Bathurst (NSW) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Bathurst (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 16 OctBathurst (NSW)Change

Race 5 — Apprentice Jockey Of The Year Jacob Stiff Hcp (C1) 1200m · jumps Fri 16 Oct, 3:45 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Bathurst for the Apprentice Jockey Of The Year Jacob Stiff Hcp (C1) over 1200m on a Soft5 track with fine weather, set to jump at 3:45 pm AEDT. Looking at how punters are treating the win market, Strollin' By has settled at the top of the order, closely followed by Salma's Star, Marinera, and Bushwalker heading up the remaining chances in a competitive F&M Class 1 field.

Digging into the form behind those shorter prices, Strollin' By lines up from barrier 8 for trainer G Portelli and jockey Mikayla Weir, coming off a solid third over 900m at Newcastle where it was reserved at rear before finishing late into the frame. Salma's Star jumps from barrier 3 with Jess Taylor booked for trainer G Mcfarlane, resuming here after a twelve-week break following a heavy track run at Gosford last preparation, and is drawn favourably to make an impact fresh at country level. Meanwhile, Marinera starts from barrier 6 for Brett Robb and Clayton Gallagher, looking to bounce back from a disappointing run at Dubbo following a Scone barrier trial.

Further down the market, we find a few interesting tactical angles to consider for the race yarn. Strollin' By and Angels Cloud are listed in the speed groups as leaders, while Salma's Star and Dark Thinker map on pace, suggesting a genuine tempo up front. Bushwalker brings the attention of being a fast finisher after recording the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start when running third at Orange over 1300m, making Ms A Smith's runner an appealing prospect for exotic punters looking to round out the multiples.

Race notes

Class 1,F&M CL1,F&M CL1 HCP
SOFT5
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Strollin' By (4)

2.50

Most career wins

Queen Kicker

2-3-1 from 13 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1Marinera

Midfield

10Queen Kicker
5Tommy's Girl

Offpace

7Bushwalker

Onpace

2Salma's Star
9Dark Thinker

Leader

4Strollin' By
8Angels Cloud

Marinera · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Salma's Star · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 70% better than Career Avg.
Strollin' By · Negative
Trainer SR
Gary Portelli striking at just 4%
Tommy's Girl · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1MarineraJ: Clayton Gallagher·T: Brett Robb659kg2 1 6 4 127: 1-2-0$5.50$1.55

Career

7: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Mudgee
1: 0-1-0
Track Moree
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

12Dubbo1300m27 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD48.76L
4Moree1200m6 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD43.6L
6Tamworth1000m25 Aug 2026 · CL3 BM66 · SOFT53.5L
1Warren1000m21 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.2
2Dubbo1200m3 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD40.9L
2Mudgee1100m5 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD31.3L
3Hawkesbury800m15 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial6.8L
5Warwick Farm1100m21 May 2025 · 2Y MDN HCP · HEAVY103.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Dubbo. Since trialled at Scone 7 Oct. Forgive latest, form prior okay for this. In the mix.

ILB

At $10.00 folded up in the straight when 12th last run at Dubbo. Has the potential to improve sharply. Clayton Gallagher and Brett Robb are a strong team. Expected to be competitive.

Finished last of 12 over 6½f at Dubbo (handicap) last month; shortlisted as shown she can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and weakened under pressure when 12th last run at Dubbo. Looking past the last run. Jockey Clayton Gallagher is in form for this stable. Should give plenty of sight.

2Salma's StarJ: Jess Taylor·T: G Mcfarlane359kg9 5 3 5 79: 1-0-1$3.20$1.26

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Queanbeyan
1: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
3: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

7Gosford1200m18 July 2026 · Class 1 · HEAVY98.62L
5Newcastle1200m27 June 2026 · BM64 · SOFT72.9L
3Gosford1100m11 June 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.7L
5Port Macquarie1106m18 May 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY102.6L
9Gosford1200m25 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD44.7L
5Newcastle1250m31 Mar 2026 · CL1 HCP · GOOD42.4L
4Wyong845m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.7L
4Newcastle1250m30 Nov 2025 · BM64 HCP · GOOD41.6L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 70% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 20%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jess Taylor in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 76%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

First-up (12-weeks). Not beaten far Class 1 company at Newcastle first-up last preparation. Drawn favourably. Right in the mix fresh in this company at country level.

ILB

Fresh today after a break. Was $13.00 and well beaten when 7th last time at Gosford. Displays good tactical speed. Not without a chance.

Finished last of seven (Gosford) in July; can figure as has been on the scene in the recent past; also engaged in race 8 at Bathurst.

RSIS

Fresh today. Odds of 12/1 and faded away to finish 7th last start at Gosford on a heavy track. Won't be far away during the run. Watch for a sign in the market.

3Choc ChipScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential

Comments

AAP

Won after handy to speed and getting the advantage late at Wagga after lengthy absence. Only fitter and might go on with it now.

ILB

Ran on hard when winning last time at Wagga and promising career start.

Got the job done by 1l when registering her first success at the third time of asking (Wagga) last month in a maiden; cannot be ignored.

RSIS

Ran over the top of them when winning last start at Wagga and showing consistent performance in races.

4Strollin' ByJ: Mikayla Weir·T: G Portelli858kg4 6 1 6 35: 1-0-1$2.50$1.20

Career

5: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

3Newcastle900m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID BM64 HCP · GOOD43.61L
6Goulburn1100m11 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD43.6L
1Mudgee1100m30 Aug 2026 · Maiden · SOFT7-1.5
6Canterbury1200m12 Aug 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN HCP · SOFT53L
4Canterbury1200m22 July 2026 · 2&3YF MDN · SOFT73.6L
3Rosehill1030m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.8L
1Warwick Farm786m9 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.3

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Gary Portelli striking at just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Reserved at rear, late into the frame at Newcastle. Major player here.

ILB

Came on strongly to finish 3rd last start at Newcastle and drops back to a suitable grade. Won't be far away during the run. Returns to an increased distance. A threat to the other main hopes.

Finished third of nine at Newcastle over 4½f (handicap) two weeks ago; she's a serious player.

RSIS

Good effort to finish 3rd beaten by over 3 1/2L last start at Newcastle and matched against less formidable competition. Should be going forward early. Stepping back up in trip. Value play.

5Tommy's GirlJ: Winona Costin·T: Angus Stewart258kg8 2 7 7 416: 1-5-3$11.00$2.50

Career

16: 1-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Wellington
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-2
Track Orange
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
7: 1-3-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-2
Going Good
9: 1-3-1

Last starts

4Hawkesbury1000m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.1L
7Warwick Farm819m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.4L
7Hawkesbury1500m3 May 2025 · 3UP CL2 HCP · HEAVY83.9L
2Mudgee1400m20 Apr 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD40.62L
8Orange1300m11 Apr 2025 · BenchMark 66 · GOOD35.08L
2Bathurst1400m3 Mar 2025 · Class 1 · GOOD40.55L
2Mudgee1200m23 Feb 2025 · Class 1 · GOOD40.05L
3Bathurst1200m31 Jan 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD42.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 531 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming after a (75-weeks) spell. Placed at Bathurst first-up last campaign while tuned with 2 trials. Void of early speed and needs the breaks to fall her way. Can challenge fresh in this company.

ILB

First up after 75 weeks and amongst the placegetters when 3rd first up last preparation at this venue. Yet to place in multiple trials but challenged by less formidable competitors. Has strong claims.

Has a record of 1-16; not disgraced when seventh of 14 at Hawkesbury over 7½f (handicap) last May; has a long absence to overcome; this is competitive and others are preferred.

RSIS

Resuming and produced an eye catching run when 3rd beaten by more than 2 1/2L resuming last preparation at this venue. Yet to place in multiple trials. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

6OubaitoriScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (17-weeks). Lone career win was over 1400m at Narrandera in last campaign. Leads, handy. Meets a handy field.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Got the prize when winning last start at Narrandera and displaying improvement over the past few runs.

Has kicked on in her last couple of races; off the mark at the ninth time of asking at Narrandera over 7f (handicap) when successful by just over 2l four months ago; returns from a break today; despite that Narrandera success, passed over.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break. Got the prize when winning last start at Narrandera and form has been improving over recent runs.

7BushwalkerJ: Deon Le Roux·T: Ms A Smith456kg2 4 5 4 326: 1-4-3$6.50$1.80

Career

26: 1-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-1
Track Wellington
3: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 1-3-3
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Orange1300m8 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD40.85L
4Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT65.37L
5Mudgee1200m21 Feb 2026 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT52.1L
4Orange1400m9 Feb 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY103.2L
2Parkes1200m24 Jan 2026 · CL2 BM62 · GOOD42.5L
4Orange1280m6 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.3L
2Orange1280m30 Dec 2025 · CL1 HCP · GOOD40.7L
2Dubbo1200m8 Dec 2025 · CL1 · GOOD30.3L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Alison Smith striking at just 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 188%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 61%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 65% Profit on Turnover
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Orange second-up. One for multiples.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Was strong late when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last time at Orange and showing improvement in recent outings. Can go through the gears. Expecting a solid performance.

Ran a good race in defeat when a close third over 6½f at Orange (handicap) a week ago; has largely been consistent of late; subpar record of 1-25.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Flashed home late into 3rd last time at Orange and showing improvement in recent outings. Should get going late. Very tidy performer.

8Angels CloudJ: Louise Day·T: Jack Pilkington555.5kg9 1 5 3 318: 1-5-2$34.00$4.00

Career

18: 1-5-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Track Moree
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 1-3-0
Going Good
9: 1-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
7: 0-2-1

Last starts

3Hawkesbury1000m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
3Port Macquarie1000m24 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.8L
5Port Macquarie1000m13 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial14.5L
1Port Macquarie1000m10 Oct 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.1
9Port Macquarie1006m28 Sept 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.6L
7Coffs Harbour1215m14 Sept 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT67.1L
7Moree950m31 Aug 2025 · CTRY MDN · GOOD36L
2Port Macquarie1108m15 June 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT60.4L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 29% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 35% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 371 day break (> 300 days)
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (53-weeks). Ex M P Quinn in NSW. In the minors at Port Macquarie first-up last campaign while brought on by 3 trials. Long absence but a forward showing would not surprise. Betting.

ILB

Back from a break of 53 weeks. Gave them all something to chase when winning by a margin of 1L last start at Port Macquarie. Place claims.

Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; opened her account at Port Macquarie over 5f (maiden) when successful by 1l a year ago; first start for current trainer; long absence to overcome; despite that Port Macquarie success, looks opposable.

RSIS

Back from a 53 week break. Set the pace when winning by a margin of 1L last time at Port Macquarie. Has early pace and positions nicely.

9Dark ThinkerJ: Jacob Stiff·T: Ms A Smith755.5kg2 4 2 7 524: 1-3-5$26.00$3.70

Career

24: 1-3-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-3
Track Sunshine Coast
3: 0-1-0
Track Bathurst
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1318m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 0-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-1-2

Last starts

5Orange1000m8 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD44.24L
7Orange1600m17 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD43.5L
2Wellington1700m10 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD41.4L
4Orange1400m22 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL2 · GOOD44.6L
2Dubbo1600m15 Mar 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD40.7L
3Dubbo1600m6 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.7L
3Orange1600m14 Feb 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD43.5L
4Dubbo1600m2 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD44.1L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 61%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 65% Profit on Turnover
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Last success was 13 Jan 2024. Trimmed margin late at Orange off long break but hard to enthuse.

ILB

Backs up quickly. At $41.00 ran past a few when 5th last start at Orange. Watch betting.

Not disgraced in fifth over 5f at Orange (handicap) last Thursday; just the one victory on her CV; record suggests she is usually one to take on for win purposes so easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Odds of 40/1 and picked up some ground to run 5th last run at Orange.

10Queen KickerJ: Sairyn Fawke·T: Ms D Prest155kg5 2 1 2 1113: 2-3-1$71.00$6.00

Career

13: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grenfell
2: 0-1-0
Track Cooma
1: 1-0-0
Track Ardlethan
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
7: 2-3-1

Last starts

11Orange1300m8 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD499.9L
2Grenfell1200m26 Sept 2026 · CL20.74L
1Boorowa1300m2 May 2026 · 3yo+-0.8
2Tomingley1500m18 Apr 2026 · 3yo+1L
5Grenfell1400m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+3.65L
2Ardlethan1400m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+0.1L
9Orange1280m30 Dec 2025 · CL1 HCP · GOOD410.2L
1Cooma1400m6 Dec 2025 · MDN-0.6

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide draw) at Orange second-up at wide odds. First time around Bathurst. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Odds of $71.00 and disappointing run when 11th last start at Orange but can save some energy from the draw. Not at all out of this race.

Was tailed off over 6½f at Orange (handicap) last Thursday; this is competitive and others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started at 70/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 11th last start at Orange but drawn well.

Odds correct as at Fri 16 Oct, 3:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 13 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races