ: Teodore Nugent·T: D J Walkley855.5kg6 8 3 4 726: 1-2-3$11.00$3.20

Career

26: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Stony Creek
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
17: 1-2-2
Going Good
16: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
6: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Pakenham Synthetic1000m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.75L
4Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.81L
3Moe1008m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.8L
8Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT64.1L
6Pakenham Synthetic1000m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.9L
8Yarra Valley1009m21 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD48L
8Stony Creek1000m15 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.1L
5Werribee1018m1 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.3L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Damien Walkley striking at just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Got back, never a serious danger but not disgraced at Pakenham Synthetic.

ILB

On a quick back up. Was $31.00 and not in contention when 7th last time at Pakenham Synthetic but challenged by less formidable competitors. Expected to settle towards the rear. Will need everything to go right.

Not disgraced in seventh (Pakenham) when splitting two of these last week; C&D has proven suitable before; others more appealing.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started 30/1 and tailed off when 7th last run at Pakenham Synthetic but matched against a less competitive field. Expected to settle towards the rear.

Odds correct as at Mon 12 Oct, 5:10 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races