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Bairnsdale (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Bairnsdale (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 12 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 12 OctBairnsdale (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Four'N Twenty Mdn Plate 2200m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
  • SOFT5
  • Overcast
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Churchill Lane (4)

3.60

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Threewinesin

Midfield

  • 1Ask The Captain
  • 2Baldoni
  • 7Rough Act
  • 8Verry Zeductive

Offpace

  • 9Blanche Bass

Onpace

  • 5Clydebank Robber

Leader

  • 4Churchill Lane
  • 6Marquisard
  • 10Camegitchee
  • Ask The Captain · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Brad Rawiller current POT is 51% below Career Avg.

  • Baldoni · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Churchill Lane · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Clydebank Robber · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 79% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Ask The CaptainJ: Brad Rawiller·T: E P Francese859.5kg7 9 5 11 913: 0-0-2$8.00$2.50

Career

13: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1411m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 9Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.25L
  2. 11Sale1415m13 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD47.6L
  3. 5Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.75L
  4. 9Moe1628m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY915.7L
  5. 7Sale1746m9 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY97L
  6. 12Sale1411m28 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY819.3L
  7. 5Bairnsdale1200m12 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY86.3L
  8. 6Kilmore1450m13 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD47L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Brad Rawiller current POT is 51% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 1%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 79%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Raced in back half and never likely at Pakenham Synthetic. Stamina on trial here. Hard to make a case beyond the minors.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Odds of $101.00 and didn't attack the line when 9th last time at Pakenham Synthetic but racing over more ground. Tough ask.

RP

Out of the frame when ninth over 1m at Pakenham (maiden) last Monday; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; likely to be a contender.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Started at 100/1 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last start at Pakenham Synthetic but facing a rise in trip.

2BaldoniJ: Koby Jennings·T: Michael Huglin359.5kg14 7 4 3 47: 0-0-1$6.00$2.10

Career

7: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2021m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.25L
  2. 3Geelong2400m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.3L
  3. 4Seymour2021m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.1L
  4. 7Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.8L
  5. 14Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT79.2L
  6. 6Cranbourne1400m10 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.8L
  7. 7Mornington1000m23 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.4L
  8. 4Caulfield800m20 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial2.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -51% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 58% in L100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Safely held but not totally disgraced at Moe when in the market. This looks a nice race for him.

ILB

Was $3.50 and pushed past some when 4th last run at Moe. Strong chance to be considered.

RP

Fourth of nine beaten 8l over 1m4f at Moe (maiden) two weeks ago; shown recent signs of improvement; no surprise to see him go well as shown some ability on occasion.

RSIS

Odds of 5/2 and closed off nicely when 4th last start at Moe. Suited against these.

3Call Me FrancisScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

No match but kept on for a distant third in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Moe. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

On a short back up. Odds of $16.00 and average performance when 9th last time at Ballarat. Large claim helps.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Odds of 15/1 and clearly outclassed when 9th last start at Ballarat. Hayley Spitse takes a large claim.

4Churchill LaneJ: Jason Maskiell·T: Jason Warren659.5kg5 10 3 5 38: 0-0-2$3.60$1.45

Career

8: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Tatura1600m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.2L
  2. 5Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.3L
  3. 3Moe1600m13 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY107.5L
  4. 10Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT59.55L
  5. 5Bairnsdale1600m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT74.8L
  6. 5Sale1728m28 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY84.4L
  7. 5Wangaratta1300m14 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY104L
  8. 7Mornington1500m27 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Jason Warren in good form, out performing market 50%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 32% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ridden in back half, strong late to fill the minors 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Tatura. Step up in trip suits. Makes strong appeal.

ILB

Kept running on late when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Tatura and going up in distance. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Should go very close.

RP

Has taken a step forward the last twice; solid effort in defeat to finish third after going off 20-1 at Tatura over 1m (maiden) two weeks ago; hard enough to fancy with stamina to prove over this new distance.

RSIS

Came on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Tatura and racing over a longer distance. Has plenty of early pace. Good chance at a nice price.

5Clydebank RobberJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Susie Wells559.5kg4 7 3 8 763: 0-7-13$16.00$3.70

Career

63: 0-7-13

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Moe

    10: 0-1-2

  • Track Geelong

    4: 0-0-2

  • Track Bairnsdale

    7: 0-2-2

  • Distance 2580m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2600m

    4: 0-1-2

  • Distance 2025m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    27: 0-3-5

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    30: 0-3-8

Last starts

  1. 7Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD411.45L
  2. 8Geelong2400m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.4L
  3. 3Geelong2470m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT74.5L
  4. 7Moe2050m13 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY1013.5L
  5. 4Bairnsdale2200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57L
  6. 3Sale2200m26 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.4L
  7. 2Bairnsdale2200m13 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.8L
  8. 7Werribee2238m30 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT69L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 79% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 93%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 77%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

No threat as a $41 chance in 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Moe. Has had plenty of chances.

ILB

Started at $41.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last time at Moe. Displays good tactical speed. Would be more keen on the chance of others.

RP

Beaten 11l (seventh) at Moe over 1m4f (maiden) behind Baldoni, two weeks ago; form has an up and down look to it; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Started at 40/1 and weakened under pressure when 7th last start at Moe. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

6MarquisardJ: Nathan Punch·T: Phillip Cafarella1059.5kg3 8 5 11 917: 0-0-1$41.00$5.50

Career

17: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    8: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Sale1615m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.9L
  2. 11Pakenham Synthetic1600m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD313.9L
  3. 5Geelong2470m2 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.9L
  4. 8Mornington2000m18 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD319.5L
  5. 3Pakenham Synthetic2200m29 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.6L
  6. 5Pakenham Synthetic2200m18 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.9L
  7. 8Sale2238m31 July 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT718.4L
  8. 4Pakenham Synthetic2200m7 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.2L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Started $151 when safely held in Maiden company at Sale when second-up. Quickly up in trip. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Started $151.00 and folded up in the straight when 9th last time at Sale but stepping back up in trip. Considerable improvement needed.

RP

Far from exposed but attempts to score at the 18th time of asking; finished ninth of 12 over 1m at Sale (maiden) last month; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last start at Sale but going back up in trip.

7Rough ActJ: Jake Noonan·T: Ms R Frost459.5kg7 8 10 4 124: 0-0-0$8.00$2.50

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2016m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 12Ballarat2016m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD411.8L
  2. 4Echuca2112m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
  3. 10Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT58.5L
  4. 8Pakenham1600m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.2L
  5. 7Traralgon1100m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Well back and never sighted at Ballarat at a mammoth price. Needs to improve sharply.

ILB

Jumped at $151.00 and didn't find the line when 12th last time at Ballarat. Likely to get back in the field. Not likely to pull off the victory.

RP

Towards the rear of 14 over 1m2f at Ballarat (maiden) last month; this now his fifth attempt to get off the mark; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Was 150/1 and well beaten when 12th last start at Ballarat. Likely to get back in the field.

8Verry ZeductiveJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Brett Scott259.5kg9 8 8 12 135: 0-0-0$31.00$4.60

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1514m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1950m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 13Ballarat2000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD417.42L
  2. 12Seymour2200m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD420.8L
  3. 8Yarra Valley1950m7 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.8L
  4. 8Pakenham1600m16 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD420.8L
  5. 9Yarra Valley1514m29 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD411L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 46% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn 67% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 127%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Unplaced in all 5 runs to date. Dropped out to last and never sighted at Ballarat after lengthy absence. Unknown in wet. Yet to produce any convincing form.

ILB

Was $151.00 and only fair when 13th last run at Ballarat but gets a favourable barrier. Can't entertain.

RP

Towards the rear of 14 at Ballarat over 1m2f (maiden) three weeks ago; poses a threat.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and not up to scratch when 13th last run at Ballarat but drawn nicely.

9Blanche BassJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Shea Eden757.5kg3 5 11 7 615: 0-3-2$6.00$2.15

Career

15: 0-3-2

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Moe

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2016m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1514m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Ballarat2016m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.65L
  2. 7Sale1615m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.1L
  3. 11Pakenham Synthetic1600m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39L
  4. 5Pakenham Synthetic1600m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD34.3L
  5. 3Pakenham Synthetic1600m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD32.6L
  6. 9Pakenham Synthetic1600m22 June 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD35.7L
  7. 6Kilmore1607m14 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.4L
  8. 3Moe1600m24 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT62L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Made the running but soon off the bit and weakened out of proceedings at Ballarat. In the placings only prior run here. Very fit, looks more a place prospect.

ILB

Didn't maintain the pace throughout when 6th last time at Ballarat. Respect the betting.

RP

Beaten a fair way when sixth (Ballarat) last month upped to 1m2f; not discounted as shown promise on occasion.

RSIS

Faded away when 6th last time at Ballarat. Betting is the best guide.

10CamegitcheeJ: Jackie Beriman·T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black157.5kg6 10 4 3 78: 0-0-1$14.00$3.60

Career

8: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Moe2050m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.06L
  2. 3Donald1620m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L
  3. 4Pakenham Synthetic1600m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD33.8L
  4. 10Warrnambool2000m23 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1085.3L
  5. 6Ballarat Synthetic1500m7 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.3L
  6. 7Caulfield Heath1800m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L
  7. 4Geelong1440m26 Jan 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD47.5L
  8. 9Pakenham Synthetic1400m29 Aug 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC9.6L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 201%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never likely at Moe when stepped up to 2000m. May find this a touch too far.

ILB

At $15.00 finished 7th last run at Moe. Looking past the last run and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Blinkers go off for the first time. Good prospects.

RP

Shown recent signs of improvement; was seventh of 12, beaten 9l, behind Threewinesin, 18 days ago at Moe upped to 1m2f; others more likely.

RSIS

Odds of 14/1 and finished 7th last start at Moe. Is capable of a resurgence and can save some energy from the stall. Definitely worth considering.

11ThreewinesinJ: Lachlan King·T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker957.5kg10 10 9 54: 0-0-0$5.00$1.90

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1744m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Moe2050m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.56L
  2. 9Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT57.7L
  3. 10Sale1744m8 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD416.1L
  4. 10Bendigo1300m7 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY912.2L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    P & H Carey & Walker striking at just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kept finding the line without threatening at Moe. Has found a race she can win.

ILB

Started $101.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last start at Moe. Might have to make up considerable ground. Will need a big effort to win this.

RP

Not beaten too far when fifth at Moe two weeks ago upped to 1m2f; lightly raced (running for just the fifth time); not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Odds of 100/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last run at Moe. Likely to settle back in the field.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races