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Bairnsdale (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Bairnsdale (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 12 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 12 OctBairnsdale (VIC)Change

Race 7 — East Gippsland Communites Day - Packages On Sale 1St November (Bm56) 1200m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3UP BM56 HCP,3yo+,BM56,Benchmark 56
  • SOFT5
  • Overcast
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

I Am Algadon (10)

1.70

Most career wins

Aria Electra

5-6-4 from 44 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3Chip'N'Dale
  • 7Pull My Finger
  • 13Miss Scoop
  • 14Aria Electra

Midfield

  • 1Sub Gauge

Onpace

  • 2Bolocco Bob

Leader

  • 10I Am Algadon
  • Sub Gauge · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races

  • Bolocco Bob · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Chip'N'Dale · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Pull My Finger · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Sub GaugeJ: Jake Noonan·T: David & Coral Feek662.5kg1 8 10 5 725: 3-2-3$4.60$2.05

Career

25: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1208m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    9: 1-1-2

  • Going Soft

    6: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Mornington1200m17 Sept 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD42.51L
  2. 5Moe1208m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.7L
  3. 10Seymour1200m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT77.4L
  4. 8Echuca1200m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY97.7L
  5. 1Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT7-5.3
  6. 3Moe1008m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY94.3L
  7. 4Traralgon1100m30 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY91.4L
  8. 3Ballarat1200m3 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1.21L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 5.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

There to threaten just couldn't quite finish it off at Mornington over this trip. Can lead or take a sit. Winner at only other start at Bairnsdale. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Jumped at $14.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last time at Mornington but competing at a lower grade. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Solid prospects.

RP

Has won over C&D; been generally quiet since successful in a handicap at Bairnsdale three months ago; creditable seventh at Mornington three weeks ago; this looks a fair heat so is passed over.

RSIS

Was 13/1 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last time at Mornington but will find this grade easier. Has to carry more weight this time. Should go close.

2Bolocco BobJ: Liana Wood·T: Dani Walker562kg4 2 1 2 66: 1-2-0$34.00$7.00

Career

6: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 6Swan Hill975m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.1L
  2. 2Stony Creek1000m15 Feb 2021 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD30.2L
  3. 1Pakenham1000m21 Jan 2021 · Maiden · GOOD4-0.75
  4. 2Werribee1114m9 Jan 2021 · Maiden · GOOD41.75L
  5. 4Stony Creek1100m28 Dec 2020 · Maiden · GOOD41.15L
  6. 6Mornington1000m5 Jan 2020 · Maiden · GOOD46.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never likely at Swan Hill for new stable. Strips in better shape and takes a 3kg claim. Has some claims.

ILB

At $51.00 weakened under pressure when 6th last start at Swan Hill. Should muster plenty of early speed. The large claim from Liana Wood helps. Long shot.

RP

Held in sixth over 5f at Swan Hill (handicap) on his debut for this trainer three weeks ago; lightly raced for age; capable if in the mood so wouldn't rule out a big run.

RSIS

At 50/1 couldn't stay in touch when 6th last time at Swan Hill. Should come to hand quickly. The large claim from Liana Wood helps.

3Chip'N'DaleJ: Melea Castle·T: Brooke Verwey-Mitchell961.5kg4 1 3 10 66: 1-0-1$12.00$3.80

Career

6: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1325m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1414m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Geelong1325m23 Sept 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD34.2L
  2. 10Seymour1414m27 Aug 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY89.7L
  3. 3Murray Bridge1200m12 Aug 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY81.4L
  4. 1Albury1175m27 July 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · HEAVY9-0.6
  5. 4Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY93.7L
  6. 6Ballarat1000m14 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT56.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 56% in L100 rides

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent out $101 when battled home to finish 6th at Geelong. Has an adverse draw and lumped with 61.5kg. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

At $101.00 ran 6th last run at Geelong but goes down in class. Expected to settle towards the rear. Entitled to be big odds.

RP

Not beaten that far over 6½f at Geelong (handicap) three weeks ago; this is competitive and looks risky.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and came in 6th last time at Geelong but challenged by weaker competitors. Likely to settle back in the field.

4Rock The BarScratched12––––

Career

25: 4-1-3

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1406m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1415m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 3-1-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Sale1415m8 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD38.2L
  2. 8Terang1406m17 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.4L
  3. 4Kyneton1479m27 Feb 2026 · BM56 · SOFT63.6L
  4. 2Seymour1429m3 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD30.8L
  5. 6Geelong1312m14 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.8L
  6. 8Seymour1300m28 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD42.6L
  7. 11Geelong1430m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.8L
  8. 2Caulfield1000m20 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial0.3L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Shannon Roughan striking at just 3%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 53%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 59% Profit on Turnover

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (26-weeks). Has had a jumpout to prepare for return but is awkwardly drawn and prefer to see after a lengthy absence.

ILB

Resumes from a spell of 26 weeks. Started at $12.00 and sub-standard effort when 8th last run at Sale but challenged by less formidable competitors.

RP

Last of eight over 7f at Sale (handicap) six months ago; returns from a break today; meeting some horses in good form and hard to recommend.

RSIS

Resuming after a 26 week break. Started 11/1 and average performance when 8th last run at Sale but matched against lesser competition.

5Le NotreScratched1––––

Career

6: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Stony Creek

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Pakenham1200m22 May 2026 · 2UP F&M MDN-SW · SOFT6-2
  2. 5Warrnambool1200m5 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY85.2L
  3. 4Mornington1200m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.9L
  4. 3Cranbourne1200m20 Mar 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD33.8L
  5. 3Stony Creek1100m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT60.9L
  6. 5Gold Coast1200m12 July 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT52.2L
  7. 1Beaudesert1050m27 June 2025 · Barrier Trial-3
  8. 2Gold Coast850m17 June 2025 · Barrier Trial0.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (20-weeks). Ex S B Laming in Victoria. Consistently around the mark last prep. Has had two jumpouts to prepare for this, has placed first-up previously.

ILB

Fresh from a spell. Ran home strongly to win last time at Pakenham and drawn beautifully.

RP

Scored by 2l, breaking her duck at the sixth time of asking at Pakenham five months ago in a maiden; has found improvement of late; returns from an absence here; the trainer is going well; should not be far away.

RSIS

First run back from break. Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last start at Pakenham and will appreciate a good stall.

6Luminary MissScratched3––––

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.2
  2. 5Wodonga1100m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.5L
  3. 5Wodonga1100m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81L
  4. 7Seymour1100m20 Feb 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD46.7L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 46% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 1281%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let down strongly from midfield to score this course over this journey. Good draw. Dylan Dunn retains the ride. Clicked into gear last time and can build further.

ILB

Charged home to win last start at this venue.

RP

Opened account at the fourth time of asking scoring narrowly three weeks ago in a maiden; one to consider.

RSIS

Finished hard to win last start here.

7Pull My FingerJ: Craig Newitt·T: Amy & Ash Yargi860kg3 1 5 4 218: 1-4-8$3.80$1.75

Career

18: 1-4-8

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    3: 0-2-1

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1103m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1112m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-2-5

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 2Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.25L
  2. 4Ballarat Synthetic1000m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.2L
  3. 5Ballarat Synthetic1000m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.3L
  4. 1Ballarat Synthetic1000m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC-0.5
  5. 3Ballarat Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC2L
  6. 3Ballarat1000m12 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY84.1L
  7. 2Mornington1000m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT50.4L
  8. 3Mornington1000m10 May 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT62.4L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 91%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Finished full of running and just shaded 3yo+ Hcp (56) this course over this trip. Can play a role.

ILB

Narrowly denied victory last start at this venue and form has been improving over recent runs. In good form this preparation. Will be motoring home late. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.

RP

Missed out by a head last month; produced several respectable runs lately.

RSIS

Just missed last time at this venue and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Will be trying to topple them late. Will show up at the business end.

8Ruby AvenueScratched2––––

Career

19: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-2-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    4: 2-0-1

  • Track Sale

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    13: 2-2-2

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 1-1-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Moe1000m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.71L
  2. 5Pakenham Synthetic1000m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.7L
  3. 6Sale1000m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT66.2L
  4. 7Pakenham Synthetic1000m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD35.5L
  5. 3Pakenham Synthetic1000m22 June 2026 · BM62 · GOOD31L
  6. 8Pakenham1000m26 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD43.7L
  7. 6Caulfield Heath1100m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD43.1L
  8. 1Pakenham1000m16 Jan 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 74%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 49%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 27% POT in L100 Runners

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Moe. Handles soft, untested heavy. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Started at $8.50 and improved late to finish 5th last time at Moe and will try to take advantage of the draw. Might be ridden for luck. Large claim helps.

RP

Not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Pakenham in January; beaten 6l when fifth of nine over 5f at Moe (handicap) last month; facing a testing assignment and has some questions to answer.

RSIS

At 15/2 showed some merit late when 5th last start at Moe and can find a nice position from the draw. Might be ridden for luck.

9FrederickScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Resuming (13-weeks). Close in Restricted 56 company at Echuca first-up last campaign. Has had two jumpouts ahead of his return and is among the dangers fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First run back from a break. Started at $5.50 and didn't attack the line when 8th last start at Donald.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break. At 9/2 gave away some ground when 8th last time at Donald.

10I Am AlgadonJ: Nadia Daniels·T: M M Laurie759kg8 11: 1-0-0$1.70$1.20

Career

1: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Tatura1100m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.25
  2. 8Caulfield Heath1000m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 58% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 5.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Excellent debut performance posting a dominant win at Tatura. Nadia Daniels retains the ride and takes a 2kg claim. Can challenge again.

ILB

Finished with purpose when winning last start at Tatura and having second career run. Nadia Daniels and Matt Laurie command respect as a team. Up in weight. Has every chance.

RP

Successful by just over 1l first time out at Tatura at 12-5 last month; respected.

RSIS

Ran home strongly to win last run at Tatura and was on debut last time. Nadia Daniels consistently performs well for this stable. Shows good early pace. Should go very close.

11AsmitaScratched10––––

Career

14: 1-3-5

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-2

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-3

  • Third-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1006m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1009m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 1-3-4

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Tatura1100m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L
  2. 3Sale1006m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.6L
  3. 3Pakenham Synthetic1000m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD32.4L
  4. 2Yarra Valley1209m19 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD30.1L
  5. 7Mornington1200m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.6L
  6. 2Moe1000m16 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42.3L
  7. 9Bendigo1300m26 June 2025 · 2yo+ · HEAVY85.5L
  8. 4Seymour1300m10 June 2025 · BenchMark 64 · SOFT53.8L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 52%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 53%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Started $2.90 when battled home in Benchmark 56 company at Tatura. Looks suitably placed in this line-up.

ILB

At $2.90 hit the line well when 4th last start at Tatura. Racing consistently this preparation.

RP

Often been there or thereabouts lately; you have to go back a fair way to find her only win; failed to reward backers (15-8) when fourth over 5½f at Tatura (handicap) last month; others have more pressing claims with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

At 15/8 overtook some late when 4th last time at Tatura. Racing consistently lately.

12The Birthday PartyScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Sent out $8 when battled home to finish 4th at Wodonga. Untried in the wet. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Odds of $8.00 and ran past a few when 4th last time at Wodonga.

RSIS

Started 7/1 and inched into 4th last start at Wodonga.

13Miss ScoopJ: Logan Mcneil·T: Mitchell Maloney-Stone457.5kg3 2 2 8 623: 2-7-2$26.00$5.50

Career

23: 2-7-2

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Mudgee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moruya

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Sapphire Coast

    8: 1-4-2

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1405m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    11: 2-4-1

  • Going Good

    11: 0-3-0

Last starts

  1. 6Canberra1280m30 May 2026 · CL2 · GOOD37.2L
  2. 8Sapphire Coast1405m3 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD47.8L
  3. 2Sapphire Coast1405m13 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.6L
  4. 2Sapphire Coast1200m30 Mar 2026 · BM58 · SOFT71.4L
  5. 3Sapphire Coast1200m1 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT73L
  6. 9Moruya1200m5 Jan 2026 · CTRY CL3 · GOOD48.4L
  7. 4Wagga1000m24 Dec 2025 · CL3 · GOOD41.9L
  8. 5Mudgee1100m5 Dec 2025 · CL3 · GOOD36.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Resuming (19-weeks). Ex B Joseph & P & M Jones in NSW. Last win was 13 Feb 2025. Nearly got the chocolates in Benchmark 66 company at Nowra first-up last time in.

ILB

First up and just shy of the win first up last preparation at Nowra. Coming to a new trainer but has to carry more weight this time. Could be in the mix.

RP

Patchy form recently; beaten sixth of eight over 6½f at Canberra Acton (handicap) in May; back from an absence here; first start for stable; this looks a fair heat so others more appealing.

RSIS

Resuming and was agonizingly close resuming last preparation at Nowra. First start for a new trainer but up in weight. Always seems to find the line well. Watch the betting.

14Aria ElectraJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Ms S Trolove155kg4 6 7 12 1244: 5-6-4$41.00$8.00

Career

44: 5-6-4

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-2-2

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    4: 1-1-1

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1423m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1454m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    29: 5-4-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 12Mornington1500m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT610.8L
  2. 12Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD415.9L
  3. 7Werribee1600m11 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT56.3L
  4. 6Sale1717m29 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT66L
  5. 4Bairnsdale1600m22 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD42.6L
  6. 4Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD43.1L
  7. 8Yarra Valley1950m7 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD49.7L
  8. 5Cranbourne1600m17 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 62 · GOOD36.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 79% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf 77% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 62% POT in last 100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Resuming (22-weeks). Form last time in wasn't up to this and looking elsewhere.

ILB

First up from a break of 22 weeks and produced an eye catching run when 2nd first up last preparation at Kilmore. Might have to make up considerable ground. Will need to lift.

RP

A course winner; last of 12 over 7½f at Mornington (handicap) in May; returns from a break here; may have to settle for supporting role with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Resuming and attacked the line when 2nd resuming last preparation at Kilmore. Does take a while to get into stride. Will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races